Where will UM be in AP poll today?

Submitted by greymarch on October 10th, 2021 at 1:11 AM

Where will UM be in the AP poll this afternoon?

 

My guess?  UM will move up one spot, to #8 in the AP poll.  UM will pass PSU, but UM will not pass Alabama.  The sports-writers of America think too much of the NFL-level talent on Alabama's team to drop them more than three or four spots.

 

UM deserves to be ranked above Alabama though.  Bama lost to an unranked team.  Michigan is undefeated.  

 

#GoBlue

Ham

October 10th, 2021 at 1:13 AM ^

It’s crazy that Iowa is going to be #2 and Cincinnati is going to be #3. It will be interesting to see how far PSU falls, since they lost to a top-5 team. The fact that the team Alabama lost to a team that has 2 losses should send them to at least 8 or 9.

Ham

October 10th, 2021 at 1:23 AM ^

My worthless guess: 1) UGA, 2) IA, 3) UC, 4) OU, 5) OSU, 6) UM, 7) MSU, 8) PSU, 9) Bama, 10) Oregon. I’m least confident about 6-9, but both Michigan teams should jump 1-loss teams. And PSU’s loss to undefeated #2 Iowa is better than Alabama’s loss to a 2-loss team. Also, have 2 teams from the state of Ohio ever been simultaneously ranked top-5 by the AP? Has a Group of 5 been ranked top-4 by the AP in the playoff era?

UM85

October 10th, 2021 at 7:59 AM ^

Too much Bama love out there for them to fall to #9.  Good reason to doubt they fall out of Top 5.  As for PSU, losing on the road to the #3 team in the country and doing so only after their starting QB got hurt, they will not fall the normal 7ish spots after a loss.   Prediction? Bama will be above Mich at end of the day, PSU one spot behind.

UgLi Eric

October 10th, 2021 at 2:56 AM ^

There are way too many Big 10 teams in that top 10 for my liking. And they are in a conspicuous order. I don't see any major logical changes based purely on results, but this overvaluation of our quick rising teams doesn't Sitwell with me. Big 10 play will sort this out soon.

Alabama and OSU have lost a game each, to teams they shouldn't have lost to based on talent and past results, but Oregon and Texas A&M game planned and came prepared. A&M probably wouldn't win again in 10 more games against Bama, but in my mind Moorhead would still scheme Oregon to a win over OSU more than half the time.  And OSU/Bama are still much more likely to make it to the playoff than the rest of that top 10 (not including Georgia). 

Let's hope by the end of the season Saban has 2 loses and admits that in his twilight years playoff expansion is good even for Alabama. 

victors2000

October 10th, 2021 at 6:36 AM ^

Oh yeah, Bama ain't fallin' to #9! They only lost because of SEC! Look who they lost to, a 2-loss A&M team that only has two losses because of SEC! This is the way I see the top 10 shaking out: 1. Georgia 2. Iowa 3. A&M 4. Alabama 5. Oklahoma 6. Kentucky 7. Cincinnati 8. Ohio State 9. Michigan 10. Michigan State. 

Okay, for reelz, my top ten is this: 1. Georgia 2. Iowa 3. Cincinnati 4. Oklahoma 5. Alabama 6. Ohio State 7. Michigan 8. Michigan State 9. Oregon 10. Oklahoma State

UMForLife

October 10th, 2021 at 7:33 AM ^

What? Are you being sarcastic. A&M may be 25th ranked team. Nothing more. Agree with Bama at 4 or 5. Will not be surprised if it is 1) Georgia 2) Iowa 3) OK 4) Cincinnati 5) Bama 6) OSU 7) Michigan 8) Michigan State 9) PSU 10) Kentucky. ND might move up but out of top 10. I think PSU will be the second one loss team to be in the Top 10 but may not as I am not sure about their QB injury. Ole Miss will be knocking on Top 10 also. 

M-jed

October 10th, 2021 at 9:00 AM ^

I think if the committee were ranking this week then this would be plausible bc UM MSU OSU and PSU all play each other and they know it would work itself out. AP is too conservative to drop #1 to #9. I think they land around 4-6. I think UM moves up over psu.

Big weekend in 3 weeks : UM-Msu, OSU-psu, and Iowa-uw!!

wolve1972

October 10th, 2021 at 10:20 AM ^

Let's be honest. That was quite a few weeks ago and if you've watched both teams recently, OSU is starting to look scary good while Oregon is regressing - both have a loss. That OSU FR QB is starting to look like a Heisman candidate and far from the shaky QB we saw against Oregon.  The polls are all about how a team is playing and looks at that moment.  And if I was forced to pick the top 3 teams in the country with a ton of my money riding on it, my three teams would be Georgia, OSU, and Alabama - in no particular order

greymarch

October 10th, 2021 at 1:32 AM ^

Got some bad news for your Mike...Michigan will not pass Bama in the AP poll.  Sports-writers think too much of Alabama's NFL-laddened talent and will move them only 3 to 5 spots lower.  Bama will be ranked 6 or 7 in the AP poll today.

 

Damn shame.  UM deserves to be ranked above Bama.  Bama lost to an unranked team.  UM is undefeated.

 

#GoBlue

mfan_in_ohio

October 10th, 2021 at 2:22 AM ^

I don’t think Bama drops below OSU. Bama has wins over ranked opponents Florida and Mississippi that are far better than OSU’s best win (probably the road win at Minnesota in week 1). I think it goes:

1. Georgia; 2. Iowa; 3. Cincinnati; 4. Oklahoma; 5. Bama; 6. OSU; 7. Michigan; 8. Sparty; 9. Penn State; 10. Oregon. Although the last three could be in any order and it wouldn’t surprise me.

greymarch

October 10th, 2021 at 1:28 AM ^

Yes, the playoff committee is influenced by the polls.  They are human-beings, just like you and me.  They are influenced by everything, to one degree or another.

 

The quicker a team rises in the polls, and the longer a team stays near the top of the polls, the more the playoff committee will see the highlights of a team's games during the season.  It's common-sense.

 

POLLS MATTER.  Polls have always mattered.  Deal with it.  Get over it.  This is how the real-world works.

s1105615

October 10th, 2021 at 1:34 AM ^

UM won’t fall, but I don’t think Bama gets penalized as harshly as many others would be and PSU lost on the road to the new #2 team.  By any metric that’s a good loss, and if Clifford gets healthy again they’ll be a force again quickly.  Maybe Oregon drops while idle b/c Stanford lost so I’d say up one to 7/8 is possible if not likely.  Did UM do enough to move up any further?  Probably not.

bo_lives

October 10th, 2021 at 3:51 AM ^

Iowa being number 2 is such a joke, they benefited from a high initial ranking and other very good teams losing while they scraped by against an okay-ish team playing an incompetent backup QB. Iowa will lose to Nebraska last game of their season. Might even lose to Wisconsin too. Spencer Petras is bad. Their base offense is Lloydball. Don’t @ me but Wisconsin might win the West yet again. 

UMinSF

October 10th, 2021 at 4:54 AM ^

Aside from Georgia, no one has looked dominant this year. Iowa destroyed a decent Indiana team, and has beaten rival ISU and PSU. They deserve their ranking, even if they're not a great team.

Expected powerhouses OSU, 'bama, Florida, LSU, A&M, Clemson, and ND all have losses. 

Oklahoma has been impossibly lucky to be undefeated. 5 of their 6 wins have been nail-biters, including squeakers against lousy Tulane and West Virginia. They somehow won today after giving up 38 points - in the first half!

It's a weird, fun year. 

RedRum

October 10th, 2021 at 1:38 AM ^

Guys: losing close to a team that beat Alabama, even if, he’ll, especially if that team is Alabama, counts as a win.  Don’t you get it? It’s not like TAM beat a team that has even played Alabama. How good can they be. 

WolverineHistorian

October 10th, 2021 at 1:38 AM ^

Being ranked in the top ten has actually kind of been a curse this year.  They mentioned on WTKA this week that there hasn't been this many top ten teams losing this often in the first 6 weeks of the college football season in a very long time.  But they keep losing so other teams HAVE to move up.  We may move up next week by not even playing.  

bsand2053

October 10th, 2021 at 2:18 AM ^

This is shaping up to be one of the worst years of college football in a while, at least when it comes to elite teams.  Two of the three current powerhouses have a loss (OSU's is far more acceptable than Bama's) and Clemson is down.  ND, Miami, Texas, FSU, LSU, Auburn, the ACC and the entire Pac 12 save Oregon are down.  Florida is meh.  Georgia and Oklahoma and Cinci are legit but not all timers.  Michigan, Penn State and Iowa are all good teams but none are world beaters.