OT: Favorite Wall Street Investments Currently

Submitted by Champeen on

Alwyas looking for great investments to research.  No shame in sharing information in helping everyone make money.  Post your favorite stock investment(s) and why.  

MU (Micron)

Pros: Incredibly Undervalued based on PE.  EPS/Revenues growing at incredible rate for a company under 10 PE.  Demand for NAND and DRAM chips are robust and continue to grow.  With IOT as the next revolution, growth very well will accelerate propeling MU to new levels.

Cons:  In past, DRAM demand/supply has been cyclical.  MU would reap rewards one year, lose money the next.  Handful of analysts still beleive their chipsets will remain cyclical going forward.

DQ (Daqo New Energy)

Pros: Again, like MU, currently incredibly undervalued. EPS/Revenue growth exponential with PE under 10.  Pure Polysilicon supplier currently at 18,000 MT with aggressive Expansion plans to 30,000 MT end of 2018, 65,000 MT end of 2019, 100,000 MT end of 2020. China Trade war helping DQ as Hemlock Semiconductor cannot afford to shp Poly to China because of Tarifs.  China largest consumer of Poly (Polysilicon is the raw material of wafers/cells/modules).  DQ is the lowest cost producer of Polysilicon.

Cons: Do you trust a chinese company and their numbers?  What happens when Chinese trade war has ended?  What if Thin Film modules somehow take over in efficiency against PV modules?  Are expansion plans to aggressive?

Do your own research as always.  List yours, i always love recommendations.

ST3

May 23rd, 2018 at 3:57 PM ^

I own shares in three REITs that all pay around 10% dividends. My wife wanted to invest in real estate. I'm not the type to own a rental property. But I figure this spreads our risk among many residential properties and three separate funds. I agree with MGrowOld though, the majority of my 401K is in an S&P500 index fund.

I bought some WWE stock about 7 years ago when I noticed they had a huge dividend payout, something like 11%. It appeared to be a scam for Vince McMahon to pay his family at a lower tax bracket, but that didn't last long. The stock is up 369% since I bought it though after gaining 14% last week (USA cable renewal) and another 15% this week (Fox picking up one of their shows.) There is a sucker born every minute, and that sucker grows up to be a pro wrestling fan. Event-driven live TV demands a premium.

I have also bought stock in a couple companies that my former colleagues went to work at (OLED) or started (IPHI.) They are up 500+% and 100+% in the decade+ that I've owned them. OLED is interesting because it has a UofM connection through Prof. Forrest, who co-founded the company. If I had followed my first boss to Universal Display, I would be fabulously wealthy now, but I'd also have to live in.... NEW JERSEY!

Image result for SNL new jersey meme

bgoblue02

May 23rd, 2018 at 4:00 PM ^

I agree with your point on REITs - two points of note:

1 - with REITs they are very sensitive to interest rates, so as they continue to rise some REITs may see massively decreased earnings

2 - the upside (or down) of real-estate vs. a REIT is if you have a real estate investment it will have some leverage (20% down mortgage, aka 5x leverage).  So long as you get a tenent to cover costs / etc you get better ROI. 

bgoblue02

May 23rd, 2018 at 4:29 PM ^

O - they pay monthly dividends and raise the div every quarter. The increase each quarter isn’t a lot but it adds up to a pretty decent yield on cost

maizenbluedevil

May 23rd, 2018 at 8:31 PM ^

I remember looking at Amazon at $960 in September and thinking that was just too high, that it wouldn’t hold and I could pick it up cheaper at a later time. I really should probably just follow what mGrowOld said above and invest in the S&P 500. That’s really the best investment advice for most people, since most people aren’t good at picking stocks. It’s the advice Warren Buffett gives to people.

uminks

May 24th, 2018 at 12:52 AM ^

I remember buying Amozon in July and selling it right after Turkey Day, I idid this from 2000 - 2010, made for some good holiday cash. Now I wish I would have just doubled down and held on to this stock. I still play stocks and have a nice portfolio of 4 to 5 stocks I trade and will play different sectors. I  use to to options but in the old days, you had to spend a lot of time on getting the right puts and calls. I gues it is easiery now a days and when I have more time I may get back in options. If you do not have the knowledge you can lose a lot of money. My  401K is all in S&P index funds, and if I feel a bear market is about to begin I have a good bond market fund to drop into. I've avoided the dot com/911 and 2008 bear markets. I think we are in good shape for a year or two more  but watch out when main street begins to top out and it heading there. Fall '18 through Fall '19, I've issued a bear market watch. It will be another 40 percent drop in the S&P, but will eventually recover after 3 or 4 years. So, if you just forget about it you will be ahead in the long run with a good index fund. I'm within 10 years until I retire and hope my experience will help me out to avoid the next bear market, since I may only have another 5 or 6 years to go waiting for the next bull market.

Zarniwoop

May 23rd, 2018 at 12:35 PM ^

An old mattress in the shed.

In reality, I'm waiting for this ridiculous bubble to explode so I can make some money afterwards.

That's why I'm not rich, most likely. I have no idea what I'm doing and seemingly neither do the professionals I hire to manage my money.

ak47

May 23rd, 2018 at 2:27 PM ^

If you try to time the market you fail. Its pretty simple. Index funds are the only thing that make sense and outperform almost everything in the long haul.

If you have a ton of money and want to turn it into even more ludicrous amounts of money over short term time periods you can worry about individual stocks and performance, That is for like .01% of the population, for most any stock trading should be done as a hobby with entertainment funds, not as a savings/retirement strategy. I do think CVS is markedly under valued right now because rather than using the tax break to buy back stocks like most companies are they are using if for Aetna and other ventures. Leaves them undervalued relative to the market given the other companies engaging in buy backs. If/when Aetna merger gets approved I think CVS will climb back over $100 at least like it was in 2015 and its at $65 right now.

Monocle Smile

May 23rd, 2018 at 12:41 PM ^

#richguy

EDIT: fuck Wall street. I live near Inglewood in LA, and due to gentrification and the new football stadium, real estate in the area is a solid short-term investment. Not that I can afford to invest.

Blue in PA

May 23rd, 2018 at 12:35 PM ^

I could tell you, but......  I'd have to........

I could lose my licenses.

 

Its rarely the 'sexy' picks that turn into big gains.  Years ago I would have to tell clients that its good to be engaged and its good to do some homework.....  But you're paying me to manage your portfolio and at the end of the year you'll be holding me accountable for the performance.... So, its only fair to let me do the job you're paying me to do. 

Qcom

SNY

F

WELL

have a place in a well diversified portfolio.

All investments have the ability to suffer loss in value, past performance is not a guarantee of future results.  Images in mirror may be closer than they seem.  Don't try this at home.

gobluem

May 23rd, 2018 at 12:38 PM ^

Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund for domestic stocks

Vanguard Total International Stock Market for international stocks

Vanguard Total Bond for bonds

 

Done. For life.

 

Whew, now I have a lot of other time for enjoying life rather than rolling the dice on individual stocks, PLUS I'll outperform most individual stock pickers over my lifetime by a bunch

M-Dog

May 23rd, 2018 at 1:52 PM ^

Correct.

For years I traded all over the place.  Chased every hot stock and trend.  It was almost a hobby of sorts.

Remember "Tracking Stocks"?  That's how bad it got.

Then one day I realized that the only one making any money was my broker.

So I had a little conversation with myself:  "Self, you need to make a choice:  Do you want a hobby or do you want to make money?"  I decided that I wanted to make money.

So I turned off all the noise, stopped watching the Jim Cramer's of the world, and dollar-cost-average invested every month in just four no-load low cost Vanguard index funds: 

- Domestic Large Cap (SP 500),

- Domestic Small Cap,

- International Developed Markets,

- International Emerging Markets. 

That's it.  You could throw in a Bond Index fund too if you are more risk adverse than I am.

Then I stuck with it though bubble and troughs, including the dot com bubble and the Great Recession.  I never missed.

It's boring as hell and I never have any cool "Bitcoin" elevator stories to tell.

But because of it, my retirement will be early and it will be lucrative.

 

Steves_Wolverines

May 23rd, 2018 at 4:47 PM ^

How do you get started investing in this Vanguard index fund? How high is the minimum "buy-in" to have an account? I'd love to get started, but I know literally less than nothing about long term investing. 

M-Dog

May 23rd, 2018 at 6:33 PM ^

Vanguard (https://investor.vanguard.com) is pretty consumer-friendly.  So is Fidelity (https://www.fidelity.com/).

I started a long time ago and never changed it.  But if I was starting now, I would go with ETFs instead of Index funds.  ETFs and Index funds both attempt to do the same thing (track a specific part of the stock market) but ETF taxes are lower and the minimum buy-ins are lower.

You set up an account with either company, and then you typically set up a direct withdraw from a checking account each month (or quarter) that goes directly into the investments.  You never miss the money that way.

They are happy to coach you over the phone on setting it all up.

If you are young and don't need the money during the next five years, I would put an equal amount into these 4 Vanguard ETFs each month (or quarter):

- Domestic Large Cap ETF:  VOO

- Domestic Small Cap ETF:  VB

- International Developed Markets ETF:  VEA

- International Emerging Markets ETF:  VWO

That's pretty much it.  Leave it alone and don't bother looking at it every day, it will take care of itself over time.

(Fidelity has similar no-commission low-fee index / ETF investments as well.)

 

uminks

May 24th, 2018 at 1:06 AM ^

You can retire before the next bear market or you have 5 years left after the bear market before you retire. It will be tricky for some planning on retiring in the next 5 years. We are over due for the next bear market cycle and the bull market was probably prolonged by the slow growth on main-street. I agree with you that the best retirement savings is through a low cost index fund in the long run.  I just wish investing was as easy, since online investing started in the mid 90s, when I first started working in the mid 80s. I feel like missed out on some extra retirement $$$. If you can I would max out your 401K savings, or at least go 10 percent.

Surveillance Doe

May 23rd, 2018 at 2:17 PM ^

If I could, I would put every dime into VTSAX. Because of limited options in certain vehicles, I'm also in VFIAX and SWTSX.

Can't get more diverse and can't get lower fees. The global nature of the S&P 500 eliminates any desire to go international, and I have no interest in moderating my growth with bonds. 

As other posters have said, I invest to make money, not to entertain myself.

Joseph_P_Freshwater

May 23rd, 2018 at 12:39 PM ^

all my retirement savings in bitcoin and the Iraqi Dinar. I cant wait to get rich!

corundum

May 23rd, 2018 at 1:37 PM ^

These are all extremely volatile and the chances you guess right are slim. It would be a better strategy to invest in a company that is big in marijuana infrastructure development but also has a diversified business model outside of the weed industry. Scotts Miracle Grow is what I put a few dollars in to capture the industry in a risk averse fashion.

bgoblue02

May 23rd, 2018 at 1:48 PM ^

Also invest in the likes of PM or MO. Once it’s fully legal they already have the facilities in place to scale quickly. Just isn’t worth the risk for them until fully legal. You may miss out on some homeruns but you’ll definitely avoid the busts and get paid a solid dividend in the mean time

MGoBlue-querque

May 23rd, 2018 at 12:59 PM ^

My investment strategy? I'm long my 1987 Topps Bo Jackson Future Stars baseball card. Also have a few top notch Donruss Rated Rookie cards that should pull in a mint when it's time to sell.

 

 

bgoblue02

May 23rd, 2018 at 1:09 PM ^

but a robo advisor and use smart deposit and let it go.  Don't set / forget, certainly keep an eye out, but let it run it's course 

HailObeans

May 23rd, 2018 at 1:19 PM ^

I know very little about investing, but I have a little in a fidelity fund, most in vanguard fund, and a small annuity.

What advice do the advisors on here give me? Should a diversified fund like vanguard be the main thrust or should I dabble with small amounts in the stock market?

Also, can anyone tell me more about “alternative investments?” I’m hearing about real estate investments that guarantee 8% returns with safety measures built in because the homes have already been purchased or construction has begun. I literally learned of this last week for the first time, but it was given by a CEO of a non profit whom I respect a great deal. Any advice is appreciated. I feel that most advisors locally are just trying to find a way to syphon some fees out of me.

bgoblue02

May 23rd, 2018 at 1:28 PM ^

I would never ever ever trust anything with a "guaranteed" return.  As far as for everything else you asked I would say it depends

1 - What is your risk tolerance?  Indices tend to do well over long-term but any given stock can deviate from the market (for better or worse)

2 - How much time do you have to manage it?  If you can spend hours a week reading, learning, researching etc, then go for it.  If you want to have capital at risk with light touch, stick with what you have and consistently contribute.  

bgoblue02

May 23rd, 2018 at 10:12 PM ^

While technically true that the principal and interest are guaranteed yes. But the return on investment in a relative sense has quite a bit of rinterest risk and or duration risk all the while you might not beat inflation. If we want to get even more nit picky, unless you are buying through Treasury direct, you do have some credit risk with your brokerage. Granted I don’t think anyone has ever lost money in a SIPC acct due to default / fraud, there is stil a non zero risk that impacts the guaranteed-ness of your investment.