goodbye [Bryan Fuller]

Unverified Voracity Swiftly Reverses Dumb Decision Comment Count

Brian November 1st, 2018 at 2:11 PM

Reminder. Tom VH will hold you at Literati tomorrow at 7. He'll also be on MGoRadio. Pat pat, there there. I'll be there, too, but I didn't write a book

So that happened, and then un-happened. Maryland retained DJ Durkin, and then fired DJ Durkin, because people are just in charge of things for no reason. Like Michigan State, the people in charge of things in this case are the regents. Reports that president Wallace Loh wanted to axe everyone were likely true, and after everyone from the student government to both candidate for governor publicly complained Maryland admitted what every adult American other than their board members already knew: DJ Durkin's career is toast.

Anyway, now's a good time to reflect on the colossal failure Big Ten expansion has been:

Let’s start with rutger. I don’t know if I need to say anything more about these guys that hasn’t been said in the past four years. They’re terrible at the major sports. They’ve embarrassingly brought down the strength of the Big Ten schedule. A few months after their Big Ten membership became official, the basketball coach was caught on video throwing basketballs and yelling homophobic slurs at players. Ex-AD Julie Hermann was routinely making shocking statements to the media and embroiled in controversy at her former schools. Ex-football coach Kyle Flood once threatened a professor if he wouldn’t change a player’s grade. The list goes on. rutger remains an easy target. We’ve already covered them extensively on this blog. Oh yeah, this [a Rutgers player being kicked off the team for a failed double-homicide] happened yesterday as well. Not great, Piscataway!

Moving onto Maryland. Until recently, the frustration with the Terps was a little more subtle than their New Jersey counterparts. The football team employed Randy Edsall. The basketball team hasn’t reached the heights it did under Gary Williams, attendance is down after a post-B1G boost, and an FBI investigation looms over the program. At least men’s lacrosse and women’s hoops have been reliable, though.

But then there is the situation with head football coach DJ Durkin, which after months of investigations regarding McNair’s death, was seemingly resolved yesterday. The Maryland Board of Regents overruled outgoing university president Wallace Loh, who seemingly wanted Durkin fired, and reinstated Durkin as the coach, despite the release of a 200-page report that illustrated the abusive behavior of the coaching staff under his watch. After all of this, one startling fact remains: a 19 year-old student-athlete died, and the head coach has been allowed to keep his job. Unsurprisingly, Jordan McNair’s family was angry about this decision, and at least 3 players walked out of a team meeting with Durkin yesterday. Now, the university administration has received tons of criticism, and is facing backlash from Maryland lawmakers as well as UMD students, who plan to hold a rally Thursday.

Great job, Jim Delany. Hope the brief surge in television revenue was worth it.

Urban's head. Meyer's strange behavior on the sideline has a cause:

Since kneeling down on the sideline in a game against Indiana on Oct. 6 because of severe headaches, Meyer has been peppered with questions about his health and future in coaching. He said the cause of the discomfort links back to a congenital arachnoid cyst in his brain, which has led to severe headaches at times in his career.

“The past four years, we’ve been working closely with coach Meyer to monitor and manage the symptoms that have risen from his enlarged congenital arachnoid cyst,” said Dr. Andrew Thomas, Meyer’s personal physician and the chief clinical officer at Ohio State’s Wexner Medical Center. “This includes aggressive headaches, which have particularly flared up the past two years.”

That sucks for him and does not excuse his conduct with Zach Smith. Verdict: still a bad dude. Not the kind that saves the president. An expired coupon kind of guy.

[After THE JUMP: secret scrimmages, ooooooh]

The short yardage spread. This Ian Boyd article is relevant for both Michigan and Ohio State purposes, as it's a detailed look into how spread teams operate in the redzone. The answer is short: 11 v 11 or GTFO. The longer version:

Much of this was predictable, I wrote in this space in the offseason that moving to Haskins and higher efficiency in the passing game could allow the Buckeyes to explore a higher ceiling in 2018. What was also predictable was that the Buckeyes were going to need to find a different answer for how to run the ball from spread sets when opponents were going to be selling out to stop it with an extra defender, like in the red zone or in short yardage.

Here’s how drastically things have changed at QB this year for Ohio State:

 

Year Player Passing production Rushing production
2014 J.T. Barrett: RS freshman 314-2834, 9.0, 34-10 148-1094, 7.4, 11
2015 J.T. Barrett: RS sophomore 147-992, 6.7, 11-4 146-908, 6.2, 12
2016 J.T. Barrett: RS junior 379-2555, 6.7, 24-7 178-990, 5.6, 9
2017 J.T. Barrett: RS senior 371-3053, 8.2, 35-9 109-714, 6.6, 11
2018 Dwayne Haskins: RS sophomore 315-2801, 8.9, 30-5 26-83, 3.2, 1

Through eight games Haskins has already matched or surpassed J.T. Barrett’s typical passing production but he’s offered up rushing production that Barrett would routinely hit in a single game.

But while the total yardage is about the same, the absence of the QB run game threat has caused real problems for Ohio State beyond the rushing production from that position. The goal with the spread offense is to make the defense cover the whole field, but in short-yardage and the red zone defenses know that they don’t have to.

It’s typical for teams to get cover zero near the goal line or in short-yardage with the defense playing man coverage on receivers and allowing the safeties to focus on the run game. For spread teams that depend on pulling defenses apart with spacing, this is an issue because they may or may not be up for forcing the issue up front when the run game has the defense’s full attention.

Against Purdue Ohio State ran the ball five times on the goal line for a total of seven yards and zero touchdowns. Their base inside zone play ran into real trouble because Dwayne Haskins wasn’t executing the QB run reads to gain a number advantage.

Ohio State will get Haskins to execute these pulls or they will start using Tate Martell in the redzone. There are no other choices; by the time they get to Michigan this will be addressed. Alas.

If this is all you've got... The Sporting News has a very strange article about the upcoming Penn State game in which Gerry DiNardo says some Gerry DiNardo things...

 

"You have to look at Michigan defensively only against the best teams they play," Big Ten Network analyst Gerry DiNardo told Sporting News. "Look at them against Penn State last year."

...and the author of the piece duly attempts to put some numbers behind a Thing Gerry DiNardo Said. The result: 

Those numbers tell a story, too. The Nittany Lions racked up 506 total yards on 8.3 yards per play — the most on the Wolverines since Brown took over as defensive coordinator in 2016. Michigan has allowed the combination of more than 300 total yards and 5.0 yards per play in just seven games since Brown arrived. They are 2-5 in those games.

Year Opponent Total Yards Yards per play Result
2017 Penn State 506 8.3 L 13-42
2016 Michigan State 401 5.7 W 32-23
2016 Florida State 371 6.0 L 32-33
2016 Maryland 367 5.6 W 59-3
2017 Ohio State 350 5.6 L 20-31
2017 Wisconsin 325 5.5 L 10-24
2017 South Carolina 300 5.2 L 19-26

Those are the numbers DiNardo is talking about.

WTF? The national average in yards per play is 5.7. This chart, which purports to expose the truth about Don Brown's overrated defense, has two games that exceed that and one game that cracks 400 yards if we exclude the 2016 Defeat With Dignity fourth quarter.

Who does it say what about when Ohio State, last year's #7 S&P+ offense, puts up 350 yards opposite a John O'Korn start? If the thing you think it says is "Don Brown is overrated," seek medical attention. 

Trey Burke and a small child. Both are correct.

Secret scrimmage notes. Michigan played Toledo, which is #119 in Kenpom's preseason rankings after returning all but one of their rotation playes from a 23-11 (13-5) 2017 season. Feedback coming out is positive:

Josh Henschke has a similar report at 24/7:

Words and phrases such as "shellacking" and "got worked" were used when describing what the Wolverines were able to do to the Rockets. One source in particular said, "it was ugly" and Michigan "beat up" on the Rockets the entire scrimmage.

…True freshman PG David DeJulius also made multiple big three-pointers during the scrimmage.

I don't think Michigan's going to have the same level of slow start they've endured for the past few years: their defense is going to be locked in from the drop and they have a veteran, healthy point guard who knows he's the man for the first time in a while. (Derrick Walton had to be goaded into becoming the man midseason, hail Maverick.)

Eli Brooks: potentially happening? People are saying Brooks may be a thing now. Stranger things have happened in the history of Beilein players entering their second year:

“He handled [his benching] last year really well and … he got chances to go back on the scout team and really get reps,” said Michigan coach John Beilein. “And he’s been one of our best players this fall.” …

“It’s just his confidence,” Haynes said. “He’s just been a great teammate. I was telling someone earlier, the things (guard Muhammad-Ali Abdur-Rahkman) was doing with him last year and doing with the team, you see him doing.”

During his time on the bench, Brooks learned the importance of confidence — something that has increased with his leadership. Beilein and Haynes have noticed the difference, and the improvements that have come along with it.

Beilein praised Brooks for shooting the ball as well as any Wolverine. Haynes mentioned him as one of Michigan’s best defenders — high praise for a player on one of the country’s best defensive teams. If those changes show up in games, other teams will start to notice, too.

“We don’t know if he’ll back up at the point, play more of the ‘2,’ I don’t know what,” Beilein said. “But he’s gonna be on the court.”

David DeJulius is going to take a minute to earn Belien's trust if the open practice was any indication, so Brooks has a couple months here in which to pay the above talk off and grab a 10-15 minute role as a backup combo guard.

I keep getting older, they regress into the womb. Hockey picks up a commit from 2004 forward:

Also:

So if that all works out Michigan will have that guy.

Meanwhile, Brian Wiseman's apparently in Sweden.

Again, small schools can pound sand. A couple years ago schools were OUTRAGED when the Big Ten put up some legislation that would have put a damper on college hockey's shift to 19 and 20 year old freshmen. People lost their minds. The legislation went down in flames. At that point nobody for a small conference gave one single dang about the fact that they're delaying non-NHL prospects for two years just so they can be more competitive.

But now the tears are flowing about schools like Michigan and Wisconsin trying to get out ahead of the major junior curve:

"I'm looking at kids, my daughter is an '06 birth year, and we have kids that are '04s, two years older, committing to college," Scott Sandelin said. "It's scary."

If a recent NCAA proposal is passed next spring, Katie Sandelin and every other male and female hockey player their age should be able to put off a major step toward adulthood a little longer. …

Men's and women's hockey will have separate schedules, but both proposals aim to accomplish the same goal of slowing down the recruiting process.

Under the new proposal for the men, all contact and communication between a coach and student-athlete is banned until Jan. 1 of the student-athlete's sophomore year of high school. After that, coaches and athletes may communicate via telephone calls, text messages and other similar communications. They can meet face-to-face on campus during a camp, clinic or unofficial visit (paid for by the student), but not off campus.

What a coach can't do under the proposal is make any sort of scholarship offer. That isn't permitted until Aug. 1 prior to a student-athlete's junior year of high school. Also permissible starting Aug. 1 prior to junior year is off-campus contact and official visits (paid for by the school) to campus.

So it's "scary" when prospects make a non-binding verbal commitment to a school that can be rescinded literally any  time the prospect wants to, but freshmen classes full of 20-year-olds are cool beans. Coaches already cannot call prospects and their families until later; the new proposal means that if a prospect's family proactively calls a program because they want to talk to them, that program has to hang up. Framing the removal of an option some players clearly want to take as a benefit to them is so dumb I wouldn't believe it's happening except we're talking about college hockey here.

Goodbye, TV Teddy. You will not be missed. Anyone who can whip John Beilein up into a furious rage should be kept far away from basketball games. Especially one so clueless that he can still say this to a reporter after the Joel Berry incident last year:

“Let me tell you about the ‘TV Ted’ stuff,” Valentine said by phone. “Don’t mean nothing. Ted Valentine is always on TV, and they’ve got to attach a name somewhere. As I’ve gotten older, I laugh more, I smile more, I high-five kids. I have nothing to prove no more.”

I look forward to block/charge calls being made without an entire pyrotechnics team on staff this fall.

Etc.: A wrestling preview from user "TheTeamTheTeamTheTeam." Basketball is meditating. The younger Beilein enters year four at Le Moyne. He and Yaklich make the Athletic's list of 30 up-and-coming coaches to watch.

Pearson adjusting to 19 skaters. Phil Paea had some sort of surgery a week ago. Purdue's offense under the microscope. James Franklin: not wrong about asking after injuries.

Comments

crom80

November 1st, 2018 at 2:52 PM ^

In the article about the younger Beilein;

"Brown shot 50 percent from the free-throw line his freshman year before working with Beilein. Sophomore year, he shot 87.5."

 

We need that for Simpson.

harmon98

November 1st, 2018 at 2:52 PM ^

Martell coming in for Haskins in the red zone makes too much sense not to see it in the Shoe on the 24th. We'll have a real good idea after Saturday to see if that will make much of a difference for Urban and his beleaguered head.

Maison Bleue

November 1st, 2018 at 3:06 PM ^

It does require OSU to get to the redzone against this D. OSU has been passing the ball a ton to move the ball and doing it well. But, a lot of Haskins' throws are short throws that result in a bunch of YAC. Michigan's D seems to match up well against this strategy and therefore it may be difficult for OSU to move the ball(hopefully).

mgoplastic

November 1st, 2018 at 2:53 PM ^

And Maryland continues to be awful. Apparently the kid who called out the program for the toxic culture got assaulted by other players when Durkin returned. Burn this program to the ground:

https://twitter.com/lukebroadwater/status/1058055229734821894

Reggie Dunlop

November 1st, 2018 at 3:04 PM ^

Yes, Michigan's defense secretly stinks because they had a bad game last year.

Similarly, I've been looking at Alabama's suddenly potent offense and how it thrives under Tua Tagavailoa. Turns out if you ignore all of the yards and TDs and only focus on the incompletions, they're really not that good.

Goggles Paisano

November 2nd, 2018 at 6:13 AM ^

DiNardo is your classic example of "someone being in charge of things just to be in charge of things".  There are honestly thousands of high school football coaches that could coach circles around him.  His lack of football knowledge is shocking. 

The whole BTN crew needs a major revamping.  I love Revsine and I like Laurinaitis.  Howard Griffith and his 6 td's are just ok.  The rest are brutal.   

bronxblue

November 1st, 2018 at 3:09 PM ^

Also, let's not forget the millions of dollars UMD spent on a report that told you that, yes, the guy whose program sorta dismissed the death of a player in practice probably wasn't a particularly cool guy to be around student athletes.

dragonchild

November 1st, 2018 at 3:18 PM ^

That sucks for him and does not excuse his conduct with Zach Smith.

This is the second time he's been under fire and the second time he's claimed health problems shortly afterwards.  Two data points usually isn't enough to declare a pattern, but in this case context matters, and that context is that we have confirmation that Meyer is a sociopathic liar.  So who knows.

While I won't necessarily wish health problems upon him, I'm giving this one the side-eye.  He's a contemptible human being and deserves no benefit of the doubt.

That ain't proof to the contrary, he could well be suffering, but I will say this:  I don't careIf Meyer says he's in pain, I don't care.  Because he clearly don't care if someone else is, either.

bronxblue

November 1st, 2018 at 4:38 PM ^

Yeah, it's always very convenient with him that he's suffering whenever things go wrong.  I very much accept that he's been a medical wreck for some time; I don't think he's been faking his various issues over the years.  But they don't seem to pop up when he's beating Alabama but they do flair up when he's run off the field by Purdue.

lbpeley

November 1st, 2018 at 3:24 PM ^

Interesting post but none of it mattered after reading "I look forward to block/charge calls being made without an entire pyrotechnics team on staff this fall". Laughed my ass off.

stephenrjking

November 1st, 2018 at 3:25 PM ^

My day is made, Brian is block quoting stuff from a Duluth News Tribune article. 

Of course it's Sandelin trying to keep his preferred recruiting method running at optimal. Getting older guys into the program is a key tool of his.

It's big for the non-Minnesota schools in Minnesota, because their recruiting ground includes a lot of high schoolers that need a year or two of USHL seasoning to be college ready. It's big for the small schools out east for basically the same reason. It is uniquely tough on schools that are actually competing for draft-level prospects because those guys are also pursued heavily by the CHL.

They know what they're doing. 

lhglrkwg

November 1st, 2018 at 4:10 PM ^

It's a weird dynamic going on that continues to showcase the divide between small school D1 hockey and big school D1 hockey. It's fascinating and frustrating to watch the big name schools compete with the CHL for recruits and the smaller schools go for the 20 year old freshmen, and then both are trying to put huge limitation on how the other guys recruit. D1 hockey seems like this weird, unhappy marriage since CCHA dissolved where neither really likes the other but they know they can't live without each other either. I'm not sure how that relationship ever gets repaired back to the CCHA/WCHA days. Will be interesting to see how the next 20-30 years of hockey looks

stephenrjking

November 1st, 2018 at 5:12 PM ^

This goes further than the CCHA, which was only ever the third most important conference anyway. The hockey landscape has changed quite a bit, and with it the optimal path to the NHL. In the 80s top stars like Tony Hrkac could dominate the college game without ever seriously threatening to be a great NHL player. In the 90s things began to swing; note the difference in draft picks and Americans between the 1996 Michigan team and the teams Michigan put on the ice in the early 2000s. 

In 1996 the goalie, captain, star player, and most of the skaters were Canadian. By 2001 Michigan had an occasional star Canadian (Mike Cammalleri) but the roster was buttressed by Americans like Andy Hilbert, Jeff Jillson, and Mike Komisarek. The landscape changed completely in a couple of years. 

The NTDP, which started in 1996, has a lot to do with this. But a lot of it has to do with the rising tide of American hockey everywhere. Denver's Murray Armstrong dynasty was built on Canadian junior players; now they build with Americans. Minnesota still gets a lot of the best players from the state, but they have been matched by programs in Duluth and St. Cloud; North Dakota draws more from its east border than its northern border now. 

The landscape changes and so the recruiting game changes. Michigan used to be able to win with players that Major Junior could do without; they switched to targeting guys that Major Junior absolutely wanted. 

Mel is playing both sides of this, to his credit. He's going after the Jack Hughes types, but he's also getting guys in the pipeline who need a couple years to develop.