2016 initial win total over/unders are up
The Golden Nugget Casino has released their opening over/unders.
http://www.cbssports.com/college-football/news/win-total-odds-for-top-c…
Clemson -- 10 (-120 over, EVEN under)
Florida State -- 10 (-120/EVEN)
Tennessee -- 10 (-110/ -110)
Oklahoma -- 10 (+110/-130)
LSU -- 9.5 (-140/+120)
Michigan -- 9.5 (-120/EVEN)
Alabama -- 9.5 (-110/-110)
UCLA -- 9 (-120/EVEN)
Louisville-- 9 (-110/-110)
Notre Dame -- 9 (+105/-125)
Baylor -- 9 (+105/-125)
Houston -- 9 (+130/-150)
Georgia -- 8.5 (-145/+125)
Ohio State-- 8.5 (-115/-105)
Oregon -- 8.5 (EVEN/-120)
TCU -- 8.5 (+105/-125)
Oklahoma State -- 8.5 (+110/-130)
Florida -- 8 (+105/-125)
Stanford -- 8 (+110/-130)
Michigan State-- 8 (+115/-135)
USC -- 7.5 (-120/EVEN)
Ole Miss -- 7.5 (-105/-115)
Auburn -- 7 (-120/EVEN)
UNLV -- 4.5 (-130/+110)
Conferences:
All SEC teams -- 103.5 (-110/-110)
All Big 10 teams -- 97.5 (-110/-110)
All ACC teams -- 96.5 (-110/-110)
All Pac-12 teams -- 81.5 (-110/-110)
All Big 12 teams -- 69.5 (-110/-110)
All Power Five Conference teams -- 446.5 (-110/-110)
For Ohio State, it means you need to bet $115 to win $100 if you bet the "over," but you need to bet $105 to win $100 if you bet the "under." It means that they are seen as more likely to be over than under, but not by much.
For Michigan State, the +115 in the over means that risking $100 on them will get you $115.
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/puts $11500 on over for osu
/watches osu dominate other opponents
/receives $10000 profit
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The first four games will make or break their season. They have Bama (neutral site), Utah St. then Stanford and Utah on the road...ouch.
I don't know about that. They play a 9-game conference schedule, so that's 54 wins and 54 losses guaranteed. they would need to go 28-8 non-conference to hit the "over."
That sounds like a pretty tough line to beat: they had 29 non-conference wins last year (not counting the bowls), so it wil probably be close.
A very tough start, a very tough overall schedule and a new and somewhat unproven coaching staff. If they get through those first four games in good shape, then they might have a big season. But you don't collect any extra if they go 10-2.
that schedule is brutal.
Does this include bowl games, conference championships and playoffs? Or just regular season?
Thanks.
What about taking Tennesee under? They play Florida, Ala, @TAMU, @Georgia, @SC, MISS. They could lose 3-4 of those.
If my MGoPoints were refundable for actual currency, much of that currency would go on the Ohio State O/U - I would definitely agree with others here in saying that's a bit crazy on paper, even if we are looking at it in the middle of May and months from football. It will be interesting to see where that number goes, say, three months from now.
I agree. That's what sticks out to me.
that alabama-Tennessee spread all day
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I'm either going to be very rich, or very poor, in short order.
That OSU line is easy money. I'd be stunned if they lost more than 2 games.
I was just in Vegas and put down some cash on Peppers winning the heisman...25/1 odds.
And yes I would lay down $1000 on OSU on the over.
http://www.fbschedules.com/ncaa-16/2016-tennessee-volunteers-football-s…
I sure as hell dont see 11 wins on that schedule. I would put the absolute house on the under.
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Yeah. That's not a schedule designed to coast to 10+ wins. They'd have to pull at least one upset plus not lose to a single team at/below their level, which show me a UT team that has done that since Fulmer.
What happens for bets like this where a team has a game canceled? Treated the same as a loss? Or the bet is voided?
I could be wrong....
Its voided
Tennessee at 10 is crazy; that's putting a lot of hope on a Butch Jones team handling expectations.
UM at 9.5 makes sense; 9-10 wins seems about right given the schedule.
I agree on Tennessee, I'll be checking what books have for max bet limits on Wins O/U because while a push wouldn't be crazy, I'd be shocked to lose that bet.
For Michigan, I think we could easily be at ten flat. Barring a major upset/letdown, there are only really five loseable games on our schedule. Penn State and Wisconsin don't look particularly strong and must come to Ann Arbor. Splitting MSU and Iowa, then losing to OSU seems the most likely outcome to me. The other seven opponents range from abysmal tin cans to highly mediocre, plus six of the seven are at home.
I understand 9.5 though. With little precedent and three tough road games, an outside/objective perspective would lean towards nine wins as more likely than eleven. We will see. 12-0 is still on the table, and I have a very hard time imagining anything worse than 8-4.
Isn't Tennessee the easiest "under" in college football every year? The most consistently overrated team in the country in my opinion.
I'll take the Under. Michigan wins 8 due to erratic quarterback play.
I'm hoping 8 is the absolute floor. I look at our schedule and see at least 9 games that we should be expected to win, and in many cases, win comfortably. Iowa, MSU, and OSU are all at this point either toss-ups, or we're slight dogs.
But yeah, a lot does hinge on the QB play. If Speight or O'Korn pick up where Rudock left off and go even further, then this team can easily win 10-11 games. Won't say yet that we're talented and deep enough to go undefeated in the regular season. But if the QB play is a mess and takes most of the season to figure out, then I could see a scenario where we lose to someone like Wisconsin.
But we'd have to play a really bad game, have several turnovers, and Clement would likely need to be 100% healthy.
I don't think we appreciate how nice it was to have a good 5th yr senior QB. Jake will be missed. I think the QBs will show promise and may be playing at a high level by season's end, but I think there will be some difficulties on the way. I may be underestimating how good the defense could be, however. This might negate the weakness at QB.
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What are some things You'd like to watch me do?
I really don't see OSU winning fewer than 9 games as long as Urban is the coach there. Gross.
We're up there in the mix with the heavy hitters.
Nice.
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Me too. We'll be better than last year, and do better that last year.
Also, there is no @ Utah type game on our schedule. Last years team would have been 11-1 without the opener at Utah and the freak accident against MSU.
Probably should have lost to Minnesota. Easily could have lost to Indiana.
I'd say if Ruddock had been on campus for more than a few weeks before camp opened, or if we play Utah later in the year we win. But 9-3 is what Michigan earned and an accurate reflection of the team. Was a great first year for Harbaugh.