|12/12/2018 - 1:30pm||If I had to make a…||
If I had to make a prediction:
10-2 again, trading ND for PSU from this year based on road/home. Michigan has reached its ceiling.
|11/26/2018 - 12:34pm||Exactly. We're a top ten…||
Exactly. We're a top ten program insomuch as we're solidly in the #7-#10 spots of that order.
At this point under Harbaugh, I think we can expect about half of years to be fringe Top 10 (like this year), and the other half to be fringe Top 25 (like last year). That's very good. It's also decidedly not elite. And it's most definitely not warranting a Top 3 paid coaching staff.
All of these things can be true.
|11/25/2018 - 6:54am||It's not the problem. It's…||
It's not the problem. It's that sometimes you don't have all of the information.
Wisconsin is a 7-5 team that lost at home to BYU and Minnesota.
Michigan State is a 7-5 team that lost to Nebraska, Arizona State and almost lost to Rutgers.
Penn State is a 9-3 team that lost to the aforementioned MSU team at home and won't finish the season with a single win over a ranked team.
That's not a gauntlet.
And, as for being much closer....Harbaugh has two losses to them that were far worse than anything we ever saw under Rich Rod and Hoke, losses in historic magnitude.
|11/24/2018 - 5:53pm||I think it's time to make…||
I think it's time to make MSU our main football rival and OSU can just be the really good conference team that we maybe beat once a decade at home.
|11/24/2018 - 5:30pm||Wisconsin is about to lose…||
Wisconsin is about to lose at home to Minnesota and finish 7-5. That win over them means nothing.
|11/24/2018 - 5:21pm||Spot on.
Elaborating on this, we look amazing early on. Beat an overmatch Badger team in Madison.
In the first game viewed as a "MAJOR GAME" of the year, we lose a close one @Penn State. People will blame the White Out, ignoring that PSU will likely finish 8-4 or 9-3 (with losses to MSU/OSU again).
Rebound at home vs. Notre Dame, though the Irish are merely fringe Top 25 and we're at home.
We will enter the MSU game in mid-November expecting to blow them out as double digit favorites; yet, we will wind up winning a very close one in ugly fashion, highlighting all of the looming weaknesses and danger two weeks later in The Game. The ever optimists will rail against anyone questioning the staff, claiming the flaws are all attributed to it being rivalry game (despite the fact MSU looks destined for another 7-5 season). Collective amnesia will settle in and we'll all get our hopes up again that this is finally the year we slay the Buckeye dragon.
November 30th comes. Game is close or we're leading at halftime, then OSU's vastly superior coaches make great adjustments and it winds up a 10-17 point loss in the second half. Group of Buckeyes hoists "Keep Harbaugh Forever!!!" sign in the South Endzone as O-H-I-O rings through The Big House yet again.
|11/24/2018 - 4:36pm||Team was overconfident, that…||
Team was overconfident, that falls on the head coach. Team collapsed under pressure, that falls on the head coach.
Offensive playcalling on first and second down was wretched in the first half especially, that's on both Pep/Harbaugh.
Defensive game-plan was really poor as well, didn't learn anything from last week. Though part of it was just Watson not being good enough. Our pass rush failed miserably, not sure if that's coaching or execution.
All in all, Michigan has the most overpaid coaching staff in the United States. Good, not great; paid as if they were Alabama.
|11/11/2018 - 11:26am||Boooo. I normally am all for…||
Boooo. I normally am all for later games but this one screams like it should be noon.
|11/06/2018 - 4:02am||We should root for Liberty…||
We should root for Liberty over Auburn, you're wrong!
Realistically though, Auburn has no shot to win in Tuscaloosa or Athens. If they got one of UGA or Bama at home, maybe, but not on the road.
|11/06/2018 - 3:55am||I think the fear is valid,…||
I think the fear is valid, though it's not likely.
First and foremost, there's a very real possibility that we could face an unranked 7-5 Northwestern team in Indianapolis; nobody would give us any credit for that win, it would have nothing but potential downside (Northwestern already has 4 losses, and still has to play @Iowa, but they will win the West even if they lose in Iowa City). Especially if Michigan wins a close-ish game, it could actually significantly hurt us. Even if Northwestern is 8-4, at best they are ranked in the 20-25 range and would probably be the lowest ranked team in a championship game.
On the same day, Oklahoma could defeat a Top Ten West Virginia team, perhaps by a lot.
That would be the argument. It would be a reverse of 2014 of sorts, when OSU's impressive championship game performance helped them hop TCU/Baylor (they didn't get to play a championship, but that'd be similar to Michigan in our case. There is no upside in the committee's eyes to beating a 7-5 unranked team).
|11/05/2018 - 10:51am||LOL WISCONSIN FANS NEXT TO…||
LOL WISCONSIN FANS NEXT TO ME DID THE SAME THING LAST MONTH
|11/05/2018 - 10:47am||I've been to the most recent…||
I've been to the most recent two games in Columbus, though I will not being going this year.
Besides the players/coaches' family/major donor section right down on the field next to the band, there is not a true Michigan section. 8C/6C are where I sat both times and in those section it was about 50-50 split in fans, but there might be more Michigan this year (in the past, many Wolverine fans would just sell the tickets that were allotted to U of M and they were bought by Buckeyes).
I think the hype about OSU being dangerous/day ruiningly bad is overblown. It is the most hostile place a Michigan fan can go, and you're likely to receive some non-good natured taunts and jeers. You can definitely cheer in the stadium, but make sure you're audibly cheering for Michigan and not against OSU/taunting them back. That said, I never once felt like I was truly in danger before, during or after the game.
2014 really wasn't bad at all, though we sucked then. After they won in 2016, it got a little bit rowdy but we quickly left (had some comments made to us walking back to the car, but nothing crazy).
If you have the money and time, I'd recommend it. It's a great college football experience and unless you try to fight stupid with more stupid, you will be fine.
|10/23/2018 - 1:16am||There's literally not a…||
There's literally not a chance in hell we are ranked ahead of a 12-0 Notre Dame with a head-to-head loss in which it wasn't as close as the score indicated.
Honestly, if Michigan wins out we're probably the #4 seed and playing Bama in Dallas.
|10/22/2018 - 12:55pm||The only surprising thing is…||
The only surprising thing is the very last bit. That signals to me that the ABC executives are expecting Iowa to beat Penn State in Happy Valley and Purdue to win in East Lansing.
Kind of surprised they didn't use a 6 day hold for these games, a lot could swing things next weekend.
|10/22/2018 - 12:53pm||Most people thought either…||
Most people thought either Penn State or Wisconsin would be. Wisconsin was.
The only way that PSU would've been was if it was huge in terms of the Big Ten stakes, but PSU will be entering with at least 2 losses and possibly even 3 (beating Iowa this week is no guarantee).
|10/19/2018 - 4:56pm||At this point, I can't…||
At this point, I can't expect a road ranked win (or a road rivalry win against a non-horrid team) until I see it. That said, this feels like it could be the year we finally get over the mental hump.
I predict that MSU takes an early lead and Michigan significantly struggles to run the ball all game. MSU also struggles to run outside of a long play or two early. Lewerke is good, not great. Makes some plays with his legs, hits some guys, but also has a costly sack or INT.
What will make the difference either way, in my opinion, will be Shea having one of his best games to date tomorrow. The opportunity is there given their mediocre pass defense.
GO BLUE, BEAT STATE!
|10/14/2018 - 1:55am||Truly incredible. As a young…||
Truly incredible. As a young alumni, that was my first game not in the student section and we still stood almost the entire time. Amazing.
Props to everyone there and an amazing team on an amazing performance.
GO BLUE, BEAT STATE!
|10/10/2018 - 2:32am||"Madison" alone is what's…||
"Madison" alone is what's most often used to describe the university (parents, brother, cousins, aunts/uncles are alums and I'm born in Milwaukee).
For sports teams, "Badgers" more often than "Wisconsin".
Literally NOBODY says "Wiscy". Not a soul. (Just like Californians do not say "Cali")
Wisconsinites do say "Wisco", but not in relation to the University/Team, more so just the state generally.
In Wisconsin, all of the state schools are "University of Wisconsin- [BLANK]" so it's a lot more common to just refer to the city (whereas it's unnatural to us to say "I go to Ann Arbor"). (Whitewater, Oshkosh, Milwaukee, Madison, etc. is how students distinguish among their high school friends).
In Michigan it's very different as we have State, Grand Valley and directional schools without one root for everyone. Michigan does have two other small campuses in Flint and Dearborn obviously, but the size is much, much smaller so those are afterthought schools relative to Madison's neighbors in WI.
|10/02/2018 - 3:40pm||I'd put OSU at 2/10, and…||
I'd put OSU at 2/10, and Indiana at a 9, but otherwise I agree.
|10/01/2018 - 12:13pm||We host Iowa early in the…||
We host Iowa early in the season next year. That could definitely make for a nice, non-controversial night game.
|10/01/2018 - 11:40am||PSU still could be a night…||
PSU still could be a night game, but Michigan Athletics would have to expressly agree to it (i.e. TV cannot make them have a night game).
Given Warde and Harbaugh's aversion to night games, and the chance we would be playing 3 in a row, I'd imagine 3:30/4:00PM.
The November 3rd date also likely has stiffer competition for primetime, which makes an afternoon kick more likely:
|10/01/2018 - 11:37am||Yes!!! Much rather would…||
Yes!!! Much rather would have this be at night than PSU, especially as it's 3 weeks earlier/likely to be better weather.
|09/30/2018 - 12:20am||I mean, depending on how 10…||
I mean, depending on how 10/20 goes...
@MSU could be more of a challenge than UM at home for the Buckeyes.
|09/29/2018 - 8:29pm||Omg, has umbig11 turned on…||
Omg, has umbig11 turned on Harbaugh??? That makes me more nervous than our performance in any loss so far during his tenure.
|09/29/2018 - 8:26pm||Nico Collins looked rough…||
Nico Collins looked rough throughout the game.
|09/25/2018 - 1:05pm||I mean, by the same token,…||
I mean, by the same token, our dominance over them still counts in our eyes from 1970 to 2007 even though most of their teams then were mediocre.
In the order of feelings ball/having rivalry dominance:
|09/25/2018 - 1:01pm||Surprised he kind of writes…||
Surprised he kind of writes off the Wisconsin game. To me, that'll be what sets the tone.
|09/25/2018 - 10:55am||* minimum of 12 days…||
* minimum of 12 days beforehand.
The 6 period window cannot be used for Night Games in the Big Ten. So we don't necessarily have to find out the game time on October 8th (could be October 14th), if it's not announced on 10/8 it won't be a night game.
|09/24/2018 - 3:10pm||The best case scenario for…||
The best case scenario for Michigan is that Notre Dame goes 10-2. Stanford is definitely one of their best two chances for a loss, so we should root for Stanford.
Regarding the playoff...the SEC champ gets one spot, and Clemson will get a spot if they win the ACC.
That leaves 2 spots for up to 5 teams (the Big Ten, Pac 12, Big 12 champs, ND and potentially the SEC runner up if it's a 1 loss Georgia or Bama). It's better for us if ND is NOT part of that equation and is one less team to worry about.
A 12-0 ND is in the playoff 100%. An 11-1 ND is a tossup, but an 11-1 ND is probably in over a 12-1 Michigan B1G champ given head to head (or, if not in, gives the committee an excuse to forgo both of them to add 12-1 non-SEC champ Georgia).
Until Michigan loses another game (and is thus eliminated from the playoffs), we want ND to lose their big games.
Long story short, we want ND to be good, but not playoff good. Again, best case is a 10-2 ND that has two competitive losses and is ranked around #10.
|09/12/2018 - 7:24pm||It's not about how many…||
It's not about how many points you have, but it's a way for us to censor poor posts and comments so that more casual readers don't:
|09/10/2018 - 1:57pm||If the loss winds up being…||
If the loss winds up being to PSU though, which I don't think is likely, it could be over by then.
PSU gets MSU and OSU at home, back to back, in late September/early October. If they win both, and hold off Iowa at home the week before Ann Arbor, they'd be able to lose to Wisconsin in November and still be fine.
|09/10/2018 - 1:12pm||That's the minimum for this…||
That's the minimum for this year. Technically there is no maximum.
Though, if there was going to be a second one, Michigan's AD would have the right to refuse.
|09/10/2018 - 10:59am||I'm not so sure that…||
I'm not so sure that Michigan will be the favorite in all of our games until OSU.
Wisconsin should be a Top 5 team when they visit, home field won't necessarily be enough to offset that.
MSU is on the road and, especially if we're coming off a loss to Wisconsin, they could be favored.
PSU gets OSU and MSU at home. If they hold serve, they could be ranked very highly when they come to Ann Arbor and again, it's likely Michigan has lost at least one of the last two games.
|09/05/2018 - 9:54am||Saying 8-4 is a hard floor…||
Saying 8-4 is a hard floor is also false.
We EASILY could go 7-5 this year. OSU is an extremely likely loss. MSU is a likely loss, we can't perform on the road, or in that rivalry, and always get their best shot. Wisconsin is a legitimate Top 5 team with a ferocious defense to match up with our meek and meager offense. PSU looks vulnerable yes, but they have a good QB and thrashed us last year, so you never know. And Northwestern has a better offense than we do; not sure our offense is capable of cashing in on their sub-par defense.
I'm not saying 7-5 is my prediction; I personally think we beat PSU/NW and finish 8-4. But to pretend it would be impossible to finish 7-5 is moronic.
|09/05/2018 - 12:15am||This just feels...Hokeian.||
This just feels...Hokeian.
|09/03/2018 - 11:36pm||This feels like it could be…||
This feels like it could be the beginning of the end....he sounds just like Hoke did.
If we don't drastically change things (which, if we could, why wouldn't they have done it already) we will lose another 3-4 games this regular season; and I'm not sure recruiting could recover from back to back 8-4/7-5 seasons unless we somehow can magically be a CFP team in 2019.
|09/02/2018 - 10:14am||MSU literally always starts…||
MSU literally always starts out terribly in their first games. They have a favorable schedule.
No Wisconsin, no Iowa.
Ohio State and Michigan in East Lansing.
Assuming that Nebraska can't catch up in Year 1 of Frost, the only hard MSU road game is at Penn State. However, it's not a White Out and PSU looks poised for a rebuilding year.
|09/02/2018 - 9:58am||Warm as in evaluated after…||
Warm as in evaluated after this season? Highly unlikely. We'd have to lose all the hard games and probably a Nebraska type of game for that to happen. 6-6 maybe, but honestly we'd probably have to be 5-7 or worse to fire him this year.
However, I think anything at 8-4 or worse (or, 9-3 if the 3 losses are ND, MSU, OSU) will leave him squarely on the hot seat for 2019.
The question for 2019 then becomes, what's enough? Does he have to win the Big Ten?
What if we go 10-2, beat ND and MSU at home, but lose @Wisconsin and to Ohio State again in Ann Arbor and fail to win the East? Is that enough in Year 5? 0-5 vs. OSU, 0-3 in The Big House?
Honestly, that feels like the most likely scenario to me and I don't know how I'd feel about it.
|09/02/2018 - 9:50am||PSU seems very beatable at…||
PSU seems very beatable at home. Just struggled with App State and the Nittany Lions are, besides Michigan, the team that plays the worst in big road games in the conference.
Each of the other three will be very tough. OSU is a "no way in hell" unless things drastically change.
MSU there's a chance, but in East Lansing it's definitely less than 50%.
Wisconsin's defense is just very likely going to be too much. Only way we can win that is with turnovers/special teams significantly going our way, or a literal rock fight, something like the 2012 MSU win where we won 12-10 without scoring a touchdown.
|09/02/2018 - 9:40am||Michigan wins the next 5…||
Michigan wins the next 5 games. Western and SMU are easy cupcakes. Nebraska is comfortable, but not a blowout.
Michigan edges out a 4-0 ranked Northwestern in Evanston leading many to believe that things have been fixed (the 17 game ranked road losing streak is snapped! Hooray!!! Nevermind that Northwestern was ranked #24 and the 30,000 person stadium was split nearly 50-50).
Handling a resurgent Maryland on Homecoming continues the momentum and brings the annual hope of a Big Ten title roaring back.
Then, it turns, as usual. At 5-1, Top 15 ish Michigan hosts a Top 5 Wisconsin Badger team and our offense gets obliterated. Similarly to the ND game, the score is relatively close, but Wisconsin controls the entire game.
The following week we head to East Lansing and are knocked out of the Big Ten title race, and the Top 25, in a game that's close for a half and then gets away from us.
We enter the bye week on a two game losing streak at 5-3 and people are, somewhat rightfully, losing their mind. 1-3 record against MSU (an MSU team that lost the week before in Happy Valley) finally leads moderate apologists to admit maybe Harbaugh's tenure needs to be looked at.
Michigan beats a middling Penn State team (who winds up losing 3-4 games themselves) in a close game leading the hard-core apologists to say "we've bounced back, it'll be fine!"
Blowout Rutgers, as usual. Scared by Indiana, but prevail, as usual. Lose to Ohio State in a close game that widens in the 4th quarter, as usual.
|09/02/2018 - 8:58am||Don't blame this on…||
Don't blame this on scheduling.
|09/02/2018 - 8:34am||It's all absolutely deserved…||
It's all absolutely deserved.
Here's hoping that things can turn around, but you have to wonder, at some point, if Harbaugh's ceiling is 8/9 win teams we should fire him and hire one of the many coaches who can deliver those middling results for half of his outlandish price.
Most overpaid and overrated staff in the United States.
This feels like an 8 win season with 3 rivalry losses. I guess you give him one more chance in 2019 with the favorable schedule? But is anything less than a Big Ten Championship next year, after what could potentially be putrid 2017 and 2018 seasons, acceptable? For this level of salary?
|09/02/2018 - 2:26am||Honestly, in my mind,…||
Honestly, in my mind, defense was the reason we lost more than offense. ATROCIOUS beginning to the game. Hard to really get into it when you spot a team 14 points.
|08/31/2018 - 11:56am||Wow. FUCK NOTRE DAME.||
Wow. FUCK NOTRE DAME.
|08/07/2018 - 12:21am||If he had Harbaugh's record…||
If he had Harbaugh's record he'd probably be gone too, sadly.
|08/02/2018 - 11:07pm||A better answer is to have a…||
A better answer is to have a 50 state solution to make it illegal for anyone convicted of any domestic violence offense to own any type of firearm. It's astonishing how easy abusers can still buy and own guns in most states.
|08/02/2018 - 11:05pm||Women (and men, and children…||
Women (and men, and children) who live in a home with a gun are significantly more likely to be shot (or shoot themselves) than those who live in a home without a gun.
|07/30/2018 - 3:38pm||I'd rather have Nebraska…||
I'd rather have Nebraska than Iowa, Kinnick is scary.
|06/13/2018 - 11:44am||Work in user experience and…||
Work in user experience and design full time.
Based on this, I would imagine that Brian & Co. are giving extra weight to (the probable majority/plurality) who come to MGoBlog and just read.
That said, I'd be shocked if this doesn't damage board interactivity and commenting. Which could also damage "read-only" viewership if a significant portion of the reading was on community posts/comments/the board instead of just articles.
Either way, over time people will get used to it and the effect will probably become less extreme.
|06/13/2018 - 11:39am||I feel like including track…||
I feel like including track/XC/golf multiple times each for meets with many teams in them kind of leads to an inaccurate picture.
For those sports, I think it's best to just use the Big Ten championship meets.