The Dueling OSU Narratives on the Board

Submitted by Hard-Baughlls on

So I see a bunch of griping / trolling on the board about how we can't and won't beat OSU or compete for championships because

1) They get all these 4 and 5 star recruits and simply out-talent us and

2) Urban Meyer is a genius college coach and his system is amazing and he is more accomplished than Harbaugh, etc, etc

The echo chamber on the recruiting front has gotten even louder this year, due to what appears to be an underwhelming incoming class (based on the sites/starz) and another apparently top 3 incoming class for OSU.  IE, I think the recency bias of this particular class is blinding people a bit regarding actual talent levels on the respective teams.

So my question for the board is, which narrative is true - because Meyer is either underachieving at OSU (I know- heresy to have such a thought), or the "talent gap" is simply not what the recruitniks would like to believe.

Nobody here is in to moral victories, but the facts, since Harbaugh took over, are that 

While UM is a brutal 0-3 against OSU....

In year 1 they were clearly out-classed all over the field by a team many considered the best in college football, despite a fluke loss to MSU in the rain. There was a clear talent gap, but hard to put it all on Harbaugh, given he only had 12 months to develop those players.

Harbaugh year 2, it would be fair to say that UM outplayed OSU for most of the game despite having an injured QB and horrible officiating going against them.

Harbaugh year 3, UM has a chance to win the game on a final drive, starting their 3rd string QB and playing underclassmen all over the field after having 8 players drafted to the NFL from the prior year.

Don't shoot me for not doing all the advanced analytics, but since taking over, UM under Harbaugh has only been completely out classed in 2 games.  OSU 2015 and PSU 2017 (revenge game under the lights)

Meyer, with despite a 2 year head start at OSU, has been blown out by Oklahoma and Iowa this year, and the Clemson playoff debacle last year.  It would seem to me that if this "talent gap" is as wide as the recruitniks are preaching, we'd have to say Meyer is underachieving with all these top rated classes - given they have just 1 B1G title in the past 3 years.  They should be dominating at BAMA levels.... Or

The "talent gap" as evidenced by the games on the field (both head to head and vs. similar competition) just isn't what some here keep preaching.

This isn't meant to be a snarky post, just curious as to which narrative will continue to be pushed, because either 1) Meyer is underachieving despite absurd talent and resources at his disposal (a narrative I see a lot of Bucknuts pushing)  or 2) The "talent gap" just isn't there and we've had some bad breaks the past couple years in terms of officiating and injuries at the QB position.

For the record, I think OSU has underachieved a bit the past few years but Meyer is still clearly one of the top coaches in college football.  Regarding UM, we've been incredibly unlucky in a few big games (MSU 2015 and OSU 2016) come to mind first, and the "talent gap" just isn't what many on here keep claiming.  

M-Dog

December 21st, 2017 at 3:03 PM ^

I gre up in PA and followed Penn State since the '70s.

Beware: Penn State is a sleeping giant.  

Paterno had that program sleep walking his last decade.  He did not even go visit recruits. 

Then came the sanctions.

But Penn State has advantages that Ohio State does . . . the only major program in a talent rich area - PA, NJ, MD/DC (no, Pitt and Maryland don't count).

Most people on this board have never seen a fully weaponized Penn State, but it is deadly.

We need to gain critical mass in the recruiting areas of NJ and MD/DC before they completely take off.

  

NRK

December 21st, 2017 at 6:41 PM ^

I agree Penn State can be a big threat, but I also think Franklin is overrated. His good streak coincided with Moorhead being OC. Maybe I’m reading too much into that, but watching them when Franklin took over did not impress me, and I use that as my “read” of what the team could be on the low end.

MW147

December 21st, 2017 at 2:48 PM ^

To me it is clearly the talent gap. I don't think Meyer has outcoached Harbaugh head to head, certainly the last 2 years. But talent won out (plus JT was short!). 

With our 2016 and 2017 top 10 recruiting classes becoming sophs and juniors, next season becomes the acid test. There may still be a talent gap, but it is not quite as large as it was before, and almost all of the key players on our team will have only played under Harbaugh and his assistants. 

The schedule is very tough but next season needs to be a special one. 

 

 

Brian Griese

December 21st, 2017 at 2:54 PM ^

if the they quit spotting OSU 30 points before the game even starts. In all but 4 of the last 14 games with them, OSU has scored 30 plus points. Before you give the “OSU has a great offense, no one stops them” response, let’s take a look at MSU since Mork showed up. Since 07 (9 games) they have given up 30 plus 3 times for a 33% ratio. Harbaugh is currently at 100% and Hoke was at a lovely 75%. Let’s go a step further: a Mork coached MSU team has kept them in single digits once, in the teens twice and in the 20-24 range once. Since 04, the absolute lowest OSU has scored against Michigan is 14. The second lowest is 21. Every single other game, OSU has scored 25 plus. That’s the problem.

StirredNotShaken

December 21st, 2017 at 2:59 PM ^

OSU has made the plays it needs to make on offense the past two years. If the defense could have got one or two critical stops the last two years we could have won both games. Everyone focuses on officiating last year and JOK this year. The reality is that our defense couldn't play consistently good for the whole game and let up big plays in crunch time.

FrankMurphy

December 21st, 2017 at 3:35 PM ^

The defense has most certainly NOT been the problem. The problem is that mediocre play on offense gave the defense zero margin of error. Have we forgotten that in 2016 Wilton Speight threw a pix six and another INT that gave OSU the ball in the red zone? That's 7 points that the defense didn't give up, and another 7 for which the offense carries most of the blame. We lost the game by 3. 

kevbo1

December 21st, 2017 at 2:54 PM ^

It's the reason why the Indianas and Iowas of the world can beat or put up a competitive game against UM and OSU. For as good as Meyer's record has been there, he only has one national championship, and that probably doesn't happen if Barrett doesn't get injured that year.

M-Dog

December 21st, 2017 at 2:57 PM ^

The "talent gap" we have with OSU is at QB. 

When we were dominating them in the '80s and '90s, we had better play at the QB position.  

We were trotting out Jim Harbaugh and Tom Brady and Drew Henson for The Game.  They were trotting out Kirk Herbstreit and Stanley Jackson and Steve Bellisari.

That shifted in their direction '00s.  

That's the gap we need to close.

 

JTGoBlue

December 21st, 2017 at 2:57 PM ^

We got screwed in OT last year, and almost pulled it off down 4 with the ball, 3 minutes left with a 3rd string QB. We are going to be fine in this game.

BoFlex

December 21st, 2017 at 3:16 PM ^

I really don't know how much weight to put into Harbaugh's last 2 games against Urban. Yes, they were both really close, and competitive, but it is a rivalry game and players are motivated to play beyond their normal limits.

Brady Hoke was able to coach 2 really competitive games against Urban as well, and one of them came within one failed 2-pt conversion of winning it.

Morelmushrooms

December 21st, 2017 at 3:17 PM ^

If its not obvious to people that OSU needed a couple of lucky breaks to win their last two games against us, then there is nothing more to say.  This conversation wouldnt exist if we had won the last 2 games against them, but then again they would find another team to compare us to and off we go.  Some people just like to bitch.

Maynard

December 21st, 2017 at 3:20 PM ^

Meyer is 72-8 at OSU. In 6 years he has lost 8 games! And won a national championship. Any use of the word underachieve when it comes to him or his tenure at OSU is not rational. It's an embarrassment.

Jesus, the way people here will twist themselves in pretzels to find a silver lining is amazing. I mean the guy has never even had a losing season. His worst season in 16 years is 8-5. I guess I just don't understand this constant need to figure out a way to pull him down on our way up. The facts don't line up with that. He is one of the greatest college football coaches of all-time and it isn't a close call.

BoFlex

December 21st, 2017 at 3:34 PM ^

If the debate is between Ohio State having elite talent OR elite coaching, I don't understand OP's point about why they have to be mutually exclusive...

There are plenty of coaches that show that elite coaching (i.e. Bill Synder, Mark Dantonio, Gary Patterson) nor elite recruiting (i.e. Les Miles, Mark Richt, Charlie Strong) by themselves are enough to build a truly elite program.

You need a mix of both to reach the pinnacle, and right now Nick Saban and Urban Meyer are the only 2 in college football that can boast about being consistently elite in both categories. Just because Urban Meyer isn't reaching the national championship game ever single season or has a bad loss sporadically doesn't mean he is "underachieving." The man has only lost 8 games in 6 seasons, and still has three national championships under this belt when most coaches would sell both kidneys just to have one.

matty blue

December 21st, 2017 at 3:40 PM ^

i see as absolute equals right now.  with, like two breaks (not even BIG breaks - tiny ones), harbaugh is 2-1 against those assholes.

it would not surprise me one bit to see us reel off 3 or 4 in a row.

NowTameInThe603

December 21st, 2017 at 3:52 PM ^

There are no moral victories. Dont be MSU.

The talant gap in classes this year is huge AND IT MATTERS. This is a RichRod class.

Next year is HUGE for the future of the program under Harbaugh. 

 

jblaze

December 21st, 2017 at 3:52 PM ^

Like any good coach in the NFL or CFB, Urban and Harbaugh have their own specific systems and target kids to play in those systems.

In his presser, Harbaugh lays out what he's looking for (smart, athletic, production, kids who value education...), while OSU recruits kids who are super talented and college ready from day 1, irrespective of their desire to get a good education. This works for their system.

I guess the question for recruitniks and people who think the sky is falling is this: How many head-to-head battles has Harbaugh lost to Urban on the recruiting trail (e.g. Mike Weber). How many has he won (Gary, Peppers)?

 

Bob_Timberlake

December 21st, 2017 at 3:56 PM ^

drunken Walmarters are full of excuses and wishful hopes for the future. The next two years are going to make or break the Harbaugh era. Let's let it playout and stop the shoulda, coulda, gonna BS. And, yes I've been a fan since the mid-1960's.

BlueMan80

December 21st, 2017 at 3:57 PM ^

We had a talent gap which Harbaugh has done a pretty good job of closing.  We have enough talent to win.  We were competitive with a third string QB and young receivers this year.  Last year, well, we've all beaten that horse enough.  It would be great to get to the OSU game with a healthy, jr/sr QB which is something we've rarely done in the past decade.  We also need guys to step up and make some plays.  They just need the confidence and maturity to get there.  I think the confidence is now there, especially on the defensive side of the ball.  We are working on the maturity part.

Tuebor

December 21st, 2017 at 4:41 PM ^

1 national championship, 2 big ten championships, and 6 division championships in 6 years is not what I'd characterize as "underachieving".  

diji1994

December 21st, 2017 at 5:08 PM ^

I disagree that these are the only two possibilities Meter is not underachieving at OSU. His teams are rightfully in the playoff discussion every year. I’m not sure how he could be underachieving when he just won a natty a couple years ago with a third string QB. Had Harbaugh done the same with his 3rd string QB we would have been ecstatic. The talent gap, although it may be shrinking a bit, is still considerable. This is evident because we keep referring to Speight and Peters’ injuries this year and last as ‘bad breaks’, yet JT Barret has been knocked out of two Michigan games and OSU won both games. This year OSU’s backup QB (Haskins) was better than all of the QBs on Michigan’s roster. They have truly built a ‘next man up’ roster; Michigan is not there yet. Michigan certainly has tons of talent on the roster but the talent disparity is glaring along the o-line and at QB.