Tell Right Now - How Many Victories This Year
Mates,
Reset the predictions right now. Unfortunately 15 victories is out of reach. We are 2-1 and have looked pretty good, but not great, in most areas of play. Still legitimate reason to have optimism and ohio and msu aren't going to want to play us since we will be very dangerous no matter what our record is.
So, call it out right now: How many wins in the regular season? I say we are 8-4, shading to 9-3. We are going to happily surprise a couple of teams, derp a game, but overall, good performance strongly trending in the right direction.
Your win prediction is.....
September 20th, 2015 at 9:23 PM ^
September 21st, 2015 at 8:32 AM ^
So your reasoning is that we can't score enough points to beat Penn State? All we have to do is put 10 guys on the LOS to stp their run game and have Peppers play the rest of the field to cover the occasional Hackenberg pass that goes past the LOS, cleanup any run plays that get through the 10-man line and return punts, and PSU will not score. hell they may move backwards fast enough to score for us.
September 20th, 2015 at 9:24 PM ^
September 20th, 2015 at 9:25 PM ^
I want to believe 8-4 but think 7-5 is possible. Ask this question this time next week.....
The problem is that I don't know if we've seen what we're capable of. I can honestly say that by game 4 the last few years I and I suspect most of us had a better Idea of who or what this team was.
At this weeks game, I couldn't tell if we were really that vanilla or if Harbaugh just wasn't going to tip his hand if he didn't have to.
The game against BYU will be revealing.
Losses against MSU and OSU
Toss ups against BYU, Northwestern, Minnesota........these three games are the difference between 8-4 or 7-5
FWIW - Northwestern has replaced Penn State on this list
September 20th, 2015 at 9:30 PM ^
September 20th, 2015 at 9:30 PM ^
7-5, down from 9-3. didn't really account for the OL changing to a power scheme, which they are terrible at playing. Also, Rudock is just not that comfortable with the WRs and the offense in general.
September 20th, 2015 at 9:32 PM ^
September 20th, 2015 at 9:32 PM ^
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September 20th, 2015 at 9:32 PM ^
September 20th, 2015 at 9:39 PM ^
Probable losses (2) MSU/OSU (sorry we match up horribly with MSU's DL and our QB is meh so wont test that defense's weakness
Probable wins (3) rutgers, maryland, indiana,
That takes us to 5-3 if you go along the chalk. With 4 tossups with @Minn, @PSU, NW, BYU.
If you are ranking the teams we played we already finished with the 2 worst or 2 of the 3 worst in OSU and UNLV along with maybe the 4th best. So that still leaves a lot of the tough ones (in my view 9 of the 10 toughest opponents remain - tough being relative) as we eliminated the 2 worst opponents already. Until rudock looks like a game manager and not a less explosive Devin Gardner hard to see us blowing up many B10 defenses not named Indiana. Thankfully we face a lot of shitty offense in the conf still as well. So a lot of M00N games ahead of us I believe esp with Minn, NW, PSU types. All 3 appear to have sturdy defenses.
Split the toss ups and you get 7 wins, go 3-1 in tossups you get 8. If you do worse than 2-2 in tossups you get pain.
If we lose to BYU this week we have to win all 3 toss up games in conf , 2 on the road to get to 8.
If this is all Jake rudock can be with Jim H coaching the hell out of him, 7 seems probable.
September 20th, 2015 at 10:12 PM ^
September 20th, 2015 at 9:35 PM ^
September 20th, 2015 at 9:35 PM ^
My heart says we only drop OSU and one other to go 9-3.
My mind says we drop OSU, MSU, and one other (potentially Northwestern) to go 8-4. Considering how weak Rutgers, Penn State, Indiana, and Maryland are, one would hope we don't end up with fewer than 7 wins.
However, like other people have said, I think we'll know a lot more at about 3:30pm this Saturday.
September 20th, 2015 at 9:37 PM ^
After today's debacle, Jed York is fired by his parents and they work a trade, persuading Harbaugh to come back to SF by making him 50% owner of the franchise, general manager, director of player personnel, and head coach.
The other part of the trade? Jim Tomsula is now the J. Ira and Nicki Harris Head Football Coach at Michigan.
September 20th, 2015 at 9:38 PM ^
So very wrong. Oakland would swoop in first.
September 20th, 2015 at 9:36 PM ^
September 20th, 2015 at 9:37 PM ^
11-1 or 12-0 (It is found that Utah used an ineligible player).
September 20th, 2015 at 9:40 PM ^
September 20th, 2015 at 9:49 PM ^
That's a new one.
September 20th, 2015 at 9:58 PM ^
September 21st, 2015 at 11:12 AM ^
September 20th, 2015 at 10:12 PM ^
September 20th, 2015 at 9:40 PM ^
I was thinking 8 or 9 wins at the start of the season, but I am leaning toward 8-4 now that I have seen them a few games. Losses to MSU, OSU, and BYU.
September 20th, 2015 at 9:40 PM ^
September 20th, 2015 at 9:41 PM ^
Wideouts and TEs definitely have potential, but I think what will hold this team back, yet again, is the QB play. Rudock is still just not playing up to expectations. If he plays going forward like he did yesterday, he will cost Michigan several more games. But it's not all on him. The OL did not play very well yesterday against a vastly undersized UNLV DL. Failing to get one measly yard on two tries against those guys still really bothers me. And I don't doubt for a second that it bothers Harbaugh more.
I trust in Harbaugh fully. He's a winner and he'll get Michigan back on track, but he'll undoubtedly need time. My gut says 7-5, maybe 8-4.
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September 20th, 2015 at 9:45 PM ^
by 2017 we'll have a whole new OL (except Cole) and a whole new D (except Peppers)
September 21st, 2015 at 2:24 AM ^
but only because he is a first team AA in 2016 leading M to a top 5 final ranking.
September 20th, 2015 at 9:47 PM ^
Aren't there a few more categories between good and "borderline great," say like very good, damn good, fucking good, and excellent?
September 20th, 2015 at 9:42 PM ^
I'm sticking with 9-3.
I always thought Utah was the third hardest game on our schedule, so losing to them really didn't change my predictions.
I think we lose one of the rivalry games, but notch an upset in the other, and then drop one more of the tossups (BYU, Northwestern, Minnesota, Penn State). I think our team is better than Minnesota and PSU, but the road environments could maybe give us a negative outcome. I'm still not sold on Northwestern either, but we'll see.
I think BYU is our hardest remaining game outside of the rivalries.
September 20th, 2015 at 9:42 PM ^
I initially predicted 7-5 with losses to Utah, MSU and OSU, a loss to Minnesota or PSU, and a completely unexpected loss against one of the remaining teams since that is the nature of college football.
I am now revising my prediction to 8-4 with losses to Utah, BYU, MSU and OSU. I have changed my opinion on Minnesota, which has a horrific offense. Michigan may be limited offensively but still has more playmakers and should win. PSU showed some improvement last week but I with any semblance of a passing game, Michigan wins since I don't see PSU moving the ball much against Michigan. Northwestern is the most surprising team in the B1G, but they too are limited offensively and the game is at home.
September 20th, 2015 at 9:42 PM ^
I'm not backing down from my 8 win prediction from this preseason.
September 20th, 2015 at 9:42 PM ^
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September 20th, 2015 at 9:42 PM ^
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September 20th, 2015 at 9:44 PM ^
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September 20th, 2015 at 9:48 PM ^
September 20th, 2015 at 9:49 PM ^
September 20th, 2015 at 9:58 PM ^
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September 21st, 2015 at 5:46 AM ^
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September 20th, 2015 at 9:59 PM ^
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September 20th, 2015 at 10:55 PM ^
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September 20th, 2015 at 10:01 PM ^
I'm still thinking 8-4 is very likely, with 9-3 and 7-5 both possible. Five losses would be tough to swallow, but I think we'd finish it off with a good showing in a bowl game. By then we should be firing on all cylinders, and hopefully Rudock will have settled into what we were expecting - a solid, accurate QB who may not hit many deep balls, but moves the chains and avoids mistakes.
September 20th, 2015 at 9:59 PM ^
September 20th, 2015 at 10:24 PM ^
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September 20th, 2015 at 10:01 PM ^
September 20th, 2015 at 10:11 PM ^
So you're telling me that a QB with zero career victories is going to lead this team to 9 or 10 wins?
Ok.
September 20th, 2015 at 10:16 PM ^
Also Wilton and Shane must be close in ability otherwise this whole redshirt plan makes zero sense.
September 20th, 2015 at 10:25 PM ^
September 20th, 2015 at 10:39 PM ^
September 20th, 2015 at 11:29 PM ^
Morris is a 35% career passer with an effed up coaching staff and a craptastic O-line.