A Modest Attempt at Perspective
Here goes. First, the bad:
• The generally disappointing performance of the program over the past 10-15 years and persistent futility against our two main rivals should trigger some legitimate introspection.
• The way in which we lost the Outback Bowl, coupled with the disappointing 2017 season, dismal offense, and persistent weaknesses that date back to last season or earlier (e.g., poor offensive line play) raise legitimate questions about whether the issues plaguing this team are systemic.
• Jim Harbaugh’s failure to develop an elite QB so far legitimately tarnishes his reputation as a QB guru.
• Pep Hamilton, Tim Drevno, and perhaps other offensive assistants may need to be replaced.
• The above, coupled with the fact that Michigan has failed to finish better than 3rd in the B1G East three years into the Harbaugh era, raises legitimate questions about whether the Jesus-like hype surrounding Harbaugh and his antics is excessive and unwarranted.
Having said all of that, we ultimately need to keep the good in mind:
• This program was a complete and total train wreck when Harbaugh got here, and he doubled the team’s win total in his first season.
• For all of the issues on offense, the defense actually overachieved with another top 5 finish despite losing 10 of 11 starters from 2016.
• The defense returns 9 of 11 starters in 2018 and is poised for another dominant year.
• Many blue-chip recruits, like Rashan Gary, Khaleke Hudson, and Devin Bush Jr., have lived up to their hype and then some.
• What isn’t the product of hype is Harbaugh’s track record, having turned around two miserably underperforming teams, coached two Heisman Trophy runners-up, and molded a group of unknown recruits into the country’s best offensive line in 2010 at Stanford.
So that’s where we’re at. This will be a long, painful, and critical offseason. We have no choice but to take our lumps from Sparties and Buckeyes who will spare no opportunity to point out Harbaugh’s 1-5 record against them, our painfully long B1G championship drought, and the fact that Michigan was the lone blemish on an otherwise perfect B1G bowl record. HOWEVER, the light at the end of the tunnel is still in sight. It may be further off than we wanted, and the tunnel has had some unexpected twists and turns, but the light is still visible. All we can do is be patient and keep the faith. There are still plenty of legitimate reasons to do that. And it beats sky-is-falling hysterics or head-in-the-sand rehashing of old statistics that bear no relevance to the program today. Now neg away.
January 3rd, 2018 at 11:48 PM ^
January 4th, 2018 at 12:08 AM ^
January 4th, 2018 at 5:44 AM ^
January 4th, 2018 at 9:01 AM ^
MSU lined up over the longsnapper and broke his thumb but no one ever talks about that ref screw job.
Harbaugh says long snapper Scott Sypniewski seriously injured his thumb on the last play of the MSU game. Might be broken.
— Nick Baumgardner (@nickbaumgardner) November 1, 2015
January 4th, 2018 at 9:40 AM ^
Always with the refs. Jesus, it's like a fucking sickness. The refs didn't decide the MSU game.
January 4th, 2018 at 10:46 AM ^
It was no ones fault and everyones fault
January 4th, 2018 at 10:47 AM ^
January 4th, 2018 at 3:53 PM ^
1) The guy that hit him was lined up outside the snapper’s shoulder pads.
2) it appears to me from viewing the video that the G is hit before the LS - thus making running over the LS completely legal under the rules.
"Immediately after the snap, with Team A in an obvious scrimmage kick formation, noseguard B71 attempts to “shoot the gap” between the snapper and the adjacent lineman. B71’s initial legal contact is with the lineman next to the snapper. RULING: Legal. Incidental contact with the snapper after this initial legal contact is not a foul (Rule 2-15-10)."
January 4th, 2018 at 7:38 AM ^
if it would be RR or Hoke's fault if they made the same decision.
And if you believe that would be the general consensus here you're fooling yourself. If it had been either RR or Hoke that had sent gunners down the field on that play despite the fact it was obvious that MSU would be going all-out to block the kick, it would be mentioned every day on MGoBlog as an example of their coaching incompetence. But since it happened under Harbaugh, he gets a pass.
If Michigan had been back in max protect, the odds of MSU pulling off that play even if the snap was muffed would have gone down substantially.
January 4th, 2018 at 1:24 AM ^
January 4th, 2018 at 1:09 AM ^
January 3rd, 2018 at 11:42 PM ^
Go through all the stats, shit luck, bad play calling, etc, etc and you can do a tl;dr version of this.
I will always feel that last year was the disappointment - (Iowa loss, and OSU robbery). We underachieved last year, it was a playoff caliber team.
By no means am I saying that this year's team was coached up beyond talent or experience level level, developed well, or couldn't have won a couple more games - but this year's team was never going to be a world beater with so much youth on the field.
Last year was crushingly disappointing. This year was a tough take your knocks and grow kind of year.
January 4th, 2018 at 7:14 AM ^
These are now just excuses. We know all of the limitations we faced going into this season and our expectations were tempered for them. However, the product delivered did not meet those expectations, and it wasn't even close. No more slack can be given.
January 4th, 2018 at 11:52 AM ^
The expectation going into the season was 8 or 9 wins. We got 8. There was plenty to be disappointed about but the idea that we were way off target is nonsense. People just got overly excited after Florida.
January 4th, 2018 at 12:01 PM ^
The media hyped the season, the media is leading the meltdown.
One look at our 2013, 2014 and 2015 contributors shows that 8-5 wasn't that bad. Was is special? No. But you don't win a lot of college games in power five conferences with mostly freshmen and sophmores. You just don't.
The state of the program was a dumpster fire when he took over. Let's give him time to rebuild it without hyperventilating. And he won 10 games his first two years. Then he forgot how to coach? I'm doubting that
January 4th, 2018 at 9:18 AM ^
Right - I feel like puking everytime national pundit brings up that this was year 3 of Harbaugh, blah, underachieving, blah. Anyone paying any attention knew 2016 was the year that had the potential to go to the playoffs and really they were close. 2017 was not likely going to be nearly as good and the team wasn't. 2018 will definitely be a stronger team than 2017 with the potential to be as strong as the 2016 team.
January 3rd, 2018 at 11:43 PM ^
January 4th, 2018 at 12:56 AM ^
January 4th, 2018 at 1:16 AM ^
Regarding Brandon Peters, Harbaugh said earlier in the season that he "didn't take command on the field" or something to that effect. That is absence of leadership on the field was evident in the bowl game.
It takes more than being able to throw a perfect spiral to be a quarterback that leads their team to greatness. It takes that extra something that inspires teammates to play up to - and to exceed - their expectations. Hopefully Brandon will find that fire that will transform him and, if he doesn't, my guess is that Dylan or Shea will have it (and the starting job).
Go Blue..
January 4th, 2018 at 1:18 AM ^
January 4th, 2018 at 1:27 AM ^
January 4th, 2018 at 1:50 AM ^
Huge strides from Rudock says one helluva lot more about him than the coach. It was Jake Rudock that put in all the hard work and study to make himself what he became at Michigan. He simply wasn't with Michigan long enough for Harbaugh to have a huge impact. Let's not forget that Rudock didn't receive coaching from the Michigan staff until four weeks before the 2015 season opener. Some impact, sure, a huge impact, no. And to suggest otherwise is selling Rudock extremely short and denigrating what he himself accomplished.
January 4th, 2018 at 7:42 AM ^
and I've never seen that opinion expressed here either. It's a fact that the Rudock who opened the season was not the same Rudock who finished the season.
It's not hard to identify a major change in QB coaching from 2016 to 2017.
January 4th, 2018 at 5:13 AM ^
We had a different QB coach and passing game coordinator in 2017.
Note that the passing game coordinator and QB coach who left UM after 2016 ended up at UCLA, whose S&P+ Offensive ranking jumped nearly 60 spots this year under his command.
January 4th, 2018 at 8:42 AM ^
Huge strides from Rudock in 2015
Rudock got better - but there were no "huge strides".
Rudock average year at Iowa:
60.3% completions, 2410 yards, 17TD, 9 INT, 7 Y/A
130.0 QB rating
Rudock at Michigan:
64.0% completions, 3017 yards, 20TD, 9 INT, 7.8 Y/A
141.1 QB rating
If you look at his career trajectory and his increased number of pass attempts in 2015 vs. his previous years, his stats are not a big deviation from what would be expected.
January 6th, 2018 at 11:49 AM ^
Year | School | Conf | Class | Pos | G | Cmp | Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | AY/A | TD | Int | Rate |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
*2013 | Iowa | Big Ten | SO | QB | 13 | 204 | 346 | 59.0 | 2383 | 6.9 | 6.2 | 18 | 13 | 126.5 |
*2014 | Iowa | Big Ten | JR | QB | 12 | 213 | 345 | 61.7 | 2436 | 7.1 | 7.3 | 16 | 5 | 133.5 |
*2015 | Michigan | Big Ten | SR | QB | 13 | 249 | 389 | 64.0 | 3017 | 7.8 | 7.7 | 20 | 9 | 141.5 |
Rudock definitely improved here but he was already much better than people give him credit for. For as much as Speight improved in 2016, he regressed almost just as much in 2017.
2017 was an anomaly (I think/hope) but something still needs to change.
January 4th, 2018 at 7:49 AM ^
I think that had Speight stayed healthy we see a gradual improvement all year. Doubly so if black stays healthy.
January 4th, 2018 at 8:40 AM ^
"Jim Harbaugh’s failure to develop an elite QB so far legitimately tarnishes his reputation as a QB guru."
Harbaugh inherited, Speight, Malzone and Morris. Went out and got Rudock and O'Korn and recruited Peters and DM.
Rudock got better here. Speight initially looked improved and then regressed. O'Korne stayed the same. Malzone and Morris never did much. DM is skinny and hasn't played. And Peters.
Speight's regression appears to be some combination of shell shock and poor offense around him. That is not necessarily a sign of lack of QB coaching to develop him. In fact, his early 2016 performance was solid and could be an example that supports the ability to develop QBs.
It could be that O'Korn, Malzone and Morris never had the talent to begin with, so no level of coaching would get them there. Yes, Harbuagh brought in O'Korn, but that could have just been a desperate attempt to get another body after looking around the QB room. Not someone who Harbaugh thought would develop into "the guy".
Of these, IMHO, the only one that tarnishes the 'QB guru' reputation is Peters. And that is only one player who is still young(ish). It could be argued that the Peters example is offset by the development Rudock showed.
Next year, if between Peters, DM and Patterson (if eligible) nobody emerges, then the QB guru image gets tarnished. As these are multiple Harbaugh's guys with whom he has had enough time to develop.
January 4th, 2018 at 11:51 AM ^
January 4th, 2018 at 6:23 AM ^
January 4th, 2018 at 7:44 AM ^
January 4th, 2018 at 10:28 AM ^
Yep. He's an RS freshman and not only that but he only started a couple of games. Also, as you pointed out he was originially down 2 starting OL. It was then 3 for most of the game as Kugler went out as well. And Onwenu was playing out of his position and he's only a sophomore.
The discouraging part though were all the open receivers he missed. Experience should be what helps you identify situations, make reads and locate guys open. At the point of pitch and catch it's just about mechanics.
I'm wondering if Peters was still having a hangover from being concussed. He seemed to take a big step back from before he went out and he had a month of practice
January 3rd, 2018 at 11:55 PM ^
January 4th, 2018 at 5:42 AM ^
January 4th, 2018 at 12:05 AM ^
January 4th, 2018 at 12:17 AM ^
Its hard to have perspective after a loss to end a disappointing season. Even if we expected a down season .
Its also hard when your rivals have been doing so well, as we have declined . Another Team within out division has risen out of the ashes and seemingly out of nowhere has passed us .
Our coach gets more attention for what he has done off the field than on it in his time here .
Its alot to get past . Hopefully winning , and winning soon will be the cure in 2018
GO BLUE!!!
January 4th, 2018 at 12:19 AM ^
January 4th, 2018 at 12:21 AM ^
January 4th, 2018 at 12:27 AM ^
January 4th, 2018 at 12:31 AM ^
January 4th, 2018 at 12:36 AM ^
January 4th, 2018 at 12:42 AM ^
January 4th, 2018 at 1:16 AM ^
January 4th, 2018 at 2:50 AM ^
January 4th, 2018 at 4:18 AM ^
January 4th, 2018 at 9:46 AM ^
How is that possible with the QB whisperer? Clearly Malzone has talent (3/4 recruiting services have him at 4 stars) and he was coached entirely by Harbaugh during his Michigan career.
January 4th, 2018 at 8:06 AM ^
January 4th, 2018 at 12:55 AM ^
The strength of schedule between the two teams isn't even close. If Michigan were in the West, they'd easily have been to the Big Ten Title game, almost every year. Iowa's big non-conference game is Iowa State, not Notre Dame, Alabama, etc. Iowa has only played OSU, the best program besides Alabama, 3 or 4 times since we expanded the conference.
Here is the perspective: We made a bad hire in Brady Hoke because we had a bad AD who passed/missed on the best coach. This has happened to every program besides OSU.
We now have one of the best football coaches in the country, who despite saying he doesn't want to coach in the NFL, has NFL writers etc saying he'd be the number one pick from teams with openings. We came off back to back 10-win seasons and missed the college playoff by 6 inches last year. This year we had one of the youngest teams in the NCAA because Brady Hoke didn't recruit QBs and O-line well, which meant that when we had to play our 3rd stringer we weren't that good on offense. Despite that, we had a weird monsoon loss to MSU, played Wisconsin and OSU tough, and then laid an egg in the bowl when the OC who's about to likely get fired did a poor job executing and we had a bad fumble (that we actually recovered) that swung the game. Did I mention that we didn't have 2/5 of our offensive line, our starting QB, and our most explosive wide receiver?
Jim Harbaugh is the best coach we can have. There is no coach that we could get who is better. We're returning almost every starter next year and have three 4 or 5 star QBs competing for the starting role. We also get out best wide receiver back, and, God willing, our best tackle who had a flukey injury that took him out for one and a half seasons.
January 4th, 2018 at 1:03 AM ^
January 4th, 2018 at 8:39 AM ^