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Date Title Body
09/24/2018 - 6:08pm Would recommend

Would recommend

09/24/2018 - 10:28am Bill Connelly does weekly…

Bill Connelly does weekly recaps of S&P+ versus the spread. It holds up pretty well.

09/20/2018 - 7:20pm Chill out man

Chill out man

09/14/2018 - 3:48pm Loss will cause me to…

Loss will cause me to... take off all my clothes and walk into Lake Superior to build a new underwater society that only plays chess.

An all-timer. And yes, sounds appropriate.

09/12/2018 - 3:39pm Hearing him explain things…

Hearing him explain things like that makes too much sense. I realize how terrible Runyan and JBB were against ND, but I still understand why they were on the field. That environment was a tough spot to expect an 18 and 19 year old with no game experience to get the start and perform at a high level.

They definitely need to be brought along gradually, getting time against WMU, SMU, and potentially Nebraska and/or Maryland. At some point midseason, they may be trusted enough to win jobs if they've been earned in practice and games.

The one interesting bit will be monitoring Mayfield's four games. If he's not over that cap and hasn't earned a starting job heading out of the bye week, the staff probably tries to hold onto the redshirt.

09/11/2018 - 6:11pm Without too much speculation…

Without too much speculation we can assume:

  • 11 graduates
  • 1 near-lock to NFL (Gary)
  • 2 coin flips to NFL (Hill & Bush)
  • 2 also possible to NFL (Hudson & Long)
  • 1 or 2 firm handshakes
  • 1 QB departure
  • 4 walk-on scholarships become available (late DIB, McDoom transfers didn't seem expected either, so this was probably more than we  thought would be open for 2018)

That puts us in range of 19-23 open scholarships. There is ALWAYS more attrition than we expect, plus odds are 1 or 2 of the 17 year olds currently committed don't sign. CROOTIN

09/11/2018 - 12:40pm One of the options is a…

One of the options is a backup QB? A dollar says they run a fake punt with him against Michigan.

09/06/2018 - 2:31pm For the record, I think your…

For the record, I think your use of stars and shields for the UM Defense is spot on

08/30/2018 - 3:27pm Sad news for a guy who's had…

Sad news for a guy who's had a lot of injuries. Good news for Grant Perry I'd say. From what I've read, he's their nickel and depth after the starters (Love/Pride) and him is nonexistant.

08/29/2018 - 3:58pm Appears we won't really have…

Appears we won't really have much of a chance for a "stars align" type schedule in the next decade. Brutal stuff for the likely marquees with at least two and in most years three major road tests:

2019: @Wisconsin, Iowa, @Penn St, Notre Dame, Michigan St, Ohio St
2020: @Washington, Wisconsin, Penn St, @Michigan St, @Ohio St
2021: Washington, @Wisconsin, Michigan St, @Nebraska, @Penn St, Ohio St
2022: UCLA, @Iowa, Penn St, Nebraska, @Michigan St, @Ohio St
2023: @UCLA, Michigan St, @Nebraska, @Penn St, Ohio St
2024: Texas, Wisconsin, Nebraska, @Michigan St, Penn St, @Ohio St
2025: @Oklahoma, @Nebraska, Michigan St, Iowa, @Penn St, Ohio St

I'd actually like next year's the most with PSU losing McSorley and the swing of rivals at home (even if Wisconsin is a really tough game). If Scott Frost doesn't take off (or has left) at Nebraska and UCLA isn't great then maybe 2023 will set up nicely as well. Simply put, Michigan will have to be great to win 10+ games. 2020, 2021, and 2025 look downright terrifying.

08/27/2018 - 12:45pm Sign me up for 2-1 against…

Sign me up for 2-1 against the rivals (in a year all three are on the road) and 10 wins any day. We've had 10 regular season wins in just two of our last 11 seasons. It'd mean a NY6 bowl appearance, and still a ton would come back next year. (Yeah, yeah, maybe 3-4 NFL early entries but only lose 4ish impact senior starters)

08/22/2018 - 8:18pm Have heard the same. ND fans…

Have heard the same. ND fans seem to be very pleased at CB and most concerned with S as far on D.

08/21/2018 - 3:25pm By necessity, this exercise…

By necessity, this exercise is mostly based on what we've already seen on the field with a little additional projection applied. A nickel says Baron Browning would easily crack any Top 8 B1G ILB list by season's end.

It may be the only positional group that is still a clear win for UM though assuming Hudson plays to the level of the clear #1 HSP type and Bush is right there inside, give or take TJ Edwards. I think we're all assuming whoever wins the WILL job has a shot to perform on the fringes of that top 8 list as well given how much attention will be paid to the rest of the front seven.

08/20/2018 - 3:45pm A little more literally, we…

A little more literally, we were #14 in the preseason AP Poll in 1997. That team also had a salty defense and an offense with tempered expectations, coming off a disappointing 8-win season and Outback Bowl loss.

08/16/2018 - 1:51pm 2019 DE will be a step down…

2019 DE will be a step down because we lose Rashan Gary and Chase Winovich. Only Alabama, Ohio State, and Clemson have the resources to potentially avoid a significant dropoff after losing at that pair. Seems there is plenty of reason for optimism though.

Outside it sure sounds like Paye will be an able starter with enough 2018 snaps to be ready to roll. Vilain should be up to speed by then as well after a year of some depth snaps, physical recovery, and mental progress. At anchor, Hutchinson may be a little green but is at least getting early hype. Chris Hinton is the sort of 5-star that may be thrust into the two-deep immediately.

We also have a couple sleeper bullets in the chamber in Upshaw and Welschof, plus a chance at Zach Harrison. Will DE be another A+ unit next year? Probably not, but there's still a lot to like and  exciting enough replacements.

08/15/2018 - 2:59pm Way-too-early picks! All…

Way-too-early picks! All feel appropriate except ND, which I'm still nervous about.

@ ND: 23-13 W (please no funny business)

WMU: 31-0 W (whatever man)

SMU: 42-24 W (garbage time backdoor cover by good offense against our backups)

Nebraska: 37-10 W (but outhit, likely)

@NW: 32-11 (because weirdness)

Maryland: 28-3 (sad field goal alert)

Cumulative: 193-61

Thinking 250-50 is a little optimistic. We can reach those numbers if we don't ever get in our own way and play like the 2016 team against the softies (SHUTOUTS and better special teams play).

08/15/2018 - 2:52pm In a landslide, mine is the…

In a landslide, mine is the week's worth of dense Season Preview material Brian churns out on the eve of the season as I'm more eager and football-starved than ever.

08/15/2018 - 2:50pm (No subject)

41LGs-xwRrL.jpg

08/09/2018 - 11:10am Great show, Sam Richardson…

Great show, Sam Richardson and his buddy are hilarious

08/07/2018 - 1:08pm My favorite is LJ Scott. A…

My favorite is LJ Scott. A fine B1G RB sure, but top 100 player in the country? Give me Higdon over him (6.1 ypc to 4.5 in 2017) any day. There are players from teams all over that are more valuable than Scott, but I guess they had to have one Spartan on the list.

Having said that, I actually think the rankings for our guys listed are pretty fair outside the excess hype of placing Shea on the list.

08/01/2018 - 11:04am Is anybody surprised? We all…

Is anybody surprised? We all know Urban is bulletproof at somewhere like OSU. This story should only be about truth and justice for Courtney Smith.

07/10/2018 - 2:14pm $75K at least for their G…

$75K at least for their G-League time and can net up to $275K total if they spend the 45 day maximum with the NBA club. For context/reference, Walton reached his max daily limit in Miami last year and fellow Heat 2-way player Derrick Jones Jr. -- who shined in summer league before a sprained ankle Sunday -- was eventually given a standard 2-year deal (year 1 guaranteed, year 2 nonguaranteed) late in the year.

07/10/2018 - 2:09pm Good fit for him. As a Heat…

Good fit for him. As a Heat fan, it's been fun watching him and Walton both play together in summer league alongside more notable prospects in Bam Adebayo and Derrick Jones Jr. Miami's emphasis on defense and conditioning plus a high value towards shooting could unlock a version of him that sticks. If they resign Wayne Ellington you won't find a better designated shooter to learn from this side of Kyle Korver.

 

 

02/26/2018 - 6:52pm He also calls out Barstool as

He also calls out Barstool as emblematic of this which is beyond a lazy take. Sure the content may seem sophomoric to some, but that doesn't indicate anything about the followers/fans -- Stoolies are 150% more likely than the average man to be making $100K+ and less than half as likely than the average man to be making less than $60K. Take that for data. So no, following Barstool does not mean your son has no ambition and will amount to nothing but funneling beers and eyeing co-eds.

Source: work in Digital Advertising

02/24/2018 - 1:42pm Seems like the fact that it's

Seems like the fact that it's not a Power 5 school plus the obvious geographic ties Drake has to the area would lead most reasonable coaches to grant this release.

02/01/2018 - 7:38pm 80s I get, but 90s and early

80s I get, but 90s and early 00s? Jordan's Bulls rolled in all six title years and the Kobe-Shaq Lakers didn't struggle to win during their 3-peat. There's often an obvious best team in the NBA. Only age and the "disease of more" eventually topple those teams until a new one replaces them.

01/31/2018 - 1:12pm Looking at the handy depth

Looking at the handy depth chart by class and only one of the 5th year guys seems an obvious candidate. Interested to see if we have a couple 3rd year players lapped by youth end up being the remaining attrition.

01/24/2018 - 12:59pm Metellus was no

Metellus was no all-conference performer, but in a hyper-aggressive defense that frequently puts it's safeties on island in coverage, he was solid in most games. What true sophomore (and first year starter) doesn't make a handful of contain-related mental mistakes? His upside far exceeds that of a good-not-great Pac-12 corner moving over to safety would be.

Remember the last time we brought in a grad transfer DB from the Pac-12? Wayne Lyons came in (with more fanfare) and expectations to win a starting job or at least be a key reserve but ended up a fringe contributor at best. For depth reasons, we can take all the competent guys we can get, and you can't teach experience so why hate this as a take if you don't know exactly where the roster numbers sit like the coaches do.

 

01/05/2018 - 1:37pm 2016 Wilton Speight before

2016 Wilton Speight before breaking his collarbone against Iowa:

2,053 yards
64.5 completion %
8.9 YPA
15 TDs
3 INTs

We'll never know how he would have played with a fully healthy 2017. But this is an entirely unfair take. And despite a couple disastrous plays against Ohio State, he stepped up and made big throws under pressure when this fanbase had very little faith an injured version of him could.

He was no Heisman contender, but damnit that version of healthy Speight was enough to make us at legitimate Top 5 team when paired with our nasty defense and far superior special teams (a factor that gets overlooked when considering the dropoff this year). That level of QB play would have at the very least gotten us  a 9-3 year (likely with a bowl win as well for a third consecutive 10-3 season).

11/29/2017 - 12:46pm I wouldn't pencil Filiaga in

I wouldn't pencil Filiaga in just because he was the highest rated OL in last year's recruiting class, especially if Newsome is able to come back (*fingers crossed*).Theoretically we'd only have one spot open:

LT - Newsome
LG - Bredeson
C - Ruiz
RG - Onwenu
RT - ?

It's also possible that Bredeson moves to tackle (especially if Newsome never plays again). I'd guess a RS junior Runyan is the nominal 5th guy for now with Spanellis the most likely 6th OL and JBB hanging around the mix if he gets a 5th year.

10/02/2017 - 12:42pm They play fairly positionless

They play fairly positionless and have several guys that can serve as primary or secondary playmakers, making the backup PG not necessarily a traditional floor general type. Tyler Johnson will be the nominal backup to Dragic (as was on display last night when the second unit of Johnson-Ellington-Richardson-Winslow-Olynyk played a fair amount together).

None of this is an indictment of Walton, or how Heat management feels about him. Tyler Johnson, as well as wings Josh Richardson and Rodney McGruder are all former unheralded prospects that Miami's player development and D-League experience has turned into solid NBA rotation players. Johnson's $50 million contract was inflated by an aggressive offer sheet from Brooklyn, but is still worth $10+ million per year and Richardson just signed an extension for similar money. The Heat invest in these guys and are more patient than most, but for now Walton is behind a pile of players.

10/02/2017 - 12:18pm He won't start the season in

He won't start the season in the NBA. He's got up to 45 days this season that he can be with the Heat through his 2-way contract, and they'll save that for later in the year after he's gotten a chance to log a ton of minutes with Sioux Falls. Not to mention the team is very healthy at this juncture, so his call-up could also be a reaction to injuries in the Miami backcourt.

09/02/2017 - 9:09am Miss Back in the Mud

Can't imbed on mobile but:

https://youtu.be/kANnUOwE5qc

08/27/2017 - 11:45pm It's not actually that

It's not actually that powerful at this stage, nor will it be after multiple days over land. Coastal Texas is suffering so much because it hasn't blown through like most tropical storms. Lingering in the area is giving the people no respite from the weather and dumping more and more rain on heavily flooded terrain.

North Texas may yet see stormy conditions later in the week. That weather really won't be harsh enough to affect an indoor sporting event, though the fanfare and tailgating could be a bit subdued.

08/25/2017 - 8:35am Anyone should look good

Anyone should look good against '16 Rutgers

08/25/2017 - 8:34am No inside info but IIRC he's

No inside info but IIRC he's on track to graduate after three years (including a RS year) and be eligible to grad transfer early with two seasons of eligibility at his landing spot

07/24/2017 - 6:35pm Beat me to the punch

Was typing this up, but here are my detailed thoughts anyways:

Derrick Walton has found his landing spot, and as an admittedly biased Miami Heat fan, I think it's a perfect fit. For those that don't know, in the years since LeBron left Miami the Heat have become a breeding ground for developing unheralded prospects into real NBA players. Few teams spend as much time and money using their D-League (G-League now) affiliate as a place to groom young talent for a future in the NBA.

The success stories:

  • Hassan Whiteside spent time in the D-League, China, and Lebanon after a cup of coffee with Sacramento. The Heat brought him into the fold in 2014 and he has developed into a near All-Star at center, commanding $98 million contract last summer
  • Tyler Johnson may be most famous for his $50 million offer sheet last summer, but the ex-Fresno State guard developed in Miami's D-League Sioux Falls Sky Force before proving himself a valuable reserve guard at the top level
  • Josh Richardson was a second round pick some may have remembered at Tennessee. With Miami, he found a role contributing to a 3-seed team that pushed 2-seed Toronto to a Game 7 in 2016, hitting over 46% from 3 and proving to be a more than adequate 3-and-D role player
  • Rodney McGruder is a little known wing out of Kansas State. After bouncing around the D-League, the Heat affliliate signed him in 2015 and he spent a full year getting time in Siuox Falls. Last year, he started 65 games for the Heat in relief of injured Justise Winslow. His average shooting from distance and excellent defense garnered him some votes on the All Rookie teams.
  • Dion Waiters and James Johnson were established NBA players, but both hit another gear with career seasons in Erik Spoelstra's system a year ago. The mix of conditioning and culture has proven to be an elixir for journeymen who haven't reached their potential as well as young guns

Walton should be given every chance to earn a real NBA deal by next season, and developing under the tutelage of Pat Riley and Spo is ideal. Miami's new pace and space attack would make great use of Walton's playmaking and ability to shoot of the dribble. The roster is full of combo guards and wings, but a true backup PG is missing. In a year or two, that could be Walton.

07/07/2017 - 12:49am This take makes no sense.

This take makes no sense. Damn that business for making money and for those that drive that revenue (the players) for getting well paid for doing so. What a tragedy!

06/02/2017 - 2:02pm It's not a black and white

It's not a black and white issue. In the NBA, it's all about the situation. Developing on the bench, but with a great development staff and star role models is one thing (think Miami, San Antonio, Golden State). As is getting early playing time and growing up alongside a young core with a solid coach (think Minnesota, Milwaukee, Utah).

The other side of the coin is being drafted to a wasteland like Sacramento, New York, or Orlando have been. That can stunt development despite steady playing time with constantly changing coaching staffs, undefined roles, and headcase "stars" hogging the ball.

I do think people (particularly college hoops fans) overrate college development compared to the NBA, but context is key. Take Stauskas (though he did take a step forward this year to be fair) bouncing from Sacramento to Philly and languishing versus THJ getting moved from NY to Atlanta, who has a well-respected staff, and blossoming into a solid rotation piece.

06/02/2017 - 1:51pm Even as it seems the more

Even as it seems the more fair or ethical path, direct pay for athletes is dumb. The Olympic model posited by Bill Connelly over at SB Nation makes more sense. Determining "salaries" or whatever we'd call them on a sport-by-sport, player-by-player basis would be a major headache.

Sure it means that the most elite players would go to the most elite (and wealthiest programs). Guess what? They already do! Would money earned from a school's top player to their #85 scholarship player (or #13 in basketball) be a fair difference? Maybe, maybe not. But that player, despite his work ethic, is very likely not driving the big revenue that the sport is creating.

There are still questions to be asked about such a system, but not nearly as much as pay-for-play.

06/02/2017 - 11:26am MBDTF, TLOP, LR/CD (tough

MBDTF, TLOP, LR/CD (tough call for me), WTT, GRAD, 808,YEEZ

05/31/2017 - 3:43pm One man's guess for the

One man's guess for the rest:

vs. Air Force (9/16): Noon
vs. MSU (10/7): Night (rumored to be so)
at Penn State (10/21): Night
vs. Minneosta (11/4): Noon (unless Minny is better than expected)
at Maryland (11/11): Noon (unleess UMD is better than expected)
at Wisconsin (11/18): 3:30
 

04/14/2017 - 12:56pm In a meaningless final game

In a meaningless final game that had the best wizards sitting out. Sure he was efficient in that one game, but he's an afterthought in the rotation nonetheless.

04/05/2017 - 1:07pm This is the fallacy of NBA

This is the fallacy of NBA prospects. Only the very, very best step in as plus players in years 1-2 (think guys like Towns and Davis). Yet, a year of development with an NBA staff while playing with the pro rules and without the practice restrictions in the NCAA is invaluable.

Taking one of those mocks, consider DJ Wilson's potential if drafted by the Spurs? Sure he'd be a deep reserve and maybe spend some time on their D-League affiliate in Austin. But they'd make a player out of him and find a way to exploit his length, athleticism, and shooting touch. in a couple years.

I want them back and think there is some value in staying and getting a full season as a top option on a potentially elite college team, but I do understand if either bolts, particularly Wilson as he's already 21.

03/20/2017 - 1:24pm Mixed Bag

I don't love Nantz (except for the Masters), but it lends a big game feel to things to have him on the call. Considering he did the the final two games of the B1G Tournament and our first two of the NCAA Tournament, I wouldn't have minded the continuity.

Having said that they were never going to not have their lead crew doing UCLA-Kentucky. Kevin Harlan is one of the best (though no Gus Johnson). Reggie is one of the worst.

Either way, the same basketball will be played, so it's not that important.

02/09/2017 - 1:14pm Uhhh...

02/08/2017 - 12:43pm Where's The Threat?

02/08/2017 - 12:28pm I never read that site but

I never read that site but checked out that link for some laughs. My favorite at first glance: 

"I would take 6-6 in a heartbeat"

02/08/2017 - 10:59am It's about time

02/02/2017 - 11:26am Hadn't looked at the

Hadn't looked at the offense/defense dichotomy as closely in the 2013 class specifically until now. It's pretty staggering. Out of 26 signees (not counting the LS), a majority were offensive players -- just 9 settled on D after Poggi/RTD/Shallman all ended up on offense. Of that group on defense, only Reon Dawson (the lowest ranked and a lightly recruited 3-star) didn't become a starter. 

On the other side of the ball, you have to go down to our 8th(!) highest-rated offensive signee to get to a productive UM starter (Butt) and only two others really hit that bar (Smith, K Hill). Wild stuff.