Upon Further Review 2017: Offense vs Indiana Comment Count

Brian

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FORMATION NOTES. It was a manball outing, with 31 one-or-zero WR snaps. There were 23 two-WR snaps and 15 three-WR snaps, many of those on obvious passing downs. When not forced into WRs Michigan had an extreme preference for tight ends and fullbacks.

IU kept their safeties increasingly close to the LOS as the day progressed for obvious reasons. They did one weird thing with this gap in the line:

vlcsnap-2017-10-17-00h52m50s372

Their front was multiple, as they like to say, bouncing between even, under, over, and even some 3-4 stuff. They also had a few plays with a five-man line when they were trying to slow down Michigan's heavy sets. Here's Indiana in an under front with the FLAG OF DOOM waving:

vlcsnap-2017-10-16-18h54m48s454

SUBSTITUTION NOTES. Thin rotation. O'Korn went the whole way at QB. OL was the new usual with Bushell-Beatty playing the whole way at RT. Hill and Poggi split FB snaps; no Mason. TE was mostly Gentry and McKeon, with a healthy number of Wheatley and Bunting snaps. Eubanks didn't play.

RB was mostly Higdon with Evans and Isaac making cameos; Walker got two snaps and one carry. WR was DPJ, Crawford, Perry, and some Ways. DPJ seemed to get more snaps this week.

[After THE JUMP: a unicorn!]

Ln Dn Ds O Form RB TE WR D Form Box Type Play Player Yards
M29 1 10 Offset I 2 2 1 4-3 even SAM 7 Pass Hitch Gentry 9
Gentry at outside WR and runs a pretty crisp hitch, getting the CB to turn his hips and then stopping. O’Korn hits him with good timing. (CA, 3, protection 2/2, Gentry route +)
M38 2 1 I-Form Big 2 2 1 4-3 even SAM 8.5 Run Power O Higdon 2
McKeon(+0.5) is set to block down on a DE but when he slants inside he passes him off and gets a kickout. Cole(+1) picks up that guy and folds him inside. Gap outside. Onwenu(+0.5) pulls around tight and hits one LB; Poggi(-2) misses the second and Higdon gets met at the LOS. He falls forward.
M40 1 10 I-Form Big 2 2 1 4-3 even SAM 7.5 Pass PA Post DPJ Inc
This is a walk-in TD if it’s accurate and a probable chunk play if it’s reasonably short; instead it’s long; DPJ tracks this as well as you can and can’t even get a fingertip on it. (IN, 0, protection 2/2, RPS +2, DPJ vs run focused S)
M40 2 10 Shotgun 3-wide 2 1 2 Nickel even 6 Run Pin and pull Evans 4
IU runs a double A twist blitz to the backside; Bredeson(-1) gets beat by the NT’s sudden shift outside and that guy can run to the ball. Kugler(+1) IDs that guy and cuts him off and it looks like Evans can hit a gap for a second but that’s dodgy maybe. Evans(+1) is boxed in for a TFL when he reverses field and manages to get a few.
M44 3 6 Shotgun trips 1 1 3 3-3 stack 6 Pass Slant Gentry 6
Cole(-1) and Bredeson(-1) unprepared for a twist and DE gets through up the gut. O’Korn stands in and fires a slick slant just in front of a defender to Gentry. Both Gentry and Perry were open here. (CA+, 3, protection 0/2)
50 1 10 I-Form Big 2 2 1 Base 3-4 8.5 Run Split zone Isaac 8
IU covers both guards and slants away from this. Kugler(-1) doesn't read the slant away and never gets off the NT; LB shoots the gap behind. Isaac(+2) runs through this tackle and cuts behind, where Poggi(+0.5) got a good kick; Cole(+1) picked up a guy Wheatley(-1) missed on, and Bredeson(+2) gets his guy two yards downfield and sealed. Isaac picks through the second level, bashing a DB to the ground and pickup up a couple YAC.
O43 2 3 Ace 4-wide tight 1 3 1 Base 3-4? 6 Pass TE out Wheatley 4
IU trying to check on the snap as M’s formation surprises them. Easy flat read with a LB still getting into position on Wheatley. (CA, 3, protection 1/1, RPS +1)
O39 1 10 I-Form Big twin TE 2 2 1 4-3 even 8 Run Lead zone Walker 9
Another double A blitz with one of the LBs at the LOS. Second guy comes free and this looks bad for a moment; Onwenu(-1) driven into the backfield and Kugler stuck on a linebacker. Walker(+2) cuts away from the blitzer and high steps out of his tackle attempt. JBB(+1) is kicking a guy on the edge and maintains that block a long time. Hill(+1) made himself useful by hitting the guy who Onwenu was having trouble with. Hill has no chance at redirecting to the LB so it’s gotta be Bredeson(-1) who needs to get over here, but this guy was through the line so fast that I can’t really blame him too much. RPS -1. Walker is shorted a full two yards on this. By the time he steps out he’s got the first down by a yard. Refs -1.
O30 2 1 I-Form Big 2 2 1 4-3 even SAM 7 Run Power O Higdon 10
JBB(+1) and Onwenu(+1) blow out their DT. Kugler(+1) turns his guy upfield, Big gap. Poggi(+0.5) and Bredeson(+1) get kickouts and Higdon(+1) is able to cut behind the big double team for a chunk run.
O20 1 10 Offset I Big 2 2 1 4-3 even SAM 8 Pass Tunnel screen DPJ 2
This looks like a bad throw but it’s either this or getting the ball batted down. It does delay DPJ as he has to leap for it. Wheatley(+0.5) comes out a bit too downfield but does recover to shove the DB past; DB barely trips up DPJ. Bredeson(-2) ran by the playside LB who bit on play action, to go to the safety… and just as he’s getting to the S he looks back at the LB, thinks ohcrap, feints back to that guy, and decides he’s gone. He is gone, but at least he blocked the S. (not charted, 3, screen). DPJ has to feint inside the LB and gets tackled by DL pursuit.
O18 2 8 I-Form 2 1 2 Base 3-4 8 Run Power O Evans -4
Bit frustrating here as IU puts a safety at the LOS and rather implies a slant away from the power. They slant away from it and M gets beat. Gentry(-1) gets beat; JBB(-1) gets beat. Bredeson is pulling and gets cut off by JBB’s guy. I kind of think he should be able to get around this but that’s a good play; this is tough. Bredeson gets spun around by the guy he hits and Evans runs into him. He’s doomed. Evans(-1) makes a bad situation worse by giving up three yards on a fruitless bounce.
O22 3 12 Shotgun 3-wide 1 1 3 Nickel under 6 Pass Corner Perry Inc
This is open-ish but there’s a zone corner under it so throwing it high is understandable. Good timing, but the ball is too high for Perry… sort of. The ball goes through his hands at a height where it’s tough to tell how much of an opportunity he had to catch it. Tough, but makeable. If this is at Gentry no problem. (MA, 2, protection 2/2)
Drive Notes: FG(40), 3-0, 6 min 1st Q.
Ln Dn Ds O Form RB TE WR D Form Box Type Play Player Yards
O27 1 10 Offset I 2 1 2 4-3 under 7 Pass Throwaway N/A Inc
Pocket is mostly okay; Onwenu does get driven back some but O’Korn just has to reposition a little if he wants to keep surveying after a first read. First read not there, he bugs out of pocket and throws it away. (TA, 0, protection 2/2)
O27 2 10 Ace 3-wide 2 1 2 Base 3-4 7 Run Crack sweep Higdon 8 (Pen -10)
Telegraphed crack sweep with Hill motioning out to a wing TE spot. M pulls Cole and lets Bredeson try to deal with the playside end, which is odd. There’s no actual crack here. Playside LB widens out and doesn’t want to get sealed; DPJ(-2) gives him the world’s most obvious bear-hug hold. Playside is flowing hard; Higdon(+2) cuts behind two guys and runs through a tackle to create eight yards out of nothing. RPS -2.
O37 2 20 Shotgun trips bunch TE 1 1 3 4-3 even 6.5 Penalty False start JBB -5
JBB -1.
O42 2 25 Shotgun trips bunch TE 1 1 3 Nickel over 5.5 Run Pin and pull Higdon 6
Some disrespect to the passing game here as there’s a safety at 9 yards moving forward on the snap here. Cole(+1) and Gentry(+1) turn in DL; Bredeson(+1) kicks out a force guy; Kugler(+1) cuts a linebacker, and S is able to close this down at five yards. RPS -1.
O36 3 19 Shotgun trips bunch TE 1 1 3 3-3 stack 6.5 Run Inside zone Higdon 16
IU shows blitz with LBs lined up over the Gs and then tries to pass blitz. M runs right at it. Onwenu(+2) clubs a LB at the LOS five yards downfield; Kugler(+1) cuts off a guy trying to stunt. JBB(-1) gets beat inside badly, gets away with a hold (refs +2), and lets go quickly enough to avoid a call and get a -2. Higdon is through the line and gets to the safety and gets cut down just before the first down. Had a little room to put a move on there.
Drive Notes: FG(38), 6-0, 14 min 2nd Q.
Ln Dn Ds O Form RB TE WR D Form Box Type Play Player Yards
M20 1 10 Ace 1 2 2 Base 3-4 7 Run Inside zone Isaac 13
Isaac(+1) threatens frontside and then cuts back. JBB(+1) got an upfield kick of a DL slanting outside; Bunting(+1) got an extended block on an OLB that prevents anything but a diving ankle tackle near the sticks. Onwenu(+1) and Kugler(+1) shove a DT off the line to provide the gap, and the cutback ruins the LB level. Cole(+1) and Bredeson(+1) also hammer the other DT, perhaps making the LBs panic and rush frontside.
M33 1 10 ??? 1 2 2 ??? ? Run ? Isaac 3
TV misses this play so we can see IU’s QB put on a knee brace.
M36 2 7 I-Form Big twin TE 2 2 1 4-3 under 7.5 Pass Throwaway N/A Inc
PA. A two man route with Ways on some sort of hitch or comeback. And McKeon releasing on the other side. Playside S is at 8 yards, clearly creeping to the LOS presnap, and indeed bites on PA, but the route's not deep. O’Korn doesn’t think Ways is open. He doesn’t look at McKeon; he scrambles up in the pocket and throws it away. (TA, N/A, protection 2/2)
M36 3 7 Shotgun 3-wide 1 1 3 Nickel even 6 Pass Improv DPJ 17
Initial four man rush becomes six as two guys come late. M slides the protection; JBB(-1) does not read the blitzes and come off, instead shuffling into oblivion. McKeon(-1) loses his guy to the inside; Higdon has to come up and hit him; two guys through. O’Korn avoids them, breaking a tackle and floating in a delicate, beautiful ball to DPJ. Okay then. (DO+, 2, protection 0/2)
O47 1 10 Ace twin TE 1 2 2 4-3 under 8 Pass Scramble O’Korn 4 + 15 pen
We never get a replay of this but it really really looks like DPJ is running a post against a CB he wins inside against with zero safety help. Both guys are at 8 yards and both guys bite up on PA. I have no idea why he would not throw this. He has all day, never throws, scrambles for a few yards, gets hit by Scales as he slides. Targeting overturned, late hit stands. (TA, N/A, protection 2/2)
O28 1 10 Ace 1 2 2 4-3 over gap 7 Run Inside zone Higdon 16
Bizarre formation that has nobody between a NT and a DE lined up outside of a TE. This creates a huge bubble that IU invites you to attack. Michigan gets the implications of this. Bredeson(+1) finds the NT slanting across his face and shoves him upfield. Kugler(+1) releases direct to second level and gets a block on the MLB. Onwenu(+1) has a hard charging guy that he puts on the ground. Higdon(+1) does an excellent job to take an efficient path through the first level and shallow-cut away from the crashing S to run through his tackle. JBB(+1) also clubbed a guy. RPS +2.
O12 1 10 I-Form Big twin TE 2 2 1 4-3 even SAM 7 Run Iso Higdon 12
Iso weak isn’t going to be much as the playside LB comes up and hits Poggi(+1) about at the LOS, but Cole(+2) mashes his dude off the LOS and Higdon(+2) sees and takes the bounce. Crawford(+1) cracks down and takes out the S; CB does not replace.
Drive Notes: Touchdown, 13-0, 10 min 2nd Q.
Ln Dn Ds O Form RB TE WR D Form Box Type Play Player Yards
M27 1 10 Ace 3-wide 1 2 2 4-3 under 8 Pass PA waggle flat McKeon 2
Same action as last week’s successful crack sweeps featuring Wheatley, but M waggles out of it. O’Korn gets pressure, flat is the only thing open, immediate tackle. (CA, 3, protection N/A, RPS -1)
M29 2 8 Ace 1 2 2 4-3 even 7 Run Inside zone Higdon 1
Whole line gets blown by on a slant/CB blitz combo. Kugler(-1) beaten across his face instantly and that guy is in Higdon’s cookies in the backfield. Bredeson(-1) didn’t check to see if he should help. Onwenu(-1) didn’t check to see if he should help JBB(-1), who has the same problem. Bredeson and Onwenu then fail to get second level blocks. This is ugly; RPS -1, as the CB blitz was effective.
M30 3 7 I-Form 2 1 2 4-3 under 8 Pass Fade McDoom INT (Pen +15)
Two man route, both fades, O’Korn throws at McDoom covered by Fant. WTF. McDoom gets dominated on the route and the ball is both too short and too far inside; intercepted. Michigan gets bailed out by a horrendous PI call(refs +5) that should send whoever threw that flag back to pee-wee. M pays for it later, though. (IN, 0, protection 1/1, McDoom route -)
M45 1 10 Ace trips tight bunch 1 2 2 4-3 over SAM 6 Run End around McDoom 12 -15 pen
Here is how you McDoom. End around. M has McKeon(+1) flow backside and arc block a DE looking for split zone; he gets the job done. Backside LB does not bite on the Evans action and flows out hard. Cole(+0.5) manages to engage him but mostly chases to the back and then the guy trips. Own volition? Tangled feet? Shove? Dunno. McDoom(+1) manages to get around him and then cuts inside another tackler for an extra 3-4 yards. Crawford(-3) gets a dumb PF after the play.
M42 1 10 Ace trips tight bunch 1 2 2 4-3 even 6.5 Run Counter trey Evans -5
Unless Michigan changed what they’re doing here this looks like O’Korn almost pitching the ball on a crack sweep and then remembering the play, which throws off Evans and then they run into each other. Previous counters just run the counter without any QB fake action. This is… not that. So O’Korn(-3) is the issue here, and that’s unfortunate since M blocked their way through the first level at least with Cole(+1) and Bredeson(+1) hammering a DL with Bredeson getting a second level block; Onwenu(+0.5) gets a good kick and Kugler(+1) seals out the NT. M is going to get at least 6 and maybe a chunk without this.
M37 2 15 Ace 1 2 2 4-3 even 7 Run Inside zone Isaac 0
Double A twist blitz. Cole(+1) sees it and picks up a guy headed outside. Bredeson(-1) and Kugler(-1) both mis-ID their guy, so the first twist guy splits both of them and the second guy is free. I got mad at Isaac about this live and that was unfair, dude is snowed under super quick. Onwenu(+1) did handle his slanter with aplomb. RPS –2.
M37 3 15 Shotgun trips TE 1 2 2 5-0 over 7 Pass Flash screen DPJ 13
Decent blocks by Perry(+0.5) and Gentry(+0.5) but mostly a give up and punt from M that IU accommodates. (CA, 3, screen).
Drive Notes: Punt, 13-0, 5 min 2nd Q. Next drive starts with 1:46 on clock and M is just going for the locker room.
Ln Dn Ds O Form RB TE WR D Form Box Type Play Player Yards
M25 1 10 I-Form Big H 2 2 1 4-3 even 7.5 Run Power O Higdon 4
Bit of a goof here on the second level. Cole(+1) and Bredeson(+1) hammer their guy. Cole keeps hammering him; Bredeson pops off on the backside LB. This means MLB is coming around that block. Onwenu(-1) gets to him. Onwenu leans into the block and gets put on the inside of it, LB into Higdon’s flight path. Poggi responds, hitting that LB; that allows a safety to come up and hit after modest gain. Wheatley(+1) pounded a guy on a kickout.
M29 2 6 I-Form Big H 2 2 1 4-3 even SAM 7 Run Power O Higdon 3
Run weak; Bunting(+1) does a good job to ID a DL slanting inside and seal him in, allowing two guys to the outside. Poggi(+1) hits the LB showing from the inside; Onwenu(-2) runs past a safety who is coming down as the force player, and that guy tackles.
Drive Notes: EOH, 13-3. M takes a delay on third down and everyone just decides to go to halftime.
Ln Dn Ds O Form RB TE WR D Form Box Type Play Player Yards
M25 1 10 I-Form Big twin TE 2 2 1 4-3 even SAM 7 Run Lead zone Higdon -1
Dorf. JBB(-2) leaves a guy shaded right outside of him and Gentry has zero shot at getting to him. He’s running down the line. On the frontside Bredeson(-2) gets more or less run directly through. For a moment he’s kicked the DT out but that guy just shoves him back and runs upfield, so there’s no gap. Those two guys converge to tackle.
M24 2 11 Shotgun 3-wide 1 1 3 4-3 under 6.5 Pass Hitch Crawford 5
A standard pitch and catch for a decent gain. (CA, 3, protection 1/1)
M29 3 6 Shotgun 4-wide tight 1 1 3 Nickel even 7 Pass Flare Higdon Inc
Higdon motions out presnap and no one really goes with him. O’Korn decides to go to him since a guy comes off the corner and Michigan is… pulling Gentry across the formation to pick him up? What? I guess this is an ok decision since Higdon might break a tackle, but the ball is yards over his head. (IN, 0, protection 0/2, team -2)
Drive Notes: Punt, 13-3, 13 min 3rd Q.
Ln Dn Ds O Form RB TE WR D Form Box Type Play Player Yards
M25 1 10 Ace twin TE 1 2 2 3-4 weak 7 Run Split zone Higdon 3
Onwenu(-2) leaves, DL slants inside of JBB, who has no chance. Gentry(+1) is coming backside to pick off the EMLOS guy but changes his mind when he sees the brewing disaster of that block and picks that DE off. That gives Higdon a lane through the line. Unblocked LB is now a problem; he tackles. Higdon scrapes out a few yards.
M28 2 7 Goal line 2 3 0 4-3 even SAM 8.5 Run Crack sweep Higdon 10
M manages to catch IU off guard for a crack. Gentry(+2) clobbers the playside end. McKeon(+1) passes off one LB and then gets in the way of a second; Poggi(+1) cuts the guy McKeon passed on. Cole(+0.5) kicks the edge guy. Kugler(+0.5) gets around and never really hits anyone but does provide a snow-plow-type service to Higdon(+1) who makes the right cut and burrows behind Kugler for a first down. RPS +1.
M38 1 10 Shotgun trips TE 1 1 3 4-3 even 7 Run Pin and pull Isaac 6
Bunting(+2) controls, drives, and seals the playside end. Cole(+1) gets a seal on a DT who’s not really going full bore. Bredeson(+1) gets a kick; Kugler(-1) gets out and annoys one LB but mostly misses; IU had an extra guy to this side of the field so those guys combine to tackle.
M44 2 4 Ace trips tight bunch 1 2 2 Nickel even 6 Run Inside zone Isaac 7
Playside end kicks himself in anticipation of the sweep; also there’s a couple guys way to the field here and not really relevant. Onwenu(+1) doesn’t move his guy but does put him to one side and doesn’t give ground; Bredeson(+1) effectively turns out his guy. JBB(+1) and Kugler(+1) get second level blocks; Isaac(+1) makes a good cut to get through the first level and then almost runs through an aggressive S tackle, but goes down, hogtied by the ankles. Gentry(-1) missed on the other S and that helps hold the gain down.
O49 1 10 I-Form Big twin TE 2 2 1 5-3 over 8 Pass PA Post Crawford Inc
IU adds a DL and has everyone within eight yards of the LOS; PA. Michigan gets Gentry wide, wide open for a touchdown if he can catch and run; O’Korn throws at a double covered Crawford. You could definitely get Fant for PI here, as he grabs Crawford’s arm, preventing him from making any attempt on the ball. At least as bad as the Hill PI. Refs -2. (BRX, 0, protection 2/2, RPS +2)
O49 2 10 Shotgun twins 2TE 1 2 2 4-3 over gap 7 Run Pin and pull Higdon 4
This is a disappointing read. IU leaves their huge gap again and M buys it. Cole(-1) pulls and Bredeson(-2) tries to seal an NT inside who’s screaming out to fill the gap he should probably already be in. Bredeson has a tough job but he gets knocked over. Not great. Higdon(+2) gets strung out and faces an avalanche of bodies but manages to turn a one yard TFL into a positive. RPS -1. Bunting(-1) lost his guy and forced Cole to block him as well.
O45 3 6 Shotgun empty 1 1 3 Nickel over 6 Pass TE drag McKeon Inc
JBB(-1) lets a speed rush get around at nine or so yards. He can push his guy past O’Korn; O’Korn resets in the pocket and then throws a drag to McKeon. This is mesh and man coverage and not a bad read but DPJ (route -) didn’t even slightly bother the S on McKeon and he’s there to tackle. McKeon drops it anyway. (CA, 3, protection ½)
Drive Notes: Punt, 13-0, 8 min 3rd Q.
Ln Dn Ds O Form RB TE WR D Form Box Type Play Player Yards
M35 1 10 Shotgun trips bunch 1 2 2 Nickel over 6 Pass Flash screen Crawford -2
Gentry(-2) does not come out nearly flat enough to assure a kickout of the CB, and he blows Crawford up. (CA, 3, screen)
M33 2 12 Shotgun trips bunch TE 1 1 3 Nickel even 5.5 Run Zone read keep O’Korn 4
Good pull decision with the crash, but unfortunately Gentry locks out his guy in a textbook fashion if this was handoff. That guy can close down the space; O’Korn cuts behind him and the DE recovers to tackle from behind.
M37 3 8 Shotgun 3-wide 1 1 3 Nickel even 6 Pass Screen Higdon Inc
M has trouble getting out here; O’Korn has to roll away from some pressure but does get the pass off. I can’t tell if this is way behind Higdon or just sort of behind him and catchable. (MA, 2, screen) Had to dodge one safety and this might have been a first down.
Drive Notes: Punt, 13-10, 6 min 3rd Q.
Ln Dn Ds O Form RB TE WR D Form Box Type Play Player Yards
M45 1 10 Offset I Big H 2 2 1 4-3 under 7.5 Run Power O Higdon 2
Another telegraphed slant here. McKeon(-1) gets slanted under and his guy makes it to the backfield. I want Onwenu to get around this guy and to the outside at any cost but he goes up the middle, which is not ideal. Higdon follows him and gets little. Bredeson(-1) got shed and his guy hits from the side; Cole(+1) did bury his man.
M47 2 8 I-Form Big twin TE 2 2 1 4-3 even SAM 7.5 Run Crack sweep Higdon 0
Given the pulls I assume McKeon(-2) busts here. He’s got to crack down on the playside DE. Instead he goes to the LB, who won’t get sealed, and falls off. Cole(+2) just about rescues this by aborting his pull and reaching the DE. This still creates an awkward path. Kugler(-2) mis-IDs and never looks back inside for a guy to block; everyone on the edge has a blocker. Playside S runs by unfettered. Higdon cuts back into McKeon’s guy and the S.
M47 3 8 Shotgun twins twin TE 1 2 2 4-3 even 7 Penalty Delay N/A -5
The argh shovel pass. Evans motions out, fake screen to him, shovel back inside, this goes right to the S. O’Korn(-1) never shows any urgency to get the play off.
M42 3 13 Offset I 2 1 2 4-3 even 7.5 Pass PA TE deep out Gentry Inc
Three man route on third and thirteen. O’Korn throws it at Gentry; nearly intercepted. Replay shows S going with Gentry as O’Korn stares him down and he’s got a one on one shot on a bomb he does not take. Also potential interference on the DB. (BRX, 0, protection 2/2)
Drive Notes: Punt, 13-10, 2 min 3rd Q.
Ln Dn Ds O Form RB TE WR D Form Box Type Play Player Yards
M28 1 10 Ace trips tight bunch 1 2 2 Nickel even 6 Run Inside zone Evans 2
Mostly well blocked but Perry(-2) runs right by the force guy and instead of an easy kickout M gets that guy tackling at two yards. Bunting(+1) gets inside and kicks out an end firing upfield. Cole(+1) and Bredeson(+1) blow a DT off the ball. He comes through after Cole leaves but if the force guy is kicked out he’s probably gone and Evans gets to the safety for a productive run.
M30 2 8 I-Form Big 2 2 1 4-4 even SAM 8.5 Run Power O Evans 4
Poggi(+2) does a great job to find and thunk a DE who is crashing inside, preserving a lane. Onwenu(+1) moves a slanting DT out of the hole. Bredeson(+1) pulls and JBB releases(+0.5) to find second level blocks. Evans(-1) doesn’t downshift through the hole and runs into his own guy, throwing him off balance and making him easy prey for the S coming down. RPS -1; S is hitting at like three yards here.
M34 3 4 Shotgun empty 1 1 3 Nickel under 6 Pass In Perry Inc
God, I hate this director. It’s third and four with an empty set buddy, maybe show us the sticks. Instead we get a super blurry pan and no replay. This looks like O’Korn throwing directly into zone coverage and another near-INT. (BRX, 0, protection 2/2)
Drive Notes: Punt, 13-10, 14 min 4th Q.
Ln Dn Ds O Form RB TE WR D Form Box Type Play Player Yards
M16 1 10 I-Form Big 2 2 1 4-3 even 7 Run Inside zone Higdon 8
Bunting motions like he’s going to crack and M runs away from it. Onwenu(+3) obliterates one DT. He gone. Huge gap. That makes up for Bredeson(-0.5) getting only a piece of his guy and getting beaten to the interior. He almost closes it down, and would have but for the ass kicking Onwenu just handed out. Kugler(+1) gets a downfield block; Higdon(+0.5) gets a solid chunk of YAC.
M24 2 2 I-Form Big 2 2 1 4-3 even SAM 7 Run Split flow counter Higdon 5
Counter version where FB feints to one side and then redirects. This wipes the LB level. JBB(+2) and Onwenu(+1) blow up the playside DE. Bredeson(+1) gets a good kick. Playside LB bites hard and then falls down as he tries to redirect, which I think convinces Hill(-1) that he’s not a threat and he can go to the S. Guy gets back up and manages to tackle. Rats. RPS +1.
M29 1 10 I-Form Big twin TE 2 2 1 5-3 under 8.5 Run Iso Higdon 2
Kugler and Onwenu are trying to combo through the NT with Kugler(+1) getting out to the LB, which they sort of kind of do. Poggi(-2) mis IDs, hitting the same guy Kugler is getting to and letting the playside LB through free. Bredeson(+1) escorted an aggressive DE out of the picture so there was a fair amount of space here and this was probably 5ish if Poggi gets a hit.
M31 2 8 I-Form Big 2 2 1 5-3 under 8.5 Run Split flow counter Evans 10
Again LB level bites hard on the FB action. JBB(+1) and Onwenu(+1) wipe the playside DE with Onwenu getting to a LB. Wheatley(+1) chips a DE and gets to another LB. Bredeson(+0.5) cleans up that DE. Poggi(+1) hits the last LB and Evans is to the S. RPS +2.
M41 1 10 I-Form Big 2 2 1 4-3 even SAM 7 Run Split flow counter Higdon 59
IU TO sees them change approach and it's a disaster. DT inside further so Onwenu(+1) seals him as JBB(+1) goes immediately to MLB and seals him. Poggi(+1) kicks the other LB, who is trying to funnel to help. Bredeson(+1) gets another kick. M has split the two LBs. One of the safeties charges at the LOS at the counter action. The second guy takes a false step and Higdon(+2) is gone with surprisingly excellent long speed. He’s pulling away from these guys easily. RPS +3.
Drive Notes: Touchdown, 20-10, 10 min 4th Q.
Ln Dn Ds O Form RB TE WR D Form Box Type Play Player Yards
M26 1 10 I-Form Big 2 2 1 4-4 even SAM 8 Run Duo Higdon 1
Hill flares out to take a kickout guy to the run strength and M zones inside; double with Bredeson(-0.5) and Kugler(-0.5) doesn’t go anywhere and then that guy falls, creating an ugly pile. Hill(-1) caught off guard when his guy does not go for force and dives inside; Higdon tries to cut out and Hill guy whacks him.
M27 2 9 Offset I Big H 2 2 1 Base 3-4 8 Run Power O Isaac 2
Onwenu(+1) turns in and seals a DT. Bredeson(-2) still runs into his back. Onwenu isn’t giving much ground; this is on the puller getting way too close. M can still get this done with JBB(+1) getting a big kick; Gentry and Hill go after guys that they probably shouldn’t; I’m assuming this is IU doing something M didn’t expect. Gentry could definitely kick the playside LB; he goes fro the MLB. Hill goes for the guy Gentry could have kicked. He tackles because Gentry has no angle to him. RPS -2.
M29 3 7 Shotgun empty TE 1 1 3 Exotic 6 Pass Tunnel screen DPJ 2
Tunnel against full out press coverage is about impossible and the CB on DPJ makes a tackle. (CA, 3, screen, RPS -2)
Drive Notes: Punt, 20-10, 6 min 4th Q.
Ln Dn Ds O Form RB TE WR D Form Box Type Play Player Yards
M34 1 10 Diamond TE 2 2 1 4-3 over 7 Run Power O Higdon -2
Big formation with two FBs, one of them McKeon. M runs power; Higdon(-2) simply falls over. This wasn’t going to go well otherwise. All three pullers go for the same dang dude. McKeon(-1) needs to kick as he’s the last guy; Onwenu(-1) needs to get around Hill’s sealing edge block and find someone.
M32 2 12 Goal line 2 3 0 Goal line 9 Penalty False start Wheatley -5
Wheatley -1.
M27 2 17 Ace 1 2 2 4-3 over gap 7 Run Inside zone Higdon 7
Pretty much identical to earlier IZ against this front w/ more aggressive S. Onwenu(+1) kicks out slanting guy; Bredeson(+1) finds LB; Higdon(+1) sees and hits the cut. S at 7 yards hacks Higdon down.
M34 3 10 Shotgun trips TE 1 1 3 Nickel over 6 Run Pin and pull Evans -7
M blows a pin and pull. Kugler(-3) makes this call, imagine, and he pulls despite having an NT shaded just behind him. He needs to block down. He does not. NT goes right to Evans with Onwenu hopelessly escorting him.
Drive Notes: Punt, 20-10, 4 min 4th Q. M gets ball back with 3:25, up 3, no Indiana TOs.
Ln Dn Ds O Form RB TE WR D Form Box Type Play Player Yards
M48 1 10 I-Form Big 2 2 1 4-4 even SAM 9 Run Power O Higdon 2
Playside LB firing at this and splits Bredeson(-0.5) and Hill(-0.5); S are coming down and this isn’t much more otherwise.
50 2 8 I-Form Big H 2 2 1 Goal line 10 Run Power O Higdon 2
Again M does not block the force guy at all. I don’t know how much this matters since all 11 guys are within five yards of the LOS. But M has no plan to block the overhang CB. Poggi runs by him, Onwenu runs by him. RPS -2.
O48 3 6 I-Form Big H 2 2 1 Goal line 10 Run Power O Higdon 4
Bunting(-1) gets slanted inside and his guy dives into Bredeson’s legs, he’s gone, two for one. I’m irritated that Bredeson(-1) stops for this guy before he even gets hit, sort of? Go. If you stop it’s screwed anyway. Go. Get around this trash and find a guy. Stripped of a lead blocker Higdon gets hit by an unblocked LB.
Drive Notes: Punt, 20-17, 1 min 4th Q. Next drive is OT.
Ln Dn Ds O Form RB TE WR D Form Box Type Play Player Yards
O25 1 10 I-Form Big 2 2 1 Base 3-4 8 Run Split flow counter Higdon 25
Higdon(+4) does this himself. Kugler(-2) goes the wrong way on the snap and the NT gets through scot free. He hammers Poggi. Higdon also has a LB blitzing that Onwenu is kicking out. That guy is also in the backfield. Higdon cuts behind this mess after banging into Poggi. First missed tackle is one of those lucky "I hit my own guy and bounced" things; second is flat nasty and breaks the force guy’s ankles; TD.
Drive Notes: Touchdown, 27-20, EO1OT. M D holds and that’s it.

*fffrzzzzz* hello *fffrzzzzz*

Why do you sound like you're calling from a bomb shelter in Fallout?

*zzzrff* we will emerge in a thousand years when Michigan's QB situation is resolved goodbye *zzzrff*

Get out of that bunker right now, young man.

Fine. Why am I young now?

I don't know! Moving on! Ask me things!

Any hope I shouldn't go back in the bunker after going over things in detail?

I mean... maybe a little. Michigan's plan in this game was to get pass protection by leaving a lot of guys in, which simultaneously hacked down O'Korn's options to one or two. They ran a huge number of two-man routes, a few of which were almost one-man routes until a guy released late. Here Ways checks up just past the sticks and may have a safety between him and O'Korn, and at that point what is O'Korn supposed to do?

That, basically.

O'Korn mixed in a few competent short passes, including the opening play, a doofy little out to Wheatley on second and four, and the like. The physical ability to be a decent quarterback is there. Also this is going to happen a couple times a game:

So he's got that going for him. If you close your eyes and hope really hard it is possible to see O'Korn hit some deep shots, as long as they aren't at McDoom, and keep it together enough to move the ball against PSU as Michigan grinds out a low-scoring win.

I can feel the mother of all buts coming.

But when it's third and seven in the first half and you are running two sideline fades and nothing else that says somethin' about something.

It would be difficult to overstate how little faith it seemed like Michigan had in O'Korn by this point midway through the second quarter. And... I mean, he's got two near-identical options. One of them is against Rashard Fant. The other is against a backup. And you pick Fant? So you can throw to McDoom? I dunno, man.

Michigan would get bailed out by a terrible call on that INT, and two plays later O'Korn would run into Evans on a counter; I'm pretty sure that's on him because he almost pitched the ball on the crack sweep and was then very upset with himself afterwards.

From then on it was grim.

JOHN O'KORN

  Good   Neutral   Bad   Ovr
Game DO CA SCR   PR MA   BA TA IN BR   DSR PFF
Indiana 2016   6(1) 1   2 3   1 1 3* 2   46% -2.5
Florida 1     1     1*   50% -
Purdue 6++ 14(2)+++   3 2   1 3 2   75% -
MSU 3 16(4) 2   4 5   2 4*(1) 6*   60% -
Indiana 1+ 9(3)+   2(1)   3 3 3***   44% -

The rest of O'Korn's attempts were about half screens. Those that weren't: a five yard hitch to Crawford, the Gentry misread everyone was up in arms about, a near INT at Gentry, another near-INT at Perry, and a two yard drag McKeon dropped. Two of those are okay decisions, and three are events with an X in them. After Michigan went up 20-10 they faced third and seven with six minutes and change left. Michigan ran a tunnel screen against flat-out press coverage, which is hard to do when that CB is 100% sure you're not doing anything even vaguely risky.

One of the more frustrating things about this game was O'Korn setting up for max-pro deep shots several times and turning them down. Poor damn DPJ could have had a touchdown but was overthrown on one of the two they did throw:

I'd go back to that; I think Michigan did.

Michigan seemed to have a few other opportunities to hit deep strikes that I can't be entirely sure of because this director was no Rick Who Works For Fox. Downfield replays were rare and the camera was super tight, so I'm only guessing at some of these things. This one looks like a pretty good guess, though:

Two safeties at eight yards and they are moving upfield on that play action; WR gets inside of the CB as he leaves the screen. That's a post, right? So... how do you not throw that? This happened last week, where heavy bites on play action seemingly opened up deep shots that O'Korn didn't take.

Here a corner blitz gets DPJ one on one with a safety. Those guys roll off the screen; I can't be sure that DPJ is actually open here, but surely this is what you want when you dial this play up?

That could be a route minus from DPJ and the right decision. But... probably not.

I really wish we'd gotten more insight into goings-on downfield to clear this stuff up. It's clear that the wide receiver corps is a problem. How much of one I don't know. It does make O'Korn look worse. That dump to McKeon that he dropped looked like a dumb bad pass, but it's really just mesh on which DPJ doesn't do anything to disrupt the guy in man coverage on the TE:

#9 WR to bottom of screen

Mesh versus man is a good play and this is a good decision if DPJ just gets his rub right. He doesn't and he O'Korn looks like a dork through no fault of his own.

But that was rare. Michigan's extreme turtling in this game should be evidence enough of the coaching staff's opinion of their QB play.

Okay but there was something that didn't make me want to buy mashed potatoes in a box?

Yes, the ground game.

Offensive Line
Player + - Total Notes
Cole 15 1 14 Mashing block sprung Higdon for first TD.
Bredeson 17.5 15.5 2 Very up and down. –2 on screen not included below.
Kugler 10.5 11.5 -2 Had a good day going until –5 on last two offensive plays
Onwenu 16 9 7 PFF ABT two weeks in a row.
JBB 10.5 6 4.5 Moves people.
Runyan DNP
Ruiz DNP
McKeon 2.5 4 -1.5  Busted on a crack sweep probably.
Bunting 5 2 3 One impressive seal.
Gentry 4.5 4 0.5 -2 on a screen left out of reckoning below, also a +0.5.
Eubanks   DNP
Wheatley 2.5 2 0.5  
Hill 1 2.5 -1.5
Poggi 8 4 Hill losing PT to him.
Mason     DNP
TOTAL 92 58 61%
Backs
Player + - T Notes
O'Korn 4 -4 Dorf on counter turned 6 into –5.
Isaac 4 4 Effective on limited carries.
Evans 1 2 -1 Most of his carries got buried.
Higdon 16.5 14.5  Monster day.
Walker 2   2 Something out of nothing.
Samuels     DNP
TOTAL 23.5 8 15.5 Higdon made it happen.
Receivers
Player + - T Notes
Crawford 1 3 -2 PF after Higdon run.
Black DNP
DPJ 2 -2  Blatant hold.
Perry 0.5 -1.5 Failed to block the edge guy.
Schoenle   DNP
Martin        
McDoom 1   1 End around was nice.
TOTAL 2 7 -5
Metrics
Player + - T Notes
Protection 19 7 73% JBB –2, McKeon –1, Bredeson –1, Cole –1, TEAM –2.
RPS 14 16 -2 Miracle this is close to zero given QB play.

Michigan's blocking fell off a bit, landing at 61% instead of 68%; they had a much better day statistically because their running backs were collectively +19.5, which is a lot. Higdon singlehandedly shifted three or four runs from TFLs into solid gains or, in overtime, a touchdown. Meanwhile OL negatives tended to be bunched on a few very bad plays. Bredeson picked up –2s for:

  • running past a linebacker on a screen, then reconsidering too late
  • getting run over on a –1 yard run
  • getting run over on a crack sweep that Higdon had to rescue for four yards, and
  • running into Onwenu's back on a pull.

That's half of his minuses on four plays; the rest of the game he was hitting our Mendoza line easily. Similarly, Kugler picked up half his minuses on two plays, the first the –7 yard pin and pull that ended Michigan's final drive of regulation, the second the Higdon touchdown on which he went the wrong way and his guy fired into the backfield.

But Michigan just flat out won a lot of blocks, whether it was Bredeson knocking a guy two yards off the LOS and sealing or Onwenu getting a rare +3 for this ass kicking of a guy who is not slanting away from him:

#50 RG

Higdon's first touchdown was mostly Mason Cole thundering his guy off the line and opening up a bounce:

I was a little surprised the numbers came out that low. When not dorfing Michigan ran both zone and gap schemes effectively. Run plays by approximate grouping:

  • Sweeps: 8 for 31 yards, 3.9 YPC
  • Inside zone-ish: 14 for 90 yards, 6.4 YPC
  • Gap: 18 for 142 yards, 7.2 YPC
  • Exotics: 2 for 16 (McDoom end around, one zone read on which O'Korn kept).
  • Yakety snap: 1 for –5 when O'Korn ran into Evans.

Michigan's pin-and-pull style sweeps feel like a separate category to me and so there they are. Amongst plays between the tackles, another ~60/40 edge for gap-blocked plays.

IZ was actually their most consistent play. Eight of their 12 IZ and IZ-ish plays went for at least seven yards, with only a third unsuccessful. The gap blocked plays provided two huge chunks and a lot of two-to-four yard runs.

Wait, so now we can run inside zone?

I'd give it another couple weeks. Indiana did not put a ton of pressure on Michigan to get off blocks with aggressive linebackers, and that helped considerably.

But they're making some progress. Michigan did some work running zone from 2TE formations. IU's more passive approach with their linebackers meant that Michigan could get some extended doubles. Here Kugler and Onwenu get to double a DT off the ball and get off on a linebacker, and that's the cutback lane:

#57 C and #50 RG

Meanwhile next to those guys Cole and Bredeson are doing the same to the other DT. Adding those TEs to the line allowed those doubles, with the other three guys on the LOS fairly easy kickout blocks.

While Michigan's zone identification was improved it was not so improved that there weren't a number of frustrating breakdowns. Slants did semi-frequently see guys jet into the backfield unmolested, chased by a guy who had little shot.

I don't understand why the first play has extended doubles and the second is everyone heading to the second level immediately. LBs seem to be playing it the same way. DL is aligned differently but you'd think that would just change who gets tasked with the double. It feels like Michigan is betting on "not slant," and when "not slant" happens they can get away with immediate releases. Like so:

#74 LG and #50 RG

IU plays that straight up and Michigan's guards put those DTs on one side of them at the LOS; successful play. But they get slanted so much that I'd rather bet on slant.

Even so: progress.

Was this just Frey knowing what IU wanted to run?

Impossible to answer definitively but probably not. Michigan was beat on slants and weird alignments frequently; they did not seem like a team that knew what was coming all the time. I'm sure Allen put in a bunch of curveballs, anticipating Frey's experience against him.

One example jumped out at me. IU occasionally ran this defense with a large gap in a nominally four-man front:

image_thumb[5]

Now, Indiana isn't going to just give you this gap. They're going to fill it, and so you have to expect someone re-gapping. Sure enough, on Michigan's first snap against this the DT pops outside. Michigan reads it, blocks it, and rips off a chunk:

Later in the game on a doomed pin and pull Indiana would return to this. The positioning of the DT gets Michigan in the wrong line call, because while the nose tackle is technically a nose tackle he's spiritually a gap over. Bredeson thinks he's blocking down and gets a nasty surprise (that probably shouldn't be much of a surprise):

I gave Bredeson most of the minuses there because he got pancaked by that guy but to me the core failure was not blocking down with Cole and pulling Bredeson like IU wasn't doing this goofy thing.

Anyway, I don't think M had seen this before. They blocked one instance of it well and a second one poorly. This didn't seem like a run game heavily dependent on preparing specifically for this defense.

Instead they were heavily dependent on their running backs.

Yeah. I don't think I saw a missed opportunity; I was cranky on twitter about one Isaac run but that turned out to be totally unfair to him. Michigan running backs were consistently finding the cutback lane I'd been complaining about them missing all year.

In addition to taking close to maximum advantage of their opportunities, the RBs were also to repair some blocking mistakes, most notably on Higdon's overtime touchdown. That wasn't even his most impressive run. That didn't look like much on the stat sheet but here he breaks about five tackles to rescue a loss:

Isaac also got in on this action, running through tackles from the side:

Kugler doesn't get off his block there, allowing a linebacker to shoot the gap, but it doesn't matter since Isaac's sheer bulk allows him to shake off an arm tackle.

Heck, Kareem Walker's lone carry was a good one that rescued a play featuring an unblocked LB in the backfield:

That high step after the cut to prevent an ankle tackle is a good, instinctual decision, and his burst on the edge is pretty good. (Note that he gets shorted a full two yards on this run.) I'm assuming he'll get a couple shots a game going forward.

I've been doing this long enough to realize that running back is a high variance spot from week to week, so they're not totally repaired. They collectively had their best game of the year by a great distance.

Except Chris Evans, rabble rabble.

I know he had a 12 yard carry and –4 yards the rest of the day but Evans continues to draw the short stick with Michigan's blocking. Twice in this game Michigan ran a pin and pull with him only to see defensive tackles hop a gap over and get right in his face. Once he managed to turn it into four yards by reversing field. Once he was not so lucky:

A second and eight power play rather summed his day up.

I had a couple minor dings for him but mostly he got buried through no fault of his own. He's going to have to claw his way back into contention if Higdon and Isaac continue to play like they did in this game... but they probably won't, so he'll get his at bats.

How did Bushell-Beatty do? Was he clearly better than Ulizio?

I think so. Bushell-Beatty did give up a couple things in pass protection, but they were I-lose-this-block-but-stay-attached kind of things that allow the QB to get around a potential sack, not ugly blow-bys. IU's DEs provide very little rush and Michigan's pass protection approach was max pro all day, so I wouldn't start banking on a –1 or –2 day from JBB going forward. This was more of an incomplete than anything else.

More happily, he was a bonafide presence on the ground. Onwenu and JBB featured on a number of clobbering double-teams. Here they shoot a DT off the LOS so fast he goes in to panic spin mode:

#50 RG and #76 RT

They were the point of attack on those split flow counters, and on each they clobbered real good. This was the first; JBB is the prime mover as Michigan deposits a DE three or four yards away from where he wants to be:

#76  RT

That fails to break big because the playside LB fell down and convinced Hill that he was not a threat, erroneously. Otherwise you can't do it better. On both of the subsequent counters JBB washed his guy well out of the play. The final one saw him read a slant away and immediately head for the MLB, who he authoritatively seals with help from the counter action:

There are reasons Michigan was rolling with Ulizio for the first four and a half games and they will crop up. So far JBB looks like a real plus on the ground, which Ulizio was not.

Not to bring up any sore spots but I see that Stanford's Bryce Love is averaging ten yards a carry? When does that happen here? You kept saying it would happen? I want it now? These aren't questions?

It's going to take some more time. I was struck by this Ian Boyd article on Bryce Love and his absurd numbers mostly because of the... well... Stanfordization of that offense. When I went over Harbaugh's Stanford offense one of the things that impressed me the most was their blockers' ability to adjust to slants and various messes in front of their face and get to the point of attack no matter what. That's still the case:

Herbig is a great puller in his own right and clearly a cornerstone. Here he is pulling from left to right (before Bright took over the LG spot):

[ed: this gif was too enormous to embed, sorry, read the article]

Their ability to stay square to the line and read the kick-out block for the cue on whether to lead outside or plow straight ahead makes the difference on a lot of Cardinal runs. Here, Rice is able to spill the kick-out outside, where they have a help defender ... to the misfortunate of that help defender. Herbig gets outside and pancakes him while Love follows him to paydirt.

Michigan is not there yet. Their pullers get caught up on trash they don't have to handle and probably can't, anyway. Michigan gives up a lot of minor penetration on slants that should slow up but not eliminate pullers; too often it eliminates pullers. It feels like this amount of penetration should not destroy Bredeson's pull like it does here:

#74 left guard pulling

And I want Onwenu to get around this McKeon block to the outside:

#50 RG pulling

Maybe that's asking too much from a 350 pound guy. I also want McKeon to push and not be pushed so this is easier, as well. (FWIW, I didn't minus Onwenu but did minus McKeon here.) This from Bredeson is more definitively Not Good; Onwenu has his guy at the LOS and hasn't given ground. Bredeson should not be banging into him:

#74 LG pulling

You don't see the Gs popping outside against these slants much for Michigan. Stanford is making it happen. With fifth year seniors, granted. This is an Area For Improvement.

The receivers did technically play.

Yes, and sometimes they were even on the screen.

[0 = uncatchable, 1 = circus catch, 2 = moderate difficulty, 3 = routine]

  THIS WEEK   SEASON
Player 0 1 2 3   0 1 2 3
Crawford   2/2     1/4   0/2  9/11 
Black       1   0/1 10/11 
Perry 1 0/1   8 1/3 4/5   12/12
DPJ 1 1/1 3/3    4 0/1 2/4 6/6 
Schoenle           1/1 1/1 
McDoom 1       4   3/4
Ways       2      2/2
Wheatley       1/1             2/2 
McKeon       1/2           15/16  
Gentry 1 2/2   1    0/1   1/1 7/8 
Eubanks           1/1 1/1 
Bunting         1/1           1/1
Hill   0/1 1/1 0/1     0/2   1/1 0/1   
Poggi       0/1               1/2
Evans     1/1    1           2/2  
Isaac                  2/2
Higdon   0/1     2        0/1 3/3

ROUTES: Gentry +, DPJ +-, McDoom -.

I feel bad for McDoom because he should be running slants and little underneath stick routes in addition to the fun stuff on the ground:

People (read: I) get very hand-clap-tweet about his deployment now, but it really is just about his deployment. He's a good player in his Steve Breaston way; now stop pretending he's someone else.

Gentry played the first snap as a wide receiver, and that went well enough:

That's the flex bit of flex tight end. He'd probably have numbers warranting regional attention if Michigan's passing game was more functional. Gentry's also a functional blocker. Here he gave a DE the business, opening up a crack sweep:

#83 TE to top of screen

While we're on tight ends, Ian Bunting has fallen to third on the depth chart, at best, and we haven't talked about him much. He did get an impressive block on this pin and pull, driving and sealing a defensive end:

#89 TE to top of screen

Gentry dorfed a screen and McKeon appear to do the same on a crack sweep. They are still young; they are still very tantalizing for the future.

Heroes?

Higdon made the most of his opportunities and then some. Cole was terrific on the ground. Onwenu and JBB had their ups and downs but were the motive force behind the second-half TD drive.

Maybe not so heroic?

There is no passing game and Michigan told you how much they think O'Korn can handle with their playcalling.

What does it mean for PSU and the future?

If they're going to eliminate half the playbook anyway... Michigan gave O'Korn a freshman gameplan. Might as well see if a freshman can execute it better. Probably not to start on Saturday but if they're down in the third quarter I'd guess they have to try it. It probably won't go great, but it probably won't go worse.

JBB can move people, and Onwenu is getting good rapidly. Those guys were a solid asset and look to be one going forward. JBB's probably-still-very-bad pass protection will limit the offense. At least this pairing forces opponents to respect it and can maybe buy some RPS positives as a result.

It's Higdon's job until further notice. File under "duh."

Still an IZ/gap split. Second straight week they've gone close to down the middle between IZ and gap stuff.

They burned a real good play and will have to come up with something else. That counter was not going to be a huge gain even against IU for the fourth time—that was the call in OT and it looked like IU was all over it. I don't think they can expect it to do anything against PSU. Shelve it for a couple weeks and mix it in later.

One day someone is going to throw a catchable pass to DPJ downfield. I will enjoy that day.

It's hard to have other opinions on the WRs. They weren't on the screen, or targeted.

Comments

Jonesy

October 18th, 2017 at 7:01 PM ^

That was a flukey game where saquon and psu moved the ball at will and then repeatedly got no points, not something we can bank on.
PSU's drives were:

10 plays to the iowa 34 then punt

3 failed passes to not saquon and punt

11 plays to iowa 1 and FG

10 plays to iowa 23 missed fg

1 qb run fail and 2 failed passes to not saquon and punt

6 plays to the iowa 32 and turnover on downs

5 plays to PSU 45 and intereception

end of half kneel

7 plays to the iowa 3 and fg

8 plays touchdown

3 plays (1 actually to saquon!) and punt

16 plays to iowa 13 and misssed fg

12 plays touchdown

PSU dominated them but randomly scored almost no points and needed a last second lucky TD to win. Hoping we can replicate that is like hoping we can get 7 turnovers and rout them a la CAL vs WSU

 

Squash34

October 18th, 2017 at 8:57 PM ^

Look at the drive summaries for there 2 other power five teams. They have very few sustained drives. They have a bunch of short field stuff off of turnovers and big plays from Barkley. They were out gained by both Pitt and Indy but won by margins that made it seem comfortable because of 7to (many on their side of the fields) and special teams touchdowns.

Squash34

October 18th, 2017 at 8:48 PM ^

I just don't get people acting like Michigan needs all time games from people and zero mistakes. But that is probably because I have watched psu a bunch this year. People talk about Michigan line play, well psu is worse. And they have not played a front seven as close to as talented or one that pressures as much. People also talk about their passing, well psu does alright when they have a clean pocket (although until last game Barkley lead the team in wr yards)but when there is pressure, mcsorley goes into a shell. Michigan is going to need multiple turn overs and psu will need to get some bounces. Because their offense is going to have much more problems verse Michigans defense than the other way around.

Durham Blue

October 18th, 2017 at 9:47 PM ^

I think Michigan will play the same style of defense that led them to a blowout victory last season.  One can argue that Michigan is better on the DL this season than last.  Not so sure that PSU's OL is any better this season.  I think we are going to create the same level of havoc in the back field in Saturday's game as we did last year.  Whether that results in a win is TBD because Michigan's offense but I have a ton of faith in Don Brown to keep PSU's offense under control.

AC1997

October 18th, 2017 at 5:53 PM ^

Watching the game live my reaction on the bail-out PI against McDoom was the same as Brian's - "That's a weak call and IU should be mad."  

But watching it on replay and in the Forum post I don't think it is as horrible as Brian describes here in UFR.  Not only does that guy hold McDoom's jersey for the entire route, but he also is stiff-arming McDoom from making a play on the ball.  It is probably 40-60 in for a flag, not the 90/10 implied by Brian.  I still think you let them play here and that McDoom has to either fight or flop against this coverage to earn an actual flag, but I do think it is marginal.  

What really makes it a bad call is that they called this but they let the Crawford bomb go, they let Gentry get yanked by the jersey on one of the near-INTs, and they flat out refuse to call OPI.  (Speaking of, that's what bothers me about DPJ not taking out the safety on the pass to the TE - you know the refs aren't going to call OPI, so just run into the guy.) 

ScooterTooter

October 18th, 2017 at 5:54 PM ^

At this point you put in Peters because there's a small possibility that he's an exception to the rule that coaches choose the right guy. 

It happens. Magnuson was better than both Braden and Kalis, but he was the last guy off the bench of those three. Hoke/Borges legitimately thought Russell Bellomy was a backup QB. Under Harbaugh, Joe Bolden played over Ben Gedeon. Ulizio started the season and has clearly not been the right option. Evans was a starter and is now third string. 

Tressel replaced Boeckman with Pryor. Dantonio replaced Maxwell with Cook. Saban took what, two series to throw in Hurts? Meyer lucked into Barrett to the point that Braxton Miller came back and was third string. 

Even if its probable that Peters is worse than O'Korn, what does that really mean? That our chances of going 6-6/7-5 rise slightly? Isn't that worth the slight chance that Peters is a better in-game player than he's shown in practice when this team is really just a decent QB away from being in the mix for titles?

In the one situation where all three QBs played under similar circumstances, Peters was the best player. Yeah it was the spring game, but he was still the best out of those three guys. Speight might have command of the playbook, but he can't make the throws. O'Korn might know it better than Peters, but he can't read a defense on a two receiver playcall. So what is there to lose by going with Peters? 

bo_lives

October 18th, 2017 at 7:26 PM ^

Is this really a thing? You stick an otherwise promising QB in under a bad OL and he irreversibly turns to shit?

Gardner never had the opportunity to play under a competent OL in 2013 and 2014 so of course he was getting obliterated and being jittery in the pocket on every play.

I wouldn't start Peters but like Brian says, if O'Korn is shit and we are within 2 scores in the second half, just put Peters in and see what he can do. If the guy is so fragile that one bad outing is going to erase a lifetime of playing QB then I really don't have any confidence in the dude anyway.

growler4

October 18th, 2017 at 8:00 PM ^

I'm not expecting to see Peters against Penn State uless JOK gets injured. I think Harbaugh has been pretty clear in his belief that O'Korn gives Michigan the best chance to win a game right now.

Penn State is good and Happy Valley, especially at night, is a tough place to play. I just don't see him throwing in Peters to bail out a struggling QB.

I fully expect to see JOK at QB against Rutgers, regardless of the outcome of this week's game. If we can finally build a solid second half lead against someone, maybe Rutgers, then I can see Peters getting some extensive playing time.

Unless Peters wows 'em in practice during the week, I don't expect any radical change.

ScooterTooter

October 19th, 2017 at 8:05 AM ^

What was the reason they started Bolden over Gedeon? 

We have a QB who can only run a limited playbook playing right now because he can't make the proper reads. Who cares if Peters doesn't fully know the playbook? When they were in the same spot (Spring game) Peters was better. 

Reader71

October 19th, 2017 at 9:40 AM ^

It’s not a perfect analogy because although they started Bloden, they recognized Gedeon was good enough to play, and so they played him. You could argue they should have played him more, but the fact remains they had enough confidence to put him on the field. Not true of Peters at the moment.

ScooterTooter

October 19th, 2017 at 11:06 AM ^

Sure, but no position is going to be perfect analogy for QB because QBs generally play all the time or don't play at all. Harbaugh pulling Speight in the Florida game for the rest of a half and then re-inserting him seems like a rare occurence. 

The fact is, the staff started Bolden and played him far more than Gedeon despite the fact that Gedeon was a far superior game player...and they did this based on practice analysis. Coaches are not infallible, even one as good as Harbaugh. 

We haven't seen Peters on the field. Its probably true that he won't be good, but given how bad O'Korn  (and frankly, Speight as well) has been, we aren't risking much. 

To be honest, Peters should have been inserted after O'Korn's third pick against MSU and played every down of the Indiana game to be as ready for Penn State as possible. Now we're stuck in no man's land. 

Reader71

October 19th, 2017 at 1:37 PM ^

Fair enough, but Bolden was responsible for making defensive calls, whereas McCray made the calls instead of Gedeon. I’d imagine that sort of administrative thing is what kept Bolden ahead, and I’d bet a lemon that that’s why O’Korn is ahead of Peters. And that’s a very important aspect of the game, particularly at QB. O’Korn was horrible as a passer against IU, but he contributed to the success of the run game with his calls and checks. I’m not saying that’s good enough, but these are the things that go into playing time decisions that most people will never consider.

ScooterTooter

October 19th, 2017 at 2:24 PM ^

...Okay, if we want to go that route, then why couldn't Gedeon get in as a starter over any of the other linebackers that he was clearly better than? If Bolden is QBing the defense, why wouldn't Gedeon be in over, say, Desmond Morgan?

And how much of the running game is actually what O'Korn sees vs. what the coaches see?

At a certain point, I feel like people just want to make excuses on down the line when it is actually pretty simple: Sometimes coaches make mistakes. And our season rests on hoping that they made one here. 

Reader71

October 19th, 2017 at 3:21 PM ^

Of course coaches make mistakes. It’s just that it’s generally pretty rare, and there’s as much evidence that they know who the best QB is (not subbing O’Korn in when Speight was struggling) as there is that they don’t know who the best LB is (Bolden/Gedeon). I’m not saying they shouldn’t play Peters or shouldn’t have played Gedeon more. I just like to point out things that most people don’t consider. I find that much more interesting than just calling for heads to roll, and I think it also helps people understand the coach better, even if he’s ultimately wrong. I will say that at no point in which they played together was Gedeon as good as Morgan. Probably not even as a senior, when Morgan was gone. Morgan was very good, even if he didn’t make the league. And regarding O’Korn in the run game — I dunno. If they run a lot of check with me’s, he would have a lot of influence. All it takes to lower your chance of success is to call the run to the wrong side, and that’s just one of the checks.

Mr. Yost

October 18th, 2017 at 6:23 PM ^

Can anyone tell me why we don't move the pocket more with O'Korn? He can throw on the run.

Also, where is the Spider Y Banana play to the FB?

Why don't we run more pick plays - excuse me rub routes to get Grant Perry open ala Hunter Renfrow at Clemson (or Edleman with the Pats)?

 

bronxblue

October 18th, 2017 at 6:27 PM ^

I am slightly more optimistic about the offense than I thought going into this. It's still maddeningly inconsistent and probably butt against PSU, but this is still a decent IU defense and they moved the ball reasonably. O'Korn is going to be a mess at night on the road, but I could see them getting 17-20 points vs PSU. That's not a terrible number.

TrueBlue2003

October 18th, 2017 at 11:55 PM ^

I think it's just as much or more on the fact that we might have

1) very little faith in JBB's pass pro (because given his run blocking superiority, why else would he have been behind Ulizio?).  Calling fewer pass plays keeps him from having to pass pro as often.

and 2) very little faith in the remaining WRs. When Shoenle was able to play against Purdue, we had a much more balanced attack, but without him and Black, we're down to a guy that's massively underachieving and a promising but inexperienced freshman, and it seems like we're trying to limit our dependence on them, and even keep them off the field as much as possible, by going with just one of them + Perry or even with TEs outside.

Don't get me wrong, O'Korn has been pretty bad, but just about everything is wrong with the pass game right now. That greatly reduces the chances that the staff is just "wrong" about Peters, because it's not like the passing game pieces are very good for any QB (also a big reason for Speight regression).  I do think you need to think about putting him out there to get experience for the future if JOK keeps this up or if you have to keep running a freshman playbook, but not a lot of QBs could be great with not much time and not many open receivers.

socalwolverine1

October 18th, 2017 at 8:56 PM ^

Great, our run game is improving. However, without any threat of a vertical passing game, Penn State will bring the safeties in close and we'll be running for 2-3 yards a carry all night long. That won't move the chains, keep the clock running, and keep their offense off the field.

It's O'Korn time, now or never. This is his chance to show everyone that he deserves to be our starter.

GordonG

October 18th, 2017 at 9:29 PM ^

it up a few times and we ourselves protect the football...well anything is possible. .

Who really thought SU had a chance at defeating Clemson or Cal could whip on WSU like that.

Lets Go Blue...

Mich. 24

PSU 20

Durham Blue

October 18th, 2017 at 9:41 PM ^

This weekend is O'Korn's time to prove the doubters, who are pretty much everyone not named John O'Korn, that he is a difference maker.  His football playing career is closing rapidly.  Time to make good things happen Mr. O'Korn.

Reader71

October 18th, 2017 at 10:01 PM ^

Regarding slants and why they mess us up. Brian seems to think it’s a scheme thing, or at least a general coaching thing, where we expect them to play static so stunts surprise us. That’s very true, but that also true of just about every OL, which is why slants exist. The problem is one of technique. Our guys are in such a hurry to get to their man that they turn their shoulders towards the defender. In one of the clipped videos, you see Kugler almost turn to the right in an effort to get to his block. This is no good. On an inside zone, and really on all doubles, you have to keep your shoulders parallel to the line, for exactly this reason. Plus, if he slants away from you, you have to turn upfield and get to the next level. Shoulders always parallel. I’d bet if you clip a Stanford zone, you’d see what I’m saying. This is a tough thing for a lineman to get down. It comes with time and reps. This is the type of stuff that almost all young linemen have to work on. You’re in such a rush to make a block that you hurt your own chances. It’s a lot like sex as a young man — you’re rushing it, you’re so excited to be on the field, you really want to hit it hard and destroy it. But you have to learn that technique is key.

BornInA2

October 18th, 2017 at 10:41 PM ^

I am baffled by things like having three Harbaugh picked QBs on the roster and none of them are better than a three-star guy the previous regime, not known for recruiting acumen, brought in.

And the apparently huge swing and miss with Ulizio.

I fear I won't be able to watch to the end of the OSU game. Their D is fearsome and is likely to eat this offense for a pre-lunch snack.

 

TrueBlue2003

October 19th, 2017 at 12:08 AM ^

taking him was more like a bunt by the pitcher.  Desperation move that no one really expected would work out.

That he was actually needed is a massive failure in recruiting in the 2016 next cycle: 0 OTs taken. Not that a second year player would be much better, but when Hoke left only Newsome and he got hurt, it was basically JBB, Ulizio or non-existent 2016 OT.

TrueBlue2003

October 19th, 2017 at 2:52 AM ^

it's been discussed ad nauseam around here but here's what we know:

1) Devery Henderson flipped his committment to Stanford late in the cycle, which hurt obviously.

2) Despite the need for OTs, we told Erik Swenson late in the cycle that we'd no longer honor the offer that he verbally committed to.  It was a dick move, and Harbaugh paid for it in the media.  Swenson enrolled at Oklahoma.

3) We were were involved with a few others and it's unclear if we didn't want them badly enough or what.

Not sure why we never took anyone though.  Worse case scenario, you'd think we could grab a high 3-star or two even late in the cycle.  That recruit probably wouldn't be ready this year but would at least be a potential replacement for Cole next year, which will be another adventure.

 

mgogogadget

October 19th, 2017 at 7:04 AM ^

you should be more aware of what happened in the Swenson situation. As you said, they were in on a couple tackles, Swenson declined a pretty adamant request by the staff to prove he was going to put in the work necessary to play for Michigan, and they promptly pulled the offer. The fact that Swenson was so bitter about it made the coaching staff look worse than the situation warranted. And, Harbaugh doesn’t exactly have a peachy relationship with the media, so it was “fish on” the moment Swenson decided to speak out.

SpilledMilk

October 19th, 2017 at 1:39 AM ^

Watching the OSU/nebraska laugher. I'm just going to pretend that I didn't watch any of their offense... As far as the defense goes - they seem to be extremely talented across the board and their D line appears to play very sound football. Their weakness may be in the back 7, where they have a tendency to be over aggressive and open themselves up to being burned by a well placed deep ball off of play action. They'll likely score at least 21 on us, so it's up to our offense to beat that

uminks

October 18th, 2017 at 11:39 PM ^

We would have beaten MSU and will probably knock off PSU. But with terrible QB play we probably will lose a close game. Hopefully O'Korn has a good day much like the 2nd half against Purdue. Once can only hope.

SpilledMilk

October 19th, 2017 at 1:30 AM ^

Even with horrid QB play. If this game were in AA, I'd give is a 60/40 shot. I'm just hoping that this offense shows improvement over the next few weeks before The Game. The last thing any of us needs is to spend a weeks salary just to witness another drubbing in person. Improvement and evidence of good coaching of the offensive side of the ball, please

trustBlue

October 19th, 2017 at 6:16 AM ^

Not sure why Brian keeps saying that O'Korn got bailed out by a terrible pass interference call on Fant. The replay shows that Fant CLEARLY held onto McDoom's jersey and the penalty flag was out before the interception was even made:

 

 

Maize and Blue in OH

October 19th, 2017 at 1:37 PM ^

Fant did exactly what Hill did on his interception that got negated by by PI in the 1st quarter.  If one was PI, then so was the other.

Fant should have been called for PI again on the bad decision to throw into double coverage.  He clearly pins the receiver's left hand and prevents the receiver from attempting to make the catch with 2 hands. 

ScruffyTheJanitor

October 19th, 2017 at 8:12 AM ^

Only because our chance to been PSU comes down to rushing offense + 10-12 plays from the QB:  a couple of mesh routes, 6-7 third and medium-to-longs, and + 2-3 deep shots. I actually trust Peters (who is apparently very flawed) to actually give his recievers a chance on those plays-- and I don't think the chances of a turnover are much increased, either. 

 

Sopwith

October 19th, 2017 at 12:19 PM ^

I honestly think there's a defined path to victory in Happy Valley, and it looks a LOT like Judgment Day in '97.

1. Defense brings pressure all day, is the destroyer of worlds.

2. Offense: Carrball. Run, run, run it and hit a few simple play actions with easy reads. 

3. Profit.

Michigan can totally do this.