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Date Title Body
11/13/2018 - 7:26pm Northwestern is ranked and…

Northwestern is ranked and now only 3 from the ACC.

11/13/2018 - 7:19pm This seems like an overly…

This seems like an overly simplistic way to measure strength of schedule.

The first problem is that it gives the SEC a distinct advantage over the other conferences. They play 4 non-conference games, while the others play 3. The extra game is almost always a cupcake, so their conference opponents have an extra .5 wins on average. 

The second is that the Big Ten is at a clear disadvantage as it plays far fewer FCS opponents than the other conferences. There was only one this season, a late scheduled replacement game for Nebraska. Weaker teams in other conferences have an easier way to pump up their records 

Third is counting games against teams at different levels the same. There's a substantial difference between playing a 6-6 Power 5 opponent, a 6-6 Sunbelt team and a 6-6 FCS team. There's a substantial difference between playing a 9-3 Power 5 team and a 3-9 Power 5 team. There's much less difference for a CFP contender between playing a 9-3 MAC team vs a 3-9 one.

I'm not suggesting an easy fix. I don't think there is any way using arithmetic to fairly measure strength of schedule. It's too complicated for that.

11/13/2018 - 5:03pm Sam Webb told a story more…

Sam Webb told a story more than once about an OSU commit who went after one of the counselors at the Opening camp and a Michigan recruit stepped in and challenged him.

The OSU commit was Grimes, the camp counselor was Jourdan Lewis and the Michigan recruit was Ambry Thomas.

 

11/13/2018 - 2:22pm I spoke to a friend of…

I spoke to a friend of Blackwell's some months ago. He said there was aminosity towards Hollis for the firing, but not Dantonio.

11/13/2018 - 12:48pm I think they had 15 commits…

I think they had 15 commits when Meyer was put on leave. That and the uncertainty that has followed slowed down their recruiting to a crawl.

11/13/2018 - 12:43pm Their Top 247 list now has…

Their Top 247 list now has Hinton at #104.

11/13/2018 - 10:43am It's not exactly a…

It's not exactly a disciplinary issue, but this just adds to the likelihood that Urban doesn't return and that OSU will be fine with that.

11/12/2018 - 7:41pm If Urban retired at the end…

If Urban retired at the end of a season, how likely is it OSU would hire Day to replace him?

11/12/2018 - 7:36pm Brohm is a hot commodity -…

Brohm is a hot commodity - for the Louisville job. If the USC job opens up he'd be a long shot candidate at best. Two .500 seasons at Purdue doesn't turn him into a contender for top jobs across the country.

If you're looking for a candidate from the Midwest, Matt Campbell is way ahead of Brohm. Iowa State is another very tough place to win at and he's gotten them ranked two years in a row. But USC and other high profile programs in the south and west aren't likely to hire a coach with no regional ties. 

 

11/12/2018 - 7:24pm Louisville has been much…

Louisville has been much closer than Purdue, so there's that. It's easier to recruit there, for various reasons. The administration is much more committed to winning.

Louisville is hard, but getting Purdue into the CFP would require a near miracle. Winning an easy division isn't getting you there. 

11/12/2018 - 12:42pm What's crazy is that class…

What's crazy is that class still wouldn't be ranked #1, maybe not even top 5. Alabama had the top ranked class 7 straight years, until 2018. They've had an unreal amount of talent.

11/12/2018 - 12:37pm 538 can give percentages on…

538 can give percentages on W-L records as well as anyone. Their predictions on who the committee will select are counter-intuitive, at least to me. They say a one loss OU is 4x more likely to make the playoffs than a one loss Bama. Also, that there is a fair chance OU jumps an undefeated Notre Dame.

I thinking they are grossly overestimating OU's chances with the committee. Their wins down this stretch have been the least convincing of any contender. The committee isn't going to use a mathematically based metric to make their picks and OU's horrible defense is going to weigh against them.

11/12/2018 - 12:18pm Weber was going to go to…

Weber was going to go to Michigan. He changed his mind on signing day after Higdon was offered and signed.

OSU held off their RB coach's announcement long enough to get Weber's signature. It was a crazy day for him.

11/12/2018 - 11:21am Harbaugh changed his…

Harbaugh changed his approach after getting a lot of criticism for pushing out commits in the 2016 class. I hope he continues to keep that to a minimum. Sometimes the "process" is the recruit looks at how much the class has changed. One only need look back at Mike Weber to see that. 

If Harrison and Karlaftis come on board, that's a dramatic change for the other DE commits. 

11/12/2018 - 11:04am It's strongly against both…

It's strongly against both Brohm's and Louisville's interests to drag things out. If he's taking that job, his first priority will be to put together their recruiting class and time will be short. That's especially true with the the early signing date. There will soon be fewer recruits to poach from other schools.

Not just Karlaftis, but everyone committed to Purdue and Louisville must be paying attention to coaching moves. Just because they originally wanted to sign in December can't mean much now. Louisville didn't fire Petrino now to be the last school to hire a new coach. It's going to get done in time for early enrollees.

11/12/2018 - 10:01am Yeah, your Harbaugh thread…

Yeah, your Harbaugh thread title was 1000x worse and deliberately so. This one merely offended the board police.

11/11/2018 - 10:09pm What do you have against…

What do you have against John Harbaugh?

11/11/2018 - 10:08pm Gene Smith should offer to…

Gene Smith should offer to make him the highest paid coach in the Big Ten.

That would take two rivalries to a level only seen in Hollywood, who'd be drooling over the prospect. As would ESPN, Fox, BTN. etc.  There's money to be made. The recruiting battles would be fun. What players wouldn't want to be part of that rivalry?

 

11/11/2018 - 4:10pm I'd fire my AD if did…

I'd fire my AD if did something like that. 

11/11/2018 - 3:18pm If he had called Ash "Mark",…

If he had called Ash "Mark", the MSU media would be sputtering in several different directions.

11/11/2018 - 1:44pm USC and FSU fans would throw…

USC and FSU fans would throw fits if their next coach came from Purdue, with no connections outside the midwest, let alone their schools and his only Power 5 experience was making Purdue respectable for Purdue.

11/11/2018 - 1:33pm Would Louisville let Purdue…

Would Louisville let Purdue outbid them? I think the bigger question is where Brohm would go if the money was equal. Considering his background, it's easy to believe Louisville is his dream job. If so, he's gone. Louisville is making sure he knows their job is open before he makes any other move.

If Purdue was willing to spend a lot to keep Brohm, they might have offered him a lucrative extension already. I think they missed what chance they had of keeping him. 

11/11/2018 - 1:21pm Agreed, not a lock, but…

Agreed, not a lock, but maybe close to one. If Brohm goes, he's taking his staff with him. Even if Purdue makes a good hire, he's got to hire a staff and then they have to build a relationship with Karlaftis. There won't be much time for that. And while Karlaftis is important, they will be scrambling to hold on to other recruits and fill out the class. More uncertainty for Karlaftis. He knows and likes the situation at Michigan. 

It's a bad sign for Purdue's chances that Karlaftis has already been seriously looking around in case of a coaching change. Realistically, if he knew what kind of season we would have, maybe he wouldn't have committed to Purdue in the first place.

11/11/2018 - 12:07pm He's not exactly committed…

He's not exactly committed to Purdue because of Brohm. He committed there because his parents work at Purdue, he lives there and because he liked what Brohm was doing. 

He wants to play for a good program and preferred to stay home if he could do both. I'd be much more surprised if he followed Brohm to Louisville, than if he stayed with Purdue and their new coach.

11/11/2018 - 6:59am No, of course not. But how…

No, of course not. But how is that not an insane scenario?

Milton's still got 2 more games to play. He's not on the precipice of burning his redshirt. You can call a timeout and Peters doesn't have to come out. You can go wildcat for one play.

11/10/2018 - 9:32pm How was that the plan when…

How was that the plan when Milton came in for two possessions and Peters only took one snap?

11/10/2018 - 7:39pm A lopsided win over…

A lopsided win over Northwestern would be the best possible boost to our resume in the CCG. Other than the opening loss at ND, the close call at NW is the only blemish people can point to now.

11/10/2018 - 7:33pm 5 potential games left. What…

5 potential games left. What's the likelihood of needing the 3rd string QB in 3 or more of them and not having McCaffrey back for the post-season? I don't think you coach worrying about long shot parlays, but if that all happens, then playing for the title is worth using up Milton's redshirt.

 

11/10/2018 - 7:01pm That's got to be it…

That's got to be it. Harbaugh said he knew who was #2. Peters was the logical choice and he put him in first. Leaving Peters in with the backup OL would be a risk, but he even had Milton run the ball once. There's just no way Milton's #2 on the depth chart.

11/10/2018 - 3:28pm I think the intentional…

I think the intentional safety was a good call. Asking their 3rd string punter to take a short drop with no time to roll out is also a losing proposition. He'd make a different call with a more experienced punter.

11/10/2018 - 3:24pm borderline?

I'd hate to see…

borderline?

I'd hate to see what the other side of that line looks like. Oh, that's coming up in a few minutes.

11/09/2018 - 6:06pm No, Gray committed shortly…

No, Gray committed shortly after Charbonnet. That was the lead in his commitment post.

11/09/2018 - 12:27pm Deloach's recruitment is the…

Deloach's recruitment is the most interesting story in this cycle. 

A recurring theme in these updates has been the positive relationships recruits cite with the current players and commits. It says a lot about this team and how Harbaugh and co. recruit. It also brought to mind a comment from a recruiting expert about how some players fit at OSU but not Michigan and vice-versa. He wasn't referring to skill sets, but how the atmospheres were much different.

11/09/2018 - 8:42am NC State was ranked exactly…

NC State was ranked exactly where they should have been - if they had convincingly won the WVU game that was cancelled.

11/09/2018 - 8:36am They got away with a pick on…

They got away with a pick on the next to last TD. It wasn't blatant enough that the ref had to call it. 

11/08/2018 - 8:11pm I think everyone was really…

I think everyone was really happy with the top half of that class, but I remember frequent criticism that we took Metellus and Gil only to get Bush and Dwumfour to help with Gary. I'm particularly glad to see those players contributing and ascending. They'll be even more important next season.

11/07/2018 - 9:40pm We can all think of lots of…

We can all think of lots of scenarios where the outcome is sub-optimal regardless of the system. Has a team that lost their last game made the playoffs so far? It seems right to me that they rarely, if ever, should.

 

11/07/2018 - 9:32pm Maybe those non-conference…

Maybe those non-conference games should have less impact. That's a return to the old days, when the big bowl games were mostly between conference champions. Those games still mean a fair amount, with a wildcard and byes up for grabs.

One thing I like about this proposal is that it gives schools more freedom to schedule who they like. Extra home games, traditional rivals, extra tough opponents, whatever. Too many of these playoff proposals force lots of change to make the system neater. This could actually get approved by the schools.

 

 

11/07/2018 - 5:49pm Don't forget that we could…

Don't forget that we could also beat Alabama in the semi-finals, then Notre Dame in the championship game. That's the perfect way to get revenge for an opening game loss.

11/07/2018 - 9:34am I don't think that's true.

I don't think that's true.

1. These transfers are getting into the database well before the December signing date. 

2. Coaches that prefer the transfer to a recruit will still take the transfer.

3. Coaches that prefer a recruit, but would take the transfer as a backup plan have a clearer idea of their recruiting class. While some will be full, some will have openings. That's much better for transfers than everyone either being full or uncertain.

4. Transfers can still wait until after the semester. They're just getting an extra opportunity.

 

11/07/2018 - 8:29am Of course they are allowed…

Of course they are allowed to complete the current semester. Dropping out would be insane unless you're going to a Juco. You have to maintain academic eligibility to transfer to another 4 year school.

11/07/2018 - 8:26am Yes, the December signing…

Yes, the December signing date has a hidden benefit for transfers. Schools will now have a clearer idea of their roster before the winter semester. That improves the options for transfers and they can still wait if they prefer.

11/06/2018 - 6:47pm It's official that he is…

It's official that he is transferring.

https://www.mlive.com/wolverines/index.ssf/2018/11/rb_kurt_taylor_transfers_out_o.html?utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter&utm_campaign=annarbornews_sf

11/06/2018 - 9:06am He was the OC at Kansas when…

He was the OC at Kansas when they played in the Orange Bowl. That team averaged 43 points a game. He interviewed for the Kansas job the last time it was open. If there is a Power 5 school that wants Warinner as their HC, it's Kansas.

Funny that you think he should be an OC instead, while citing that was the job he failed at in Columbus.

11/06/2018 - 8:04am That's a hire that would go…

That's a hire that would go over well in Columbus. Ash has built up quite the resume as a HC.

11/05/2018 - 8:43pm Two of those that followed…

Two of those that followed were from Bucknuts and 11 Warriors. They're likely to have their own sources. When CBs get flipped from a writer's home team, they are usually correct.

11/05/2018 - 5:23pm Harrison got to see OSU…

Harrison got to see OSU booed off the field at halftime.  Also good.

11/05/2018 - 5:22pm Gary was the consensus #1…

Gary was the consensus #1. That's rare and there was talk that he was the best prospect in several classes. So it's best not to compare other recruits to him and be disappointed.

11/05/2018 - 5:12pm The ref's call was announced…

The ref's call was announced as unsportsmanlike conduct on the Michigan bench. One of the refs ran into someone on the Michigan sideline. They missed Nordin's infraction.

11/05/2018 - 3:21pm You've got it backwards…

You've got it backwards. Lewerke completed 25%, not 52%. Hornibrook and McSorley wish they got close to 50%, even 40% would have been an improvement.