Look who likes Michigan to make the playoffs!

I like us to make the playoffs, too*.

*as long as we win every game left on the schedule + the Big Ten Championship Game.

He isnt predicting it to happen. He wss merely andwering the question: if two teams come out of the same conference, who will they be? He gave a logical answer, among the available choices. But I dont think he relishes the scenario--hence his reference to pur game "sucking the air" out of CFB that weekend.

If Washington continues strong, after their signature win this past weekend, there is no way to keep them out.  + 1 SEC team (Bama),  + one ACC team with either 1 or 2 losses.  I can't see a BIG runner-up getting in, even with only one loss.  

if osu loses at home, they are done.

Finebaum is an idiot. No conference is getting two teams into the Playoff this year.

College football live just had the percent chance to win the playoffs up. Michigan was not in the top 7. Louisville is ahead of us to win it....

He'd be the ultimate hypocrite as THE main shill for the SEC if he answered otherwise. Sort of like Nick Saban a few years ago, and Urban Meyer.

I don't see it likely happening, but if OSU continues to look as good as they currently look, but UM manages to win in Columbus, I could MAYBE see it happening. If we roll into Columbus and lose, it's not happening.

was gping to be Herbie. But I guess he still thinks Michigan is a year away from competing with Ohio State. You know, Michigan still needs time to develop all that Harbaugh talent from New Jersey.

if OU (or someone) is the Big 12 champ with 3 losses as well as the Pac 12 champ

 

then an 11-1 Louisville or Michigan/OSU would get in over a 3 loss Oklahoma or Washington

 

doubt an 11-1 team that did not win its conference gets in over an 11-2 team that did

I would think if M were to win that game, OSU would be out even if the margin of victory is small. Assuming the current double-digit line holds up, an M win in Columbus would be a considerable upset. On the other hand, if M loses narrowly, as in '06, I think both might make it to the CFP.

The way I see it is that there doens't need to be too much church in the polls for this to be a likely scenario.  This is predicated on UM and OSU both winning out except for The Game.  The winner of the The Game then must win the B1G Championship Game.  Then the following must occur:

1.  Louisville beats Houston (eliminates Houston from CFP)

2.  ACC Champ finishes with 2 losses

3.  Baylor loses a game in the Big XII (eliminates Big XII as reasonable consideration for CFP)

4.  Tennessee loses both games to Alabama (Alabama is in the CFP) 

5.  PAC 12 Champ has 2 losses (puts the champion squarely behind either UM or OSU in final rankings)

How likely are all these things?  I don't know, but I know college sports are crazy and stranger things have happened.  I think #1 is most likely, followed by #4, then #2.  Let's assume for the sake of argument that Washington finishes undefeated.  That still leaves 1 open Playoff spot between the B1G East runner up, with one loss to a Top 3 team (ala Alabam and LSU circa whenever that was) against the "Champion" of a lousy conference who will likely have 0 quality wins and a 2 loss Tennessee or ACC Champ.

At that point, who would you choose out of those 3?

 

As a personal note, I don't think you deserve to be in the Playoff if you can't win your conference, let alone division.  In this scenario I would rather give the #1 seed a bye as no other team has proven itself worthy of the spot, but would actually feel compelled to give it to the 1 loss Big Xii champ as a sacrificial lamb for the #1 seed.

 

 

let's just get bama and Houston and Washington to fall off the rails and have an epic osu/mich/louisville/clemson cfp.

No two teams from the same conference should ever be in the playoffs in the same year. 

And for our next thread we'll discuss Big Ten tiebreakers: (1+u2)uxx−2uxuyuxy+(1+u2x)uyy=0 1 u 2 u x x 2 u x u y u x y 1 u x 2 u y y x+uyy−(1+|Du|2)−1(u2xuxx+2uxuyuxy+u2yuyy)=0 u x x u y y 1 D u 2 1 u x 2 u x x 2 u x u y u x y u y 2 u y y 0 where ux=∂u(x,y)∂x,uy=∂u(x,y)∂y u x ∂ u x y ∂ x u y ∂ u x y ∂ y . Generally, for domains Ω ⊂ ℝ n and functions Ω → ℝ depend

Just logged in to say...

Fuck Paul Finebaum. Nice that he pulled his smooth head out of Saban's ass long enough to say something positive about Michigan. 

If Wiscy can contain that running game, force some longer 3rd downs, keep it close in the 4th quarter.... I would feel much better about our ability to compete in this game. 

I can't see Michigan making it with a loss to OSU. However if Michigan wins in an epic game I think it is possible that Ohio State makes it. Obviously as said they would need help with other teams losing. I think the other conference champs would have to have 2 loses.

Feinbald!

If OSU's QB goes down with an injury, they are toast.  Just sayin

Not that much of a stretch seeing as that is exactly what would have happened 10 years ago.

Let me know when Phyllis from Mulga weighs in.

I thought we 86'd Finebaum

Sorry, but if I didn't give a shit about the opinion of the SEC's Head Jocksniffer when he called us pathetic and whining, I'm sure not gonna care now.

Now run along, Paul - and go put on a hat before somebody jerks you off.

A one-loss Michigan or Ohio State that did not win the Big Ten is not getting in over a one-loss champion from another conference.  Period.

That scenario - when Alabama played LSU in the NC - was the reason the CFP was started in the first place.

There would have to be conferences with 2-loss champions for that to happen.