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Date Title Body
10/31/2018 - 4:51pm I like this and see two…

I like this and see two potential ways to account for the distortion of short, successful drives caused by returns or turnovers. The first would be to weight drives and points based on length. However, I suspect that would change the purpose of the metric. Alternately, you could simply filter out all drives that start inside the opponent's 30 (or 25 or 20) yard line. At some range, points should be assumed, either from a field goal or a touchdown.

09/27/2018 - 2:27pm Sierra Romero Cook gets my…

Sierra Romero Cook gets my vote.

09/25/2018 - 1:54pm Au contraire! I interpreted…

Au contraire! I interpreted Patterson's chase as a jest, not an earnest attempt to collect his missed high five. Something about his run read as being in on the joke.

09/21/2018 - 1:46pm I think Michigan also got…

I think Michigan also got flatfooted when SMU switched quarterbacks at the half. Like O'Korn against Purdue or *sigh* Haskins against Michigan, Brown had the advantage of being talented and unseen, which may have thrown off Michigan's gameplan.

09/21/2018 - 11:52am Rick is the nom de blog for…

Rick is the nom de blog for the the camera operator or game director at Fox who consistently produces nice, wide-angle shots and replays for Michigan games. He receives acclaim because BTN and ESPN have a track record of pore-o-vision and missed plays that made UFRs really difficult. Brian had trouble grading safeties, corners, and even linebackers because the camera operators and directors frequently left them out of frame.

09/17/2018 - 11:15am I disagree that Harbaugh's…

I disagree that Harbaugh's demeanor has radically changed. He's certainly calmer, but he also got after the referees on multiple occasions. What may have changed more is coverage of his demeanor. I have seen far fewer shots aired of Harbaugh on the sidelines.

08/23/2018 - 12:04pm You've hit on something that…

You've hit on something that's been needling me since the revelation that Urban Meyer deleted his text messages.

I'm not sure that Tom Brady's actions were all that distinguishable. The severity and nature of the underlying allegations were different, but Brady's destruction of his phones and texts is fundamentally identical to Meyer's deletion of his texts. I am not sure Brady's actions were more defensible than Meyer's. There was an ongoing investigation that Brady impeded.

08/21/2018 - 5:51pm Iron Maiden, Urge Overkill,…

Iron Maiden, Urge Overkill, The Smiths, Big Head Todd & the Monsters, Babymetal, R.E.M., Simon&Garfunkel, Johnny Cash, Rush, and Lloyd Cole.

One of these things is not like the others, one of these things doesn't belong...

I'm feeling the Babymetal love, but it's is a weird outlier in your list.

08/21/2018 - 5:07pm Coheed and Cambria dropped…

Coheed and Cambria dropped an EP in advance of their upcoming album, so I've been crushing that for the last few days.

08/10/2018 - 12:52pm As a counterpoint, don't…

As a counterpoint, don't brine it. Or at least, don't use a traditional brine. Convert to the church of dry brining; we have more flavorful meats!

08/10/2018 - 11:42am My best guess is that Pep…

My best guess is that Pep and Drevno had two playbooks with different sets of terminology that got joined together in a shotgun (or is it under center?) wedding. Hypothetically, Pep, as passing game coordinator, has a playbook with pass protection schemes. Drevno, as running game coordinator, also has a playbook with run blocking schemes and as a former OC, he's also got his own pass blocking scheme. Since, Drevno is effectively the offensive line coach, Pep's pass protection gets sent to Drevno to implement. But Drevno also has some larger, quasi-OC duties, so he layers Pep's pass protection over his pass protection and his run blocking, creating a muddled mess.

06/06/2018 - 1:47pm I just took a look at the…

I just took a look at the site on mobile. Most of the footer disappears on mobile (no Joined or MGoPoints fields), but the comments are just huge. There's a lot of whitespace above and below that makes it impossible to see more than two single-line comments at a time.

06/06/2018 - 12:26pm This is a semi-related meta…

This is a semi-related meta-question (or suggestion?). Is it possible to reformat or compress the comment footer? I think the problem is the Joined and MGoPoints fields are both doublespaced.

It looks clunky, oversized, and odd that the footer takes up as much space as most the comment itself. IMHO, it decreases the readability of comment threads, since successive comments start that much further down screen.

(Why yes, I do have weird tics and bugaboos about formatting. Why do you ask?)

05/10/2018 - 5:53pm Cincinnati has a weird identity crisis.

In addition, Cincinnati has aspirations (or are they delusions?) of being an east coast metropolis, while also acting like an extension of Kentucky.

05/03/2018 - 1:05pm Come now.

The NFL's position is hardly hypocritical. Teams are perfectly fine with slowly murdering their players, so long as no one really notices. It's the specter of sudden murder that scared them off. It's much harder to deflect responsibility when it happens all once, rather than over the course of a career.

05/03/2018 - 9:18am Law of Unintended Consequnces

I tend to agree with SRJK's analysis. In 2016, Harbaugh saw a problem with Drevno's ability to coach OL and cocoordinate the offense. Hiring Frey was Harbaugh's attempt to correct that issue. It was not an ill-conceived, half-baked, or unprecedented approach. Unfortunately, his solution caused another unanticipated problem, because Frey and Drevno did not mesh. And the interaction between their approaches, schemes, terminologies, or personalities sowed chaos in the OL.

The future friction between Frey and Drevno was not so self-evident that it should have been considered from the start. In other words, Harbaugh did not see this problem because he created it in an attempt to solve a different problem.

E1: Proofreading is fun.

E2: Someone posted that Harbaugh used a similar OL coaching split with Drevno and Greg Roman to great success at Stanford. That suggests that last year's chaos was an unintended consequence of resurrecting that previously successful approach.

05/01/2018 - 1:05pm We disagree!

The syllabus for a recruit's ranking varies by recruiting service, position, scout, and even recruit. Some players and positions are evaulated by their NFL potential, while others are only measured against their college potential.

Despite that variance, I suspect that higher ranked recruits have higher professional potential. The notable exception would be quarterback, since that position can differ so substantially between college and the NFL. But in general, highly rated players should have substantial NFL potential. If you have the right skills and measurables, you will get a high recruiting ranking. Those skills and measurables usually correlate with NFL potential.

05/01/2018 - 9:34am Both the NBA and the NHL need

Both the NBA and the NHL need fewer games in the regular season and should subtract a round from the playoffs. No league should have more than half of its teams make the playoffs.

04/25/2018 - 1:29pm Again with the recency bias

Despite my earlier snark, I could not agree more. It does not matter if it's 5% or 99% of your trek; 101 miles is always a long stretch.

04/25/2018 - 11:17am Remember the denominator!

There's a lot of Appalacian Trail in Shenandoah, but let's not overstate things. 101 out 2,200+ miles hardly qualifies as massive.

04/25/2018 - 11:14am Recency bias?

I just got back from backpacking in Shenandoah. What a beautiful park. It's also very approachable for less outdoorsy types. Because Shenandoah is long, narrow, and split by Skyline Drive, you can access nearly anything in the park after a quick drive and a short hike.

That said, my all time favorite park is probably Rocky Mountain or Pictured Rocks.

04/06/2018 - 2:44pm Think about it. Reporters are

Think about it. Reporters are out in the middle of nowhere with some quarterback they barely know. They look around them, what do they see? Nothing but other position groups. “Oh, there’s plenty else for me to report, what am I gonna do, hype Patterson?”

04/06/2018 - 1:47pm Whelp.

So much for my interpretation.

04/06/2018 - 1:41pm The Implication

I understood that passage to mean that breathless Shea Patterson reporting has diminished. Neither Patterson's ability nor eligibility have changed. Reporting has shifted away from Patterson and the other quarterbacks to other position groups. Thus, the hype faucet only delivers a trickle.

01/19/2018 - 12:35pm End-of-Game Filtering

Would it be possible to filter your data to remove fouls in the last two minutes of gametime? I know you used box scores, not raw data, but another intrepid MGoBlogger might have that ability. Since your objective is to analyze home court effect on referees, filtering should focus the analysis on referees' chosen calls to the exclusion of end-of-game intentional fouls.

01/17/2018 - 2:50pm Thirded?

You've echoed my impression of KeePass. When I researched KeePass, I liked its model, but not the setup and upkeep requirements. Since my wife also uses the same password manager and is not as technically inclined as me, I elected for something easy to use, if less secure.

01/17/2018 - 2:43pm Tempo-free, opponent-adjusted statistics.

KenPom produces tempo-free, opponent-adjusted statistics. Tempo-free means the statistics are calculated on a possession basis to correct for the differences in counting statistics caused by teams that play faster or slower. Opponent-adjusted means exactly what it sounds like. The raw numbers get tweaked to account for the strength of a team's opponents.

As applied to the OP's table, AdjO is the number of points the team is expected to score against an average D1 opponent over 100 possessions. AdjD is the number of points the team is expected to surrender to an average D1 opponent over 100 possessions. The final column is the difference between AdjO and AdjD and roughly represents the scoring margin over 100 possessions against an average D1 opponent.

01/17/2018 - 9:37am LastPass

I discovered the same problem early last year. After digging around, I settled on LastPass over Dashlane and KeePass. Dashlane did not allow syncing in its basic form, and KeePass looked more technical than I needed. LastPass hit the sweet spot on the spectrum between security and ease of use.

11/16/2017 - 2:33pm I'll second the Vintage. It's

I'll second the Vintage. It's a bar, but a bit more mature than the KK. I'd also look at the Echo Tap. It's just a few blocks on the other side of the Kohl Center.

11/16/2017 - 2:25pm Cooper's Tavern qualifies as

Cooper's Tavern qualifies as good but not great. The Wisconsin Brewing Tap Haus, the Old Fashioned, Merchant, and the Tipsy Cow are all at least its equals and within a block or two. If you really need a Michigan fix, Hop Cat has an outpost right off of State Street.

11/16/2017 - 2:17pm As Michigan (and Wisconsin)

As Michigan (and Wisconsin) grad, I have several Madison-related confessions. First, the cheese curds at the Old Fashioned are the primary reason I went to graduate school at Wisconsin. Second, Madison is a better college town than Ann Arbor.

This is a long-winded way of saying that you should go to the Old Fashioned and get cheese curds. However, the wait will probably be interminable. But worth it. So, so worth it.

09/22/2017 - 10:41am The Verve Pipe has your answer.

As to your last question, I suspect DPJ only returns punts because he's still a freshman. Harbaugh said as much after the Cincinnati game.

I suspect the coaches only want him to miss to a limited number of offensive reps for special teams reps while he is developing as a receiver. If DPJ's marginal utility is higher on punts than kickoffs, then that's where his available reps get spent. As the season progresses, DPJ may start taking over kickoff returns as he develops more comfort with the offense.

09/20/2017 - 10:11am But is it map that anyone else can read?

I have had similar concerns, but I think they may be overblown. Air Force, like Michigan, runs a particular and complex defensive scheme. It did not beat Michigan with just blitzes, but with disguised, faked, and delayed blitzes. Based on Don Brown's defensive history, teaching such a system takes time and expertise. If every team could run a Don Brown or Air Force defense, it would. But most teams do not have the time, coaches, or personnel to do so. Installing a disguised blitz package in one week is just unlikely to happen. Teams that try it are more likely to end up in chaos and breakdowns for the offense to exploit.

Plus, Michigan may have a counterpunch available. TaiStreetsMyHero's recent analysis suggested that Michigan tried to defeat Air Force's blitzes by keeping the TE and RB in to block and trying to hit on long developing routes. However, Air Force got clever and turned them in to wasted blockers. The solution to the blitz problem may be to get the TE and RB into quick routes instead of leaving them to block air.

07/28/2017 - 9:42am While I did not listen to the

While I did not listen to the piece, I interpret the comment about being vocal with the twos and threes as commentary on Peppers' discretion, not a revelation that he does not take first team reps. It makes no sense to give no first team opportunities to your first round pick. When practicing with the twos and threes, Peppers takes charge and directs defenders. When practicing with the ones, he follows the lead of more senior or experienced players.

07/07/2017 - 5:21pm Not Recently

I don't think he's done so recently, but that may be a result of Harbaugh's recruiting acumen and talent idenfication. Incoming recruits should have potential and generate excitement.  

06/30/2017 - 8:49am If you toggle off uBlock

If you toggle off uBlock Origin, you'll get assaulted by banner ads on the bottom, sponsorship logos to above every table, and some nice inline ads throughout. Not cool Michigan, not cool.

06/30/2017 - 8:47am I use uBlock Origin and just

I use uBlock Origin and just tried the website with and without it enabled. They really did cripple it for adbock users. Since I happen to like the Unversity of Michigan, I'd normally whitelist, but the ads are really intrusive. I am not a fan.

06/27/2017 - 3:06pm Everyone agrees (or should

Everyone agrees (or should agree) that Texas would improve the Big Ten's athletics. The question is whether the athletic improvement is worth the baggage and arrogance (for lack of a better term) that comes with Texas. 

06/27/2017 - 11:19am While good on paper, I think

While good on paper, I think Texas would be a poor fit. My understanding is that Texas has been a pain as a conference mate. Its administrative and financial dominance of the Big 12 directly or indirectly drove Texas A&M and Nebraska to the SEC and Big Ten. I cannot imagine Texas joining the Big Ten and not trying to throw its weight around in a similar fashion.

01/30/2017 - 2:49pm Dual Threat Security Check

I would almost guarantee it includes a pat down. You see a security check, but Saban sees another recuiting edge. Why just check weapons when you can also verify measurables and confirm muscle tone? St. Saban's Memorial Hospital isn't going to fill itself.

10/27/2016 - 12:08pm Come on.

FFS, I was trying to hold out for the last hour before lunch. This is just evil. I'm about to start gnawing on my monitor.

05/26/2016 - 9:17am Mssrs. Heston and Benbrook

Mssrs. Heston and Benbrook look like genial individuals, but Mssr. Schulz appears to have cultivated a bad attitude. I would expect nothing less from the man who invented the linebacker position.

05/24/2016 - 3:43pm Not That Kind of Guru

I make no claims to being a recruiting guru. However, Brian has previously laid out his heuristic for determing the appropriate reaction to a recruit's public statements. If I recall, it works something like this:

  1. Recruits always say nice things after a visit. Evaluating those statements is an exercise in qualitative analysis. Is he praising the cafeteria food? Be worried. Is he bubbling with enthusiasm about the program and coaches? Be pleased, but don't go overboard.
  2. Recruits usually say nice things to analysts affiliated with a particular school. Your analysis should follow the same pattern as no. 1.
  3. Recruits say interesting things to unaffiliated analysts. If he keeps bringing up Michigan when talking to Alabama reports, get hype. 

Vilain's comments fall into categories 1 and 2. He's making a statement to a Michigan insider in the immediate aftermath of a visit. While his reaction is great, you should temper your enthusiasm with context.

04/07/2016 - 9:32pm You forgot the best part! All

You forgot the best part! All tests are multiple choice and remixes of prior tests, which are archived on the class website. In short, reading and lecture attendence are also optional.

05/21/2015 - 8:55am I disagree. Buffet > plated.

Admittedly, some of this was unique to our wedding. Our caterers were incredibly efficient. We had over 120 guests, and everyone was through the buffet within 20 minutes. The venue did not have a full kitchen on site, so our caterers had to cook offsite, then bring everything to the venue. To serve a plated menu, they would have set up a buffet in the prep area to make plates. At that point, we figured it made just as much sense to do an actual buffet. Plus, there was no difference in cost.

I've been to too many plated weddings where I wanted to stab someone for extra food after caterers skimped on the plating. Never had that problem at a buffet.

05/20/2015 - 5:37pm Recent Husband with Advice!

I got married very recently (like, two Saturdays ago!), so I have timely advice.

  • Do photographs before the ceremony. Yes, you don't get the at the altar reveal. But my wife worked with the photographer so that we got our own private reveal. It was much better, and we had the bulk of the photographs finished before our guests arrived. We took a few after-ceremony shots, then got to spend time with our guests.
  • Pick and choose your costs. We didn't care about decorations or centerpieces at the reception, so we did them ourselves and saved money. We did care about food, so we shopped around alot until we found what we liked.
  • Buffet > plated.
  • Drink more water. Did you finish your last glass? Don't care, get another. You will be talking all evening and find yourself dehydrated if you don't pay attention.
  • But you won't have time to drink. Everyone will still offer to get you a beer or drink, even though you're holding a two-thirds filled glass.
  • Seat significant others of the wedding party at the head table. Nothing sucks more than being the significant other of the wedding party. Both of us had done it before and essentially ended up flying solo at a wedding where we didn't really know anyone. We had only two bridesmaids and three groomsman, so we sat significant others up front with us.
04/15/2015 - 5:18pm Ann Arbor < Madison

I spent four years in undergrad in Ann Arbor, and I'm a third generation fan (and graduate). However, I did my graduate school at UW in Madison. I firmly believe that, with the exception of the local team, Madison is better than Ann Arbor in every possible way.

06/02/2014 - 2:35pm Doubling Up

On a related note, does anyone know if it is possible to double up on any of the contribution levels? I would really like to just buy two normal HTTVs (rather than a normal HTTV and delayed signed edition) so I can keep one for myself and have the other shipped to my dad.

I suppose I could make a second Kickstarter account, but I'd rather just pay for two copies.

08/01/2012 - 9:52pm Having moved from Madison

Having moved from Madison about one month ago, the area where Ball was jumped has become dangerous in the last few months. Not long ago, there was a random shooting outside of a bar within a block of this attack. During the day, the area is safe. At night, things around there have gotten more dangerous.

07/31/2012 - 9:59pm I disagree w/r/t Quantum of Solace

I completely disagree as to the quality of Quantum as an action movie. It was a terrible action movie. The fight scenes are visually incomprehensible and almost nauseating to watch. I hate everything about the quick-cut, shaky-cam approach they took in that movie. While it can be useful in very limited situations to convey a sense of visceral action and tension, taking to the extreme of Quantum is inexcusable. Frankly, I think quick-cut, shaky-cam needs to take a five to ten year break. It is so pervasive (see The Hunger Games) that it has lost any impact. Movies like Saving Private Ryan and The Bourne Identity succeeded with QCSC because it was so novel and unexpected. It needs to disappear if it is to retain any impact.