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Date Title Body
11/23/2018 - 12:22pm 42-7 is the new 38-0.

42-7 is the new 38-0.

11/23/2018 - 11:37am I don’t think there’s really…

I don’t think there’s really any logic to it.  I mean, they’re not bad at defense by choice. Right?

11/23/2018 - 9:21am Good post, OP.

Regardless…

Good post, OP.

Regardless of the outcome of tomorrow's game, I think the future of the rivalry will really turn on this coming offseason in Columbus.  Will Meyer stay, or will he go?  If he stays, will be still be as effective a coach as he has been, with all the sideline antics and health rumors and so forth?  If he goes, who does OSU hire to replace him, and what does that wind up looking like?

A Michigan win tomorrow feels like it could push Meyer toward the exit, or render him less effective in the future if he does stay.  I'm not sure what effect an OSU win would have, other than to prevent those things.  (Admittedly I find the latter prospect too painful to really think about).

11/23/2018 - 9:02am Yikes, just saw that one of…

Yikes, just saw that one of the buses carrying the UW Marching Band overturned on I-90 this morning.  Apparently there were dozens of injuries but fortunately none were serious according to the story I saw--which is pretty amazing.

11/23/2018 - 8:58am I lived in Seattle for 12…

I lived in Seattle for 12 years and now live in Virginia, so I'll be watching the Apple Cup and UVA-VaTech games.  Rooting for the Huskies (my wife has her PhD from UW) and Hokies (I happened to move to a street with a bunch of VT grads and we're all buds now).  I'm glad these games are today and not...tomorrow.

11/22/2018 - 6:18am I appreciate the hard work…

I appreciate the hard work that went into this.  Thanks OP.

 I don’t know how meaningful it is without being opponent-adjusted, but if it stands up I think the most noteworthy insight here is the additional 75 yards per game ceded.  That’s a pretty big number.  Right now a team giving up the with-Bosa average of 345.7 ypg would rank #30 in total defense, whereas a team surrendering the post-Bosa figure of 419.5 ypg would rank #85.

11/21/2018 - 9:47pm 1996.

1996.

11/21/2018 - 1:22pm I agree with the comments…

I agree with the comments above that say it's silly to compare our WRs to theirs (as opposed to comparing our receivers to their secondary).  But for fun, let's go player-by-player.

Others may disagree with this ranking, but I'd rank M's receivers as follows:

1) DPJ, 2) Nico, 3) Black, 4) Perry, 5) Bell, 6) Oliver

I'd rank OSU's receivers:

1) Hill, 2) Campbell, 3) McLaurin, 4) Dixon, 5) Victor, 6) Olave

I'm not counting Austin Mack, as he's injured.  McLaurin was banged-up too but I believe he's expected to play.

Putting these guys head-to-head, it would be very close but I'd take M's first three guys over OSU's first three guys, but I'd easily take OSU's 4,5, and 6 over M's 4, 5, and 6.  So I think M's are a smidge better at the top end, OSU has more quality depth.

 

 

 

 

11/21/2018 - 1:10pm I also think Brown is going…

I also think Brown is going to fuck with Haskins a ton on those short throws.  Haskins will complete his share, but hopefully there are others that get tipped up into the secondary.  And if Haskins starts hesitating because he's confused or doesn't trust what he's seeing, it's over.

11/20/2018 - 9:46pm Canada did just take OSU to…

Canada did just take OSU to overtime without a defense, and would have beaten them if his backup QB could have completed a two-yard pass to a wide open receiver.  

11/20/2018 - 4:18pm I don't understand why they…

I don't understand why they'd do that.  OSU has looked shaky this season because of their defense and lack of a running game, but they are still 10-1 because their passing offense (and punting) has been lights-out.  If they bring in Martell to try and kickstart the running game, then they are weakening the strength of their team. I can't imagine Martell is close to Haskins as a passer or else he'd already be starting.  I'm sure they'll find ways to use Martell in some short-yardage and red zone situations, but overall they are undoubtedly better off dancing with the partner that brought them.   

This just kind of reminded me of the Buckeye teams from the mid-90s with Stanley Jackson and Joe Germain.  They were much more dangerous with Germain, but would often play Jackson because of his running ability.  Whenever Jackson would come in, I'd breathe a sigh of relief.  Then Jackson graduated and the Buckeyes won the Big Ten in 1998 with Germain playing full time.

11/20/2018 - 4:06pm On #2, Eleven Warriors has a…

On #2, Eleven Warriors has a pretty good article discussing some of the things Matt Canda did to mess with the OSU defense.  

11/20/2018 - 3:52pm One could even say that…

One could even say that pressure is life-giving to energy, if one were so inclined.

11/20/2018 - 3:35pm I know it was just Rutgers…

I know it was just Rutgers but man, Ambry pwning that route and getting an interception really makes me feel much more confident about next year's corners if we do have to replace all three.  

11/20/2018 - 3:01pm Perhaps this was the success…

Perhaps this was the success Dantonio was referring to?

11/20/2018 - 2:37pm The only issue with this DL…

The only issue with this DL class is that some highly rated kid is going to get stuck behind another, or moved to OL

Defensive line is the one position group where this issue never concerns me.  If a DL develops well enough to contribute, they'll get him into the rotation and he'll get snaps.  

11/20/2018 - 12:26pm I think this analysis is…

I think this analysis is pretty similar to the methodology behind the SEC Fans game simulator.  

11/20/2018 - 12:21pm Well, there's Echo & the…

Well, there's Echo & the Bunnymen.

11/20/2018 - 11:57am That was the first thing I…

That was the first thing I thought of when I saw that comment too.  But then I looked it up and was surprised to see that Toledo really just had two good seasons (he was 10-2 in both '97 and '98) before he flamed out.  

UCLA was ranked #16 at the start of 1999, so that might have made that run feel longer than it was.  UCLA finished the '99 season at 4-7.  

11/20/2018 - 11:51am If Frames leaves and you get…

If Frames leaves and you get Moorhead with Shoop in tow (or really any other credible DC), Penn State suddenly becomes much more formidable on a year-in, year-out basis.  

If, for whatever reason, you don't get Moorhead then I think you're up against the general lack of great options this cycle.  But I don't really see any good reason it wouldn't be Moorhead.  

11/20/2018 - 11:40am Might be too late for that,…

Might be too late for that, seeing as he got smoked by M and lost to both OSU and MSU at home this season. 

11/20/2018 - 11:15am If they can't get Moorhead,…

If they can't get Moorhead, maybe they can get Shoop?  Both of those guys were good coordinators at Penn State.

11/20/2018 - 10:00am Just score touchdowns.

Just score touchdowns.

11/19/2018 - 7:51pm This is such a horrible take…

This is such a horrible take.  A coach’s job duties include things like identifying talented players and coaches, recruiting them to the school, developing them, designing good game plans, and teaching the players to carry out those plans.  “Beating OSU” is not a job task.  Rather, victories—whether over OSU or other teams—are a probable result of performing the above-listed tasks well.  But that’s not guaranteed; sometimes—indeed frequently—coaches lose games for various reasons outside their personal control.

So if you have a coach who hires good assistants, recruits good players and develops them, designs effective game plans and teaches his players how to execute those plans—then you should win your share of games against OSU.  But you might not.  And if you don’t, the worst thing you can do about it is replace the coach who hires good assistants, recruits and develops good players, and designs and teaches effective schemes just because you’re disappointed with the results.  If the coach you have continues to perform well, then perhaps the results will come.  If you replace that coach with one who almost certainly performs at an inferior level, you’ve only diminished your prospects.

11/19/2018 - 6:35pm Sweet stroke for that kid.

Sweet stroke for that kid.

11/19/2018 - 2:37pm If you want to compare this…

If you want to compare this to the MSU game, this is really no different than Sparty's pre-game walk.

Sure, Bush and Lavert and those guys could have moved out of the way and let the Spartans "impose their will" or whatever.  They could have been "respectful" and not done anything to give MSU supposed extra motivation.  But they stood their ground, as they damn well should have.  

Here, Higdon is asked point blank: do you guarantee a win over Ohio State?  It's the same situation.  He can "be respectful" and go with some weak answer like "all I can say is we'll go into that game well-prepared and give it our best shot" or some shit--but that's only going to be reported as "Higdon declines to guarantee M victory."  So he stood his ground.  As he damn well should have. 

11/19/2018 - 2:25pm Agreed.  Was just thinking…

Agreed.  Was just thinking that's probably why mgrow went with SCOTUS.  

11/19/2018 - 2:23pm Because there was a piece of…

Because there was a piece of shit lining up across from him.

11/19/2018 - 2:21pm "An argument could be made,"…

"An argument could be made," yes.  But we all know this year's game is more important.  It's Brian's rope bridge analogy: beating OSU in 2006 or 2016 would have been great for Michigan, but would only have dealt a minor setback to OSU.

Beating OSU this year sends them plummeting down into the ravine.  And if we don't slash the ropes now?  Then Indiana fucking Meyer steals back the arc and laughs as he seals us back in the pit of snakes.  

 

11/19/2018 - 2:08pm Because of Brian's rope…

Because of Brian's rope bridge analogy.  What could be better than slashing the ropes and sending OSU down into the ravine?  Answer: telling the whole world that we are going to slash the ropes and send them plummeting down into the ravine, and then going and doing it.

11/19/2018 - 2:05pm Damn right.  Raising the…

Damn right.  Raising the stakes is always the right play when you're holding four aces.

11/19/2018 - 12:45pm Yeah, he's basic rules…

Yeah, he's basic rules Chaotic with low WIS.

11/19/2018 - 12:16pm I'm not sure how long Brian…

I'm not sure how long Brian has been doing the "Refs -2" comments and stuff in UFR, but that could supply at least some data if somebody were to go back through and tally up the grades for different crews.  

11/19/2018 - 12:09pm I guess you could say that a…

I guess you could say that a district judge may want to become an appellate judge at some point, or a COA judge may want to be appointed to the SCOTUS.  

11/19/2018 - 12:06pm These kinds of rules are…

These kinds of rules are pretty common in various legal procedures, such as administrative hearings, arbitrations, mediations, etc.  I used to practice in Washington State, and their state court system even allows a party to "affidavit" a judge--meaning if you don't like the judge you drew, you get one chance to have the case reassigned without cause.  So, I'm not sure I get why this type of rule would be viewed as less than a best practice.  If you have the ability to minimize even the perception of bias, that seems like a good thing.  I suspect it has more to do with the administrative burdens this could impose on the league (e.g., if you only have seven crews and teams start vetoing certain officials, then you may wind up in a situation where you can't match each of your crews to a game).

11/19/2018 - 11:59am I wish I could get banned…

I wish I could get banned from Chuck E Cheese.  I would rather my child bring home a report card with four D-minuses than an invitation to a non-drop-off birthday party at that foresaken hovel.

11/19/2018 - 11:51am I hope so.  After 2016 I'd…

I hope so.  After 2016 I'd actually take O'Neill's incompetence over Capron's bias in a heartbeat.

11/19/2018 - 11:48am I don't even think they'd…

I don't even think they'd need to pay them anywhere near $200K.  I think you could pay them something comparable to what most state court judges or other high-level public servants make and that would easily be enough--and that's just for the actual referee; the other crew members could be paid less than that DOE. I'm sure there are plenty of people who would sign up to be a field judge or an umpire for $50K or $70K a year, maybe even less.

  

11/19/2018 - 11:33am Even just one of these…

Even just one of these reforms could make a significant difference.

I do believe there is a process for grading the officials' performance, though.  I have to wonder if there is any way to access records of those evaluations through a public disclosure law, even if in a redacted form.  Probably not, but at least seems possible since most of the Big Ten schools are public and their coaches and administrators serve on various Big Ten committees where they may have access to that material.

11/19/2018 - 11:25am Ba-boom chishh!

Ba-boom chishh!

11/19/2018 - 11:24am Not to mention Hart is the…

Not to mention Hart is the running backs coach.  I don't recall seeing any cheap shots from the IU running backs.  I'm not sure what Hart is supposed to do about players from other position groups.  

11/19/2018 - 11:22am IU's running back also…

IU's running back also seemed to have that quintessential Hart-like ability to fall forward in such a way that there were always another 2-3 yards added on from wherever the tackler made contact.  

11/19/2018 - 11:15am I haven't met any fellow…

I haven't met any fellow posters in person but when Nick Roumel was doing the Punt-Counterpunt reprise I recognized his name on a mutual friend's Facebook post and reached out.  I wound up meeting up with him the next time I was in A2 and we had a lot in common, so we're buds now.  

It is kind of a strange line to cross/not cross but I really like your idea of wearing mgoblog t-shirts and seeing who makes the connection.  I'm not sure how that would go in A2 or even Michigan generally, but since I live far out of state that would kind of be a neat thing.

11/19/2018 - 10:39am I actually first noticed…

I actually first noticed Stueber was in on the clock drive to end the first half.  I didn't realize JBB was hurt at the time, and was wondering if M might have though Stueber was the better pass protector and been trying a thing where they put in the superior pass-blocking line in obvious passing situations.  I don't know if any team has ever done that before, but defenses put pass rush specialists and extra DBs on the field in those situations so I don't know why it wouldn't make sense for the offense to do so as well.

Of course, then Michigan ran the ball a bunch on that drive anyway and it turned out JBB was out due to injury or illness, so my observation was worthless other than as food for thought.

11/19/2018 - 10:35am I hope Alabi plays because,…

I hope Alabi plays because, as Damon Webb and Mike Weber have proven, Cass Tech players who go to OSU have underwhelming college careers.

11/19/2018 - 10:26am That's cuz nobody puts…

That's cuz nobody puts MadHatt in a vise.

11/18/2018 - 10:47am Yeah, I think that's usually…

Yeah, I think that's usually where the reporter already knows he or she is going to write and is looking for a HC quote to emphasize a particular point.  

At least there were no "how important is it?" questions this week.  Man, I hate that.  "How important is it that X player did Y thing on Z play?"  "How important is it that your team not suck at [football skill]?"  "How important is it that [miscellaneous good thing happen/bad thing not happen]?"  "How important is it that your team scored more points than the opponent?" "How important is it that football exists?"

As if any coach is ever going to answer, "yeah, that was cool and all, but we'd have won the game even if he'd missed that block/tackle/throw/catch/hole/whatever." 

11/18/2018 - 10:07am Coach, it’s been now 32…

Coach, it’s been now 32 straight years you guys have beaten Indiana. Record set back by Bo (Schembechler). It’s a big day, honoring Bo, 12 years ago. What’s that mean to you, going through your day, just, Bo set this record 31 years ago and now to continue it for 32 years going straight now. What’s that mean to you? Record set by Bo and now you’re continuing going through.

I feel sorry for that reporter's spouse.

"I made Kona Coffee this morning.  Made some coffee and it's Kona.  Kona is the brand of coffee, which is what I made this morning.  Yep.  This morning I brewed a drink and that drink is coffee and the brand of that coffee, which is a drink, is called Kona."

11/18/2018 - 9:53am Conversely, between the two…

Conversely, between the two teams the one position group that I have absolutely no confidence in would be OSU's linebackers.  Every time I have watched them play this season I have been reminded of two names: Obi Ezeh and Jonas Mouton.  Both were physically talented--especially Mouton, whose measurable got him drafted despite a pretty terrible college career.  But Ezeh had no clue what he was doing and Mouton seemed to blow his own assignment as often as he got it right.  It doesn't matter how big you are or what your 40 time is or how much you can bench press or whether you have the uncanny ability to make yourself believe the opposing running back murdered your child if you don't know where you are supposed to go and what you are supposed to do.

11/18/2018 - 9:38am You know, like, when you're…

You know, like, when you're a kid and you go over to grandma's house for Christmas Eve and there are presents piled under the tree but you can't open them until your redneck Uncle Randy arrives?  And then when he does arrive, you still can't open the presents because grandma bought him the regular Busch instead of Busch Light and he's pissed and now he's going to see if Meijer's is still open and he can still get a case?  And then your dad decides to go with him because he's out of smokes and anyway maybe Randy's not sure how to actually get to Meijer's and plus he needs to get gas?  And by the time they get back the turkey is done, even though you hate turkey and grandma--despite being a grandma--sucks at cooking it.  And they bring out the '70s electric knife to carve the f*king thing and suddenly the whole house smells like electrical tape burning.  But then finally Uncle Randy and your dad return and are cracking stupid jokes about there not being a new dent on the rear bumper, which results in everybody putting on their winter coats and going outside to look--all the while those presents are still just sitting there waiting to be opened.

So then you have to eat the shit turkey and the lumpy mashed potatoes and something your drunken Aunt Cathy brought over that she calls "Fisherman's Stew" and it all tastes like total ass despite Uncle Randy being all "this is delicious ma" and you're supposed to heartily agree.  And this is followed by the equally disappointing pies for dessert, the only palatable one being the "chocolate pie" which is basically Bill Cosby pudding thickened with corn starch and poured into a a store-bought pie shell.

So THEN you finally get the open the presents and you get, like, a factory-sealed complete set of Topps '86 baseball cards and the batteries to some unknown toy that your parents have bought you but that you won't get to open until tomorrow morning.  Fun!  But hey, you survived.  

And Santa is on the way.