[Patrick Barron]

The Explanation Comment Count

Brian November 26th, 2018 at 11:03 AM

11/24/2018 – Michigan 39, Ohio State 62 – 10-2, 8-1 Big Ten

From the start this blog has sought to detach itself from the furies of gameday. This column shows up Monday noonish and is thus the last one to appear. It usually tries to get a grip on the emotional tenor of what happened once whatever red mists have passed. Most games that are not abject humiliations are broken down play-by-play in an attempt to explain what actually happened, and gesture towards why.

So it's natural that people would ask me what happened; I am a person who would be able to venture some guess as to what caused the #1 defense in the country to give up 700 yards and more points than Michigan ever had to Ohio State. And, sure, there are some answers to be had. Ohio State ruthlessly exploited Brandon Watson and Devin Gil. Michigan's game plan was terrible because when you're the #1 defense in the country it's impossible to think your approach needs to be entirely different.

But these are weak justifications for the towering, Lovecraftian whole. They do not begin to explain what happened on Saturday. I struggled to put together anything that would be remotely satisfying. Then I figured it out: the fact that makes all the puzzle pieces slot together.

This is Hell.

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[Bryan Fuller]

I am being punished for some sin so colossal that it justifies me reliving my life over and over again, except the end of every football season has been replaced with every flavor of pain football can hand out. This may be my sin, and the simulation will reveal it to me at the very end. I will be permitted a brief moment of knowing the totality of my existence before being thrown back into the rebooted whole.

Or I may be a person who has committed grievous crimes against football and is being punished by living through this existence as someone who holds my true self in utter contempt. This would in fact be justice for Jim Delany's sordid existence: to bear the brunt of every money-grubbing decision on an annual basis and then get a metaphorical kick to the junk so powerful it might as well be real. The reveal at the end, as I download this into whatever qualifies as a soul before being moving into another college football fan, would be the kind of devastation that you really rely on Hell to dish out.

Other candidates to be placed in this particular hell include everyone involved with replacing Pitbull with Larry Culpepper, that one FOX executive who surrounded himself with prophylactic pictures of his kids and sexually harassed his way out of a job, and people who post pictures of their dogs with captions like "OHHHH WHO'S A GOOD DOGGO" somewhere other than Instagram.

So, good news: you don't exist. Or bad news: if the demons have decided that they can cram all of the above into the same simulation for efficiency's sake, your existence implies that you have sinned powerfully and long, and respite is not coming.

But they messed up, you see. I don't buy this latest one. Oh, I was willing to accept the one where the quarterback breaks his foot in the middle of the game and still nearly carries Michigan to a win, even though the offensive coordinator called the same play he had on before after an OSU timeout. I was willing to accept the one lost by a literal unknowable inch. I was willing to accept DJ Durkin checking out a week early and not being too bright to start with.

I don't buy this one. The one where Ohio State fires one of their coaches for abusing his wife before the season, and Urban Meyer skates. The one where Ohio State loses by 29 to Purdue and barely squeaks out victories over half the Big Ten that Michigan is simultaneously paving. The one where the same team that came one three yard pass to a wide open receiver away from losing to Maryland waltzes through, yes, the #1 defense in the country like it is not there. I know, now. I know this is not a random universe that happens to fall into a maximally painful configuration. I know this is one specifically directed to cause pain, and in that knowledge is… well, not exactly power, but mitigation.

I know what's coming, now, Satan. Bring it on.

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[Patrick Barron]

Comments

Sundance466

November 26th, 2018 at 1:01 PM ^

I couldn't disagree with this take more. 

It was a football game won on coaching and matchups. Ohio State had thrown the ball well all season. They had a QB, WRs, and protection. Michigan's defense "danced with what brung them." What brung them left with someone else (to put it mildly). I've said it before and I'll say it again, man coverage is high-risk, high reward. The variability is just potentially much greater.

The only thing Ohio State clearly played better than they had in recent weeks was at the LB position and in being better tacklers.

The belief that Ohio State "wanted it more" or "put it together for this game" is bullshit. Their passing game created multiple big plays. Note their TDs usually came from some distance because when they got inside the 5 they had to kick FGs--still struggled to run it. It was the same offense, only they got the perfect coverage for what they wanted to do!!

dragonchild

November 26th, 2018 at 1:24 PM ^

You're looking in the wrong place.  The receivers did what we thought they'd do.

Their O-line was getting PWND in pass pro by linemen inferior Gary, Winovich, or Uche.  Then suddenly they're perfect against the #1 havoc rate defense in the country.  We didn't get the OSU O-line we'd seen all year, and it was a forgone conclusion that their QB is a different guy if he has time in the pocket.

Sundance466

November 26th, 2018 at 2:58 PM ^

They've given up 16 sacks all year and they throw the ball all the time! What's this PWND you're talking about.

I didn't think Michigan wouldn't lay a hand on him, but I didn't think they'd have 6 sacks either.

It's not the Oklahoma OL, but as a pass protection group with a pretty statuesque QB they do a good job protecting the QB.

You think they just played above their heads in this game? Gimme a break. They are a very good pass pro unit who played great because a) interior line matchups and b) they were very well prepared for what Michigan threw at them.

True Blue Grit

November 26th, 2018 at 1:10 PM ^

I believe you're basically correct.  And if so, Michigan fans need to dial down their expectations to lose this game at least 3 out of 4 times, or possibly 4 out of 5 times in the future - unless something significant changes.  There's no doubt after watching that "game", which of the two teams was far better prepared.   When they're rallying around this game more than we are and have that much talent, it's not going to go well for us.  

dragonchild

November 26th, 2018 at 1:37 PM ^

I agree, but the context I'd like to draw attention to is that their program had so much more "want to" to give in the first place.  It's not that Michigan came into the game with inadequate emotion or preparation.  It's that MGoBlog's previews were based on an opponent that was farting around at well under their full potential, to the point of giving their HC panic attacks, especially their offensive line.  What do you get when a team that scores 40+ points a game in a stupor of apathy and dysfunction puts it all together for one week, vs. what you get when a team that (with some tactical exceptions) always goes 100% tries to discover a 110%?  What do we realistically expect from the Michigan side, here?

It's not that Michigan didn't give enough; it's that the difference between what they give against a Penn State and Ohio State is insignificant because they play all-out against both. Michigan's coaches repeatedly emphasize this in pressers -- that if you play for Michigan, you play with maximum effort, every play.  In fact Michigan tried to hold stuff back, but Indiana was too much trouble.  So the difference when it came to The Game would've been. . . what?

TBH Michigan's struggles against Indiana got me nervous about The Game for this reason -- because I didn't doubt their effort, so I could tell that what I was seeing wasn't going to be enough against a galvanized OSU.  I swallowed those doubts because it looked like OSU might fail to pull it together, but compare M's run-up to '16.  It's a different story.  78-0 against Rutgers, barely trying even.  They looked bored & frustrated against Illinois.  They got a frenzied MSU AND crappy officiating in East Lansing and made it not matter.  Maryland was a romp.  Then the wheels fell off in Iowa, but the '16 team -- that basically beat OSU if not for the worst officiating since the Bolton ejection -- so overmatched its opponents it was bored, and so bored it was frustrated.  This year's team might be one of my favorites because they mostly took care of business week in and week out, but in large part because they couldn't afford complacency.  They consistently pulled away in the 4th quarter, but it was more a decisive victory by attrition than shows of overwhelming force.  I mean that as a credit -- the team played hard every game.  But for their efforts we weren't seeing opponents crumple in the 2nd quarter like they'd do against an Alabama, and OSU is that good when they're not farting around.

ijohnb

November 26th, 2018 at 2:26 PM ^

What I can't figure is what set of circumstances can or will exist where the outcome is different?  We have seen every set of circumstances possible, and they all add up to an OSU win.  How can we possibly win this game?  And if we literally can't, then what is the point?

dragonchild

November 26th, 2018 at 2:51 PM ^

The way I see it, this Michigan team wins with some talent, but mostly by consistently playing at a high level.  It won games decisively, but not overwhelmingly.  It was an 8-4 team that got to 10-2 not by luck but by sheer effort and diligence.  That's a credit to them, I mean that, but asking them to give more is disingenuous.  What's needed to beat OSU is a team so dominating that they literally run out of things to do against lesser opponents.  It's not out of reach.  The '16 team was close to that.  They ran out of ways to waste game clock against Rutgers and looked bored for much of their schedule (until Iowa, arrgghh).  And, they pretty much beat OSU in Columbus.

However, I'm a tad concerned for the future because I don't see any up-and-comers on the D-line that can replicate the embarrassment of riches we had back in '16.  To beat OSU you need a dominant D-line, and the well's mostly run dry in the short term unless somebody blows up next year.  As Brian said, this is a problem Brown has genuinely good answers for, but I'd add that they only go so far against an elite team in a rivalry game.

M-Dog

November 26th, 2018 at 5:04 PM ^

Indiana says the same thing about us.

And we always win in the end because we have better athletes that step up when needed.

We will beat Ohio State when we improve our recruiting and combine it with schemes that take advantage of the better athletes.

The jury is out as to whether we are willing and able to do both of those.

LickReach

November 26th, 2018 at 12:12 PM ^

Personally, I think JH does prepare himself for OSU all year but maybe does not make it part of the culture of his coaching staff as much as Urbz.  By that I just mean he watches film and maybe pulls in coaches to study things but never mandates the analysis and all consuming fixation on an opponent.  This is why Urbz has such a good record in rivalry games (maybe even as an underdog).  Heck maybe the whole fanbase knows it and knows rooting for the other guy in analysis just gives him that much more motivation.  You have to be crazy to be a head coach.  Urbz's crazy is just a bit better concealed than our guy.  

Maybe another part was watching their plays working and building more and more confidence.  You could argue that happened in our Penn State game this year since it was a close match until the 3rd quarter.  

Carcajou

November 26th, 2018 at 4:12 PM ^

he watches film and maybe pulls in coaches to study things but never mandates the analysis and all consuming fixation on an opponent.  

You know this based on...what?

It would be interesting to know how much attention the coaches give to these things during the rest of the season. They obviously cannot admit much to the players, as they need to get them to focus purely on the game and not look ahead.

I agree that Ohio State quickly gained confidence in this game, and even with their mistakes at the end of the first half, it was clear that Michigan was lucky to be in the game. At that point, my only point was that the Michigan coaches could come up with some spectaculr.

Trebor

November 26th, 2018 at 11:40 AM ^

Then the scary thing for Michigan should be that they had no answer on how to slow down OSU's offense or put up meaningful points on their defense while the game was still reasonably competitive. No halftime adjustments worked (if there were any), because OSU scored a TD on every drive they tried to except the first one, and Michigan didn't score any points until they were already down by 22.

CompleteLunacy

November 26th, 2018 at 11:53 AM ^

The reason nothing worked is because Brown's defense relies on QB pressure to succeed. ANd Michigan got literally no pressure. Zero. It's inexplicable. Not from the various blitzes or from natural defensive line rushes. Nothing. I mean, injuries probably played a role there...but that doesn't explain even a tenth of what happened. Sure, OSU was probably a team more capable of preparing for the myriad blitzes...but Brown is smart enough to disguise things and get a few blitzes home in key moments. It is so mindbogglingly bizarre that like Brian I refuse to accept this game happened in a normal world. Because in a normal world, teams are who we thought they were, and OSU and Michigan could not have played more opposite of who they are this year than they did Saturday. Clearly somebody upstairs hates us for some reason.

lhglrkwg

November 26th, 2018 at 12:12 PM ^

Brown's defense relies on QB pressure and that your college QB sucks a little. Usually the combination of some pressure and very good man-to-man coverage is enough to win. I think it's apparent now that this defense cannot hold up against a team that can pass block effectively and has an accurate QB. The Don Brown plan of attack works masterfully against everyone from DIII all the way up to the top 5ish of FBS, but we saw exactly what happens when you run into one of those top 5 teams. It don't work.

bronxblue

November 26th, 2018 at 11:52 AM ^

OSU doesn't seem like they'd dedicate that much effort to beating a team they're now 15-4 against in the past 20 games.  They aren't MSU.  They are still the wildly inconsistent team that nearly lost to Maryland and PSU and got blown out by Purdue.  They were just able to point that self-destructive cannon at an opponent, and it happened to be Michigan.  Nothing would be more apropos than for OSU to skunk it up against NW.

jmblue

November 26th, 2018 at 12:08 PM ^

Well, I'm sure OSU spent more time prepping for Michigan than Maryland, Nebraska and the rest, but I think it was more than that.  I think it was just a classic case of an underperforming team seeing what was at stake and finally playing to its potential.  Kind of like how some basketball teams turn it on for the tournament. (This mainly applies to their defense, as their offense was excellent most of the year.)

The shame is that Maryland had them on the ropes and just needed to make a 3-yard throw to a wide open guy to finish them off.  If that had happened, I don't know if OSU would have brought the same effort against us.  (And at any rate we'd be playing for the Big Ten title this Saturday.)

BlueGoM

November 26th, 2018 at 2:13 PM ^

That's the thing, just watching them you can tell they are heads and shoulders more athletic than almost anyone they play.  Purdue they just quit for some reason.   Brian is correct that Gil and Watson were targeted all game long.  We need better talent before we can genuinely compete.

 

N. Campus Tech

November 26th, 2018 at 11:21 AM ^

I really thought we were going to win this one. 

By week 12, you are what you are. There's no flipping a magical switch.

Michigan had the best defense in the country and an efficient offence.

Michigan had smashed every opponent in their path

OSU was a cluster all season long, barely getting by meager B1G teams.

I fully expected these trends to continue. Boy was I wrong.

Reggie Dunlop

November 26th, 2018 at 11:45 AM ^

I've been saying that for weeks as this game closed in - "You are who you are at this point in the season" - I still think that's the case. I don't think you were wrong at all.

I'm not sure anybody else in the conference tries to defend like we do with constant press man coverage. I know nobody else in the conference runs a passing spread with 5-star track athletes dragging across the field all day. We've seen how lesser defenses try to contain their attack with zones and whatever. And we've seen what our aggressive defense does to a run-of-the-mill Big Ten offense.

But none of us knew how these two styles would match up together. Now we know and I don't ever want to see it again. Given a 2nd crack at it, Don Brown would spend all week installing and practicing zones and put the man coverage in the drawer for a week.

It didn't work. We thought it would because it always works. But it didn't and halftime of the game is probably a little too late to reinvent the wheel. At this point in the season, that's just who we were.

DY

November 26th, 2018 at 2:19 PM ^

Well, if the results against Penn State last year and this year are any indication, hopefully Don Brown spends the next 12 months frequently waking up in a cold sweat in the middle of the night and prepares better for OSU next year.

crg

November 26th, 2018 at 11:28 AM ^

And the hardest part for Job was when his friends came to console him.  "Confess," they said "for the LORD is just.  Truly you must have done something to offend the LORD to be punished thus.  Search your deeds.  Confess."   But Job said "I have not sinned."  He even cries out to God, asking "Why do you do this to me?!"

In the end, he gets his answer.  An answer that answers nothing.

That is where we are.

(For reference:  https://youtu.be/FwqohkCRylY ; media embed not working from phone, so an assist would be appreciated.)

sammylittle

November 26th, 2018 at 11:30 AM ^

I am on a run of such bad luck, including burying my 8-year-old son last year, that my wife has concluded that I devoted the entirety of a past life to raping nuns. This year's version of The Game was pretty consistent with the rest of my conscious experience. If the outcome was somehow my fault, I am sorry.

mgobleu

November 26th, 2018 at 11:51 AM ^

The way that post is strung together makes me wonder if you can possibly be serious; to include your son's death in some sick karmic joke is pretty brutal. 

That said, on the off chance that you're being completely serious and you did lose your 8 year old son, you have my most sincere condolences because I have a healthy 8 year old myself and cannot bear the thought. On the other hand, a football game means absolutely jack shit to anyone compared to losing a son, so I wouldn't even put the two in the same sentence. 

bdneely4

November 26th, 2018 at 3:06 PM ^

I am so sorry for your loss.  What is amazing is how your two comments have provided a dose of reality to me and I am sure many others who have read them after what happened on Saturday.  I know that is probably not what you intended to do, but thank you for your courage in opening up.  Michigan has brighter days ahead and I am positive you and your family do too!

Go Blue!

FrankMurphy

November 26th, 2018 at 12:10 PM ^

Wow. I'm so sorry. I can think of nothing more devastating than having to bury your child. 

If Michigan Football (or sports in general) isn't serving its ultimate purpose as a pleasant distraction from the stress of daily life, then I recommend that you step away from it. After having been dealt such a tragedy, your mental well-being should be priority number one.

Take care of yourself. At the end of the day, The Game is just a game. Once again, my sincere condolences for your loss.