same [Marc-Gregor Campredon]

The Most Uniquely Unsatisfying Sporting Experience In The World Comment Count

Brian January 2nd, 2019 at 11:18 AM

12/29/2018 – Michigan 15, Florida 41 – 10-3, 7-1 Big Ten

I probably shouldn't have started the season with a dissertation on the Black Pit of Negative Expectations, because now what? I'm sure I've repeated myself in this space quite a bit, but I feel like I'm completely out of reactions to games that aren't so much deflating as imploding. I've talked about the Black Pit, mattresses, message boards, and Hell over little more than a calendar year. When I start writing something usually there's a kernel of something I've been thinking about to expand upon. Not so much right now.

This is mostly because I stopped thinking about Michigan's bowl game during the game. Like many people, some of them in pads and a helmet. Everyone knew that Michigan's season ended with the debacle in Columbus. This add-on exhibition was less an opportunity to accomplish something than an unwelcome reminder of college football's existence.

[After the JUMP: a humorous name for one's billy-berries]

I dunno, man. There's been one season that ended well during the existence of this blog, and that was the fool's gold 2011 season when a lurching .500 Ohio State team under Luke Fickell nearly beat Michigan with a freshman Braxton Miller and then Michigan won the Sugar Bowl with approximately three yards of total offense.

Every other season has featured a loss to Ohio State and usually a bowl dorf. Even when Michigan is legitimately good the season ends in a kick to the ol' yimble-yamble. This year's pratfall was exquisitely designed to turn you into a nihilist: first the 700-yard game by OSU, then the team Michigan always beats turns them into leather and bones.

It wears on you. It wears worse when Michigan has literally replicated Michigan State's in-stadium experience and games are the same fucking Buick commercial repeated 15 times with one play in between.

--------------------------------

So: on the one hand this was a game in which Michigan's defense didn't have Rashan Gary, Aubrey Solomon, Devin Bush, Kwity Paye, and Devin Gil for most of the game, the former three for the whole of it. Jordan Glasgow played inside linebacker for a half. Those who did play didn't seem to care very much, which is a thing that happens. A deflated Georgia just got trucked by a Texas team that didn't seem on their level all season.

On the other, Michigan had 50 seconds and two timeouts on the clock, ran for three yards, and called timeout with under 20 seconds on the clock. Michigan's buffoonery before the half isn't a motivation issue. It's something that's plagued Michigan since Harbaugh's arrival. There is no tempo package, in 2018. Down 17 with the end of the third quarter approaching Michigan was still huddling and snapping the ball with under five seconds on the game clock. They had a ten-play, five-minute drive on which the average play stripped 31.4 seconds off the clock. At the end of it they were still down two touchdowns.

Michigan is 124th in S&P+'s pace metric, and the surprising bit of that is that they're not dead last. This is year four. In year four you've got a pretty good idea of what the final product is going to look like. This isn't a bug for Harbaugh, it's a feature.

The last two years Michigan has seemingly scrapped their preseason plan a few games in. There's a ton of coaching turnover, with guys coming in for one year and then bailing. Recruiting has gone in fits and starts; even this year when Michigan's class is the best in the league they still had some baffling in-state failures seemingly brought about by disorganization. The pace of play also speaks to that disorganization.

All of this is probably permanent, and it'll stop Michigan from being an actual power. There will be a breakthrough at some point… probably. I hope I'll be able to appreciate it; I wonder if the whole thing where I look dead-eyed upon another set of hopes going up in the same flames may mute any response I might have to actually winning any damn thing:

The flaw in BPONE operations is of course the impossibility of mining any enjoyment out of your experience. BPONE sufferers assume a football game is a negative emotional event and spread those negative emotions out more broadly. Only if the team should actually come back and win will any regret be felt, and pffffffffft. I'm in the pit, baby! I know for a stone cold fact that a punt snap will somehow lodge itself in the facemask of the punter. I feel it in my bones that the one time we jump a route in this game the ensuing interception will bang off the defensive back's hands and lodge itself in the facemask of the opposition 50 yards downfield.

For now: relief that I don't have to think about this nearly as much for seven months. Basketball school: activate. 

Comments

Bodogblog

January 2nd, 2019 at 3:18 PM ^

The 2017 OSU game was all wrinkles.  It was brilliantly called.  It was submarined by a 3rd string quarterback.  I mean the whole game was excellent.  This was just last year.  The last time we played them. 

It's stunning that you would even ask that question. 


Seth was saying why do i scout on twitter because it was a running joke for some parts of the season: he'd scout a team playing one way, then they'd play completely differently.  Nebraska for example, he extolled their playcalling and the QB, saying they're going to be tough.  Then they laid an egg (but he was redeemed by their play later in the season). 

Seth watched OSU tape and saw a terrible OL.  Then they came out and played out of their minds. It was a statement that their performance was an outlier vs. what they'd done all year, not that in any way related to playcalling.  Seth can correct me if I'm wrong. 

I think you have a negative world view of Michigan football, and it clouds your senses as you view what happens with everything related to it.  This is really the only explanation for wondering where the wrinkles were for an OSU game plan. 

mGrowOld

January 2nd, 2019 at 4:00 PM ^

Can you point to any wrinkles you noticed for the 2015, 2016 or 2018 game?  I agree the 2017 game was schemed extremely well but executed extremely poorly.  The others we basically did we had done all season with little, if any, variations.

I find it amusing that you think negative view colors my view of Michigan football when you are exactly the opposite of me as it relates to the positive.  We're in a thread of 200+ comments and growing with the overwhelming number of them unhappy about the last two games and our coaching staff's preparation and game execution.  Some even going as far as calling for a coaching change.

But there you are.  As dependable as the sun rising in the east telling us all is well, everything in the program is great and if not for a few unlucky and unfortunate breaks that defied all odds we'd be undefeated every year under Harbaugh.  

If I am unfairly pessimistic (and compared to the other posters I'm nowhere close to the lunatic fringe) you are unduly optimistic.

Related image

Bodogblog

January 2nd, 2019 at 4:37 PM ^

Yes, you are absolutely correct on your last point.  Lol, I could probably use some skepticism. 


I'm responding to Brian's post, which isn't saying much - not even offering any real complaints aside from Pace of Play. 

We won 10 games, that's pretty damn good.  We've won 10 games in three of the last four years, which is about as good as we've ever done.  I'm most disappointed in Don Brown at the moment, as I think he may have been figured out (the first halfs against nearly everyone this year, the entire games against OSU and UF).  But I think he's an elite DC and he'll figure it out. On offense I think we need to find two tackles and Harbaugh needs to change his approach to try and score every possession (or something very near to it).  I think both are very possible next year. 

I remember the MSU, Wisconsin, and Penn State games as vividly as the 3 losses, and the seven other wins besides.  If Harbaugh doesn't change there's a ceiling.  I think he will, but even if he doesn't 9-11 wins isn't bad as a baseline in this division, with a B1G title and playoff chance constantly in play.  

Jasper

January 2nd, 2019 at 2:12 PM ^

Ed Martin: Acknowledged.

Basketball has had way more high-level success than football in the modern era. Some long and deep valleys, too ...

Fans are mostly about football, though. I still remember T-shirts from '89 that celebrated the basketball championship and the Rose Bowl win. Two accomplishments definitely not on the same plane .....

MIdocHI

January 2nd, 2019 at 2:40 PM ^

I had that shirt, too.

I put this in another thread, but we have to realize that ALL of our losses were to Top-10 teams. People keep saying a "mediocre" Florida team, but they were ranked 10 when they beat us, and we were ranked 7 at the time.  Current success is exactly as it was during the Bo, Mo, Lloyd years.  We usually lost a couple of games.  Like on the T-shirt with the 1989 Rose Bowl, that year we were 8-2-1.  The only difference is that we beat OSU.  We are overall having the same winning percentage, but we are constantly losing to OSU in the last game which is what is causing all the angst and resulting in a poor outlook heading into the off-season.  Despite not openly admitting it, hiring Harbaugh has caused everyone to reset expectations and think that we will be elite like Alabama and Clemson are currently.  Our program has not done that in the modern era.

Finally, the elite teams will cycle.  USC with Carroll seemed unbeatable.  They were bad immediately before Carroll (remember, he was like their 3rd choice) and have been poor since.  USC will be good again.  Bama and Clemson will flounder, too.  These things are cyclical.  

KC Wolve

January 2nd, 2019 at 1:13 PM ^

Yeah, pretty much. I mean, I am almost numb to the losing to OSU. It has been that way since I graduated high school and I honestly just don't really care that much anymore. I still love the team and watch, but at 40, I'm not going to let a game ruin my day. A lot of that has to do with the product. It just isn't that much fun to sit through a 4 hour commercial fest. I try to got to a game a year and really enjoy the experience, but it is tough to spend an entire day only to watch a guy in a red hat tell the teams to wait for the commercials to get over. 

As far as the team, I can handle the losing. Michigan has some disadvantages that teams from the south and OSU just don't have. They will almost assuredly never become Alabama. They also have advantages though and there are no excuses for the shit show we have seen on offense the last 2 years. No blaming Hoke, age, experience, QB play, etc. It looks like the coaches are trying to solve world hunger on every play call and then they relay the half solution to the players with 4 seconds to snap the ball. After all of that, the play is a dive into the line or some pass play that takes 10 seconds to develop. The offense is complete shit and there is no excuse for that 4 years after hiring "the best coach available", the "qb guru", etc. I have a signed Harbaugh jersey in my basement so I am by no means a hater, but I am shocked that the offense looks like this 4 years in. I have no idea what the solution is, but he needs to get it figured out.

bluepdx

January 2nd, 2019 at 1:16 PM ^

No disagreement regarding pace and lack of tempo package, but my impression v. Florida was that Harbaugh did this on purpose to get the game over. The writing was on the wall by the end of the 3rd quarter. 

We weren't ready or willing to play. Florida was ready and more than willing. 

Slowing the game down avoided a massacre the likes we hadn't seen for . . .  a month, and I think that's what Harbaugh was doing.

Sad, but that's what it looked like. 

champswest

January 2nd, 2019 at 1:32 PM ^

All hail Beilein!

The one thing that Beilein has been able to do very successfully, that sets him apart from Harbaugh (and Dantonio and Izzo for that matter), is step away from some of his long held beliefs and principles and make changes. He adjust to the changes in the game. He fits players to his system and fits his system to his players.

There is a fine line between sticking true to your core beliefs and being stuck in a rut.

M-Dog

January 2nd, 2019 at 3:08 PM ^

That is also why I respect the hell out of Nick Saban, even though I hate him.

If ever there was a guy who could rest on his laurels and just get by with talent, it's Saban.

But he didn't do that.  He saw where the game was headed and adapted accordingly.  And if you recall, it was quite disruptive at times.  It was not easy leaving his philosophical comfort zone, but he did it anyway.  He saw he needed to.  His offenses look much different than they did even 5 years ago.

If the mighty Nick Saban can lower himself to adapting to the world instead of the other way around, so can Jim Harbaugh.

 

Coldwater

January 2nd, 2019 at 1:32 PM ^

I have to wonder if Harbaugh is a poor communicator.  We all know how weird and awkward he can be during interviews and press conferences.  Maybe he’s no better in coaches meeting or during in-game situations.  Maybe other coaches just don’t know exactly what he wants because he can’t express himself well with words.    I’m sure I’m wrong, it’s just a thought 

The Barwis Effect

January 2nd, 2019 at 2:54 PM ^

When I was a kid, Jim Harbaugh was the coolest guy around.  He was the Michigan QB that guaranteed victory against OSU.  Everybody wanted to be him.  He was a fucking stud.  You can still hear a bit of that in his podcasts, but why it hasn't translated into the rest of his adult life is puzzling to me.  It's like he is self-sabotaging himself.  Strange.

username03

January 2nd, 2019 at 1:37 PM ^

It would be much easier to handle this if I felt they were desperately trying to get to the top of the mountain and just fell short, but there is very little I see from the staff that convinces me they are trying to compete with the big boys.

pinkfloyd2000

January 2nd, 2019 at 1:38 PM ^

I think it's safe to say that most everyone here is IN FOR LIFE in terms of Michigan football. And that's the way it should be. This isn't the NFL, where fan allegiances shift like the winds -- justifiably so, in my opinion.

Will this get better? Who knows. It might. But then again, it might not. But one thing's for sure: when late August arrives, we'll all be back, and fully IN. 

Until then, go basketball. 

Heptarch

January 2nd, 2019 at 2:19 PM ^

Yep.  This is it, exactly. 

I am as big a fan of Michigan football as anyone, but I have officially gotten to the point where I am committed to DVRing the games and only watching the wins. 

It's just not worth the heartache anymore. 

Go Blue 80

January 2nd, 2019 at 2:28 PM ^

I'm still confused on why all the talk about bowl games being meaningless now.  Is it a desire for an expanded playoff?  Bowl games have always been meaningless if you follow the same logic, aside from 1 or 2 a year that had national title implications.  Can someone clarify?

Carcajou

January 3rd, 2019 at 5:00 AM ^

People always like to have something to complain about, and say "the bowls are meaningless" because: a) it's difficult to prove the opposite in any tangible way; b) many are pouting about not making the playoff; c) while we take our fandom seriously, in the grand scheme of human life on the planet, any sports event is actually insignificant; d) it's oft-repeated around here, so it's a pretty safe take.

My own minority opinion is that they are meaningful, as meaningful as any regular season game against any except one's bitterest rivals. While it is debatable how meaningful to recruits they are, bowls are somewhat important to players and coachings staffs, they are important to fans, at least for the next six months or so. It takes a while to wash that taste of a loss out of one's mouth; with a win (as far as I can recall) their is at least something of a warm glow to last through the winter months.

FrozeMangoes

January 2nd, 2019 at 2:45 PM ^

At this point my BPONE isn't related to W/L's, those are pretty predictable based on competition.  Mine is more related to the embarrassing issues that are easily preventable that seem to happen every game.  

Clock issues.  Watching RBs run repeatedly into holes with blitzing LBs.  Watching the SLB cover RBs while the viper doesn't ( I thought that was the point of playing a smaller LB).  Watching safeties cover #1 WRs in the slot. Easily preventable penalties. 

I still am not at the point where I think this is the ceiling for a relatively clean program.  In my observation, this year, the coaches held the team back, not the talent.  On the bright side it does seem there are rumblings changes are on the way.  I don't think JH just became a terrible coach overnight, hopefully, he implements a more streamlined system to call plays.  But, that is where my hope meets my BPONE. 

BlueHills

January 2nd, 2019 at 2:49 PM ^

As with so much following the Florida bowl game, being ignored is the fact that teams that practice and play together for a summer and for a season tend to rely on each other during games. And star players matter.

They didn’t have that in the Florida game.

Apply Occam’s Razor here; the simplest, most obvious explanation for the collapse of Michigan’s defense and lack of running production is the four starters who sat this game out. There’s no need to speculate on other issues to explain this loss.

You can blame the coaches all you like, but if there’s a glaring fault, it’s on the players who (in my opinion) quit on their teammates, or, taking the case of Bush and Gary in the kindest light, were too banged up to play.

To pin this loss on Harbaugh is nuts, especially after the success the team had when everyone was healthy and playing.

And if, as many here think, it was smart and good and wise for the four players not to play, it’s still the most obvious reason for the blowout loss.

AlbanyBlue

January 2nd, 2019 at 9:40 PM ^

For that many players to sit, there's something going on inside the program. We just don't know what it is.

We may have an inkling. It may have to do with injuries, or being "hurt" versus "injured", or losing a spot in the lineup due to injury, or by not playing hard enough in practice.

My guess, which doesn't mean shit, is that Harbaugh's intensity comes across as browbeating players for not playing "hurt". I could see that creating these kind of hard feelings.

93Grad

January 2nd, 2019 at 3:11 PM ^

There may at some point be a breakout, but it won't be under Harbaugh.  He is a disorganized dinasour headed toward extinction without whatever adaptation gene that John Beilein possesses.  

jimmyjoeharbaugh

January 2nd, 2019 at 3:50 PM ^

Michigan football has been hoping for a return to greatness since 1997.

It's ironic - and feels really gut-wrenching - that it wasn't RichRod, Dave Brandon, or Brady Hoke that finally put the nail in the coffin of this ever-loving hope of Michigan fans.

Nope, it wasn't those guys. It was the savior, the bleeding blue Michigan Man himself. It was Jim Harbaugh - the anointed one, who sent Brian and thousands of others into the football abyss and the waiting arms of John Beilein. 

How could that be? How could Harbaugh have killed the hope of Michigan Football more than all these other yahoos? I guess it's because of his previous success, the unbridled enthusiasm and expectation, the outsized presence - that hasn't gotten us over the hump. 

But it's not only that. It's also that Harbaugh is 100% the template that Michigan wants to succeed. Michigan has deflated us because we realize we got exactly what we wanted in Harbaugh and it hasn't been good enough to get there. Bo-ball, or at least JH's manifestation of it, doesn't seem to do the job anymore.

Another realization that hurts is seeing that Harbaugh is flawed. He's very good, but not perfect. He makes some strange play calls, seems to have a hard time adapting, recruits well but loses most of the biggest battles, and struggles with clock management at times. Every coach and every system has flaws, the thing about Harbaugh's is that it has so little room for error, and just a couple of misses can cost you the season. It's like we want the Harbaugh system, but we want somebody else to execute it better.  

We are forced to confront the idea that Michigan must change. Offensive style, recruiting style, local weather patterns, institutional integrity, coaching staff, or whatever else, if we really want to be the best. It's the final realization that the Michigan Way doesn't lead to very many championships. We wanted Harbaugh, and Harball, we got them, and now it's not good enough. We are the little league parents who yelled from the stands for the coach to put our kid in to save the game, and when he did, the kid struck out. 

All that said, I'm still pro-Harbaugh. Appears to run a clean program. Cares a lot about Michigan, and may eventually break through. I hope he stays a long time. If he brings home a Natty, it will feel very good. But I also hope he can adapt some way, somehow, to give us a fighting chance. 

Moleskyn

January 2nd, 2019 at 3:57 PM ^

I don't remember the exact write-up, or when it was written, but at some point in the last 1-2 years, Brian wrote an article talking about the adjustments Beilein made to elevate the basketball program. Beilein was at a point where the program was good, but seemed to hit a ceiling. He recognized the adjustments he needed to make, starting with his staff, made the adjustments, and now the program is elite.

I feel like Harbaugh is at a similar juncture. Four full years in, while there are still after-affects of the previous regime, the impact is minimal. This is Harbaugh's program, and it appears to have hit a ceiling of just being pretty good. I hope he is willing to take similar steps to make the tough decisions necessary to elevate the program to elite status. 

Billy

January 2nd, 2019 at 4:12 PM ^

The thing that bothers me about the clock management / end of half strategy is:

that the implementation of a two minute drill is not a difficult thing to do....

You can spend fifteen minutes at the end of each practice strictly on clock situations.  Some days it’s a two min drill, some days a single minute.  Going over these scenarios prepares you for it in game. 

We sure as shit have a four minute offense lol

big john lives on 67

January 2nd, 2019 at 4:30 PM ^

“Jim Harbaugh, what can we do, what can we do.”

”You can can act like a man (or woman if you are a female fan).” 

Slap in the collective fans’ faces.

Many of you should be forced to relive the Hoke area, if you are too dense to tell the difference. 

Embrace the struggle and enjoy the ride. What Jim Harbaugh is attempting to do is unprecedented in present day college football. He will be successful. 

Further, many of the comments on this post are reprehensible. Question the man’s tactics and strategies if you wish and you must. However, Jim Harbaugh is a great success as a player and a coach in all levels of football. He has conducted himself with great integrity and is an exemplary husband, father and son. 

He will make the required changes as he has always shown the willingness to do.  Thank goodness John Beilein was retained despite the foolhardy ramblings on this site. Coach Harbaugh is on the same path. We are very lucky to have both of these men representing our great university. Let’s all act like it. 

 

big john lives on 67

January 2nd, 2019 at 5:57 PM ^

To rebuild a team from the difficulties of the pas decade and do it cleanly is unprecedented in today’s college football. Look at the 20 CPF berths and tell me how many have been earned with no cheating or with an honest effort toward following the rules. 

Harbaugh does not have license to conduct his program in the way that Alabama, Clemson, etc. do. Lack of patience does not change that fact. This offseason should serve as an adequate backdrop for all of us. 

As for the winningest program in college history, that is not at all what JJH inherited. 

 

big john lives on 67

January 2nd, 2019 at 6:56 PM ^

I know. Patience is a difficult virtue. 

The facts remain. To rebuild a team from a decade of incompetence, do it in a completely clean manner, and execute the task in an environment where the rules don’t matter to your competitors, is not something that occurs overnight. Even though Harbaugh was with a literal inch of doing so. 

The facts remain. 

big john lives on 67

January 2nd, 2019 at 10:47 PM ^

This is a load of crap. You assume that because some are crooked, so is everybody else.  If M were cheating, we would get the best recruiting classes on the regular as we have the most cash of those in competitive NCAA football.  We would not lose I. Wilson to Maryland, and several recruits to Tenn for no other reasons than cash. 

This program was investigated from top to bottom with the willing participation of the press and former, disgruntled players. If there was substantive cheating, it would have been uncovered then. If anything, Harbaugh has only tightened up ship. 

Nice try. I know you want to sow dischord to try to get people angry. This type of attack is based on zero facts and is really lame. 

 

Loid

January 2nd, 2019 at 4:31 PM ^

Interesting article in the WSJ the other day about how Clemson became an Alabama clone.  Started with hiring Alabama people.  Assistant coaches, led by a good coach, define how good you will eventually be (no, not ignoring recruiting/skilled rosters).  Watching games the bowl season, including Clemson, Alabama, and Ohio State, it is painfully obvious Michigan isn't close from a schematic standpoint.  Those schools draw up plays where the guy is wide open, or in position to let his talent take over.  Did I hear that OSU had two new starters on the O line for the Rose Bowl?????  2??????  At Michigan, that would dictate negative overall offensive yardage.  The cure?  Keep hiring OSU guys......Wariner was a start, now poach Kevin Wilson.  But only works if Harbaugh gives up Neanderthal mentality.  Parting questions.......how many times did Michigan get stuffed on 4th and 1 or 2 this year............How many time did they throw deep over the middle to an open receiver?  UM is nowhere near the elite schools as far as on field performance, and if K Wilson isn't an attempt to cure what ails them, certainly open to other names.......

4godkingandwol…

January 2nd, 2019 at 5:26 PM ^

I've stayed away from the "Harbaugh is bad" threads for the week or so, so this may be redundant. When he was first hired I read everything available to read about Harbuah, and I found this one line in this one article concerning then, and foreshadowing now. It's basically about Stanford's improbable win against USC, and how involved Jim was when it mattered most. It's all second hand, so who knows about the accuracy, but worth sharing.

"What I do remember is, I don't think [quarterback] Tavita [Pritchard] got the playcall in. It was really loud, and for some reason Jim decided not to signal the play in," said Seattle Seahawks cornerback Richard Sherman, a wide receiver on that 2007 Stanford team. "So, we kind of were flying by the seat of our pants. Tavita just called the play that he thought Jim would have wanted to call, which was a simple double go route.

http://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/20590188/when-jim-harbaugh-richard-sherman-stanford-pulled-biggest-upset-cfb-history

The Pharaoh of Filth

January 2nd, 2019 at 5:27 PM ^

Recruiting aside, which actually seems to be going well, at least in terms of talent appraisal and star gazing, this whole thing has seemed surreal to me.

Harbaugh came too late. When he went to the 49ers, and Brady Hoax came here, it was where Harbaugh to Michigan should have died.

Hoax failed, yes, and someone else should have been brought in; Harbaugh should have gone to the Lions. The college game is not for him anymore. I see a man who is showing signs of being bored by it. The flaws in Michigan's performances over the last four years are that the team is seemingly uninspired much of the time. Even blowouts don't cause much excitement and aren't fun.

People keep saying, "Well who then? I think he's the best guy out there!" NO, he's not. You find someone like Tom Herman, Ryan Day, or Jeff Brohm. Young guys who really DO have the enthusiasm Harbaugh pretends to have. 

Brian has nailed it, but even he seems to think there's a chance here. I don't. This is the end product. Stanford was an anomaly, and Stanford has kept it going long after Harbaugh left. Congratulations, he was the "fit" there. Now, here, it happened too late, and it's at the ceiling, and it's not going to result in anything that wows us.