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What did the insiders get…

What did the insiders get wrong? They reported he had accepted an offer to come here, which was correct. Then, they reported that he was getting a counter offer, which was correct. Then, they reported that he had accepted that offer and wouldn't be coming here. It's not so much that insiders are wrong (some definitely are) as much as situations are fluid and people are expecting insiders to read minds and predict the future.

So, Big 10 and Little 10?

I…

So, Big 10 and Little 10?

I do think that the idea of having the top 10 teams playing a round robin is an obvious next step to maximize viewership. A 9-game round robin results in 45 games. Spread over 13-14 weeks and you have 3-4 games per week. That's one for Fox, one for NBC, one for CBS, and maybe one for BTN. That's also one for each of the main time slots each Saturday so that they don't compete.

They could also go with 5 divisions and take the top 2 from each division. The divisions being regional would allow lower-tier teams to play more rivalries and minimize travel. The top 2 teams of the lower-tier in each division could play the two teams in the upper division during relegation week, which would replace championship week.

A thorough investigation of…

A thorough investigation of his tweet history has not been completed yet.

That was the year that Don…

That was the year that Don Brown brought in two experienced coaches in zone coverage to try to stop OSU's passing attack. It was a complete departure from what he had been taught to that point and he was probably getting mixed instructions. I don't expect that the issue was on BJM.

Yea, but he changed his…

Yea, but he changed his definition of that a few years ago to match the high-powered passing offenses. I want to say it used to be 21 in the 4th quarter and now it's 28 and 3rd quarter went from 28 to 35, but I might be wrong on that. That basically means that there's a lot more garbage time included in the 3rd quarter because we were happy to sit on 20-something point leads in the second half while rotating guys in.

He was the OC at Ferris…

He was the OC at Ferris State before he came to Michigan, so he wasn't without experience. I'll bet he was one of the better offensive analysts, which is why Don Brown took him and why Moore wants him back.

JH Jr. -> JJ

JH Jr. -> JJ

Stanford is not Michigan…

Stanford is not Michigan. Why compare these two when you could compare Moore to the last similar transition at Michigan like Moeller or Carr?

Sherrone Moore is a good recruiter. The only thing we haven't seen him do is hire staff. Who he hires to fill gaps in the next few days will probably be a good indication of what Moore will be able to do here. If he promotes entirely from within, then he's probably closer to Shaw. If he goes out and hires the best OC (or Co-OC) to help our offense adapt to the new look of the roster and hires an experienced DC, then he might be closer to Moeller or Carr.

Also, it's interesting that Carr trailed off so much at the end of his career similar to Shaw. Maybe that's just what tenured coaches do.

Once you get to that point,…

Once you get to that point, the contracts will be collectively bargained for. There will still be ways for players to transfer.

Theoretically, they still…

Theoretically, they still have to be enrolled in the school, but I suppose that could be challenged as well. But, if that's challenged, so is the idea of eligibility. Maybe guys who don't make rosters in the NFL go back to college and play again.

He's negotiating like a guy…

He's negotiating like a guy who knows he is under attack by the NCAA and Big Ten and also doesn't trust his AD to have his back. If he's going to commit to the university, he wants the university commit to him and protect him from these attacks. It's not unreasonable given the circumstances, but it's also not unreasonable for the university to balk.

Harbaugh is seeking language…

Harbaugh is seeking language that would grant him immunity from termination from any finding or sanction that could arise from multiple current NCAA investigations into the football program.

This is likely a huge sticking point. If it is found that Harbaugh did know about the advanced scouting, i.e. he lied to the university and NCAA, this wording implies he would have immunity from termination. It may be that that they've agreed to immunity for what is known and knew findings aren't covered, but that still takes a bit of work to itemize everything that is covered.

The immunity from termination for sanctions could also be a huge sticking point. If the NCAA gives Harbaugh a 1-year show-cause, what does Michigan do? Keep him on payroll but not as head coach for a year, then reinstate him? I can understand both sides on this.

The itemized list of fines for penalties could be another sticking point. He doesn't care about money. If he earned the school 10 Level 1 violations at $100k per, the university probably considers the damage to be worth more than a million dollars.

He's trying to arbitrate penalties for things that haven't happened and the school probably is understandably hesitant about what type of a position that could put them in in the future. Again, his side is also understandable with the NCAA seemingly hating him, but that just makes the negotiation more difficult for the school.

I posted in another thread:…

I posted in another thread: be careful of these "in 15 games" stats. I used this one as an example. 1997 held all of their opponents under 25 points as well, but they only played 12 games.

I'm not arguing with that. I…

I'm not arguing with that. I was trying to put out a warning for others to be wary of the "in 15 games".

Any stats that say "in 15…

Any stats that say "in 15 games" have a small selection size because there are only 10 seasons in modern football history where that was possible. On one hand, that means that the player had a significant role on one of the two best teams that year. On the other hand, it means that that player likely had more support to achieve that goal than someone who scored in every one of the 13 or 14 games their team played in.

Another one that came up was that Michigan was the first team to hold opponents to under 25 points in 15 games. The 1997 championship team did the same thing, but they only played 12 games.

I first heard about mgoblog…

I first heard about mgoblog from overhearing a conversation about how Ryan Mallet shoots lasers out of his eyes while walking into the App State game. When Carr retired, the constant updates was the only thing that made that search somewhat tolerable. Then, Brian did a good job of explaining RR's offense.

She's probably ecstatic that…

She's probably ecstatic that her son is getting along so well with his new stepdad.

This idea comes from Seth's…

This idea comes from Seth's idea of having everyone play a game that weekend and having the team with the best record still win the conference.

His point is that you should…

His point is that you should award the championship to the team with the best regular season record without an additional game. There is a lot of potential downside to playing in the CCG and losing compared to staying at home, especially if you had the same record and win the tiebreaker.

It will be FSU and ND. Once…

It will be FSU and ND. Once FSU starts the process, Clemson will move to the SEC. ND will no longer want to be affiliated with what will basically be a G5 conference at that point (maybe still in other sports, but not football). ND's best option for continuity of schedule at that point is to join the Big Ten and schedule Navy and Stanford OOC.

The Big Ten needs to decide what it's long-term plan is and commit. They have been trying to slow-play things, but they can either wait to see what the future looks like and react or mold the future themselves. I think their goal has been to get to 20 at which point FSU and ND are the best you can do. If they want to go over 20, then they're going to have to do some relegation, at which point adding teams like UNC might become more feasible.

Looks like he redshirted at…

Looks like he redshirted at Purdue in 2020, then played 3 seasons at State. This should be a grad transfer with 2 years of eligibility left. So, no, he shouldn't have to sit a year.

The point is that teams…

The point is that teams under-perform all the time and Bama still won the game. Hell, FSU - just two weeks ago - under-performed against Florida, probably in part because they were looking ahead to the conference championship.

Again, FSU got screwed. They got screwed due to there being 4 spots and 5 deserving teams and they played in the worst conference of the 5. If Bama had not played Texas, they'd have been 13-0 with a better schedule than FSU. Leaving them out would have punished them for playing a harder schedule than FSU. Neither option was fair, but the committee was probably right that Bama was a better option than FSU in this situation.

Michigan, OSU, Washington,…

Michigan, OSU, Washington, and Oregon are probably going to beat up on each other. The winner of those 4 might end up playing PSU or Iowa. Washington plays at Iowa (night game?) and at PSU. As long as we beat Oregon and OSU (or split and beat Washington), there's a pretty good chance we end up in the championship game.

If JJ comes back, I think we'll end up playing PSU in the championship game.

Should Michigan have been…

Should Michigan have been hyper-focused on beating Maryland? They still pulled out the win and then beat Georgia (just like we pulled out the win and then beat OSU), so it seems like their focus was probably in the right place.

The biggest argument for keeping Bama out is that we already have evidence that another team is better than them. However, if you look at Bama's and FSU's schedules, FSU's best win was against LSU, whom Bama also beat. FSU's next best win was either Louisville, Miami, or some other mediocre ACC team. The teams that Bama played that are ranked higher in SP+ than FSU's second best win: UGA, Texas, LSU, Ole Miss, TAMU, and Tennessee.  So, Bama played two teams better than FSU's best win and went 1-1 against them.

The argument that FSU is an undefeated P5 conference champion rings hollow to me, because P5 means nothing anymore and the ACC, outside of FSU, is the worst of those conferences. You can't just say that 13-0 conference champions should be in because then Liberty would need to be in as well.

The best argument for FSU is actually an argument that Bama shouldn't be in because they already lost a play-in game against Texas. However, that would not be indicative of FSU being one of the best 4 more most-deserving 4 teams. That would have to be an argument that the playoff isn't about the best 4 teams, but about finding the best team, which means using the playoff to gain as much information as possible, but that gets messy fast too.

This whole thing is unfortunate for team 5, no matter what had happened. It's why we should have been at 12 teams a long time ago. Given that we're picking the best 4 of 5 deserving teams, someone was getting screwed no matter what.

Getting himself suspended…

Getting himself suspended for more games next year?

I saw something else that…

I saw something else that said Harbaugh doesn't want to rock the boat and invite further punishment from the NCAA by signing the contract during an investigation. Reading between the lines, whatever is going on with Stapleton is probably what is holding everybody up.

You're right, but even if he…

You're right, but even if he were to rank teams by where they finished and show their scores after championship week for comparison, this glosses over the fact that there is no data or mathematical justification to suggest that you can rank teams between seasons because all scores are relative to other teams in the same season. We never get games between teams in different seasons, so there is no way to compare who is objectively a better team. These numbers are as much affected by how bad the rest of the teams were that season as they are by how good these teams were. 

FSU's best win is LSU. Bama…

FSU's best win is LSU. Bama has the same win. And a win over Georgia. Bama's fifth best win is better than FSU's second best. And Texas has to be in at this point with their win over Bama, regardless of the Bama/FSU decision.

It's unfortunate that a 13-0 team will be left out, but it is the correct decision.

So, when those new rankings…

So, when those new rankings get released tomorrow and FSU fans behind them, can we use that as justification for leaving them out? They are less than a point ahead of the other two as of the last rankings and the way all the teams played today will see FSU fall behind the other two.

Real nerds don't use…

Real nerds don't use spreadsheets.

When they beat Air Force,…

When they beat Air Force, they probably will be ranked.

Big plays against a good…

Big plays against a good defense, particularly at least one rushing and one passing.

Blake Corum filling up his highlight reel would be great considering they have been saving him for the back half of the season. Edwards earning a TD on his own in non-garbage time would be great too. Ideally, that would be rushing, but if they get him more involved as a WR (even with a jet sweep), that would be good.

I'd also like to see a pass over the top of the defense.

Do these things and all of college football is on alert.

Why wouldn't they be able to…

Why wouldn't they be able to share it? The NCAA can't prevent them from reporting illegal activities. (Not that I think someone illegally obtained information)

I'm copying and pasting a…

I'm copying and pasting a previous comment of mine:

The rule doesn't say anything about paying people to do it. It just says "Off-campus, in-person scouting of future opponents (in the same season) is prohibited, except as provided in Bylaws 11.6.1.1 and 11.6.1.2." Those exceptions both start with "An institutional staff member", which isn't defined in this section. It is however defined under 10.6 Unethical Conduct: "Unethical conduct by a prospective student-athlete or student-athlete or a current or former institutional staff member, which includes any individual who performs work for the institution or the athletics department even if the individual does not receive compensation for such work". So, the people that he sent to games to scout for him become staff under the definition of the rule.

By buying and sending them the tickets to do a job for the team, he likely made them staff. I guarantee that this is going to result in vacated wins over the last 3 seasons. The only question at this point was whether anyone else in the building knew this was happening. If they find a single shred of evidence that someone else knew about this, then it's going to get ugly.

The NCAA doesn't operate by…

The NCAA doesn't operate by the same rules that govern law enforcement. If you don't give up the computer, then you're not in compliance and they can assume guilt or penalize you for non-compliance, like they did when Harbaugh "lied" to them about cheeseburgers.

Deleting files isn't scrubbing. That stuff can generally be restored. If they find evidence that you deleted evidence, see above.

The rule doesn't say…

The rule doesn't say anything about paying people to do it. It just says "Off-campus, in-person scouting of future opponents (in the same season) is prohibited, except as provided in Bylaws 11.6.1.1 and 11.6.1.2." Those exceptions both start with "An institutional staff member", which isn't defined in this section. It is however defined under 10.6 Unethical Conduct: "Unethical conduct by a prospective student-athlete or student-athlete or a current or former institutional staff member, which includes any individual who performs work for the institution or the athletics department even if the individual does not receive compensation for such work". So, the people that he sent to games to scout for him become staff under the definition of the rule.

I think it comes down to…

I think it comes down to combined records of the teams played in the west division. OSU also plays Purdue and Minnesota, but they play Wisconsin instead of Nebraska. So, unless Nebraska can start winning some games, including @Wisconsin, that would seemingly eliminate Michigan. PSU played Iowa, Illinois, and Northwestern, so it really depends on how those last two do compared to Purdue and Minnesota (since Iowa and Wisconsin are likely to be similar).

Bill the Barber is probably…

Bill the Barber is probably who you're thinking of. Perry Vitto also cuts a lot of staff hair.

Sundays

Sundays

How about: the team with the…

How about: the team with the ball maintains possession where they have it with the current down and distance. No punting, no FGs, no commercial breaks. First to score a TD wins.

5 now...

5 now...

In Saline? No...

In Saline? No...

The ball bounces up off his…

The ball bounces up off his hand, which keeps the ball basically in place until Wallace can get his hands to the ball. The play wouldn't have happened without it.

JJ already had 2719 last…

JJ already had 2719 last year. Outside of CSU, he averaged 207 yards/game. If he plays 15 games this year, that would be good for 3103 yards. He'd only need to average 222 yards/game over 15 games to beat the record, so it doesn't seem that outlandish.

He also didn't have the…

He also didn't have the first game of stats. Cade only had one TD on 18 attempts. JJ had 3 against Hawaii. So, add in 3 in the first game and he has already tied it.

His completion percentage…

His completion percentage was 64.6% last year. To get 270 completions at that rate, he'd need 418 attempts, or 28 att/game over 15 games. He averaged 23 att/game and his median was 24. It's not unreasonable to think he might get up that high, but the hope is that he's only playing half a game multiple games this season, so that's going to weigh him down. I think it's more likely that he'll get yards and touchdowns.

I'm here for this

I'm here for this

Logged in to say fuck Blippi

Logged in to say fuck Blippi

That might be exactly what…

That might be exactly what they want with the new tournament format: an ACC with no other good teams so they can play all of their good teams outside of the conference and guarantee themselves a conference championship and spot in the playoff each year. The ACC benefits from having ND buoy their TV contracts and ND can get a larger payout to offset their loss of their NBC deal.

Here's the list that the…

Here's the list that the article is referencing: https://medium.com/run-it-back-with-zach/which-college-football-programs-were-the-most-watched-in-2022-94eca4f6acbd

The Big Ten just added #14 USC, #25 UCLA, #12 Oregon, and #34 Washington. For reference, #35 is Northwestern, PSU is #9, Nebraska is #16, and MSU is #17.

The rumors are that the Big Ten wants to add #10 Clemson and #15 FSU. Notre Dame is #6, so that's obvious as well. At this point, you'd assume they'd either wait for the ACC implosion and grab just FSU and ND to get to 20 or they'd grab all 3 plus 3 more to get to 24. So, who would the last 3 be?

Well, as OP's link mentions, the next highest ACC teams are #43 NCSU, #46 UNC, #48 Syracuse, and #49 GaTech. #41 WSU,  #45 Cal, and #47 Standford would all be as likely as any of these teams. UNC would actually make a decent amount of sense. Beyond that, though, you still have #33 Utah (ahead of Washington).

I'd imagine that the Big Ten is waiting to see what happens with the ACC. But, if this is ultimately what the criteria is for an invite, I'd imagine that the final round looks like ND, Clemson, FSU, UNC, Stanford, and Cal/Utah, but the last 3 would probably only get half payouts.

Then you're talking 6 PAC teams (USC,UCLA, UW, OU, Stanford, Cal/Utah), 6 Atlantic teams (Clemson, FSU, UNC, Maryland, Rutgers, PSU), 6 Midwest teams (OSU, UM, MSU, ND, Indiana, Purdue), and 6 central teams (Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa, Nebraska, Illinois, Northwestern). 5-game round robins and 3 crossover games makes for a pretty workable and brutal schedule. Imagine UM playing OSU, MSU, ND, USC, Clemson, and Wisconsin/Iowa/Nebraska each year.