Michigan 5th in initial CFP poll

Submitted by Bambi on October 30th, 2018 at 7:17 PM

1 Bama

2 Clemson

3 LSU

4 ND

5 Michigan

6 Georgia

7 OU

10 OSU

UWSBlue

October 30th, 2018 at 7:42 PM ^

Due to the annual southern bias, I don't see Bama or Clemson dropping out even with a loss. We need LSU or ND to lose and even then will need to hold off Georgia, again because of the bias.

Mongo

October 30th, 2018 at 7:47 PM ^

Bama taking down both LSU and UGA is important.  ND needs to remain unbeaten to solidify our schedule resume.  UM needs to win out as B1G champ.  That should put us in as #4 ahead of Oklahoma.

On a mission this year.  Strap it on and let's find out.  Go Blue !!!

 

Jack Hammer

October 30th, 2018 at 7:47 PM ^

Hi.  How about the SEC go fuck themselves.  This process is stupid.  Conference title needs to be prerequisite for a shot.  (Sorry Irish - get on board.) Period.  Thanks!

 

ehatch

October 30th, 2018 at 7:48 PM ^

If Alabama loses Saturday, I have a hard time swallowing them still getting in the Top 4. They would have a whopping 2 wins in the Top 25, everyone else under consideration would have at least 3. I will be rooting against Mississippi St and Texas A&M to get that number to zero. The bigger issue would be if they beat LSU then lost to 1-loss Georgia in the SEC championship game. 

steeltownblue

October 30th, 2018 at 7:55 PM ^

I am so impressed with this team, players and coaches.  I didn't have lofty expectations, especially after the first week.  I know there is a lot left to accomplish, but damn is it nice to be part of the conversation.

kevbo1

October 30th, 2018 at 7:59 PM ^

Let's see how many SEC teams we can cram in the top 25 so we don't have to drop them in the rankings when they lose.

Swayze Howell Sheen

October 30th, 2018 at 8:24 PM ^

SEC is just being propped up by one program right now: Alabama. When Saban retires, all this SEC horseshit will go away, because many of their coaches are down-right awful (Coach O being one good example).

 

FLwolvfan22

October 30th, 2018 at 8:29 PM ^

We don't need to win in a squeaker over Penn State, we need to run it up, style points like Clemson has been doing with their weak@ss schedule, run it up!

HarleyMarlboro

October 30th, 2018 at 8:33 PM ^

I was expecting us to be #6, so this is good. We are definitely in a “win out and we’re in” spot. Even with all the Alabama love, there’s no way a 12-1 big ten champ I kept out unless the Other power 5 champs are all undefeated. Especially if that 12-1 champ comes from the Big 10 east with 0 conference losses. 

The SEC bias is alive and well, but we are in excellent shape to be in the top 4 if we win out. 

Go Blue!

CC_MFan

October 30th, 2018 at 8:35 PM ^

What exactly does the committee see in Alabama and Clemson;'s record thus far to have them over Notre Dame?  Notre Dame's resume is much better.  I know that ND hasn't looked very impressive in most of their games, but they are still undefeated.  Clemson's schedule is a joke and Alabama's has been as well, up to this  point.  

Arb lover

October 30th, 2018 at 8:52 PM ^

Notre Dame has won some close games. I think the metric they are looking at is more akin to points scored vs allowed, but it translates the same. Clemson and Alabama are at a 3.0 vs P5. Notre Dame is at 1.77. That is a big difference. 

Or we could list the people on the 13 member committee with ACC or SEC ties

1) Rob Mullens, Chair, (SEC)(ACC)

2) Bobby Johnson (SEC) (ACC)

3) Ken Hattfield (SEC)(ACC)

4) Frank Beamer (ACC)

5) Todd Stansbury (ACC)

6) Scott Stricklin (SEC)

Then we have

2 PAC-12

1 Big-12

1 MAC

1 C-USA

1 MWC

1 B1G and Notre Dame (Gene Smith-OSU), so the lone "B1G" rep hates Michigan's guts with a passion.

Also full disclosure a member of the committee went to school at Michigan in like 1970 (Herb Deromedi) but didn't play or coach there and spent decades coaching at Central. 

 

 

Michigan4Life

October 31st, 2018 at 12:32 AM ^

Both passed the eye test and are superior team over ND. They have a bunch of NFL players on the team especially Alabama who has it in spades.

The committee are using a combo of eye/resume test. Plus Football Outsiders F+/- rankings has Bama and Clemson as top 2 team in the country

umich1

October 30th, 2018 at 8:37 PM ^

If Michigan beats Penn State, beats Ohio State, and wins the Big Ten championship, then I won’t give two shits about these rankings.  This Michigan team will have already accomplished more than the last 20.

That said, anybody that thinks there is a snowball’s chance in hell that Michigan is left out of the playoff in that scenario, doesn’t understand just how difficult the remaining schedule is.  Penn State is no slouch, but Michigan has not beat Ohio State in the Shoe since 2000.  Please take a moment to think about what your life was like 18 years ago.

That said, I remember that game sealing 4th and 1 Henson bootleg touchdown like it was yesterday.  Would love to feel that feeling again.

https://youtu.be/zIPjYb3n78g

goblue12

October 30th, 2018 at 9:09 PM ^

Would the committee put a 1 loss Alabama (non conference champion)  over a 1 loss B1G Champion Michigan? Both with losses on the road to top 3 teams. Not to be a homer but to me this is a no brainer. 

If the committee cares about such metrics as SOS, conference championship, and overall trend (loss in week 1 vs. loss in week 10) then Michigan has the edge. If they are going based on the proverbial "eye test" then Alabama might be favored. 

All this is interesting, although the only thing that matters right now is Penn State. 

Durham Blue

October 30th, 2018 at 10:19 PM ^

I think we need Alabama to play a close game against a difficult opponent to simmer down the ESPN pundits.  I think it'll happen this weekend.  That 14.5 point spread is ridiculous.  LSU will keep it close and probably have a chance to win late in the 4th quarter.  I won't say LSU will win but at least it'll make Alabama mortal again.