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Date Title Body
11/16/2018 - 6:45pm FYI, Indiana is getting ~…

FYI, Indiana is getting ~+3ppg in turnover luck according to S&P

 

11/08/2018 - 6:07pm Lighten up, Francis

Lighten up, Francis

11/05/2018 - 1:58pm The targeting reversal was…

The targeting reversal was the correct call by the rule, but that is what makes it such a bad rule. Compare Metellus ejection vs Notre Dame. He leads with his shoulder to a guy falling to the ground happening to hit his head. A legit targeting call, but if the guy is running straight up he hits him in the waist. While the PSU guy jumps 2-3 feet in the air leading with his head and was fortunate not to hit him in the head. It was clearly a dangerous play that 100% should be illegal especially compared to the Metellus ejection. 

I understand not wanting to infer intent, especially with the incompetent boobs we currently have in stripes, but this rule needs to be changed -- especially given the consequences. 

11/02/2018 - 2:40pm Punting has me a little…

Punting has me a little nervous. Hart's been kicking the cover off the ball, but giving up some return yardage. I would be perfectly okay with 35 yard punts and no returns with Hamler back there. The other solution: Don't punt, score on every possession. 

11/01/2018 - 2:05pm He left one year too late if…

He left one year too late if you ask me. 

10/30/2018 - 7:48pm If Alabama loses Saturday, I…

If Alabama loses Saturday, I have a hard time swallowing them still getting in the Top 4. They would have a whopping 2 wins in the Top 25, everyone else under consideration would have at least 3. I will be rooting against Mississippi St and Texas A&M to get that number to zero. The bigger issue would be if they beat LSU then lost to 1-loss Georgia in the SEC championship game. 

10/30/2018 - 7:28pm The committee LOVES the ACC …

The committee LOVES the ACC -- Syracuse 19, NC State 21, BC 22, Virginia 25. All these teams are in the 30s or lower in the S&P (i.e. roughly equivalent to MSU).

10/30/2018 - 5:01pm I went to Testudo Times to…

I went to Testudo Times to see what the Maryland fan reaction was. It was surprisingly in favor of Durkin's reinstatement. The reactions ranged from F the media and their witch hunt to I'm not sure this is the right decision, but I support it. One thing was clear they really really hate their president, Loh. Some of the reactions were along the lines of if Loh wanted him fired then it was the right decision to bring DJ back. 

My personal reaction is disgust. Can we please leave the B1G? Swap with Notre Dame, Brian Kelly would fit right in the B1G East. 

10/29/2018 - 2:37pm I haven't seen much PSU, but…

I haven't seen much PSU, but McSorley is great with his legs, and his arm can beat you if he is on (but that seems to be happening less this year). Sanders is a very good running back, but the O-Line is still average to below average. 

I went and looked at PSU's S&P ratings and the only spot they have an advantage is on Passing Downs when UM has the ball. The PSU run game vs our run D is even with an edge to Michigan. Our Pass offense vs their defense is also pretty even. However our Run offense and Pass defense are heavily in favor of Michigan. 

10/15/2018 - 2:42pm I don't think the DTs played…

I don't think the DTs played that poorly. It felt like all of Taylor's runs were him dragging people for 5-10 yards after they hit him. I don't blame the jet sweeps on the DTs, and they only gave up one gashing run -- the 23 yarder. Thank you Chryst for just dreadful decision making. I hope they slip up again, because I would rather not face them again in Indianapolis, because a version of Taylor getting 30+ carries is terrifying.

10/15/2018 - 2:04pm Asking for BPONE comments…

Asking for BPONE comments. Ok, I'll bite:

Dantonio is 10-0 ATS vs Michigan, i.e. MSU always plays better than expected. 

In the two road games so far this year, Michigan has come out flat. Flatter than flat. Both Northwestern and Notre Dame jumped out to big leads in the first 20 minutes. A theme throughout Harbaugh's tenure (and Hoke's, and RR's).  

If UM can survive the first 20 minutes, tied or with the lead then UM has an excellent chance at winning.

Non-BPONE take: There isn't a single player on MSU's roster that I would take over Michigan's player. Bachie is great but I wouldn't trade him for Bush, if I could put him in place of Gil/Ross, I would, but that's it. 

10/09/2018 - 4:08pm I was a little confused…

I was a little confused because Collins had run back to the locker room only minutes earlier. According to the announcers he was going for a concussion test. Then DPJ was hit, and they administered the test on the sideline. I assume the announcers were wrong (shocking!) and he really didn't go back to the locker room for a concussion test, otherwise, why hold the same test in two different locations?

10/09/2018 - 12:13pm Thanks, Ace. Best of luck to…

Thanks, Ace. Best of luck to you. We'll miss you around here. Though it will be amusing to listen to Brian pronounce names. 

10/02/2018 - 5:05pm Definitely Akron. I felt…

Definitely Akron. I felt better after some losses. That game was a disaster. 

10/01/2018 - 7:54pm I just looked at the 1st…

I just looked at the 1st quarter vs the other quarters under Harbaugh

On the road

1st Quarter: 13.75 ppg / 16.75 ppg against

2nd -4th Quarter: 32.9 ppg / 21.1 ppg against

 

At Home vs Power 5 and BYU:

1st Quarter: 33.2 ppg / 10.6 ppg against

2nd - 4th Quarter: 31 ppg /14.5 ppg against.

 

Neutral Site (sample size =4)

1st Quarter: 26 ppg / 27 ppg against

2nd - 4th Quarter: 33 ppg / 18.7 ppg against

 

After the 1st Quarter, Michigan is relatively invariant on location scoring ~33 points per game. The question is why are we getting such poor starts on the road?

10/01/2018 - 7:33pm I watched the OSU-PSU game…

I watched the OSU-PSU game with an OSU fan. He complained about Meyer the whole time. "Oh look another read-option." Sample size=1 says yes they do. 

09/25/2018 - 5:40pm Thanks to these posts, I…

Thanks to these posts, I recognized the play as Down G immediately when watching it originally. It is also the play where I realized how bad Nebraska was -- ignoring the LBs, the entire secondary took horrendous angles turning a 10 yard gain into a TD. 

09/18/2018 - 5:22pm If we are going to contract,…

If we are going to contract, I'd start with PSU, MSU and OSU. They can go start a conference with Baylor. 

09/17/2018 - 2:39pm Brian, I can assure you that…

Brian, I can assure you that game sucked even watching from home. A billion (bogus) penalties, reviews, injuries made the game near unwatchable. College football is becoming borderline unwatchable (I stopped watching the NFL years ago, because it was unwatchable, but College always had the advantage of multiple games/channels so I could always just find a different game during a commercial break). Later I was watching other games, one had a review for targeting, then commercial, another had an injury then commercial, this was during or shortly after TCU's meltdown, so I just turned off the TV and went to bed, wondering why I watch the sport. 

04/25/2018 - 11:48am I was going to say the same

I was going to say the same thing. Highly underrated park. 

04/10/2018 - 1:24pm "Even the wildly

"Even the wildly unpredictable NCAA shouldn't be able to screw this up."

 

I never ever doubt the ability of the NCAA to screw something up. The next time they get something right will be their first. 

 

 

03/29/2018 - 4:09pm Sounds like us, since we are

Sounds like us, since we are paying $375K to drop them.

03/23/2018 - 1:23pm I looked at expected wins,

I looked at expected wins, SEC comes in at 8.5 (so a little under their expectation), ACC is 12.3, Big XII is 8.4 and B1G at 6.7 (both already over achieved)

03/09/2018 - 2:15pm I am 100% prepared and

I am 100% prepared and expecting that we will be a #4 seed in Boise. I will be okay with that as long as the 1-seed is Xavier (and the 5-seed isn't some under-seeded team like a Wichita St). I also expect MSU to be ahead of on the seed line, despite not making any sense (they are ahead of us in just about every computer (and human) poll I've seen -- Media, coaches, Kenpom, BPI, Sagarin all have MSU higher).

03/07/2018 - 4:41pm FYI, NC State just lost,

FYI, NC State just lost, which is a PSU opponent and PSU has dropped to #78. Really need some of those teams on the 75 bubble to lose. 

03/05/2018 - 12:46pm PSU fell to number 76.

PSU fell to number 76. Immediately in front of them: Utah Valley, UNCG (whatever that is), and Charleston. We are rooting against them. 

12/20/2017 - 6:58pm I don't think so -- she swam

I don't think so -- she swam 4 years at UVM. I'm not sure of the NCAA intricacies, but I thought you could get a 5th year of eligibility if it is in a different sport.  

12/20/2017 - 4:25pm This is bad news. My wife has

This is bad news. My wife has a bone bruise -- it occured in April and it is still bothering her. If that is any indication, it might linger for the rest of the year. It might be a situation that it depends on how much pain he is willing to tolerate. 

12/19/2017 - 11:48am No he is doing I-U

No he is doing I-U

12/18/2017 - 5:54pm Predicting a win at the Trohl

Predicting a win at the Trohl Center seems optimistic. I will believe in victories @ Wisconsin (and Iowa, OSU and Indiana) only after the games end. Those 4 places are horror shows for Michigan, regardless of how bad the teams are. (Thankfully we don't play @ IU this year).

11/22/2017 - 1:17pm The Borg also adjust very

The Borg also adjust very quickly, so Michigan needs to constantly switch up its defenses

4-3 Under

4-2-5

3-3-5 Stack

Quarters Coverage

Cover 2

Double Eagle Bear Front

Same thing on offense:

Triple Option

Air Raid

West Coast Offense

Spread

Manball

Flexbone

11/22/2017 - 11:55am Hurst vs Price sounds like an

Hurst vs Price sounds like an epic battle.

Will we play more Cover 2, given A) Iowa and B) prevent the JT scramble (which we've had problems with at times)?

11/21/2017 - 1:07pm I'd say we are on or ahead of

I'd say we are on or ahead of schedule everywhere but Offensive Line, where we are way behind schedule. It is enough to offset the good, fix the OL and we'll be ahead of schedule.

11/16/2017 - 12:30pm For the season rankings, a 50

For the season rankings, a 50 is average. Average is a combination of my expectations and goals. My expectation for the season was 9-3, splitting the Big 4 (FLA/PSU/WIS/OSU) and losing one we shouldn't. My goals are 10 wins + wins over MSU and OSU.

So in my eyes the season has been more or less average, we have split the big 4 and lost one we shouldn't (MSU). Florida shitting the bed hasn't helped, but OSU losing @ Iowa, giving us a sliver of hope for a B1G championship bumps it back up.

The next two games are (obviously) make it or break it. Lose both and none of my goals are accomplished, and my expectations aren't met. Probably end up with a season score of 25 (or less). Beat Wisconsin and we can still win 10 games, even if we lose to OSU. I would probably give that a 50 or so (losing to both rivals sucks). Lose to Wisconsin and Beat OSU, would be very good around a 75. Win them both and the season score is about a 90ish.[A 100 is reserved for National Championships onl]

Game scores are purely feelingsball.

11/02/2017 - 1:20pm Don Brown interviews are the

Don Brown interviews are the best interviews.

11/02/2017 - 12:33pm I'd be okay with a 13-0

I'd be okay with a 13-0 Wisconsin team getting left out -- that schedule is a travesty. Otherwise lets go out and schedule the worst teams we can find. 

11/01/2017 - 4:44pm My hope every season is 10

My hope every season is 10 wins, including wins vs OSU, MSU and ND*.

This season I expected 9-3, splitting the big four (FLA/PSU/WIS/OSU) and losing one we shouldn't. We are right on track for that. Yes it sucks that the one we shouldn't was to MSU, but it is clear that Dantonio renewed is contract with the devil to get all the luck in that game.

Win the minnows and split the Wisconsin/OSU games and it will be what I expected. I'd like the OSU to at least get to one of my goals.

 

*When we play them

 

11/01/2017 - 4:30pm It has been 15+ years since I

It has been 15+ years since I had a burger from McDonald's and it was completely inedible, but at least they have decent fries and breakfast menu. Burger King on the other hand has nothing edible there. Wendy's is tolerable, and I get a craving for the Baconator once a year/every other year. I love In-N-Out burgers but their fries suck. Everything sucks at 5 guys. For a burger I prefer the regional chains such as SmashBurger or Burger Me.

I'm a big fan of Chipotle/Qdoba or Baja Fresh. [Taco Bell and Del Taco are gross, especially sober].

I don't mind Subway, but it has definitely gone downhill over the 20+ years I've eaten there. I wish there were a Potbelly's near me because that is the best sandwich chain. Wich wich is decent as well. I'm always disappointed with Jimmy Johns.

I went to Chik-Fil-A once. I won't be going back.

10/23/2017 - 12:44pm Does this mean we don't have

Does this mean we don't have to play Wisconsin @ night?

10/23/2017 - 12:35pm Ha! I now have a mattress

Ha! I now have a mattress shopping online banner ad after reading this. Well Done!

10/17/2017 - 7:49pm Best Win By Year

Best Win By Year (based on S&P+ Rank)

2008 - Wisconsin #33

2009 - Notre Dame #27

2010 - Notre Dame #7

2011 - Notre Dame #11

2012 - MSU #15

2013 - Indiana #30

2014 - Penn State #47

2015 - Minnesota #26

2016 - Penn State #8

2017 - Indiana #44

Other Top 25 Wins - Nebraska (2011, #19); Wisconsin (2016, #11); Colorado (2016, #18)

The best win by S&P standards was a road win over an 8-5 Notre Dame team.

10/10/2017 - 1:34pm OT isn't going to get better

OT isn't going to get better this year. Or next year.

QB play will be erratic.

Where I think we can get better immediately is play-calling. It has been atrocious this year. Get rid of the fade, because we don't have a QB who can throw it (Peters probably can, but he needs to play first). I'd like to see more smoke screens to DPJ (instead of Crawford), he is much more explosive, and can turn 3-5 yard gains into 15-20 by making one guy miss. Don't throw the ball in a monsoon. I am fairly convinced that if we don't throw the ball once the rain started we win that game.  

10/05/2017 - 12:42pm It was a hell of catch. So at

It was a hell of catch. So at least we didn't have to sit through a 10 minute review of was that a fumble or incomplete pass.

10/02/2017 - 7:26pm Talk about...
Talk

Talk about...

Talk about...

 

I wish there were more MGoQuestions. Though Harbaugh seemed tight lipped today, not sure we would have gotten any useful information.

09/26/2017 - 12:47pm For most of the year, I have

For most of the year, I have thought that Speight hasn't been playing well, but was our best option because he wasn't making poor decisions.I was willing to live with the inaccuracy if he made the right decision with the ball. The highlighted play is the exact moment where I realized Speight was broken -- he panics before he even gets pressure on that play. He has been playing scared, afraid to throw to open receivers, afraid of the pressure that may or may not come (and yes with the OL play it has been a justified fear). His greatest asset last year was his pocket presence, with that apparently gone, I think it is time to try someone else.

 

09/03/2017 - 1:06pm CB -- It was about what I

CB -- It was about what I expected based on the previews and coaches comments. They have a ton of talent and they made some good plays and some not so good plays, but way more good than bad. We will play better passing teams than a team with no QB and #1 receiver suspended. 

RT -- Ulizio was rough, really rough. The good news is that he won't play anyone that talented until probably Wisconsin. He has many games to improve. 

09/01/2017 - 4:34pm Position Switch, didn't Drake

Position Switch, didn't Drake Harris switch from WR to CB as well? I would take that as a negative as well.

09/01/2017 - 1:46pm You are more optimistic than

You are more optimistic than I am, Brian.

Onwenu > Kalis -- Onwenu was behind Kalis last year, otherwise he would have played. I think he might get up to == but as bad as Kalis could be at times, he was still a solid OL if not good.

No Wildcat Package > Burning Snaps on that -- I read this as No Peppers > Peppers. I just can't get behind that. Sure the RPS at the end of the year was highly negative, but Peppers was pretty darn good.

Black/DPJ >  Chesson. The whole offseason has been spent telling us even the best Frosh WR are mediocre. I think they will be hard pressed to match his production much less his blocking ability.

Crawford == Darboh. I would say Crawford == Chesson.

Other than that, great preview Brian. I do think the running game takes a major step forward (passing game probably a step back).

08/23/2017 - 1:39pm For double secret bonus, I'll

For double secret bonus, I'll say Anthony Carter.

 

Top 10 finishes:

AC (I think Herschel Walker was one of the winners)

Peppers

Jaime Morris?

Leach?

Braylon Edwards?

Others -- I am bad at this one (not that I am good at any of these, but I just never follow the Heisman).

08/11/2017 - 7:35pm This one is concerning. We

This one is concerning. We know our DL is going to be good, I would rather see something that they are equal, this might be a mild way of saying our OL is not good:

Michigan obviously has a ton to replace on D, but group up front has really impressed today. Appear to be ahead of OL.

— Dave Revsine (@BTNDaveRevsine) August 11, 2017