A review of Michigan beat-writers/experts projections for 2023 season and Harbaugh 2024 status (from Scott Bell Twitter/X)

Submitted by crg on January 25th, 2024 at 11:24 AM

A fun little reflection on some of the "expert" thoughts about how this season would progress.

I find it curious that more of them expected us to lose to Penn State than osu.

Link:  https://twitter.com/sbell021/status/1750518508843114583

MGoBoard
Football

Bill22

January 25th, 2024 at 11:31 AM ^

That was my prediction coming into the year, that our one loss would be to Penn State on the road.  I think everyone thought that would be a “White Out” night game going into the season, and it was forced into being a “Big Noon” game due to Fox’s TV rights.

Worked out well for us, even with the Harbaugh suspension bullshit.

Joined: 09/07/2016

MGoPoints: 6732

Amazinblu

January 25th, 2024 at 1:23 PM ^

I'm not necessarily disagreeing - but, State College IS different at night.  And, with JJ getting nicked - it might have not been quite as easy to execute the game plan Michigan adjusted to.

Of course - Franklin would still have been on their sideline, which is a very nice thing.

Joined: 01/22/2010

MGoPoints: 41344

Hensons Mobile…

January 25th, 2024 at 12:41 PM ^

I would make the argument it's still the team's "most impressive" win this year. Obviously the circumstances for that were unknowable before the season. Not only was there the suspension/TRO fiasco, but then once you were in the game, they had to change the game plan on the fly.

The only other candidates are OSU and Bama, which were home/neutral site games. Both of those were very impressive, though, so I wouldn't argue against either of those.

Joined: 09/12/2019

MGoPoints: 49417

oriental andrew

January 25th, 2024 at 3:06 PM ^

Scott Bell.

Also 12-0 and natty. 

Got it closer on the osu, msu, psu scores (although Seth did predict the shutout against sparty - still, Bell's 50-3 prediction was dang close to reality of 49-0). Also got the team MVP (JJ) correct (Seth predicted Zinter - not a bad pick). 

He also predicted the most surprising loss as Harbaugh. I'm sure he wasn't thinking of in-season suspensions rather the NFL calling, but dang if that wasn't ever prescient in hindsight. 

They both got sack leader wrong (it was Harrell with 7.5), although Stewart (5.5) was a little closer than McGregor (4.5). 

Joined: 06/30/2008

MGoPoints: 56097

MRunner73

January 25th, 2024 at 11:37 AM ^

I like the bottom line: Is Harbaugh back in 2024? The total was 12-12. We know now what the answer is. 

Remember at the Crisler celebration after the parade that the crowd was chanting 10 more years when Jim got up to speak. Jim blew by that with no comment and then quoted Shakespeare. You'd think Jim would have said something like, maybe or we'll see.

Joined: 11/11/2018

MGoPoints: 16884

Kilgore Trout

January 25th, 2024 at 11:39 AM ^

It's pretty interesting that out of 24 people, only one got the breakout freshman (assuming everyone would agree that it was Morgan). Unfortunately for Trevor McCue, his call of Edwards as Team MVP was as wrong as his freshman of the year was right. 

Joined: 02/20/2009

MGoPoints: 13178

mGrowOld

January 25th, 2024 at 11:39 AM ^

FWIW it's gonna be hilarious when somebody does this same thing but with Harbaugh's contract extension predictions instead of the games themselves.  Show every "insider" and when they started predicting "any day now" on the signed extension and how many "any day now" predictions they incorrectly made.

That chart will make this one look like Nostradamus himself was making the picks.

Joined: 10/04/2010

MGoPoints: 212943

MaizeBlueA2

January 25th, 2024 at 12:51 PM ^

I'm going to say (as of this moment):

  • 9-3.
  • There is no B1G East, $$$.
  • How do NY6 Bowls work with the new 12-Team Playoff? I'd say a NY6 bowl, just missing the playoff...just like LSU and Notre Dame would have this year.
  • Win the bowl, Michigan develops talent, and by the time the bowl rolls around we'll have the depth that we didn't have in the first half of the year. Finish 10-3.
  • Most impressive...USC.
  • Most surprising...None, I don't think we lose to anyone we are favored to beat. 
  • OSU: I refuse to answer.
  • PSU: We don't play them, lol.
  • MSU: W, 27-10.
  • People will say Northwestern is the trap game...I mean, I guess.
  • MVP: Mason Graham.
  • Rusher: Yeesh...good question, I guess Edwards.
  • Receiver: I hope it's Morris, but I'll say Loveland. Yikes.
  • Sacks: Moore and Stewart are going to go wild... I'll go Moore.
  • Interceptions: Moore again, except, the older one.
  • Freshman: Everyone picked true freshmen, but it doesn't say true freshmen. So Jyaire Hill...and that might be wishful thinking.
  • No, Jim Harbaugh is not back in 2025. He's back in '24 to be honored for the national championship and then he's gone for awhile. Thanks for the memories! 

Joined: 11/06/2018

MGoPoints: 49957

M-Dog

January 25th, 2024 at 12:24 PM ^

Buy more and go away for five years.

That is what I did just recently.  These guys are going to be big AI winners.

And don't freak out when they lose a quarter of their value between now and then.  That is just the nature of this beast. 

You could try to time the market and wait for a dip, but that's a fool's errand.  The next "dip" may be 10% higher than where they are now.

Don't buy dots (stock prices), buy lines (stock trends).  Over five years, their trend is up.

 

Joined: 07/06/2008

MGoPoints: 257507