2019 Football Schedule & Too f&%$#@* early predictions...

Submitted by FlexUM on December 12th, 2018 at 8:03 AM

A lot of "guessing the '19 record" posts in other threads and schedule talk so let's take a look...shall we? Below are my way too early, probably incorrect, predictions. 

All teams have two byes. Home games are nice but you play @Wisconsin and 4 of the last 6 games are "big games",  3 of the last 5 are rivalry games. Not sure I love playing MSU and then OSU two weeks later either. 

PSA: Relax…no football this week, no basketball, it’s a message board and we don’t have much to talk about for a few days if it stresses you out looking at 2019 double up on your xanax. xoxo

Aug. 31- Middle Tennessee State (8-5) Prediction: WIN
Sept. 7- Army (10-2) Prediction: WIN
Sept. 14- BYE WEEK
 **Wisconsin also has a bye week here
Sept. 21- at Wisconsin* (7-5) Prediction: LOSS
Sept. 28- Rutgers* (1-11) Prediction: WIN
Oct. 5- Iowa* (8-4) Prediction: WIN
Oct. 12- at Illinois* (4-8) Prediction: WIN
Oct. 19- at Penn State* (9-3) Prediction: LOSS
Oct. 26 - Notre Dame (12-0) Prediction: WIN
Nov. 2- at Maryland* (5-7) Prediction: WIN
Nov. 9- BYE WEEK
Nov. 16- Michigan State* (7-5) Prediction: WIN
Nov. 23- at Indiana* (5-7) Prediction: WIN
Nov. 30- Ohio State*(12-1, big ten champ, Michigan ass kicker) Prediction: WIN

Prediction: 10-2. I'd assume out of @UW, @PSU, ND, OSU, they lose two games. I picked the away ones, just because. I sort of laughed writing in "W" for the osu game, of course. 

Epic Riveting Thoughts: Defense has a lot of dynamic moments but not as consistent as the 2018 squad. The offense has a chance to be elite led upfront by a kick ass line. The offense wins most games with the defense playing like a top 15 unit (which is still damn good). Unfortunately, the offense putters a few times and the defense can’t work a miracle like this year (sans osu). Michigan has a very good year, wins 10 games but may miss the Championship Game again. 

Have a good hump day.

Share your thoughts. Please. Or don't, whatever, nobody cares. 

massblue

December 12th, 2018 at 8:55 AM ^

I am not saying we are going undefeated, but those two losses will not happen.  UW will lose a lot of talent at OL and RB and we saw what PSU is under the new OC and a new QB. There will be an unexpected loss, but OSU will be a win.

NowTameInThe603

December 12th, 2018 at 9:02 AM ^

Next year is totally dependent on the offense running up the score. The defense will take a BIG step backwards next year imo. Do any of you trust Pep to open up the offense? Trust Harbaugh?

 

UM Fan from Sydney

December 12th, 2018 at 9:02 AM ^

LOL. We're not losing to PSU (I don't think we lose to Wisconsin, either). They (PSU) took a step back from 2017 to 2018. The only people who thought otherwise prior to the season are PSU fans. They will take an even greater step back in 2019.

Also, if UM doesn't win big in 2019, then I'm convinced they won't for a long time. That schedule is so favorable with all three rivals at home and the other two non-conference games should be easy wins.

Night_King

December 12th, 2018 at 9:15 AM ^

9-3 or 10-2. Same as every year for the most part. 

10-2 with a bowl win is solid. That was my best guess for this season and I hope we get that 11th victory. 

The Baughz

December 12th, 2018 at 9:34 AM ^

I am mostly worried about the secondary and who takes over for D. Bush. Presumably it is is J. Ross. But losing Hill, Long, Bush and Winovich are the biggest losses. I feel confident that the Dline will be fine.

But starting 2-3 new guys in the secondary scares me. Kinnel was ok, but Hawkins who is most likely the incumbent didnt really look that much better. The only good thing tho is there is a ton of depth. A lot of unknowns, but at least there are guys there. Ambry should be fine. Has to refine technique, but he definitely has the potential.

The Mad Hatter

December 12th, 2018 at 9:36 AM ^

I'd like to see us lose to Indiana because we spent that week getting ready for OSU. 

We have got to get that goddamn monkey off our back, and I'm starting to not care what it takes to do it.  Pay players?  Fine.  Roids?  Ok.  Hire a team of secret agents to infiltrate OSU and wire their practice facility and meeting rooms?  Cool.

Just win the damn game.

Coach Carr Camp

December 12th, 2018 at 9:36 AM ^

The big question going into next year for me: can Harbaugh put together a team where the offense carries the defense. Assuming Patterson comes back, we basically return everyone on offense. I don't think the defense will be bad, but I just don't see it being elite. The offense was 24th in S&P this year. It has to get better, we won't be able to continue with 1 score leads late into game and expect D to just continue getting stops. 

JPC

December 12th, 2018 at 9:50 AM ^

The bigger question is "can Harbaugh field a team that finishes strong?" Every year, besides the O'Korning, we look like killers through the middle of the season and then finish looking tired and beat up. They did better this year, managing to look like killers up to and including the PSU game, but the ran out of gas against Rutgers, IU, and... 

 

FlexUM

December 12th, 2018 at 10:00 AM ^

I will be highly disappointed if UM doesn't have an elite offense next year. They should be hitting on all cylinders. WR, 0-line, qb, they have it all. RB isn't quite the guarantee we had this year but I believe it should be solid. 

Even if there are excuses for some offensive woes the past years next year there is none. 

Guy Fawkes

December 12th, 2018 at 9:44 AM ^

Let me know where you've seen this before: 

10-1 going into OSU week. Loss. 10-2 overall with other L coming @PSU. 

No division title, no big ten title and another NY6 bowl loss to LSU. 

Soulfire21

December 12th, 2018 at 9:45 AM ^

Win 10 games, no conference champ. appearance. NY6 bowl loss. Only difference I think is we win @Wisconsin. We're 10-1 heading into OSU (L @PSU) and we lose to OSU, because that's just what we do.

I'll change my predictions when I see us achieve more.

Concerned about our losses on defense and a lack of improvement from the offense. I know it's 24th in S&P+ but to cover our losses on defense it's going to need to break the top-15 most likely. I'm not sure we will be able to do that, despite returning almost everyone on that side of the ball without some tweaking to the offensive plan.

Other people are also way smarter at football than me, so, eh.

Perkis-Size Me

December 12th, 2018 at 10:53 AM ^

Why in the hell would you ever schedule playing a service academy? WHY?!? They took Oklahoma to the brink this year and are clearly a very good team under Monken. That game is probably going to be close. 

I don't see any better than 10-2. Going on the road to Wisconsin and to Penn State....there's probably at least one loss in there. Especially if the Penn State game is a night game. I can see us beating ND and MSU since both are at home, but I'm at a point with OSU now where I just sit there and say that until I physically witness us beating them again, with my own eyes, that game is an automatic loss for me.

I don't care that Meyer is stepping down. OSU has been living in our heads, rent-free, for the better part of 20 years. 

TurnerandBlue

December 12th, 2018 at 11:32 AM ^

Half of the schedule will be better than we anticipate and the other half will be worse.

OSU and ND will ass blast Michigan and MSU beats UM after Harbaugh does his standard "I'm smarter than you" move and keeps calling plays that aren't working and we all wonder how in the world we lost to MSU 17-14.

Throw in another random loss somewhere because it happens almost every year. 

We end up 8-4 at the BWW Bowl against Mississippi Stat - lead by Joe Moorehead (who is a better coach than Brown) - and they blow the doors off an uninspired Michigan team 35-14, as the junior WR trio sits out the bowl game to prepare for the draft.

Then we are all here a year from now arguing - with half saying Harbaugh sucks and needs to be fired and the other half getting pissed and defending him, saying there is no one better out there and it's blasphemy to say otherwise.

Heptarch

December 12th, 2018 at 11:37 AM ^

Calling it now: 14-1. We lose only to Bama/Clemson in the National Championship game. 

Defense takes a small step back... is still top 15-20.

It's the offense that gets us to the mountaintop.

Shea returns, ends the season with a 35/7 TD to Int ratio, 3500 yards passing and 5 rushing TDs. Heisman finalist. 

Chris Evans/Turner/Charbonnet/Mason run for 2000yds and 25 TDs.

DPJ and Black both break 1000 yards receiving with Collins, Martin and Gentry getting most of the rest.

There will be a subsection of the Michigan fan base who are pissed that we didn't win the NC and call the season a disappointment. 

stmccoy

December 12th, 2018 at 11:54 AM ^

I don't understand how anyone can predict wins over OSU when they just finished dragging us up and down the field en route to a complete embarassment.  

Diagonal Blue

December 12th, 2018 at 11:56 AM ^

My thoughts are scheduling a triple option team and ND OCC is the height of stupidity. Par for the course for this football program though.

Ron Utah

December 12th, 2018 at 11:59 AM ^

Barring some major injuries, if Michigan loses four games next year, Harbaugh should be on the hot seat.  9-3 should absolutely be the floor for this team.

I'll say 10-2 with a better chance of 11-1 than 9-3.  Wisconsin and PSU are on the road but neither looks to be very good.  ND, MSU, and OSU are all at home.  Meyer is gone.

Time to win the B1G.

Arb lover

December 12th, 2018 at 12:12 PM ^

Hm. Lost two this year on a brutal away schedule. Don't see the Wisconsin game as a loss (hardest away game) given it seems we will lose 5 starters and what we did to wiscy this year. OSU will be good but they will he down for a number of reasons.

If you thought we had a chance this year, well the flip side to a ludicrous 2018 schedule is a favorable 2019. 

Maybe an alignment of schedule and talent. Book it- cfp baby.

Rudywasoffsides

December 12th, 2018 at 12:31 PM ^

10-1 going against a 10-1 OSU for east division title.

loss will be at penn state due to a stupid white out or to Notre Shame...(losing to notre shame only if Michigan beats penn state)

wisconsin is losing too much on an already depleted team. MSU is not real good and loses a couple key players on defense, Davis on offense and a couple o lineman.

Getting Notre Dame at home (probably a night game), MSU and OSU at home is good.

final will be an 11-1 season with an east division championship. (This of course is based on if Michigan only loses key players higdon, winovich, gary, Bush and hill...need the rest of the offense back and hopefully long on defense with the addition of Hinton, Solomon and Harrison....please).

Squad16

December 12th, 2018 at 1:30 PM ^

If I had to make a prediction:

  • MTSU: Easy Win
  • Army: Ugly Win
  • @Wisconsin: Close Win, gets the fanbase amped for the season (even though Wisconsin likely is similarly mediocre next year)
  • Iowa: Blowout Win
  • @Illinois: Blowout Win
  • @Penn State: Close/fluky loss; I don't think the trend of the home team blowing out the opposition continues in this series, but I predict weird White Out/Night Game shit will occur combined with Michigan's tendency to lay eggs on the road. 
  • Notre Dame: Close/fluky win; restores faith/confidence after stumbling in Happy Valley. That said, I think Notre Dame is more of a #10-25 team next year rather than Top 10 and people will over-value how much this win is worth at home.
  • @Maryland: Blowout Win
  • MSU: Ugly, very close win. Michigan will enter as huge favorites and very nearly lose, but manage to just barely pull it out. The pessimists will point to impending doom against OSU as we've been exposed. The optimists will respond with rage, contending that rivalry games are always close (even though they were all expecting a blowout a few days before). 
  • @Indiana: Ugly Win, as per usual.
  • Ohio State: Close game in the first half, OSU blows it open in the 3rd and then we keep the margin respectable in the 4th. Winds up being a 10-14 point win for the Buckeyes. 

10-2 again, trading ND for PSU from this year based on road/home. Michigan has reached its ceiling. 

FlexUM

December 13th, 2018 at 7:50 AM ^

Nice analysis....could totally see it playing out that way. I think the team has a chance to go 10-2 or better but I can't shake the feeling UM plays like poo on the road which is why I picked the road games but honestly I could totally see your predictions. 

mickblue

December 12th, 2018 at 5:25 PM ^

Thankful for the contribution Shea made this year but I feel it is finally time for JH to move on with his first home grown QB. Dylan is more than ready and should be the guy. If Shea comes back there are no guarantees he starts. This will be year 5 for JH and if Dylan doesn’t get his chance QB recruiting will suffer.

uminks

February 12th, 2019 at 10:50 AM ^

9-3. A loss on the road to PSU. Plus I think ND will beat us at home and an Iowa will kick a last second FG to upset us at home as well. On the plus side I think we take MSU and OSU at home. Which would be a great season in my book!

uminks

April 28th, 2019 at 1:10 PM ^

Aug. 31- Middle Tennessee State (8-5) Prediction: WIN
Sept. 7- Army (10-2) Prediction: WIN

Sept. 21- at Wisconsin* (7-5) Prediction: WIN
Sept. 28- Rutgers* (1-11) Prediction: WIN
Oct. 5- Iowa* (8-4) Prediction: LOSS
Oct. 12- at Illinois* (4-8) Prediction: WIN
Oct. 19- at Penn State* (9-3) Prediction: LOSS
Oct. 26 - Notre Dame (12-0) Prediction: LOSS I know, people will be bitching but hold on!
Nov. 2- at Maryland* (5-7) Prediction: WIN

Nov. 16- Michigan State* (7-5) Prediction: WIN

Nov. 16- at Indiana (4-8) Prediction: WIN

Nov. 16- Ohio State (8-2) Prediction: WIN

We lose the tie breaker with PSU but we will go to a NY6 bowl game. Unless the playoffs are expanded to 8 teams.  I doubt it in 2019 but I think some good teams will be left out and in 2020 the playoffs will be expanded to 8 teams.