Member for

7 years 4 months
Points
3163.00

Recent Comments

Date Title Body
11/16/2018 - 5:25pm He had a defense at LSU…

He had a defense at LSU because of the sheer athletic talent available there. He won't bring that talent with him to Kansas.

11/16/2018 - 1:02pm Have we had a "trouble spot"…

Have we had a "trouble spot"/cyan circle guy turn into a star midseason before Runyan this year? I'd assume no, but I don't recall how many years of FFFF this is. I'm sure a couple may have started their career with the dubious distinction and blossomed into dangermen, but the rise of Runyan is kind of nuts.

11/15/2018 - 4:59pm Michigan is 14/62 from 3…

Michigan is 14/62 from 3 through it's first 3 games, a cool 22.6%. And yet they have two comfortable wins at home and a statement victory on the road. What a world we're living in.

Beilein keeps finding the easiest players to root for. Watching Simpson calmly strip Nova guards all game was a delight.

11/14/2018 - 12:20pm Didn't think of it that way…

Didn't think of it that way. I think I'd rather watch the champions playoff in terms of entertainment value:

#1 Michigan vs. #4 UCF
#2 Oklahoma vs. #3 Washington State
Final: #1 Michigan vs. #2 Oklahoma

Instead of the real playoff:

#1 Clemson vs. #4 Alabama
#2 Georgia vs. #3 ND
NC: #2 Georgia vs. #4 Alabama

 

11/14/2018 - 11:54am Of course I forget the link:…

Of course I forget the link: http://www.espn.com/nfl/draft2019/insider/story/_/id/25268737/2019-nfl-draft-prospects-ranking-position-mel-kiper-big-board-ranking-top-25-grades

11/14/2018 - 10:52am This. When jersey/pant…

This. When jersey/pant colors for both teams are so different, this should be an option.

11/08/2018 - 4:50pm For one thing, there are the…

For one thing, there are the "rutger" stats that are fun to monitor. Otherwise, I think Rutger doesn't earn the "s" until they win a B1G game in-season. Which doesn't appear to be a thing that will happen in 2018.

11/05/2018 - 8:42pm Nah, I'm rooting for Iowa

Nah, I'm rooting for Iowa

11/02/2018 - 8:16pm Nah, 2016 was a hair nastier…

Nah, 2016 was a hair nastier. But methinks he members.

11/02/2018 - 7:05pm Gary: 1st round
Bush: 2nd…

Gary: 1st round
Bush: 2nd round
Winovich: 2nd round
Higdon: 3rd/4th round
Watson: Late round or UDFA

JBB, Perry, Kinnel, Mone, and maybe Furbush get camp invites.

Don't have a read on Hill/Long both how likely they are to leave or where they'd be picked. Gentry could be a mid-round pick if he left. Patterson is a giant wild card as it seems people are either absurdly high on him or don't have him on their radar yet.

10/28/2018 - 7:09pm Still a surprise to see it…

Still a surprise to see it over 10. S&P+ probably has this as an 8.5 point line -- though we won't know for sure until tomorrow. Anything between 7.5 and 9.5 wouldn't have surprised me. Would figure over 10 would lead to PSU money coming in and 7 or under would get heavy UM betting.

10/26/2018 - 4:00pm Look who you root for in…

Look who you root for in basketball. A Beilein team ideally shoots triples on about 45% of its FGA. The NBA overall is at about 35%.

10/26/2018 - 1:50pm Basketball from 1994-2013…

Basketball from 1994-2013 became a rock fight more as a result of pace than a spike in good defense. Pace was under 93 possessions per 48 minutes all 20 of those seasons. It was ugly. Particularly in the post-Jordan stretch from 1998-2004 when offensive efficiency was under 105 points per 100 possessions. Eyeballs drifted away, and the league was in a bit of jeopardy.

The real glory days of the NBA were the 80s, where Pace hovered above 100 and ORating was consistently above 105. The reason for this year's points explosion is the fastest pace in 30 years plus the added efficiency of more 3s attempted.

I completely understand not watching NBA basketball due to not having emotional ties to a team. There are too many games. The regular season is a grind. Some franchises have little to no hope. Not watching because the product is worse than it once was is just a bad take.

Pace is bad? Who'd rather watch plodding power forwards like Zach Randolph in the half court over the artistry of LeBron James with open court on the fastbreak? Too many 3s? NBA teams should 3s on about 35% of FGA. John Beilein teams have been as high as 45% of attempted shots. Honestly, the NBA is like fast-paced Beilein-ball. Low OREB, low TO% (on pace for the lowest ever), efficient shot selection... What is bad about that?

09/26/2018 - 12:24pm Not worth jumping too far…

Not worth jumping too far into the weeds on this site. Suffice to say count me on the Big Cat/PFT side that wishes Dave would let these things go. He fuels fires that would go out if he didn't legitimize them.

I'd rather point out the hypocrisy of many of those who call them out (Sarah Spain bullying women in sports media on the internet, an army of hockey twitter writers who've been called out for creepy DMs to women, Deadspin and other competitors getting their dirty laundry aired only to say they've changed when all this Barstool stuff is from 5+ years ago).

The things Barstool has done for good causes -- veterans, families of passed firemen/policemen, ALS and other diseases, response to tragedies like the Marathon bombing or Orlando shooting -- and it's increasingly diverse cast of characters will go without mention.

09/24/2018 - 6:08pm Would recommend

Would recommend

09/24/2018 - 10:28am Bill Connelly does weekly…

Bill Connelly does weekly recaps of S&P+ versus the spread. It holds up pretty well.

09/20/2018 - 7:20pm Chill out man

Chill out man

09/14/2018 - 3:48pm Loss will cause me to…

Loss will cause me to... take off all my clothes and walk into Lake Superior to build a new underwater society that only plays chess.

An all-timer. And yes, sounds appropriate.

09/12/2018 - 3:39pm Hearing him explain things…

Hearing him explain things like that makes too much sense. I realize how terrible Runyan and JBB were against ND, but I still understand why they were on the field. That environment was a tough spot to expect an 18 and 19 year old with no game experience to get the start and perform at a high level.

They definitely need to be brought along gradually, getting time against WMU, SMU, and potentially Nebraska and/or Maryland. At some point midseason, they may be trusted enough to win jobs if they've been earned in practice and games.

The one interesting bit will be monitoring Mayfield's four games. If he's not over that cap and hasn't earned a starting job heading out of the bye week, the staff probably tries to hold onto the redshirt.

09/11/2018 - 6:11pm Without too much speculation…

Without too much speculation we can assume:

  • 11 graduates
  • 1 near-lock to NFL (Gary)
  • 2 coin flips to NFL (Hill & Bush)
  • 2 also possible to NFL (Hudson & Long)
  • 1 or 2 firm handshakes
  • 1 QB departure
  • 4 walk-on scholarships become available (late DIB, McDoom transfers didn't seem expected either, so this was probably more than we  thought would be open for 2018)

That puts us in range of 19-23 open scholarships. There is ALWAYS more attrition than we expect, plus odds are 1 or 2 of the 17 year olds currently committed don't sign. CROOTIN

09/11/2018 - 12:40pm One of the options is a…

One of the options is a backup QB? A dollar says they run a fake punt with him against Michigan.

09/06/2018 - 2:31pm For the record, I think your…

For the record, I think your use of stars and shields for the UM Defense is spot on

08/30/2018 - 3:27pm Sad news for a guy who's had…

Sad news for a guy who's had a lot of injuries. Good news for Grant Perry I'd say. From what I've read, he's their nickel and depth after the starters (Love/Pride) and him is nonexistant.

08/29/2018 - 3:58pm Appears we won't really have…

Appears we won't really have much of a chance for a "stars align" type schedule in the next decade. Brutal stuff for the likely marquees with at least two and in most years three major road tests:

2019: @Wisconsin, Iowa, @Penn St, Notre Dame, Michigan St, Ohio St
2020: @Washington, Wisconsin, Penn St, @Michigan St, @Ohio St
2021: Washington, @Wisconsin, Michigan St, @Nebraska, @Penn St, Ohio St
2022: UCLA, @Iowa, Penn St, Nebraska, @Michigan St, @Ohio St
2023: @UCLA, Michigan St, @Nebraska, @Penn St, Ohio St
2024: Texas, Wisconsin, Nebraska, @Michigan St, Penn St, @Ohio St
2025: @Oklahoma, @Nebraska, Michigan St, Iowa, @Penn St, Ohio St

I'd actually like next year's the most with PSU losing McSorley and the swing of rivals at home (even if Wisconsin is a really tough game). If Scott Frost doesn't take off (or has left) at Nebraska and UCLA isn't great then maybe 2023 will set up nicely as well. Simply put, Michigan will have to be great to win 10+ games. 2020, 2021, and 2025 look downright terrifying.

08/27/2018 - 12:45pm Sign me up for 2-1 against…

Sign me up for 2-1 against the rivals (in a year all three are on the road) and 10 wins any day. We've had 10 regular season wins in just two of our last 11 seasons. It'd mean a NY6 bowl appearance, and still a ton would come back next year. (Yeah, yeah, maybe 3-4 NFL early entries but only lose 4ish impact senior starters)

08/22/2018 - 8:18pm Have heard the same. ND fans…

Have heard the same. ND fans seem to be very pleased at CB and most concerned with S as far on D.

08/21/2018 - 3:25pm By necessity, this exercise…

By necessity, this exercise is mostly based on what we've already seen on the field with a little additional projection applied. A nickel says Baron Browning would easily crack any Top 8 B1G ILB list by season's end.

It may be the only positional group that is still a clear win for UM though assuming Hudson plays to the level of the clear #1 HSP type and Bush is right there inside, give or take TJ Edwards. I think we're all assuming whoever wins the WILL job has a shot to perform on the fringes of that top 8 list as well given how much attention will be paid to the rest of the front seven.

08/20/2018 - 3:45pm A little more literally, we…

A little more literally, we were #14 in the preseason AP Poll in 1997. That team also had a salty defense and an offense with tempered expectations, coming off a disappointing 8-win season and Outback Bowl loss.

08/16/2018 - 1:51pm 2019 DE will be a step down…

2019 DE will be a step down because we lose Rashan Gary and Chase Winovich. Only Alabama, Ohio State, and Clemson have the resources to potentially avoid a significant dropoff after losing at that pair. Seems there is plenty of reason for optimism though.

Outside it sure sounds like Paye will be an able starter with enough 2018 snaps to be ready to roll. Vilain should be up to speed by then as well after a year of some depth snaps, physical recovery, and mental progress. At anchor, Hutchinson may be a little green but is at least getting early hype. Chris Hinton is the sort of 5-star that may be thrust into the two-deep immediately.

We also have a couple sleeper bullets in the chamber in Upshaw and Welschof, plus a chance at Zach Harrison. Will DE be another A+ unit next year? Probably not, but there's still a lot to like and  exciting enough replacements.

08/15/2018 - 2:59pm Way-too-early picks! All…

Way-too-early picks! All feel appropriate except ND, which I'm still nervous about.

@ ND: 23-13 W (please no funny business)

WMU: 31-0 W (whatever man)

SMU: 42-24 W (garbage time backdoor cover by good offense against our backups)

Nebraska: 37-10 W (but outhit, likely)

@NW: 32-11 (because weirdness)

Maryland: 28-3 (sad field goal alert)

Cumulative: 193-61

Thinking 250-50 is a little optimistic. We can reach those numbers if we don't ever get in our own way and play like the 2016 team against the softies (SHUTOUTS and better special teams play).

08/15/2018 - 2:52pm In a landslide, mine is the…

In a landslide, mine is the week's worth of dense Season Preview material Brian churns out on the eve of the season as I'm more eager and football-starved than ever.

08/15/2018 - 2:50pm (No subject)

41LGs-xwRrL.jpg

08/09/2018 - 11:10am Great show, Sam Richardson…

Great show, Sam Richardson and his buddy are hilarious

08/07/2018 - 1:08pm My favorite is LJ Scott. A…

My favorite is LJ Scott. A fine B1G RB sure, but top 100 player in the country? Give me Higdon over him (6.1 ypc to 4.5 in 2017) any day. There are players from teams all over that are more valuable than Scott, but I guess they had to have one Spartan on the list.

Having said that, I actually think the rankings for our guys listed are pretty fair outside the excess hype of placing Shea on the list.

08/01/2018 - 11:04am Is anybody surprised? We all…

Is anybody surprised? We all know Urban is bulletproof at somewhere like OSU. This story should only be about truth and justice for Courtney Smith.

07/10/2018 - 2:14pm $75K at least for their G…

$75K at least for their G-League time and can net up to $275K total if they spend the 45 day maximum with the NBA club. For context/reference, Walton reached his max daily limit in Miami last year and fellow Heat 2-way player Derrick Jones Jr. -- who shined in summer league before a sprained ankle Sunday -- was eventually given a standard 2-year deal (year 1 guaranteed, year 2 nonguaranteed) late in the year.

07/10/2018 - 2:09pm Good fit for him. As a Heat…

Good fit for him. As a Heat fan, it's been fun watching him and Walton both play together in summer league alongside more notable prospects in Bam Adebayo and Derrick Jones Jr. Miami's emphasis on defense and conditioning plus a high value towards shooting could unlock a version of him that sticks. If they resign Wayne Ellington you won't find a better designated shooter to learn from this side of Kyle Korver.

 

 

02/26/2018 - 6:52pm He also calls out Barstool as

He also calls out Barstool as emblematic of this which is beyond a lazy take. Sure the content may seem sophomoric to some, but that doesn't indicate anything about the followers/fans -- Stoolies are 150% more likely than the average man to be making $100K+ and less than half as likely than the average man to be making less than $60K. Take that for data. So no, following Barstool does not mean your son has no ambition and will amount to nothing but funneling beers and eyeing co-eds.

Source: work in Digital Advertising

02/24/2018 - 1:42pm Seems like the fact that it's

Seems like the fact that it's not a Power 5 school plus the obvious geographic ties Drake has to the area would lead most reasonable coaches to grant this release.

02/01/2018 - 7:38pm 80s I get, but 90s and early

80s I get, but 90s and early 00s? Jordan's Bulls rolled in all six title years and the Kobe-Shaq Lakers didn't struggle to win during their 3-peat. There's often an obvious best team in the NBA. Only age and the "disease of more" eventually topple those teams until a new one replaces them.

01/31/2018 - 1:12pm Looking at the handy depth

Looking at the handy depth chart by class and only one of the 5th year guys seems an obvious candidate. Interested to see if we have a couple 3rd year players lapped by youth end up being the remaining attrition.

01/24/2018 - 12:59pm Metellus was no

Metellus was no all-conference performer, but in a hyper-aggressive defense that frequently puts it's safeties on island in coverage, he was solid in most games. What true sophomore (and first year starter) doesn't make a handful of contain-related mental mistakes? His upside far exceeds that of a good-not-great Pac-12 corner moving over to safety would be.

Remember the last time we brought in a grad transfer DB from the Pac-12? Wayne Lyons came in (with more fanfare) and expectations to win a starting job or at least be a key reserve but ended up a fringe contributor at best. For depth reasons, we can take all the competent guys we can get, and you can't teach experience so why hate this as a take if you don't know exactly where the roster numbers sit like the coaches do.

 

01/05/2018 - 1:37pm 2016 Wilton Speight before

2016 Wilton Speight before breaking his collarbone against Iowa:

2,053 yards
64.5 completion %
8.9 YPA
15 TDs
3 INTs

We'll never know how he would have played with a fully healthy 2017. But this is an entirely unfair take. And despite a couple disastrous plays against Ohio State, he stepped up and made big throws under pressure when this fanbase had very little faith an injured version of him could.

He was no Heisman contender, but damnit that version of healthy Speight was enough to make us at legitimate Top 5 team when paired with our nasty defense and far superior special teams (a factor that gets overlooked when considering the dropoff this year). That level of QB play would have at the very least gotten us  a 9-3 year (likely with a bowl win as well for a third consecutive 10-3 season).

11/29/2017 - 12:46pm I wouldn't pencil Filiaga in

I wouldn't pencil Filiaga in just because he was the highest rated OL in last year's recruiting class, especially if Newsome is able to come back (*fingers crossed*).Theoretically we'd only have one spot open:

LT - Newsome
LG - Bredeson
C - Ruiz
RG - Onwenu
RT - ?

It's also possible that Bredeson moves to tackle (especially if Newsome never plays again). I'd guess a RS junior Runyan is the nominal 5th guy for now with Spanellis the most likely 6th OL and JBB hanging around the mix if he gets a 5th year.

10/02/2017 - 12:42pm They play fairly positionless

They play fairly positionless and have several guys that can serve as primary or secondary playmakers, making the backup PG not necessarily a traditional floor general type. Tyler Johnson will be the nominal backup to Dragic (as was on display last night when the second unit of Johnson-Ellington-Richardson-Winslow-Olynyk played a fair amount together).

None of this is an indictment of Walton, or how Heat management feels about him. Tyler Johnson, as well as wings Josh Richardson and Rodney McGruder are all former unheralded prospects that Miami's player development and D-League experience has turned into solid NBA rotation players. Johnson's $50 million contract was inflated by an aggressive offer sheet from Brooklyn, but is still worth $10+ million per year and Richardson just signed an extension for similar money. The Heat invest in these guys and are more patient than most, but for now Walton is behind a pile of players.

10/02/2017 - 12:18pm He won't start the season in

He won't start the season in the NBA. He's got up to 45 days this season that he can be with the Heat through his 2-way contract, and they'll save that for later in the year after he's gotten a chance to log a ton of minutes with Sioux Falls. Not to mention the team is very healthy at this juncture, so his call-up could also be a reaction to injuries in the Miami backcourt.

09/02/2017 - 9:09am Miss Back in the Mud

Can't imbed on mobile but:

https://youtu.be/kANnUOwE5qc

08/27/2017 - 11:45pm It's not actually that

It's not actually that powerful at this stage, nor will it be after multiple days over land. Coastal Texas is suffering so much because it hasn't blown through like most tropical storms. Lingering in the area is giving the people no respite from the weather and dumping more and more rain on heavily flooded terrain.

North Texas may yet see stormy conditions later in the week. That weather really won't be harsh enough to affect an indoor sporting event, though the fanfare and tailgating could be a bit subdued.

08/25/2017 - 8:35am Anyone should look good

Anyone should look good against '16 Rutgers

08/25/2017 - 8:34am No inside info but IIRC he's

No inside info but IIRC he's on track to graduate after three years (including a RS year) and be eligible to grad transfer early with two seasons of eligibility at his landing spot