Hey guy I think you dropped your wallet. [Patrick Barron]

Upon Further Review 2022: Defense vs Hawai'i Comment Count

Seth September 13th, 2022 at 2:09 PM

Help, what are all these words? The UFR Glossary. Addition: "PRO" in the Type column is "pass-read option," to help me differentiate an RPO that goes with the pass option.

Okie Dokie: Eyabi Anoma is now Eyabi Okie. Please update the phonebooks.

Substitution Notes: Starting to see tiers. Tier 1 (the starters) is Smith/Jenkins/Graham, Morris/Harrell, Colson/Barrett, Turner/Sainristil/Green, and Moore/Moten. Tier 1.5 is Upshaw and Paige—vets they trust who rotate behind the starters.Tier 2 are kids they're trying to get up to speed but will trust when the starters need a breather: Benny, McGregor, Mullings, and Johnson. Rooks, Eyabi Okie (formerly Anoma)/D.Moore, and Rolder are another tier down of kids they're trying to get snaps but maybe don't trust yet, though Okie was on the field much earlier. Everyone else is deep bench.

Formation Notes: Michigan amoeba'd. I noted the personnel then the formation which might not match it at all. This 5-1 odd front has Barrett as the edge at the top.

image

Yada yada. Hawai'i was mostly 11 personnel spread with a TE flexed out like above.

[After THE JUMP: I made my wife stay through all of this, so I might as well chart it.]

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Ln Dn Dst OForm DPack Front Hi Type Rush Play Player Yds EPA
O25 1st 10 Gun Wk 4-2-5 Nk Odd 1 fld RPO   IZ/Fly Morris 1 -0.59
Their version of Inside Zone is really Split Zone but the TE just kicks the backside instead of crossing the formation. Smith(-1) beat back by a double that gets down to Colson but Morris(+2) and Jenkins(+1) put their OL deep in the backfield, with Morris's RT bumping into the RB. He's trapped and falls for one where Mazi was. Sainristil(+0.5, RPS+1) aligned inside a slot who couldn't get to him and made sure there was no bounce, and Moten was also in the box so this wasn't getting far if blocked well.
O26 2nd 9 Gun Wk 4-2-5 Nk Over 2 fld Run   F Insert Morris 2 -0.27
Bows don't block Morris and Smith(+1) swims through the same combo to take out the iso blocker because M is running a Rutgers Stunt 4-3 at this (RPS+2). Harrell(-1) flipped with Jenkins but didn't dive in so there's a 2-yard forward fall instead of a TFL.
O28 3rd 7 Gun Wk Demi 4-2-5 Nk Split A 2 fld Pass 5 Sack Harrell Inc -0.27
Very cool blitz (RPS+2, PR+2) where Colson blindsides the LT and Harrell loops inside for a free run. Smith(+1) split a double so nowhere to go, Harrell(+1) runs by the RB and hits the QB so his throw goes out sideways. M was in a rat zone behind it and it looked like the out was open under Green but can't grade that. Also ball went backwards and should be a sack for Harrell (refs-1).
Drive Notes: Punt. 0-0. 13 min 1st Q. Jesse Minter was the MVP of this drive.
Ln Dn Dst OForm DPack Front Hi Type Rush Play Player Yds EPA
O25 1st 10 Gun Str 4-2-5 Nk Under 1 fld RPO   SZ/Slant Mullings 0 -0.70
Upshaw(+1, tackling-1) beat the crossing TE but can't bring Parson down. Jenkins(+1) also came through his G. Mullings(-1) is hanging inside where this guy is dead and McGregor(-2) gambles he can beat the RT for a TFL and misses. Looks dangerous for a second but Sainristil(+2, tackling+1) beat the slot to set a new edge and hops inside to stop Parson with no YAC.
O25 2nd 10 Gun Wk 4-2-5 Nk Split 1 fld Pass 4 Stop Green Inc -0.35
Safeties at 6 and 7 yards from LOS showing cover 0 then Moore backs out and Moten shows blitz at 6 seconds left. He comes and they drop McGregor but it's picked up, with Upshaw(-1, PR-1) stoned by the TE. Yellin (hat+1) throws it way high over a WR that Green(+1, cov+1) had blanketed. Got away with a little grab but they're both just standing there as the ball's in the air.
O25 3rd 10 Gun Trips RB 4-2-5 335 Wide 1 off Pass 4 Shallow Cross Moten 2 -0.11
Amoeba front with Harrell and Colson threatening blitzes between wide 30-front splits. Moore backs out for a Cov1 look. Moore(+1, PR+1) beats the RT. Moten was hanging off the edge in blitz and is chasing a crossing TE (cov-1, RPS-1) that should have 2 steps on him, but it's a Hawai'i and Moten(+2, tackling+1) brings down for no gain after almost losing him.
Drive Notes: Punt. 7-0. 12 min 1st Q. M gets a sideline interference on the punt, not sure why.
Ln Dn Dst OForm DPack Front Hi Type Rush Play Player Yds EPA
O25 1st 10 Gun Wk 4-2-5 Nk Over 2 fld Pass 4.5 Fly Green Inc -0.70
Paige comes down to turn a 2-high look into Cov1 and Colson comes late. Morris(+1, PR+1) beats the RT and Yellen 2020 MSU back-foots it immediately. It's well over the guy who can't see through Green(+2, cov+2, hat+1) who dominated this guy's route.
O25 2nd 10 Gun Str Demi 4-2-5 Nk Under 2 press Pass 4 Tunnel Screen Green Inc -0.35
HI RB runs straight into the path of his WR just as Barrett(+1) and Green(+1, cov+2) are converging on him. hat+2.
O25 3rd 10 Gun Trips 4-2-5 Nk Split A 2 off Pass 5.5 Curl Turner 13 2.17
Colson and Moten activate late but it's a quick curl under Turner(-2, cov+1, tackling-2) who comes in on a bad angle and whiffs, giving up the first down.
O38 1st 10 Gun Wk 4-2-5 Nk Over 2 fld Pass 4 Quick Out Green Inc -1.09
Morris(+2, PR+2) is through the B gap with an arm out that affects the angle of the throw. Green(+1, cov+1) was in position and flies over the WR to bat away the pass the WR is trying to dig out.
O38 2nd 10 Gun Str Y-Flex 4-2-5 Nk Over B 2 fld Run   Zone Read Benny 0 -0.69
M has a 5-1 look and slants (RPS+1) at this with Morris forcing a give. Benny(+2) hops around a G, sheds him, and stuffs at the LOS with a line of Wolverines waiting to help including Graham(+1) who's in the backfield.
O38 3rd 10 Gun Str Y-Flex 4-2-5 335 Wide 1 off Pass 5 Slot Fade Sainristil Inc -0.37
Exotic blitz with both S coming and Colson/Okie dropping gets Moore(RPS+1, PR+1) in and may influence the back-foot lob. Sainristil(+1, cov+1) is over the fade which is thrown too far.
Drive Notes: Punt. 14-0. 6 min 1st Q. Hat might be superfluous.
Ln Dn Dst OForm DPack Front Hi Type Rush Play Player Yds EPA
O25 1st 10 Pistol Str Y-Cross 4-2-5 Nk Split 2 press Run   Split Zone Upshaw 3 -0.30
Upshaw(+1) comes inside and they give (not a read, RPS+1) with Colson ready to catch the spill. Double moved out Smith(-1) so this could get yards but Jenkins(+2, tackling+1) crossed his blocker and made the stop.
O28 2nd 7 Gun Str Y-Flex 4-2-5 5-1 Odd 2 fld Pass 5 TE Out Paige 13 1.71
M is bringing five, HI waits out the clock to get a good read (RPS-1) and throws a quick out under Paige(-1, cov-2) who was a couple of steps late on the TE's break, giving up the 1st and more as he whiffs the tackle. Luckily Green is falling back with his CB and the TE runs into him.
O41 1st 10 Empty Flex 4-2-5 Nk Split 1 bdy Pass 4 RB Dumpoff Paige Inc -1.14
Yellen thinks the snag should be there but Colson(+1, cov+1) is there to take it away. Jenkins(+2, PR+2) has created pressure up the gut despite 1.5 blockers and is pawing at the throw. Yellen tries to check down to RB but throws it way upfield. Paige(cov push) was in the vicinity.
O41 2nd 10 Gun Str Flex RB 4-2-5 Nk Over 2 fld RPO   ZR/TE Bubble McGregor -2 -1.01
Hard to know what is HI punching itself in the face vs Michigan using HI's hands to punch them in the face and saying 'why are you punching yourself in the face?'. Yellen sees two guys coming at him as M slants and comes off the edge which should be an obvious bubble read like his TE thinks but maybe it's just ZR so RPS+2 instead? Guys? Anyway Smith(+2) tosses the double team coming at him aside and Jenkins(+1) and Upshaw(+0.5) have the frontside covered so RB cuts back into the three unblocked dudes and McGregor(+1, tackling+1) wrangles first.
O39 3rd 12 Gun Str Flex RB 4-2-5 Racecar Split 1 bdy Pass 4 Deep Hitch Johnson Inc -0.33
Upshaw at DT. Harrell(+2, PR+2) gets around the RT and barely gets his hand on the ball as it's thrown. Moten(+1) showed blitz then dropped and has a shot at the pick but can't judge its wobbliness and puts his hands up a fraction late. Ball falls short of the WR. Johnson was playing a little off but can't neg him since he was in range to have a play at the catch and thought Moten was going to pick it.
Drive Notes: Punt. 21-0. 2 min 1st Q. Just for the feel-goodsies wanted the pick there.
Ln Dn Dst OForm DPack Front Hi Type Rush Play Player Yds EPA
O48 1st 10 Gun 12 Stack 5-2-4 4-4 Over 2 fld Run   ZR Belly Flare Jenkins 0 -1.14
M is wise to the fact that Yellen isn't keeping (RPS+1) and Jenkins(+2) pays it off by crashing on the RB with little respect for the keeper (which has a TE flaring with it). Smith(+1) won his block and Graham(+2) beat his double then ripped his guy by him to shed and stick. Any one of these guys makes this play. EO1Q.
O48 2nd 10 Pistol 2TE 5-2-4 5-2 Odd 2 press PRO n/a Fly/IZ Turner Inc -0.99
Yellen decides to pull and throw it at Turner(+1) in Cov1 who is all over it, and also it's a moonball so Paige(+2, cov+3) is flying over to pick it and almost decapitates Turner. Hat+2 the throw is way inside where 2 Wolverines have a better shot at it than his WR.
O48 3rd 10 Empty 12 Flex 4-2-5 Nk Wide 2 off Pass 4 TE Slant Paige Inc -0.64
This time the waiting game favors M (RPS+1) as they disguise double-A gaps with Moten and Colson, dropping the edges, until 4 seconds before the snap. All four are getting push (PR+1), Yellen has to wait for the TE slant to clear Harrell and then it's in range for Paige(+2, cov+2) to snap down and break it up.
Drive Notes: Punt. 21-0. 15 min 2nd Q. I think I'm finally getting through to the kids behind me that "Temptation" has words and none of them are "You suck, bitch." Backups starting rolling in.
Ln Dn Dst OForm DPack Front Hi Type Rush Play Player Yds EPA
O25 1st 10 Pistol Twins 5-2-4 5-2 Odd 1 press Run   Split Zone Harrell 0 -0.70
Smith(+0.5) gave up a ground to stay on a double and Jenkins(+1) stood up his G. That keeps Mullings(+1) clean as he hops into the intended gap that also has Moten(RPS+1) in town for. This creates a bounce to Harrell(+1, tackling-1) who can't quite get Parson down but makes him stop until Mullings collects.
O25 2nd 10 Gun Wk RB 4-2-5 Nk Over 1 fld Pass 4 Quick Out Turner 4 -0.06
McGregor(+1, PR+1) beats back the RT so ball goes out. It's slow and arrives 3 yards downfield as Turner(+2, cov+1) bashes the WR back to the LOS. Want him to wrap up not just hit but results-based charting.
O29 3rd 6 Gun Str Flex RB 4-2-5 Nk Wide 1 fld Pass 4 Sack Morris -6 -0.48
Morris(+3, PR+3) removes the LT and sacks. The "no one open" meme shows the TE open in the backside flat since Sainristil dropped into the scissor combo, but Yellen was staring the whole time at the side that had 3v2 (RPS+2).
Drive Notes: Punt. 28-0. 10 min 2nd Q. Three Donovan Edwards plays later they're back out there. Yards are at 337 to 30.
Ln Dn Dst OForm DPack Front Hi Type Rush Play Player Yds EPA
O25 1st 10 Gun Wk Z-Orbit 4-2-5 Nk Over 1 fld RPO   IZ/Bubble Upshaw 0 -0.70
Orbit motion reveals 4v3 to the trips side, run side undermanned. Upshaw(+2) sets an edge by erasing the TE, getting him so far upfield that there's no gap outside him. Benny(+1) shows why he's hell on zone blocking, soaking up a double at the LOS. Colson(+1) is clean and shoots inside to help Upshaw finish this.
O25 2nd 10 Gun Trips RB (Y) 4-2-5 Nk Over 1 press Run   IZ/Bubble Benny 2 -0.23
TE covered--HI does this to get Parson in space. Both DTs lose to doubles that get to the LBs. Grant(-0.5)'s isn't as bad but could be trouble on a bounce. Benny(-1, tackling+1) is bent back 2 yards by his, then both guys leave him (hat+2, don't know what the LG was thinking). He doesn't wait to say "that was a freebie" and clunks Parson with help from Upshaw(+1) who wrecked the TE again.
O27 3rd 8 Gun Wk Flex 4-2-5 Nk Split 2 off Pass 4 Slip Screen Barrett 1 -0.19
They get all four DL (RPS-1, Upshaw-1) and Q-Jo(-1) was bailing deep and arrived late. That's okay because they cannot edge Michael Barrett(+2), who shoots into the flex-Y then bundles him up with the RT who arrives to take away the preferred lane. Bounce goes to Green(+1) who discarded a WR. Really underrated play by Barrett.
Drive Notes: Punt. 35-0. 7 min 2nd Q. Starters in for this drive: Colson, Morris, Sainristil (at CB), Barrett.
Ln Dn Dst OForm DPack Front Hi Type Rush Play Player Yds EPA
O9 1st 10 Gun Wk 4-2-5 Nk Under 2 fld RPO   Power/Fly Moten 6 0.21
Rooks(-1) blown out by his double but Upshaw(+1) fixes by squeezing the kickout into this to spill. Barrett(-1) got spooked by the Rooks thing though and is stuck inside. Moten comes down to keep this to 6 yards.
O15 2nd 4 Gun Str Stack 4-2-5 4-3 Over 1 fld Pass 4 Hitch Turner Inc -0.45
Yellen sees Turner pressed in man and checks to a hitch under him, which why is this even a check? Yellen throws it to the hitch spot immediately, his WR didn't get the memo and kept running with Turner(+1, cov+1) in his back pocket, which may have saved an interception. hat+2. D-Mo(-1, PR-1) falls down so there's no rush.
O15 3rd 4 Gun Wk Flex 4-2-5 5-1 Under 1 press Pass 4 Throwaway Barrett Inc -0.20
Snap at 2 seconds and Barrett(+3, PR+3) hid this blitz the whole time, shooting through the LG before the RB can get to that side. Yellen just throws it OOB from the 3, clearly still inside the tackle box. Refs-3 steal Barrett's sack by not calling intentional grounding.
Drive Notes: Punt. 35-0. 2 min 2nd Q. Ensuing drive is Stokes's great run and JJ's laser to CJ if you're trying to figure out where we are in this game.
Ln Dn Dst OForm DPack Front Hi Type Rush Play Player Yds EPA
O25 1st 10 Gun Str Demi Y-In 4-2-5 Nk Split 2 fld Run   Split Zone McGregor 7 0.60
1:06, 1 TO. RG releases, RT allows McGregor in free (hat+3). Graham(+1) and Grant(+1) did the same--like it's some sort of draw, which I guess is a good time for weirdness where a TFL just means halftime, but the OL get their hands batted away then turn around and chase them so ???. This should be an insta-TFL but McGregor(-3, tackling-2) sets up too far inside and gets bounced around. Could be a huge gap but Moore(+1) comes down and spills to Moten(+2, tackling+2) who sets up and makes a perfect form tackle in space.
O32 2nd 3 Gun Str Stack 4-2-5 Nk Under 2 press RPO   IZ/Fly McGregor 0 -1.56
0:23. Parson trying to bounce this while McGregor(+2) is two-gapping the TE, who holds, flagged. Moore(+1, tackling-1) came down hard but high and Parson ducks his tackle attempt. Great play opportunity missed but Parson is stumbling and Moten can clean up for limited damage.
O22 2nd 13 Gun Str 4-2-5 Nk Split 2 press Run   Stretch McGregor 1 1.34
They try to edge Braiden McGregor(+2) and it doesn't work out for them as he forces the TE upfield, sheds to erase his gap and the RT. No cutback because a mastodonian Grant(+1) has armed his way into the backfield past a C trying to reach him.
Drive Notes: Halftime. 42-0. The rest of this is the deep backups.
Ln Dn Dst OForm DPack Front Hi Type Rush Play Player Yds EPA
O30 1st 10 Gun Str Flex RB 4-2-5 Nk Over 2 fld Pass 4 Fade Johnson Inc -0.86
Johnson(+1, cov+1) in press so they throw at him. He's all in position so WR's only shot is OPI, and it's overthrown (hat+1).
O30 2nd 10 Gun Wk Flex 4-2-5 Nk Tite 2 off RPO   IZ/Slant Rolder 7 0.39
Read Perry (at Nk) who stays over the slot. Graham(+0.5) gets both C and G to set up Rolder(-2, tackling-2) who whiffs on a sweet Parson spin move and creates a good gain. Refs+1 short him a yard. Perry (ankle) leaves after this.
O37 3rd 3 Gun Wk 4-2-5 Nk Over 2 press Pass 5 Out K.Jones Inc -0.65
M brings both LBs but Rolder(-1) is a beat late as a delayed blitzer with D-Mo dropping and K.Jones(-1, cov-1) is behind the H-out route. Graham(+2) leaps way up, bats it down, and gives em a Dikembe.
Drive Notes: Punt. 42-0. 12 min 3rd Q. I'm turning RPS off--the rest of this is for next year preview purposes.
Ln Dn Dst OForm DPack Front Hi Type Rush Play Player Yds EPA
O46 1st 10 Gun Wk Stack 4-2-5 4-3 Odd 1 off PRO n/a Out/ZR Ger.Green 5 0.11
Everyone in off coverage so Yellen pulls and hits an out under German(-1, cov-1).
M49 2nd 5 Gun Wk 4-2-5 Nk Even 2 off Run   Inside Zone Mi.Pollard 4 -0.16
Grant(-1) is too high and gets comboed but HI has two guys on Okie(+1, RPS+1) Micah(+1, tackling+1) has a clear path to stick this after 2 yards.
M45 3rd 1 Gun Twins 5-2-4 5-2 Odd 1 press RPO   SZ/Fly Mi.Pollard 6 1.09
Graham(+1) muscles blockdown by to keep his LB clean but Micah(-1) is late and gets dragged half yard before Q-Jo(+0.5) slams down and stops the momentum. Want LB aggression here on 3rd and short.
M39 1st 10 Pistol Twins 5-2-4 5-3 Under 1 press Run   ZR Counter GT Guy 0 -0.81
Rooks(+2) makes this by beating a double from the T and TE, the coming up to intercept the lead blocker and just whiff the tackle. Guy(+1) took on the kickout like fine chap, shedding and tackling.
M39 2nd 10 Gun 12 Trips Stack 5-2-4 5-3 Under 1 off Pass 4 Square In Johnson 6 0.26
This is under German but on Johnson(-1, cov-1) who needs to let Micah take the H and get to the X in the flat. Has time if he knows where to go for a shot at a pick six but stays with the H all play. German(+1, tackling+1) holds it down by getting there and escorting the WR oob with no YAC.
M33 3rd 4 Gun Wk Stack 4-2-5 5-1 Over 2 press Run   Power Rolder 7 0.97
Chance to get off the field, M sends Micah (RPS is off) off the edge. With his WR going end-around German(-1) needs to come get the edge. Rolder(-1) comes down inside then decides late that he's got the other side instead of trusting the safety to be there (he is). That adds a few more.
M26 1st 10 Gun Str Stack 4-2-5 Nk Over 2 off PRO n/a Flash Screen/IZ Johnson 3 -0.15
Off look induces a quick screen. K.Jones(-1) gets in a handfight instead of pushing his WR upfield but Johnson(+1) came down fast to hold this to just a couple.
M23 2nd 7 Gun Wk Flex 4-2-5 Nk Split 1 off PRO n/a Slant/Dbl Stretch Welschof 10 0.33
Juice(-2, cov-2) is supposed to be dropping into this and delays then gets no depth (he's at the LOS). K.Jones is sitting on a fade and has no shot.
M13 1st 10 Gun Wk Z-Orbit 4-2-5 Nk Split 1 press PRO n/a Slant/Dbl Stretch K.Jones Inc -0.30
Same play, K.Jones(-2, cov-1) lets the H cross him (no cross-facey!) WR drops it (hat+2), Kolesar was coming down to hit and has it go off his hands.
M13 2nd 10 Gun Str Stack 4-2-5 Nk Even 1 press PRO n/a Pick/IZ Johnson 4 -0.03
HI goes for some OPI, Johnson(+1, cov+1) slips by the cheater and gets into the shoulder of the target. Small window but caught (hat-1) and Kolesar(+1) comes down to stick for a useless gain.
M9 3rd 6 Gun 12 Trips Stack 5-2-4 5-2 Odd 2 press Pass 4 Corner Ger.Green Inc -0.36
D-Mo(+2, PR+2) rushes outside, beats the LT, who's goes full choke hold to save his QB. Unfathomable no call (refs-2). Yellen rolls sideways and chucks it at a well-covered guy: German(+1, cov+1) and Kolesar(+1) are there to break up anything accurate. It's not.
Drive Notes: FG(26). 42-3. 4 min 3rd Q. David said this was a sad FG but what's sadder is not scoring here. Cade throws an INT so defense is right back on the field.
Ln Dn Dst OForm DPack Front Hi Type Rush Play Player Yds EPA
O45 1st 10 Gun Str 4-2-5 Nk Under 2 fld Run   ZR Stretch Rolder 16 1.14
Kid issues. Benny(-0.5) allowed a DL a free release but Micah(-1) needs to get around it. Because he isn't Rolder(-2) is hanging back in Pollard's gap instead of getting out to his own. D-Mo(+1) and Goode(+1) are holding up play-long doubles to force this to stretch but there's no edge. D-Mo is also getting held on the edge (refs-1). Want Johnson(-1, tackling+1) to react fast but once he does he lifts the RB like a kindergartener who just got out of school.
M39 1st 10 Gun Trips Stack 4-2-5 Nk Split 1 off Pass 4 Wheel Rolder Inc -0.81
Late blitz from Sabb(+1, PR+1) isn't picked up (RPS+1) and he's in so quick Yellen has to fling it now. Rolder(+1, cov+1) is with the RB to make it tough but ball sails (hat+1).
M39 2nd 10 Offset Str Flex 4-2-5 Nk Over 2 fld Pass 4 Square In Kolesar Inc -1.01
Backside of this Guy(+1) drops into a slant and shoves the WR who goes down. Inside 5 yards so sucks to suck. He dropped because Rolder(+1, PR+1) blitzed and was going to come through, ball is out fast but has to arc over his leap which I think causes the overthrow. His the In to the H is open because Kolesar(-1, cov-1) followed the TE's In too long. Ball sails through the WR's hands (hat+2) into Johnson's but he's not prepared and also drops it.
M39 3rd 10 Empty Flex 4-2-5 Nk Over 1 press Pass 4 Corner Johnson Inc -0.99
No pressure (PR-2) because Guy(-1) and Benny(-1) ran into each other trying to stunt. Yellen doesn't care and flings it way over the guy getting his route run for him by Johnson(+2, cov+2).
Drive Notes: Punt. 42-3. 2 min 3rd Q. Walker is in at CB. Wife is *REALLY* ready to go home but we're staying through the TD.
Ln Dn Dst OForm DPack Front Hi Type Rush Play Player Yds EPA
O25 1st 10 Gun Trips 4-2-5 Nk Over 1 fld RPO   Stretch/Ins Graham 2 -0.35
Graham(+1) gets on the right side of a double but can't quite make this alone. Guy is in his gap but not setting a hard edge, and [had to look up this number bc it changed] Keshaun Harris(+0.5) gets pushed by a TE but comes off him and sticks for a good tackle.
O27 2nd 8 Gun Str 4-2-5 Nk Under 2 fld Run   ZR Stretch Welschof 6 0.13
M slanting (RPS-off) with a nickel blitz in the run's path. K.Jones(-2, tackling-1) should redirect to blast the TE, instead he tries to run by and gets blasted past him. Rolder(+1) hopped out there to replace then hopped back inside to help Micah(-0.5) who was a little slow.
O33 3rd 2 Gun Wk Stack 4-2-5 Nk Under 1 press Run   Power Rolder 3 1.15
Guy(+1) stands up the kickout like a champ, which causes a traffic jam with the puller and forces a cutback. Grant(+0.5) has his DT stood up but Graham(-1) disengaged thinking he had to flow and Juice(-0.5) was footing around with the hinge like they had the play off so there's space to fall forward even with Rolder(+0.5) finding the gap.
O36 1st 10 Gun Trips 4-2-5 Nk Over 1 fld RPO   Stretch/Ins Guy 0 -1.04
Another good edge from my boy Guy(+1), who sheds the TE to set a hard edge. Graham(+1) comes through a double then pushes the LG into the RB's path. Grant(+1) stood up to a double too so no cutback.
O36 2nd 10 Gun Str Demi 4-2-5 Nk Split C 1 fld Pass 4 Curl K.Jones Inc -0.63
M shifts to cov1 with a Rolder blitz late. Juice(+0.5) and Grant(+0.5, PR+1) have their guys in the backfield quickly and Yellen isn't taking hits like I'm not taking hints. He throws a curl, his receiver is breaking on an in, and it goes behind him with K.Jones(push) around where he could break up either, hat+2.
O36 3rd 10 Gun Str Flex RB 4-2-5 Nk Under 2 fld Pass 4 Sack Benny -12 2.63
D-Mo(+1) hops inside and takes out 3 guys, freeing Benny(+3, PR+3) to track down Yellen like a LB. Walker(-1) gets in handfight w his WR who hangs on to draw a very tetchy call you only make if you're trying to wipe out a 14-yard sack.
O46 1st 10 Gun Trips Bunch (Y) 4-2-5 Nk Over 1 press RPO   IZ/Flash Screen Mi.Pollard 54 4.13
If you read your FFFF you were ready for this play. Lots to work on. D-Mo(-0.5) gets kicked too far and needs to move this guy in but Micah(-3, tackling-2) is the main culprit, getting caught inside when Grant(-0.5) gives ground to a double, then run by. Then Sabb(-3) takes an awful angle and Hawai'i gets to say they scored double-digits at Michigan.
Drive Notes: Touchdown. 49-10. 11 min 4th Q. Michigan scores with Isaiah Gash and there's another drive vs the nether regions of the bench, but we're done charting. Here are some things left unscored: Goode's bat. Velazquez's tackle. Graham Thayer Munfords a guy. Rooks off the line. Hood PBU.

I feel like grumbling again.

Over what?

Not sure. It could be just a feeling. It could also be I did not get much sleep on Saturday and my little brother called at 7am on Sunday to tell me MSU beat Akron, who is better than Hawai'i, by 52-0, which is not 10.

When the last first stringer left Hawai'i was averaging 1.7 yards per play, 3.4 plays and 5.9 yards per drive. Later a buncha guys who aren't going to play this year gave up two drives, one of which should have been over. I regret to inform you Michigan's back-back bench is holding developmental freshmen who might not beat Nebraska if called upon.

Hawai'i Bad is not in the same ballpark as Finally Admitting You're Just Another Big Ten West Program and if Scott Frost Didn't Work Nothing Will-level bad.

Oh yes they were bad. My "Hat" metric for opponent players (not play-calls) affecting things was +21/-1. If that contribution came from a player it would warrant a long section with exclamation marks and a few trips to the thesaurus for synonyms of dominant. For the most part however if a Rainbow Warrior stopped blocking for no reason, or if a pair of them doinked into another, two Michigan players were in the vicinity and ready to do the same.

An incredible number of Hawai'i plays were hopeless chucks. Yellen would see a CB rolled up with single-high and throw it, never wondering if he could get it down there before the safety arrived, or whether that was DJ Turner he was throwing at. He missed, which was probably for the best.

Last week there were sacks. Where were the sacks?

Three—Harrell's, Barrett's, and Benny's—were stolen by refs. Like the phantom OPI on Ronnie Bell's one-handed catch last year it didn't mean anything to the game, but they were still infuriating for narrative purposes. They were also indicative of Hawai'i's approach in this game, which was to subject Yellen to the minimum amount of pass rush. The pressure had to be immediate, and even then the best they could do was get a hand in the way to affect the trajectory:

Hawai'i came not to win, but to not get it in the face. Considering what happened to CSU, going full 2020 MSU made sense. Keeping the ball in the backfield more than a second probably moves the curve left.

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The three "sacks" then all had to be from something extraordinary. Benny's was an extraordinary play by a DT who moved like a linebacker. Barrett's was a perfectly timed, athletic slalom by a guy who's done that against better competition. Harrell's was an interesting Minter thing. At no point was Yellen asked to sit in the pocket and diagnose. They gave him two types of green light: if everyone's off hit a two-way route underneath, and you see obvious man coverage option the CB down the sideline with a hitch/fly combo. The three near-picks were likewise quick throws—even the one Makari Paige nearly got to was out immediately, just so far downfield with so little acceleration that Paige was able to get to it.

They tried mixing in zone reads, but Yellen has literally never kept it, and Michigan has scouted this. Yes, it's a particularly clever troll of Michigan fans still scarred from watching Patterson and McNamara allow crashes on our backs with impunity, but if that bothered Michigan it didn't show.

Tell me about the Minter Interesting Thing.

Brian basically covered it in the game column on Monday but here it is:

It's a variation on Don Brown's Furbush-as-Bush's-fullback attack against Florida in 2017. Colson (#25 to the right of the hash) stepped up like he's blitzing then blasted the LT to free Harrell to loop inside of him. The RB flies across to do something about this but his momentum is working against him and the window to delay Harrell is tiny. It's also not supposed to be this easy; the LG abandoned his post so badly Upshaw had nobody blocking him when he finished his own stunt with Smith.

That's not just a thing that can happen against Hawai'i. The whole idea of the Amoeba is guys can start in one spot and end up in another. You can't keep track of them all, so you try to simplify jobs to "watch this gap." The LT has a rush end coming at him and isn't going to look back; if a DT is lined up where Colson is however his buddy might give him some warning that there's a looper.

Minter did try to some Amoeba looks but mostly kept the actual pressures and coverages vanilla. That led to another of those "uh oh a crosser!" moments, when Yellen used more of play clock to let Michigan declare their true alignment and Moten was stuck a few yards and traffic behind the TE drag. He made up the space himself because this is a Hawai'i TE:

#6 on the bottom of the formation

Minter had the defense wait a little longer to get snap-ready and it had the desired effect. Also the game was out of hand so this was the end of funny business on either side.

Is there anything to delineate from this game?

Surprisingly yes. There wasn't much to glean from the secondary, who was generally in phase on balls thrown over their heads. The 'Bows were also an upgrade from CSU on the offensive line, and actually tried to run the ball with a running back who would start for most of the Power 5, which meant the front seven got a somewhat live test.

Maybe you can plot us a path through your thoughts?

Well, nobody got that many snaps individually so you have to extrapolate to full games from this.

You're not getting it. I want you to lay it on all out on the <table>.

Ah, that. CHART OF GREAT AND MUCH PARTICIPATION

Defensive Line
Player + - T Snaps Notes
Michael Morris 8 0 +8 15 Destroyed then got to sit down.
Jaylen Harrell 4 1 +3 20 Has more versatility than other main Edge competitors.
Taylor Upshaw 6.5 1 +5.5 15 Consummate trenchman, more effective as a stunt rusher.
Braiden McGregor 6 5 +1 14 Most likely to beat a blocker then miss a tackle.
Eyabi Okie 1 0 +1 11 One rush move scouted, ball out too fast to matter.
Derrick Moore 4 1.5 +2.5 28 Got a lot of run, still showing signs of late-season breakout.
TJ Guy 4 1 +3 27 Harrell but a few more linebacker genes.
Julius Welschof 0.5 2.5 -2 16 Looks like he's starting from scratch again.
Kechaun Bennett 0 0 - 2 DNC
Tyler McLaurin 0 0 - 3 DNC
Mazi Smith 5.5 2 +3.5 18 Doubles all day so the others could feast.
Kris Jenkins 10 0 +10 11 Feasted, then rested. Star by midseason.
Mason Graham 9.5 1 +8.5 34 Got something here. Show me against a real OL.
Rayshaun Benny 6 2.5 +3.5 17 Deserves his sack back, going to be so evil vs zone teams.
George Rooks 2 1 +1 24 A couple of good things.
Cam Goode 1 0 +1 13 Bat!
Kenneth Grant 4 2 +2 28 See the potential, but see why freshman DTs suck?
TOTAL 72 20.5 +51.5 296 Smith/Jenkins/Graham seems an excelellent top three.
Linebacker
Player + - T Snaps Notes
Junior Colson 2 0 +2 30 Was in position to help but DL got there first.
Nikhai Hill-Green 0 0 - 0 Dressed but DNP.
Michael Barrett 6 1 +5 15 Fascinating weapon even if a bit deficient at pure LB things.
Kalel Mullings 1 1 - 13 Like Colson, events transpired in front or behind him.
Jimmy Rolder 3.5 6 -2.5 22 Freshman LBs should be on the field.
Joey Velazquez 0 0 - 15 Good stick on last drive.
Micah Pollard 1 5.5 -4.5 23 One day we'll look back on the Hawai'i TD and laugh.
Jaydon Hood 0 0 - 9 Not charted but moral +3/-0 day. Broke up a TD.
Deuce Spurlock 0 0 - 9 DNC
TOTAL 13.5 13.5 - 136 Starters got the day off, kids can't help yet.
Secondary
Player + - T Snaps Notes
DJ Turner 4 2 +2 27 One atrocious angle, targets at him are wasted downs.
Mike Sainristil 3.5 0 +3.5 31 You can try his edge but it's not going to work out for you.
Gemon Green 6 0 +6 27 Gonna start all year if he keeps this up.
Will Johnson 5 2 +3 34 Gonna start eventually but still lots of freshman.
Jalen Perry 0 0 - 5 Got hurt.
German Green 2 2 - 31 Looked viable until he fell down at nickel.
Kody Jones 0 6 -6 21 Rough outing, spicy player though.
Myles Pollard 0 0 - 0 DNC
Amorion Walker 0 1 -1 5 Can't block like a WR on defense.
Keshaun Harris 0.5 0 +0.5 20 The one play made me look up his number.
Rod Moore 3 0 +3 24 True sophomore plays like a senior. Also tracking star.
RJ Moten 5 0 +5 21 Size helped in the box, overmatched Hawai'i TEs.
Makari Paige 4 1 +3 19 Eye-opening day. Doesn't look out of place with starters.
Caden Kolesar 2 1 +1 37 Had some big negatives that weren't charted.
Quinten Johnson 0.5 1 -0.5 40 Seems to play way off.
Keon Sabb 1 3 -2 7 One day we'll look back on his bad angle and laugh.
Zeke Berry 0 0 - 0 DNP
TOTAL 36.5 19 +17.5 349 Both spots have solid 3-man rotations. Sainristil's a keeper.
Metrics
Player + - T Snaps Notes
Pressure 27 4 +23 - Mostly +1 to force an iffier quick throw.
Coverage 22 10 +12 - CB(+1, cov+1) in perfect position, ball goes over head.
Tackling 10 12 -2 - Was fine until the freshmen florped it up.
RPS 17 3 +14 - Nice to be on the other end of no-read zone reads for once.
Hat Tip 21 1 +20 - Hawai'i spots you an All-American.

I was expecting bigger grades from the established guys: Mazi, Jenkins, Morris. That's all they did?

It was a short day for the starters. Smith had one bad play on the first snap versus a double, but Jenkins and Morris owned their doubles so it didn't matter.

Line from top to bottom here is Harrell-Jenkins-Smith-Morris

And Smith still got his before he got to sit down. Morris also put on a display for the kids vying to be his backups, including registering the only sack that counted.

And Kris Jenkins showed even more in less time. He's starting to make his presence felt, like here when he drew the double and was so feisty he managed to affect the throw while Smith, single-blocked was still shoving his guy into the pocket.

#94 under the hash mark

I realize while charting I was taking Jenkins's +2's for granted because I was interested in what newcomers were doing. Here's Jenkins and Smith ruining the backside of a zone read while my brain's going all gaga for the true freshman beating a double on the frontside.

#58 and #94, second from bottom and bottom of the DL

Caveat Hawai'i but boring-good is good.

You said your brain's going gaga for what?

Yeah, even with the competition caveat I'm ready to declare Mason Graham is a thing that is happening. Put him out there with Jenkins, Smith, and Morris (with Harrell at SAM) and he's one of the guys (see #55, second from the top in the play above) in a line giving off 2016 vibes. Unlike the veteran starters, Graham was still young enough to be playing deep into garbage time, but I've watched enough Harbaugh to know a strategic reinsertion when I see one. Returning Mazi to knock a (starting) guard on his ass in a late goal line stand would be rude, but Timmy Chang can't complain if the true freshman DT is back on the field when they're about to pad their blowout loss. Effect is the same:

#55, 3rd from the bottom

Note this play didn't go into his grading because I'd stopped charting.

I have also seen some athletes block shots in my day—the Moussa Diabate memories are particularly fresh—and can tell you there's a difference between a DL who gets his hands up and a DL who earned his right to Mutombo.

Mason Graham is defense JJ McCarthy, and not in the Throw to Daylen Baldwin way JJ was last year. I mean I'm echoing Brian's take on JJ in this week's column. I'm putting the kids' college funds into MG55s. When they have grad school covered in four years I can tell my wife this was because we stayed for the whole game and I was still charting deep into the fourth quarter instead of helping with bedtime.

Part of my Graham take is informed by how much more of a "starter" he felt than anyone else. Rayshaun Benny is the next guy down the line, and is playing like what you expect a burgeoning star should look like after a year on campus. That included The Sack that Should Have Been. The Hawai'i caveat here is that Yellen is a definite "1" on the Navarre-Robinson Quarterback Dilithium scale, and D.Moore's crash did a lot of the work to free his compatriot. The agility here though…

#26 DT just below the hash

I've been asserting for some time that Benny has the length-build-agility combination to be a nightmare on zone teams because he can extend his range of effect without losing his balance. We got to see that here:

#26 DT second from bottom

Neither side of that double team can get unstuck from the line of scrimmage nor release on Colson because Benny's force is perfectly centered on both of their shoulders and losing one guy would lose the battle. Former MSU DT Raekwon Williams was like this too. I am stoked to have it at Michigan now.

Tempering the Benny hype for now is some young DT stuff that only a freak like Graham can avoid. He got too high and shoved downfield before both of his blockers suddenly decided to leave him, and another time he screwed up the timing on a stunt with TJ Guy.

Rooks is the last backup who goes in this section for now. I'm sticking with my Van Bergen comp for him, because there are moments when you're like "this guy is going to fall down" and then he's still standing up and that's a problem.

#54 DT second from the bottom

This one came too late to make it into his charting but showed again how his burst off the line of scrimmage is a major problem for OL not expecting that kind of quickness. Rooks needs to learn what to do once he gets there, but we've had some pretty nice DTs who started out as a first step and built from there.

#54 DT second from bottom

Also RVB was a strongside "DE" in a 4-3 under, which is what this front really is (shhh). The tempering is a lot higher with Rooks than Benny, however. He's not really ready for more than spot duty, and his best answer for doubles at the moment is going to his knees (this is functional but doesn't get +'s in the charting).

Speaking of the kids, last week you liked Moore best of the edges. Now he's third string?

I thought his play against CSU showed the most promise for projecting to later this season. The pecking order as it looked after this game was Morris-Harrell-Upshaw-McGregor-Okie-Moore-Guy-Welschof-Bennett, with Moore now behind Morris and Upshaw at the heavy or "Anchor" position as we're still calling it.

Harrell is pushing ahead of Upshaw to be the top of the rotation at WDE. He was the fastest guy around the edge when being anything less than Ojaboan meant the ball was already gone.

As for Upshaw, it's hard not to play him when he's as strong against the run as he is. He also raised the Upshaw Floor a level this week by blowing up run edges. This probably isn't as translatable to the rest of the schedule because Hawai'i's tight end was a super-cyan, but doing the Hutchinson against the drecks is the first step to edging like a 2021 Wolverine.

#91 circled

Upshaw made a lot of quietly strong plays that might be competition-related but added up to a good evening. 

The first of the youths this game was McGregor, who was again up and down. The down was more related to spacial awareness, but he also doesn't have the kind of agility to make up for it, so mistakes become whiffs.

#17 top of the DL

At this point I don't trust him because he's a bad pairing for our linebackers, but if you put Sainristil behind him to fix his decisions, McGregor's risks can become rewards.

I didn't clip either of them—28 plays against Hawai'i is plenty—but McGregor put up back-to-back +2s against the TE on power runs after the one above that he botched. Also to the good: that upper body.

He has soaked in the DL coaching that Moore/Okie are still learning, which is probably why he's playing above them.

As for Eyabi Okie (formerly Anoma), he was on the field a lot and gradable just once. This goes back to Hawai'i's strategy of 2020 MSU'ing it. Moore was also on the field a lot, especially in garbage time. He played a key role in the Benny sack by being large and quick, and had one of the few pass rushes that would have led to a sack except it was so late that the LT could put a choke hold on him and not get flagged. Live I was sure he was held on the play that he got edged, but I can't tell anymore. Nothing's changed about my opinion on him; if I had to choose one DE to come on in the second half, he's my pick. It's not a blowout though.

Are you Michael Barrett's dad or something?

No, I'm pretty sure I went into this game a complete Barrett moderate, and this isn't like with Erick All where Barrett's now my guy on this defense (I missed the pod where we picked this so for the record, Nikhai Hill-Green is the guy I'm higher on than the rest of the fanbase). The Barrett score is a product of my UFR process, where I start with a target score based on the play's outcome, then find points of advantage and assign them, and if it doesn't match up I know I still have more to look for. Take this slip screen on 3rd and long:

The outcome is a +2 advantage for the offense. Michigan's entire DL runs into the backfield while the RT gets out to the flat: advantage offense. The D is supposed to react by activating the safety but that guy is bailing deep and won't arrive until the play's over: more advantage offense. Who's got the huge lane behind the RT? Barrett's in it. Who's got the lane between the RT and the TE? Barrett squeezed those guys together so there isn't one. Why is this play taking place so close to the line of scrimmage? Barrett move the TE upfield.

And if you're not on board with Barret as Michigan's best pass rush weapon yet, let me make that clear:

My take on Barrett is he has a few A+ secondary skills that are not the primary linebacker skills, but which make him an amazing specialty tool. When healthy last year he was murder on teams that still mostly base their offense on a running QB—Penn State, Indiana with the guy who's now a WR—and a very effective Viper. Now we're starting to see him be useful as a WLB when the DTs don't let linemen leak to him.

The "is not an ILB" take is about his decision-making; Barrett could make it work at his size if he had the timing and instincts, but he's at about a D+ in that department—even with Kalel Mullings—with a ceiling of C. Don Brown thrived at BC/UConn/Maryland with guys like this, because they were an opportunity to come up with weird ideas. Minter is probably loving it too, since the Amoeba defense is all about finding ways to have guys other than the WLB playing that role.

This means I'm on board with him starting over Kalel Mullings until we meet a run-first outfit. That's in part because Mullings makes the same mistakes without the same athletic upside:

WLB #20 on the bottom

As with Junior Colson, there weren't a lot of gradable events for Mullings as events went into the DL or over the DBs' heads. Colson did show more of his coverage athleticism.

The linebacker who got a lot of chartable events was Jimmy Rolder, who looked like Junior Colson last year. He's got speed, but not enough to stay two gaps inside of where he's supposed to be on a stretch:

#30 LB on the top

He got got by that RB on a spin move one time he was in his gap, but most of his day was getting stuck too far down when the play needed him ready to bounce outside. Linebacker is hard and true freshmen are not good at it. Rolder did defend a wheel though, so he got one of those +1, Cov+1, Hat+1's when the ball went 20 yards over their heads.

Micah Pollard is not ready to play.

I remember one of your offseason pieces projected Zeke Berry and Will Johnson to replace Mike Sainristil and Gemon Green. How's that looking?

I've got no issues disappearing into the bushes like Homer Simpson and emerging a Mike "Sweetness" Sainristil stan, since this is the guy who made me write his Hello post three times over the worst-kept silent commitment ever. Now that we're seeing him on the field on defense, I wonder why the practice observers hyping him up were being so honest. I mean:


…this is working out as much as trying to edge Sainristil doesn't. Nobody is going to displace Sainristil this year, especially not a safety who's not yet playing. The nickel depth chart at the moment is Sweetness and air, since the next guy in was Jalen Perry and he had to be helped off the field with an ankle or foot thing.

Part of that is Sainristil is already making choices that you want in the hands of veterans. Here he abandoned his zone to help at the intersection of a scissor route, leaving the TE all alone in the flat. Notice that QB looks at that and can't throw it. He doesn't look to the TE. This is gambling and winning.

#0 on the bottom hash

Sainristil also impressed when not the focus, such as on the play Paige nearly intercepted, which left Sainristil on an island with a WR who started with inside leverage, left the screen, then when they reappear Sainristil is in his pock and taking away the inside.

As for Geman Green losing his job to a freshman, it's not happening as long as he's playing like this. It's hard to grade the uncatchables, but Green got a lot of those targets and his positioning was dominant. I know that's never been the issue. He was also a contributor in the run game, though these are the receivers a big guy should physically dominate.

#22 CB on the top

Johnson is good—he scored well in the positive—but also showing why every Law, Woodson, Jackson, and Hall didn't start until mid-way through his freshman year. All of the corners took turns in the nickel because Sainristil sat with the established starters, and Johnson's turn was the most obvious he was new to it:

That's totally understandable for a true freshman at a sub-position. It's just not going to be good enough to pass Green right now. I'm upgrading the situation to 2003, when Michigan had Marlin Jackson on one side, and Markus Curry playing so well on the other that Leon Hall had to rotate in or play some nickel. This has been Seth Name Some Guys.

Do we like another safety now?

I continue to like Moore and Moten, who dropped a difficult pick we can add to the pile we ignore because he makes things that look potentially very bad suddenly not so scary.

Sometimes that means he just won't get outrun by a receiverish TE:

Can he make up that much ground against a real receiver for a real opponent? Cloudy. But whenever you forget Moten is a freak of an athlete he puts one of these on tape again.

Makari Paige managed to get Noticed by grouping his plays into a single drive. I would love to see the All-22 of the play he nearly intercepted, because the coverage looks like he had the middle of the field and I'd love to know when he started going over there.

Either he recognized where the ball was going and started early, or he got there very fast. Either way, "rangy" is approved for usage this week. Paige followed that up with a nice breakup of a slant that was thrown in the window right after the WR cleared a dropping Harrell:

No, that's not arriving early; he's going for the ball and actually touched it first. There's a Hawai'i component to both of these plays because Yellen doesn't have much of an arm, but neither does anybody else until CJ Stroud, give or take a Tagovailoa.

What happened on the touchdown?

A lot of freshman failure to varying degrees. In order of when they became relevant:

1. Moore sets sort of a lazy edge when M's system has him spread out pre-snap so he can momentum into this LT and shrink the gap.

image

2. That is compounded by Grant getting pushed back by his double (DT above).

3. Micah Pollard is inside checking a gap that Grant is in, instead of the gap that is his and nobody else's. The other two guys could make that gap smaller but no excuse for not being in it.

image

4. Keon Sabb took a terrible angle then slowed up, getting himself edged when he needs to cross the RB's face and allow the pursuit a chance to catch up inside.

image

All four of these guys are true freshman in their 2nd game of the season. We'll laugh about it someday.

Anything from the deep backups I should know?

His spot on the depth chart says it's late early but maybe we're not ready to write off (RS freshman) Jaydon Hood.

He also recovered well from bouncing around inside to keep this 3rd and long.

This won't surprise you but a lot of the true freshman aren't ready to play in Game 2. Kenneth Grant is still raw, though in the rotation. Keon Sabb, Micah Pollard, and Kody Jones got their feet wet. Jones liked to attack and ask questions later, which led to a –6 day for him. Amorion Walker was only on-screen for his penalty but the athleticism is insane so if they do want to put him out there until the receiver room clears out, uh, it might work.

Heroes?

Mason Graham (hello!), Kris Jenkins, Mike Morris, Mike Barrett, and the entire two-deep of the secondary.

Maybe not so heroic?

The true freshmen who aren't Mason Graham or Will Johnson who allowed Hawai'i to cover a 52-point spread.

What does it mean for UConn Maryland and Beyond?

Hello Mason Graham Sir. Defense JJ McCarthy: LFG! I would never believe it's possible to get a Ryan Glasgow directly out of high school but apparently I'm wrong. George Karlaftis is another comparison. No I will not accept Hawai'i caveats. I will not be quoting this section in a future UFR against live competition because this will not come back and bite me in the ass.

This is a dem fine starting 11. There's a point very early in the game where they've used up the one time Mazi Smith isn't going to take them seriously and Hawai'i realizes that a strategy of getting zero yards on 80% of their plays is going to result in a better curve than their other options.

Michael Barrett for weird WLB. Oh darn, Minter is just going to have to draw some stuff up.

Minter is going to draw some stuff up. If they used the hammerin' linebacker blitz for Hawai'i imagine what he's saving for the other guys in green.

Comments

Hab

September 13th, 2022 at 2:25 PM ^

Yes, it's a particularly clever troll of Michigan fans still scarred from watching Patterson and McNamara allow crashes on our backs with impunity...

And now Cade has been relegated to the Patterson trash bin...  

Seth

September 13th, 2022 at 2:35 PM ^

That's harsh. He does this. If JJ gets hurt (not...like unthinkable if he keeps playing how he does) Cade is the guy trying to lead us back to the championship, and also the guy who doesn't keep it on zone reads to the point where defenses don't check him.

gbdub

September 14th, 2022 at 9:24 AM ^

I think everyone here is misreading Hab’s comment? He’s not criticizing Cade, he’s criticizing you (Seth) for leveling some pretty harsh snark at Cade there and “relegating him to the Patterson trash bin”

I mean you’re not wrong about the technical assessment, but the joking at the expense of a team captain who got booed off his own field a couple nights ago for not being the new guy seems a bit in poor taste.

Also, I don’t even know if the comparison is all that great - Patterson ran more than Cade did. And generally was a significantly worse QB as a 5th year than Cade was as a sophomore. 

MgofanNC

September 13th, 2022 at 4:01 PM ^

Out of this whole post on the DEFENSE your move is to dunk on Cade... the guy who just lost his starting job and is (at least partially) responsible for giving UM it's swagger back and making us a nationally relevant team? Interesting approach to fandom there. 

Ballislife

September 13th, 2022 at 2:36 PM ^

I'm glad that it seems like we have such solid depth on this defense. Getting these reps in now for the 2nd, 3rd, and 4th string guys is going to pay huge dividends throughout this year and for future years. 

Tex_Ind_Blue

September 13th, 2022 at 2:59 PM ^

The yardage graph is great! Love it. To me, it shows how dominant the defense is without hand-waving. Most plays in 2s, 1s, and below, chances are the opposite offense didn't stay on the field long. 

JBDaddy

September 13th, 2022 at 3:00 PM ^

Props Seth (do kids still say props?).  That's a LOT of review for a Hawai'i game.  I admit I usually skip the per-play charting and just read the dialogue, and even THAT seems like it's going to take most of a week to totally absorb.

WindyCityBlue

September 13th, 2022 at 3:05 PM ^

I commented in the game thread that I thought the UFR was probably not worth the effort this week.  I was kinda being serious, but here we are!  Thanks Seth for not listening to me.

Wallaby Court

September 13th, 2022 at 3:58 PM ^

It's a "tip of the hat" to an opposing player for the contribution to Michigan's success or failure on a particular play. You can probably trace the idea back to an article that Seth wrote a year or two ago (but that I cannot find right now) about the three ways a either side of a football team can win a play: 1) be fundamentally sound; 2) be unsound in an advantageous manner; or 3) have someone be a dude.

RPS basically addresses options one and two. A hat+ tracks when Michigan loses a play despite a schematic advantage because a specific player on the other team did something awesome. A hat- tracks when Michigan wins a play despite a schematic disadvantage because a specific player on the other team did something terrible.

JFW

September 13th, 2022 at 3:26 PM ^

A) To those booing Cade, just pack your $hit up and leave for awhile. To you UM must stand for Ungrateful MF'ers. JJ wasn't ready last year. He is now, and I wish him the best. But Cade, whatever happened the last two games, was a hell of a QB last year and a great leader who won the respect of his team. All the mewling people made up because he didn't do it the way you wanted ('but he didn't rrruuuuuunnnnnn') makes you look foolish as he leads the team to beat OSU and win a B1G title. You made a stupid selfish move and you should be ashamed. $ to donuts Cade leaves and ends up starting, and radically upgrading, the QB position somewhere else. 

B) Good for JJ. Man, he looked great. Just remember people: He's human. He's only a sophomore. He'll do something stupid in the future. It might even cost us a game. Just accept that and then if/when it happens you'll understand people make mistakes, the world doesn't owe you an undefeated season (nor does JJ) and JJ's still a good QB. 

C) Related to (B). When JJ does make a mistake, don't go looking at Davis Warren and start the same crap we've seen with every QB since Harbaugh got here with the exception of Ruddock. I can hear echoes of some relatives who screamed for JJ last year and pointed to a play he screwed up, then salvaged, as the sign he should be thrown into the frying pan right away. 

 

MGoOhNo

September 14th, 2022 at 12:19 PM ^

A) that’s just, like, your opinion, man. McNamara may leave, that’s college football 2022. He acted like a petulant child in the post CSU presser after underperforming in a blowout. That’s not endearing behavior no matter what you’ve done in the past.

B) that’s not some new take - everyone understands there’s a trade off between McCarthy’s upside and his potential “ouch, he just did that” moments - but let’s not wish it on the kid as he may prove he’s outgrown that aspect of his game.

C) your relatives suck, but don’t project that on everyone else here, that’s your burden to bear, not ours.

lhglrkwg

September 13th, 2022 at 3:46 PM ^

I regret to inform you Michigan's back-back bench is holding developmental freshmen who might not beat Nebraska if called upon.

Whoa whoa whoa. Let's not slander the developmental freshmen 

dragonchild

September 13th, 2022 at 4:58 PM ^

Hawai'i's tight end was a super-cyan

*groan*

Except I too made that joke.  I should punish myself.

P.S. I'm worried about these blowout RPS scores.  I'll also echo Brian's ode to JJ, but for Minter instead of Graham, and in particular the "don't be weird" part.  As in, I just hope Minter doesn't happen to be a defensive version of Al Borges and is burning through all his cute amoeba ideas on cupcakes and then will run out the same plays against MSU and OSU, well after they've been scouted to hell and gone.  That "defensive fullback" thing was clever, and now we can't use it.

Don't be weird, Minter.  Please, please, please, please don't be weird.

brad

September 13th, 2022 at 5:11 PM ^

I was going to comment that I think you're personally a little too hard on McGregor for whatever reason.  But then, while scrolling all the way down to the comments section, I be like dang, this is a colossal amount of work Seth put in here.  So, I preemptively take it back, thanks for putting in work for all of our benefit Seth!