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Date Title Body
12/12/2018 - 11:28pm He would have remembered it…

He would have remembered it. But the medicine he was taking and the texts that vanished... between the two... where am I? 

12/12/2018 - 12:57pm Fans don't accomplish…

Fans don't accomplish anything, besides adding to the "Attendance Record". I see your point, but that's taking it too seriously. At the end of the day, it's entertainment. Enjoy the game, enjoy the beer, enjoy the trash talk. :) 

TBH though, I schedule my camping trips during Thanksgiving break to get away from the tension. But life goes on, JT was short or whether Gonzalez went out on his own or 62 - ...

12/12/2018 - 12:36pm Smith years -> Michigan didn…

Smith years -> Michigan didn't acknowledge the existence of running QBs, so no way to stop them.

Pryor years -> yeah right.

Barrett years -> some bad coaching; some, never mind.

Haskins year and a half -> hoo boy!

12/10/2018 - 5:08pm Who's to say he already isn…

Who's to say he already isn't getting paid? I kid. I kid. 

12/06/2018 - 12:07am Beilein and Majerus are the…

Beilein and Majerus are the two with 33 games apiece. Removing Massimino from the list (15 games), everyone else played at least double the number of games (65, Jim Calhoun). They all also started at least two seeds on average higher than JB. Interesting trends. 

12/05/2018 - 6:59pm So if they study and fulfill…

So if they study and fulfill requirements, "it's fluff". And if they don't, "they don't come to study anyway"?

Got it. 

Your take is based on the data presented. That doesn't lessen their achievements though. They had to work towards it. 

12/04/2018 - 5:33pm Good summary. Thank you. Any…

Good summary. Thank you. Any way to see the S&P+ numbers to get little more insight? 

12/03/2018 - 7:26pm Saturday afternoon. :) 

Saturday afternoon. :) 

11/30/2018 - 1:01pm It doesn't. And that's my…

It doesn't. And that's my original point. There is no correlation, just because the R^2. 

11/29/2018 - 6:39pm Good work. You also realize…

Good work. You also realize that there is zero correlation between Football and Basketball defense and offense, right?  

http://www.tylervigen.com/spurious-correlations

11/28/2018 - 7:02pm - how can we get our QB…

- how can we get our QB healthy to the Game?

This is the conventional wisdom, but did the staff really do that? I would think their goal was to "just win this game as simply as possible" which led to as little risk to the QB as possible. 

11/28/2018 - 6:36pm Percentage wise, there was…

Percentage wise, there was more % of 5* on those lists compared to % of 3*. how about the % of 4* in that list? 

11/28/2018 - 3:47pm Your post is diary worthy in…

Your post is diary worthy in itself. Now it's getting clear as to what's happening to JH's teams and that he is showing the willingness to adapt to the changing landscape. Thanks for taking time to reply.

11/28/2018 - 3:11pm In other words, change with…

In other words, change with the game as it is unfolding. Or be very cruel to mercilessly exploit opponents' weakness. 

We can hope it will happen. We can hope.

11/28/2018 - 3:02pm So Michigan bought a Ferrari…

So Michigan bought a Ferrari. But they are still tinkering with the knobs and buttons and plodding along at 50 mph! Sigh. 

11/28/2018 - 1:35pm I have refused to watch any…

I have refused to watch any part of The Game from last saturday. But it seems to me from reading all the accounts (and watching the rest of the year), Michigan coaches are sometimes reluctant to utilize their shinier (or shiniest) weapons. Not sure what they see in practice. Not sure what they are thinking. It definitely boggles ones mind when everyone else is putting up video game numbers and Michigan is still trying to figure out how the controllers work. 

11/27/2018 - 11:27am On another note, regarding…

On another note, regarding the head-scratching personnel decisions like Ross-Gill; do you think the coaches are grading on different metrics compared to whatever the general public is seeing? I mean if a player grades out higher than another but gets less playing time, is that on scheme or something else?

Also why not devote half a practice session everyday for a year for one opponent? I know practice times are limited in NCAA. Still if other schools can do it, what stops Michigan from doing so? 

Thanks.

11/26/2018 - 5:56pm yeah, parity. Oh wait. 

yeah, parity. Oh wait. 

11/26/2018 - 3:18pm Thanks for the explanation…

Thanks for the explanation. How common is it for a team to self-scout for shortcomings? It sounds logical, but do the college teams have time/resources to do so? 

11/26/2018 - 11:53am Because half of those points…

Because half of those points came in "garbage time". :( 

11/26/2018 - 11:52am There is no word to console…

There is no word to console you. I just hope you find the strength to carry on. 

11/26/2018 - 11:21am I couldn't take the tension…

I couldn't take the tension so I left for a hike on top of a rock. My phone didn't get service, hence I was unaware of the carnage while spending time with family and friends. After a while I gathered the courage to ask my friend to check the score for me. 48-25 with 14 minutes to go. My heart sank. I don't think I have still recovered. 

I get it that there are some differences in athlete talents, number of talented players, injuries, and general bloody-mindedness. But why the team fails to prepare for the Game, year after year? To me it boils down to, if Purdues of the world can do it, why can't Michigan? Why not even a semblance of fight? As the saying goes, if one plays not-to-lose, they are unlikely to win. I guess somehow Michigan falls prey to that. 

In the big scheme of things a football game doesn't matter. In a day-to-day life, it pushes one down into the BPONE. Year after year.

Thanks for writing the column. I eagerly await for it every Sunday night, three months of the year. One of these years, we'll finish this weekend on a happy note. and Brian will write two UFRs that week. 

11/21/2018 - 10:55am May be the metric could be…

May be the metric could be 100% or 90% success rate in a season. That way a 9-0 or 8-1 season still gives them the credit they deserve.

11/21/2018 - 10:51am Great work. Thank you for…

Great work. Thank you for taking your time to do it. Another thing to look at would be the frequency of chunk plays. Did it go up or down post-Bosa? Did the plays generate more yards post-Bosa, ie, did 2,3,2 yd plays suddenly become 4,5,6 yd plays? What happened to the 3rd down conversion rate? 

For Red Zone tendencies, remove Rutgers, Tulane and MSU. Then the data shows a scary pattern. Every opponent save Oregon State scored at least 2 TD once they reached Red Zone. And OSU gives up Red Zone TDs at a 67% rate whole year. Their short yardage defense doesn't look good. 

11/15/2018 - 5:24pm Thank you. 

Thank you. 

11/15/2018 - 12:30am Nice stat. But given M's…

Nice stat. But given M's ranks in those two Duke games, M's loss would have been the bigger news. Wins are... just meh. 

11/13/2018 - 3:10pm As my 6 yr old puts it, "Dad…

As my 6 yr old puts it, "Dad, it's a movie. Why are you asking questions?" :) 

11/09/2018 - 5:22pm no need to think. Ask Sergei…

no need to think. Ask Sergei. 

11/09/2018 - 3:43pm While it sounds good, 2-5…

While it sounds good, 2-5 yard passes are also thrown into heavy traffic areas. Chances of batted balls, interceptions would go up in such cases. 

11/07/2018 - 4:16pm Brock Osweiler (Rd II though…

Brock Osweiler (Rd II though) and Jamarcus Russell come to mind.

11/07/2018 - 4:12pm Chris Howard? 

Chris Howard? 

11/01/2018 - 11:31am Is it possible that they are…

Is it possible that they are sandbagging it? Could it be that their playcalls would suddenly be great? All RPSs would be wins for them? WRs would suddenly catch everything thrown at them? 

I guess I am in the BPONE territory. :( 

10/31/2018 - 6:00pm Special Teams may create…

Special Teams may create some problem. Otherwise, PSU can be throttled. 

10/31/2018 - 2:54pm Thanks for taking the time…

Thanks for taking the time to gather all the data. How do these teams compare in terms of scoring drives? Do they score on most of the drives or only in a handful? For instance, a 2 play TD drive for 90 yards  would include a long play. A 16 play TD drive of 90 yards would achieve the same yds/point but different plays/point. Who is more efficient? Who kills more clock thus eliminating couple of chances for the opponent? 

10/30/2018 - 3:09pm Remember when UM beat MSU…

Remember when UM beat MSU six straight times after that Spartan Bob 60 mins and 1 second game? 

10/30/2018 - 11:25am That tells you more about…

That tells you more about the $84million man. Sometimes I wonder about the deals made by the front offices. I mean Texans are paying $72 million to a QB who they contracted two years ago, cut him in the 2017 off-season and now beat him when his new team came to town. SMH. 

10/29/2018 - 11:24pm Wimbush got his yards in…

Wimbush got his yards in chunks. 7 of his 12 completions came in the first three drives. So the assertion that chunk plays are the only way to move/score against the Michigan defense seems good. He caught the lightning in a bottle for the first three drives. Then poof. He turned into a pumpkin and got benched. 

McSorley is one of the most experienced B1G QBs. He also lost his great offensive coordinator from last year. I do not know how to include that in a statistical model. 

PSU scored 75 points in the fourth quarter, about half of that coming against Illinois. Michigan on the other hand has scored about 63 points in the fourth quarter, with 17 points against the badgers being the highest. Again, not sure how to account for this in a model. May be this is what the model is picking up as a PSU advantage in a low possession short game. 

I guess it will be to Michigan's benefit to score early score often and make it a game with many possessions to iron out any chance of a PSU win. 

10/26/2018 - 3:38pm Saw only the highlights. To…

Saw only the highlights. To me it looked like the game was pretty close through three quarters in spite of 21 - 6 scoreline. Only in the fourth could Purdue pull away. OSU had three PBU by the Purdue DB in the endzone or redzone. The final score is deceiving. 

10/26/2018 - 11:14am Any way to quantify your…

Any way to quantify your expectations before the season? Too much feelingsball. 

10/23/2018 - 1:08pm If Shea can pull a Vince…

If Shea can pull a Vince Young....

10/17/2018 - 10:49am That was my first year in…

That was my first year in Ann Arbor. Saw the Michigan-Purdue game at a friends' place. I still remember the Michigan Daily headline on Monday, "Drew Who?"

My Saturdays has not been the same since. 

10/16/2018 - 3:26pm Why does it matter whether…

Why does it matter whether they covered the spread? Is it a football game or just something so other people can bet on it?

10/16/2018 - 1:46pm Why am I seeing Michigan…

Why am I seeing Michigan State MBA and Engineering ads on MgoBlog? I have also seen Our Lady of the Lake University, Funeral Directors, Evolveair and Fanheads ads. Google's algorithm is seriously screwed up. 

10/16/2018 - 12:41am I thought that was 15, no?

I thought that was 15, no?

10/12/2018 - 10:57am most positive after the…

most positive after the Nebraska demolition at the Big House. 

10/11/2018 - 5:28pm CAution LIve aniMAls? 

CAution LIve aniMAls? 

10/10/2018 - 4:28pm Hopefully you are just a fan…

Hopefully you are just a fan and not a coach of the U of M football team. That's all. 

10/10/2018 - 3:07pm Google AdSense is showing me…

Google AdSense is showing me ads for "Furious Funeral Directors" embedded in your comment. mind blown!

10/10/2018 - 1:11pm That means you were not…

That means you were not athletic. :P

10/09/2018 - 1:57am Couple of interesting plays…

Couple of interesting plays from the Wisconsin game -> 

a. Threet finding an open receiver in the 3rd Q for easy 6-7 yds.

b. Brandon Minor running untouched after the OL caved in the DL for the second TD

c. Couple of Threet scrambles

d. Macguffie following the blocks for the fourth TD

 

Oh boy!