Michigan vs. Iowa, predictions?
Why hasn't this been posted yet?? I don't want to comment on dog groomers or Nickleback.
So anyways, the weather is supposed to be good -well, for November anyways- and I think Denard will be ready to excise the ghost of his previous trip to Iowa City. Omg, that seems like 10 years ago for some odd reason, I wonder if it's in the back of his mind.
Without going into details, I think the team continues to improve as it has on a game to game basis, and I think we take yet another step to being the Michigan of yore...
Michigan 30, Iowa 24
November 4th, 2011 at 12:51 PM ^
Iowa hangs for a little more than a quarter, but then is unable to keep pace offensively and their defense wears out.
M 35
Iowa 17
November 4th, 2011 at 1:21 PM ^
We should wait for the KNOWLEGE to tell us what the score WAS.
November 4th, 2011 at 1:22 PM ^
UM 34, Iowa 20.
Saragin has UM as about a 14 point win, home field adjusted
Even prior to Iowa's loss last week, Saragin had Michigan as a 6 point win
Iowa has been a much stronger team at home, but they do have one of the worst pass defenses in the Big 10, and as a post on MGoBlog said ... what's their best win? At Pitt?
I think Denard is relatively effective, limits mistakes, and our defense holds Iowa's running game under 175 yds.
November 4th, 2011 at 1:43 PM ^
Pitt played Iowa in Iowa City.
November 4th, 2011 at 2:56 PM ^
I am believing in our ability to hold the opposition to less than 20 points, and the Iowa defense seems very vulnerable. I think the 35-17 seems about right.
November 4th, 2011 at 3:27 PM ^
M = high 30s
Iowa = high teens
November 4th, 2011 at 12:51 PM ^
And another Fitz field day
November 4th, 2011 at 12:51 PM ^
Pain. For Iowa.
November 4th, 2011 at 12:51 PM ^
Michigan 48- Iowa 17
Denard has a clean game, there is much rejoicing
November 4th, 2011 at 12:53 PM ^
Mitch McGary 31, Iowa 28.
Think his post defense and up-tempo style make the difference.
November 4th, 2011 at 1:38 PM ^
Ditka - 1 bagillion
Hawkeyes - negative 12
November 4th, 2011 at 12:55 PM ^
M 28 - Iowa 20. Comfortable win, Iowa scores a touchdown in the last couple minutes.
November 4th, 2011 at 12:55 PM ^
I'm saving my prediction for THE_KNOWLEDGE. Your thread doesn't come with the opportunity for recognition.
November 4th, 2011 at 12:55 PM ^
November 4th, 2011 at 1:18 PM ^
is ND better than UM? ND handled MSU but UM lost to MSU so I guess UM should have lost to ND.
Kansas St beat Texas Tech by 7, and Oklahoma beat Kansas St by 41 so Oklahoma should beat Texas Tech, right? Oklahoma lost to Texas Tech.
Wake Forst beat Duke by 1. Florida St beat Duke by 25 should Florida St should beat Wake. Florida St lost to Walke Forest.
Oklahoma beat Kansas by 30. Texas beat Kansas by 43 so OU vs Texas should be fairly competitive. Oklahoma beat Texas by 38.
November 4th, 2011 at 1:40 PM ^
November 4th, 2011 at 12:56 PM ^
this year. This week I will call it Michigan 28 Iowa 14.
November 4th, 2011 at 12:56 PM ^
Just looked at the forecast, and we're looking at wind here in Iowa City. I'm thinking we keep the ball on the ground (16 pass attempts max), wear down the Hawks and come away with a 28-17 win.
/see you in section 136 (endzone - Michigan side of field)
Go Blue!!
November 4th, 2011 at 1:09 PM ^
At least it will be warm, about 60, and let's hope we don't see another trash tornado.
35-17 Michigan.
November 4th, 2011 at 12:57 PM ^
Michigan 31 Iowa 16. Boom.
November 4th, 2011 at 1:08 PM ^
And 8 renditions of The Victors from the Blarney Stone at 9 am.
November 4th, 2011 at 12:57 PM ^
Like the last two years, I predict a lot of stress for everyone watching (UM and Iowa fans); however, unlike the last two years, I predict elation at the end of regulation for UM fans.
Floyd interception with under 2 minutes left as Martin and Roh chase VanderHawkeye out of the pocket.
31-26
November 4th, 2011 at 12:57 PM ^
A swift kick to the chops to Iowa
Michigan - 35
Iowa - 21
November 4th, 2011 at 1:01 PM ^
31-20 Michigan. Iowa has a 2nd half lead but Michigan wears them down and wins going away in the 4th Quarter.
November 4th, 2011 at 1:27 PM ^
Yes, definitely Mitch McGary.
Right now, I feel like that scene in Being John Malkovich where he goes thru his own tunnel and ends up in a restuarant (Malkovich....Malkovich? Malkovich!); except it is all going "Mitch McGary"
November 4th, 2011 at 1:02 PM ^
Michigan 31
Iowa 17
November 4th, 2011 at 1:04 PM ^
I'll make roughly the same prediction I made for MSU. I think it will be within 1 TD at some point in the 4th quarter and then the winning team will score again to put the game away. The difference is that I didn't know who would be the winning team, however, this time I am predicting it will be Michigan.
31-17
November 4th, 2011 at 1:04 PM ^
Iowa is at about the same level as San Diego State, Northwestern, and Purdue. Our offense has shown that it can shred bad defenses. Iowa's offense can do some damage, but they will probably need to be at least +2 on turnovers to hang with us.
November 4th, 2011 at 1:05 PM ^
why does everyone think Iowa is going to score so many points? they just got beat by a team we blanked....
November 4th, 2011 at 1:12 PM ^
Losing to Minnesota was a disaster, and it is no reflection of the "real" 2011 Hawkeyes. McNutt is a very dangerous receiver, and now with McCall back (broke ankle in first game of season), Coker will have an able back-up to spell him. My opinion is that Iowa's defense is not as good as it has been the past 4 or so years, but Vandenberg can kill you. It's all on our d-line to play great tomorrow, and we need to win the turnover and special teams battles.
November 4th, 2011 at 1:11 PM ^
road Iowa<<<<<<home Iowa
and road UM<<home UM
Still, I think Michigan should win this one. If you look at how many points they have given up, its hard to see their defense stopping us unless we commit a bunch of turnovers.
November 4th, 2011 at 1:14 PM ^
They gained a gazilion yards (446) against them and their running back is the second leading rusher in the country and their top wide receiver is the second leader receiver in the country. If they can finish in the red zone, this team can put up points. Not saying they will, but you can see why people give them credit.
November 4th, 2011 at 1:32 PM ^
The shutout of Minnesota is a relation between Michigan's defense and Minnesota's offense. The only valid comparison to be made based on that would be Iowa's defense to Michigan's defense. What you really need to do is to compare Iowa's offense to Michigan's defense, which is not possible by going through a set of games unless that set of games is odd (direct comparison or Michigan beat Minnesota, who beat Iowa, who beat Northwestern).
Now, to answer your question more directly, Iowa's 3 losses have come on the road and they've scored 24, 21, and 3 points in regulation in those games. At home, Iowa is 5-0 and has scored 45, 45, 41, 34, and 31 points. Looking into those numbers, they've only scored fewer than 21 points once. The 3 points came against PSU, who has the best defense in the conference. Unless you think that Michigan's defense is comparable to PSU's, Iowa is probably going to score more than 10 points.
November 4th, 2011 at 2:03 PM ^
I'm not sure if we will totally be able to stop Coker. Also Vandenburg or whatever his name is has the 2nd highest passer rating in the B1G right now. If we can't get to him, it might be a long day because he is very accurate.
November 4th, 2011 at 1:06 PM ^
This is a tough one. Coker is a tough RB, and if we give their QB time, he could pick us apart. I feel like I sound like Hoke, but this game is going to be won up front for us. Can our DL and LBs contain Coker in the running game? Can our DL get enough pressure on passing downs?
I'm going to say 24-21, Meeeechigan.
November 4th, 2011 at 1:09 PM ^
Its going to be way closer than most of you guys think. Michigan by 3.
November 4th, 2011 at 1:08 PM ^
Michigan 38, Iowa 24
November 4th, 2011 at 1:09 PM ^
It's only close at kickoff.
November 4th, 2011 at 1:10 PM ^
This game will go a lot like the Northwestern game. I think Iowa will keep it close early, but eventually, Michigan will bust it open with a few running plays. The big difference between this Iowa team and last year's Iowa team is their inability to stop the run and get pressure on the quarterback, forcing mistakes. Their newfound weakness plays into Michigan's strengths. I think Denard and Fitz have big days.
On the defensive side of the ball, the key will be to stopping Coker and McNutt. I would probably look for double coverage on McNutt and crowd the line of scrimmage to stop Coker. This team is stoppable. Minnesota with their division 3 tackling stopped Iowa last week and it resulted in a couple missed field goals. Michigan's defense can put a much stronger push on them.
Michigan 42, Iowa 20.
November 4th, 2011 at 1:11 PM ^
I guess I'm the only one who thinks Iowa will be pissed about their loss to Minny. I think they will come out on fire. I'm not sure if we will be able to keep up in the first half. Second half we will improve, but my prediction is 24-14 Iowa.
November 4th, 2011 at 1:58 PM ^
Not saying this definitely means we win, but Iowa has a passing offense giving up 239ypg, which for comparison is one yard more then Northwestern, and 34 more than Purdue. Their rush defense is giving up six yards per game less than Purdue, and their scoring defense is ranked behind Purdue, Notre Dame and MSU, which we averaged 28.3ppg against. Iowa has not shown they can stop an offense like ours. Fourteen points would be an embarrassment against their below average defense.
November 5th, 2011 at 4:05 PM ^
So was our sixteen point production an embarassment?
November 4th, 2011 at 1:15 PM ^
Michigan takes it home 31-20. A late TD by Iowa will make it appear closer than it was.
November 4th, 2011 at 1:16 PM ^
Just because they lost to Minn doesn't mean this is a cakewalk for us.... or does it?
USC beat Minn by 2 points, losing to Stanford in triple overtime.
So, if Lou Holtz logic applies, we beat Minnesota by 58, who lost to USC by 2. USC trounced ND by 14, who beat pitt by 3 and Iowa beat Pitt by 4. If Lou Holtz' calculations are correct, we should beat Iowa by 69 points. (58 - 2 + 14 +3 - 4)
In all seriousness, I think this is one of the closer games we have this year. If Denard shows up in the passing game we'll blow them out of the water, but if their defense is strong, I think we win 27-23.
Another thing ot worry about, our OL depth this week in particular. Barnum and Lewan aren't 100%.
November 4th, 2011 at 1:16 PM ^
I expect our D to be tested by a top back & receiver combo, and a QB who doesn't throw INT's much even though he only throws to that one receiver. Eventually, though, their D wears down trying to keep up with DRob & Fitz. UM wins as long as they keep turnover ratio no worse than -1. Score: 34-27. Go Blue!
November 4th, 2011 at 1:18 PM ^
5-3
Safety in the first, Iowa field goal before the half, and we get a field goal in the 3rd.
November 4th, 2011 at 2:54 PM ^
we are SO not penn state. 5-3 will not happen.
November 4th, 2011 at 1:19 PM ^
I think ppl are overrating the Iowa-minny game way too much. I don't expect Iowa to look that bad again, especially at home.
<br>Michigan 24-17
November 4th, 2011 at 1:19 PM ^
37-20 They move the ball on us but can't finish and we pull the starters at the beginning of the 4th!