Official Score Prediction and game narrative thread
As much I think this has the chance to be a pushover with UM strangling out UW to the tune of 38-18, I respect 14-0 and Deboer and think they're going to look really good early and we're looking at something like 14-10 deficit after 1. We'll take the lead just before the half 20-17. They'll hand around in the third through some Penix/WR heroics to sit at 27-24 (good guys) and they'll run out of gas with no running game in the 4th. The 4th quarter will see Penix's first Int, which will, sadly only lead to a FG to make it 37-24, and thus keep UW in contact. The game will end 37-31, with us sitting on the ball and not scoring, although cutting through their exhausted DL with ease.
January 8th, 2024 at 7:53 AM ^
I like it! I’m going to stick with my Sparty Index score: Michigan 39-24.
January 8th, 2024 at 8:46 AM ^
you're one day mgoblog older than me!
January 8th, 2024 at 2:51 PM ^
Natty comes to UM tonight. I don’t know why but have a good feeling like we win the game a little easier then most think. Something like 38-24. Go Blue
January 8th, 2024 at 7:56 AM ^
I have it at 37-29 good guys for absolutely no good reason at all. Go Blue!
January 8th, 2024 at 7:56 AM ^
Boa, meet constricted. Lower scoring than maybe you might expect but same result you know you wanna see.
24-19. Go Blue. Now and forever. LETS FUCKING DO THIS!!!!
January 8th, 2024 at 7:57 AM ^
There’s no gambling at Bushwood. On the other hand, it’s easy to grin when your ship comes in;
38-31 wolverines.
January 8th, 2024 at 8:05 AM ^
My shorts will be too tight in the seat all day.
January 8th, 2024 at 9:50 AM ^
Any tips for how you've got the stock market beat?
January 8th, 2024 at 7:57 AM ^
35-21 good guys. Why? Wash O vs M Def = tie. M O vs Wash def = advantage M. That's it.
January 8th, 2024 at 8:06 AM ^
Was that a packers super bowl score? Seems familiar.
January 8th, 2024 at 8:29 AM ^
FWIW, that was the score of The Game, 100th edition. I know only because I rocked a shirt for almost two decades w the score on it until it became so thin that it was almost see through.
January 8th, 2024 at 7:58 AM ^
34-24 M
Corum 154 yds, Loveland 103 and JJ 278 yds
January 8th, 2024 at 10:27 AM ^
If we use it, Loveland's gonna have an acre to himself in the middle of the field. Those UW linebackers are gonna be flinging themselves at the LOS on anything that even might be a run
January 8th, 2024 at 7:59 AM ^
Michigan 38-28.
January 8th, 2024 at 8:02 AM ^
14-14 at half
24-17 us end of the 3rd
31-24 game. blouses.
January 8th, 2024 at 8:08 AM ^
Holding them to 24 would be a huge accomplishment
January 8th, 2024 at 8:31 AM ^
I agree. But our team is designed to do it. QB pressure, limit big plays, and tighten in the red zone on defense. Long, sustained drives, control time of possession, and grind out rushing yards in the 4th quarter on offense.
January 8th, 2024 at 8:14 AM ^
I’m going 31-23. Bend don’t break holds them to 3 FGs plus a couple TDs.
January 8th, 2024 at 11:07 AM ^
Similar, I had us winning 30-22.
January 8th, 2024 at 8:02 AM ^
31-20 Michigan .
Blake Corum goes off tonight
January 8th, 2024 at 8:07 AM ^
Literally any game flow that results in a win is fine. Nothing else matters.
January 8th, 2024 at 8:08 AM ^
This is what I keep leaning on ...
With one week of prep time, it's not a huge shift for us to tweak our "Ohio State" defense of the last 3 years to try to defend Washington. We've seen something somewhat similar to Washington.
Who has Washington seen that is close to us? What game plan can they lean on. Utah? Oregon State? I just don't see anyone on their schedule that even loosely mimics what Michigan does.
Michigan 38-34
January 8th, 2024 at 8:12 AM ^
Fuck, you had me at "hello."
Doubling my bet.
January 8th, 2024 at 8:38 AM ^
Oregon runs a relatively physical brand of football. Not saying the exact same. In their most recent matchup, Oregon gained 6.2 yds per rush but Washington jumped out to a 20-3 lead and forced Oregon to play catch up much of the middle part of the game.
In their first matchup, Oregon ran it 40 (!) times for 5.1 yds per rush and I thought they were the better team in that game but Oregon went 0-3 on crucial 4th downs and UW came out with the win.
The Huskies are scrappy and they figure out different ways to win. 21 games in a row doesn't happen by accident.
- guy who has unsuccessfully kept betting against UW all season
January 8th, 2024 at 8:10 AM ^
Washington 42 - Michigan 36
January 8th, 2024 at 10:00 AM ^
Reverse jinx. I like it. Thank you for your sacrifice.
January 8th, 2024 at 8:10 AM ^
I'm sticking with 31-20 Michigan; Michigan gets a late TD to put the game away. Defense, once again, puts the opposing offense to bed.
January 8th, 2024 at 8:10 AM ^
31-24 good guys!! GO BLUE!!!
January 8th, 2024 at 8:10 AM ^
Last week I predicted 27-20 Michigan …
i don’t think this game will be close unless Washington can consistently run the ball.. If Penix has to throw 35+ times we should be able to force a turnover or 2. . To beat Michigan you have to have some balance offensively and a good defense.. I don’t think Washington has either..
Michigan needs to not take Washington lightly not expect to just pound the rock down their throat..We fell into that trap last year against TCU and had to throw more than we wanted. JJ needs to hit some big throws early to soften them up.. Pass rush needs to be great tonight
Michigan 31 Washington 20
January 8th, 2024 at 8:26 AM ^
Not having Corum and a hurt Edwards was a huge reason they lost to TCU. Other than the first play of the game (Edwards huge run where he would have scored if healthy) they had to pass rthe entire night and play catch up. Totally different scenario tonight.
January 8th, 2024 at 8:11 AM ^
41-17, Michigan
January 8th, 2024 at 9:19 AM ^
Finally. someone with the fortitude to say it how it is. Big Boys beat the finesse team. We've done this for three years.
January 8th, 2024 at 9:33 AM ^
Terrified to say it, but feels like this is how this should go (assuming Michigan doesn't shoot themselves in the foot or Penix doesn't play completely out of his mind).
Washington reminds of a better version of TCU and Michigan seems like a slightly worse version of Georgia from last year.
Washington had quite a bit break for them against Texas and held on to win. Michigan didn't play their best game, but still pulled out the victory over the 2nd best team in a power conference. (I know Alabama beat Georgia, but I still think Georgia wins that game the majority of the time it's played, especially if Bowers and McConkey are healthy).
Now, without a month of prep, its more about whose better and Michigan has proven to be better all season. I don't think its going to be 65-7, but it would not surprise me if it was the above or 38-21 or 49-28 or something along those lines.
January 8th, 2024 at 12:51 PM ^
There's something metrics can't account for that leads to 14-0. It's almost impossible to get to 14-0, and one has to respect that. This team will be tough, and is well-coached, and knows how to win.
January 8th, 2024 at 10:30 AM ^
I don't have the stones to call something like that, but there's definitely a possible outcome where we give Washington the Penn-State-in-Ann-Arbor treatment. If the pass game for UW struggles, there's nothing else for them to really rely on
January 8th, 2024 at 8:14 AM ^
Michigan forces UW to settle for a couple of field goals and 2-3 punts and snags one interception. We win 38-27.
January 8th, 2024 at 8:14 AM ^
I can't shake the feeling that this will be a 9 point win for the good guys. I think the experts are overestimating the passing game of UW, especially since Penix hasn't been otherworldly in every game. They haven faced a D like the M defense, and that'll make the difference.
January 8th, 2024 at 8:16 AM ^
Michigan 30-21 win behind HEAVY doses of Edwards.
January 8th, 2024 at 8:17 AM ^
35-24 UM
January 8th, 2024 at 8:18 AM ^
Michigan 29
Washington 24
January 8th, 2024 at 8:20 AM ^
I am going with Michigan 44 to Washington 34, a 10 point win for our guys!
The reason for this particular score is that I averaged the last two games against the best passing offense in College Football (OSU at home 2021, OSU on the road 2022) with the most flukey CFP game to date (TCU 2022). If you combine the scores from those three games and average them, we win 44-34, and that feels about right.
Our team is about to win the National Fucking Championship!!!! 🏈
January 8th, 2024 at 8:20 AM ^
Going sideways here, I'll be OK with whatever outcome as long as Penix doesn't have a 99th percentile game for him (repeatedly dropping dimes over DBs not named Will Johnson) and Michigan doesn't shoot itself in the foot several times as it did against Alabama.
January 8th, 2024 at 8:21 AM ^
35–7 at half
56–14 for the game
We get up 14–0 quickly, Penix starts taking more risks, and the wheels come off for Washington. A couple of the deep shots go their way, which is the only way they end up getting any points at all.
But their D isn't stopping us, not once.
January 8th, 2024 at 9:10 AM ^
I don't think that is likely to happen but I really would LOVE for that to happen. Just have a nice relaxing 2nd half to watch instead of stressing the whole game.
January 8th, 2024 at 8:22 AM ^
The special teams got that shit out of their system last game. The defense will keep doing what theyve done all year because they are dogs and Minter is the DC.
The offense will move the ball better than they did against bama.
I hate predicting scores but Draft Kings has +100 boost for Corum TD + Michigan win. Lock it up because its happening tonight.
January 8th, 2024 at 8:22 AM ^
I just hope both teams have fun!
January 8th, 2024 at 12:52 PM ^
And everyone has an orgasm.
January 8th, 2024 at 8:23 AM ^
38-27, Michigan of course....
5 scoring drives by UW, but two of the are held to FGs and none of the drives take less than 3 minutes to score and that is the difference. The 5 other possessions; 2 punts; 1 ending of the 1st half; 1 turnover on downs; and 1 INT to seal it at the end...
Blake will score twice, JJ will throw 2 TDs (1 to Roman and 1 to Loveland), and Edwards will score the last TD. Toss in a FG and you get 38....
January 8th, 2024 at 8:23 AM ^
39-28 good guys.