[Patrick Barron]

It's TCU Comment Count

Seth December 4th, 2022 at 1:30 PM

The playoffs are set: Michigan has to face a team that was a few freak plays and literally an inch away from being undefeated and a conference champion, with a legit Heisman candidate at QB and one of the most talented secondaries in the nation.

Georgia just has to face Ohio State.

Specifically #2 Michigan faces Max Duggan and #3 TCU in the Fiesta Bowl at 4PM EST (2PM local) on New Years Eve. #1 Georgia gets a virtual home game against the #4 Buckeyes in the Peach Bowl. Both top seeds should be favored, though the opening line for Michigan-TCU is 9 points. It was the correct matchup, but it's also a better draw. Going 13-0 and boatracing one of the other Playoff teams on their home turf has its advantages.

[After THE JUMP: What I know about Frogs]

So…the Frogs. Like Michigan they tend to start slow and then adjust in the 2nd half. In Michigan's case this meant tight games that became laughers by the early 4th quarter; in TCU's it was a parade of upset watches that they had to pull out of their asses. They survived a game-sealing 4th and 1 and scored 21 points in the 4th Q to beat Texas Tech, stopped a 4th & 4 to preserve a 28-24 win at WVU, rallied from 17 down to beat KSU the first time, beat Oklahoma State in overtime, and needed late scores and stands to finish one-score games against Kansas and SMU. While Michigan was playing with Illinois the Frogs needed to put together an 11-play, 90-yard drive, and a 9-play, 46-yard FG drive with no timeouts in the final 2:07 to beat Baylor by a point. TCU's horseshoe lasted through a huge comeback in the Big 12 championship, but ran out of mojo at the 1 yard line on two FB dives in overtime (the penultimate might have been an unreviewed TD).

Max Duggan only became the quarterback mid-season but he's got the proverbial dog in him. He is like the anti-Stroud. He loves to run even if he looks like Steven Threet when he's doing it. He stays up when he should be sacked, and is most dangerous when going to his 3rd or 5th reads. Receivers Quentin Johnson, Derius Davis, and Taye Barber are good complements, all guys with good speed and hands who get a lot of yards on comebacks.

Ohio State needed help to get in, notably USC losing to Utah in the Pac 12 championship, but they were the most deserving #4 since the next options were 2-loss Alabama whose best win was a game they should have by all rights lost at Texas, and 3-loss teams after that. Georgia has some small complaint about getting what seems a tougher opponent, but they also get them in Atlanta, and the Dogs had a very similar resume to Michigan, so this is really the only setup that made any kind of sense.

Comments

TESOE

December 4th, 2022 at 4:23 PM ^

No one mentioned how Aidan's brother died either. Hippa is the new standard unless Instagram info comes from the player. This is as it should be, and has little to do with submarine warfare.

MGoBlog didn't have betting posts in the day for that matter. 

schreibee

December 4th, 2022 at 2:46 PM ^

The only people who have said it was a meniscus procedure are the MgoDocs on this board. 

Similarly to the MgoLawyers here, they are positively passionate about engaging in long debates about potential outcomes of events for which they almost never have the actual particulars!

If you enjoy reading those treatises then by all means please do.

I skip right by them...

skatin@the_palace

December 4th, 2022 at 3:00 PM ^

Had a knee scope done during my freshman year of college ball. Mine was under much different circumstances than Corum, but I had surgery the the 23rd of December and was able to get to a healthy enough point to get into late January track workouts with the track team. I did have a torn MCL and they had to remove my medial meniscus and a healthy chunk of the lateral as well. So about 6 weeks all and all. That was with Pt every other day and facilities nowhere near what UM has. If it’s **JUST** a meniscus, not any other damage, he could very well be back. Alas we don’t have the details so I’d temper expectations and hope for availability in the NC. 

mackbru

December 4th, 2022 at 1:44 PM ^

I'd bet on Michigan, but TCU is very good and has a very solid shot at winning. Whereas Ohio has virtually no shot at beating Georgia in Georgia. So it's all house money for us.

Bill22

December 4th, 2022 at 2:00 PM ^

I don’t know about that.  Would it shock you if Ohio State beat Georgia?  It wouldn’t shock me.

Getting your ass kicked at home and STILL making the playoff is the most Ohio State thing ever.  Everyone on ESPN was giddy they made it.  The Committee decision to put them in changes College Football forever by rendering Michigan’s win a week ago meaningless.  That was probably going to happen anyway, with a 12 team playoff, but it’s still disappointing.

Bill22

December 4th, 2022 at 2:59 PM ^

Make no mistake, if Ohio State beat us by 22 at home the Playoff Committee would be looking for ANY reason to keep us out of the 4 spot.  Every talking head on ESPN/BTN/FOX would be saying, “they had their chance and lost,” “they didn’t play anyone in the non-conference.”

I do not think Michigan would have made the playoff if we lost to Ohio State.  Just my opinion.  32 years of watching Ohio State get the benefit of every doubt, has turned me into a salty bastard apparently.

DennisFranklinDaMan

December 4th, 2022 at 3:31 PM ^

I agree they might cite those specific reasons to keep us out. And, for my money, they'd have been right to do so. We played a pretty damned weak schedule (by our own choice), and if we had lost by 22 to Ohio State, I'm not sure what our argument would have been.

To the extent you're suggesting that the Committee would conspire against us to keep us out when we deserve to be in ... that's absurd. Michigan may well be the single biggest draw in college football (and if we're not, I'm not sure who is). Our games are on national TV every single week, and we draw crowds and sell tickets everywhere we play. For once and for all, there is no "conspiracy" to punish Michigan.

But it sure is fun to believe there is, isn't it? A sense of victimization and insistence on self-pity are powerful drugs. No wonder fans of other teams get tired of our whining.

Amaznbluedoc

December 4th, 2022 at 4:28 PM ^

Maybe we've been watching different clubs in different seasons and listening to different "commentators"?  But what I saw this year was a very underwhelming ohio club without a strong running game (injured primary back), weak secondary, average linebackers, who struggled against a lot of B10 teams they normally wipe out, including NW, MD, etc.  Yes, they have a solid QB and three NFL caliber WR, though we looked far better against PsU and a couple of other clubs than ohio did - just sayin' and what's their claim to SOS?  Beating a lost ND team early in the year?

The "commentators" have been downplaying M's success and making excuses all season for ohio's performances.  Fiasco at Ryan Field?  Windy conditions of course.  Meanwhile, M is playing in blizzard conditions at night against a chippy Nebraska and we dominated the game.  The "commentators" gave no credit for M's performance.

I would bet the farm that had the situations been reversed and ohio traveled to A2 and fed us a can of whoop a$$ we would have fallen out of the top 5, period.  No excuses, no rationales, nothing.  Quite candidly, ohio is being gifted and I hope GA exposes and destroys them as we did.  Maybe Day can add another "participation trophy" to his collection?

Mr Miggle

December 4th, 2022 at 3:02 PM ^

The Committee decision to put them in changes College Football forever by rendering Michigan’s win a week ago meaningless.

Wildly overstated even if you believe the world revolves around Michigan football. Trust me on this, Michigan beating OSU twice is a lot better than beating them once.

WeimyWoodson

December 4th, 2022 at 4:22 PM ^

This person is preaching the truth! I hate that OSU made it in. It basically erases everything that was done last week with Michigan crushing them. Allows OSU to keep pushing the high-level recruiting, salvage their season, and keep their top players practicing. 

While I know that Georgia could possibly end up rolling them, I would still give OSU a 50/50 shot of winning their playoff game. OSU is like cockroaches, always finding a way to survive. 

YoOoBoMoLloRoHo

December 4th, 2022 at 10:18 PM ^

Suspect the players & staff have a different view than the keyboard warriors. They’ve experienced the mauling and they’ve watched the plays in detail. They also know that many opponents outgained them the last 6 weeks.  
Deep down, the program knows a physical squad and a very good secondary like UGA is not a good matchup. 

frankiechops

December 4th, 2022 at 9:53 PM ^

I completely disagree that OSU is playing with house money. Day HAS to have a win...CJ Stroud HAS to have a win. This game against Georgia is absolutely a must-win for them. If they lose to Georgia, then all the same chatter coming out of Columbus will pick back up. OSU fans will continue to call for Ryan Day's head and continue to call CJ Stroud the softest QB they've ever had. In no way, are they playing with house money.

Hotel Putingrad

December 4th, 2022 at 1:50 PM ^

Hopefully we win and can enjoy a relaxing NYE nightcap of Georgia pummeling OSU.

TCU is your typical Big 12 team, with talented playmakers at the skill positions but not overpowering on either line. I think it'll be closer than most people expect, and a backdoor Moody cover wouldn't surprise me.

Regardless, the next three weeks of frenzied anticipation will be glorious. Go Blue 💙