Dare I ponder the impossible...winning out?

Submitted by readyourguard on

To celebrate Coach Hoke's birthday, I'd like to ponder the most homerish, positive outlook for the remainder of the season.

What if we won out, including a bowl game?  I realize it's pie in the sky and I'm punch drunk from watching a Michigan running back actually, you know....RUN.  But what if we found the missing piece with Drake, other players got healthy, and we built on Saturday's game to take a 3 game win streak into the Shoe?

What if the unthinkable happened and we beat Oiho St, won our bowl game, and finished 8-5?

Does Hoke & staff come back in 2015?

EDIT: Because there seems to be some confusion, the question is IF we win out.  Consider it a hypothetical, if you will.

AMazinBlue

November 3rd, 2014 at 11:03 AM ^

has visions of a more 'balanced' University, where athletics doesn't play such a prominent role and we become for example more Northwestern-like made me want to drive off the road.  The idea that Michigan is looking at Joe Phillips as a candidate for AD being some of that thought process is disturbing.  Sam used the word 'competitive' over and over again.  Of course he said that was his impression.  Whether he has inside info or not I don't know, but the thought that we would be willing to settle for being simply competitive is ludicrious.  If the pres is planning to force that agenda, he won't be here very long. .....This seems to be our one chance to get the coach we need to get back to relevancy and getting back to the national stage, the next AD has to hit a home run with the next coach and that seems to be Jim Harbaugh.  It may be myopic, but he seems to have everything we need.  Very driven, ability to turn around a program in short order and a chip on his shoulder to not take a back seat to anyone.  This program needs all that.  (Sorry about one long paragraph, my browser at work won't create a new paragraph)

Mr Miggle

November 3rd, 2014 at 11:24 AM ^

Schlissel noticed the balance between academics and athletics is off here because Brandon was operating like the AD was a commercial business, not part of the school. That was seen in the way he treated the students and how they responded. I think it's meaningful that the only policy change Brandon made on the way out was lowering student ticket prices. I'd bet that was completely Schlissel's doing.

Reading into that how much we'll pay a new coaching staff is a big stretch. I think it's fair to say we won't be sacrificing our principles in order to win. Paying for top quality coaches or facilities doesn't contradict them. I won't be surprised to see a change from having football players concentrated into the same major. That's something our president and Jim H can agree on. 

ppudge

November 3rd, 2014 at 11:39 AM ^

I heard that and thought the same. If Sam knows something and this is it, then fielding a competitive football team may not happen again in my lifetime. I sure hope he's reading the situation incorrectly (which wouldn't be the first time for Sam). After all the Prez said he's looking for excellence, so I hope that's the balance he's looking for - excellence in the classroom and on the field. Not a total de-emphasis of sports.

SalvatoreQuattro

November 3rd, 2014 at 11:54 AM ^

As much as UM meshes Michigan football into it's marketing for the university football will have preeminent importance. It's a marketing tool that introduces the university to the general public. How many people in other states hear about UM through the football programs? Millions. You don't mess with that by de-emphasizing it. 

By balance I think he means less drive for money and more traditional approach to athletics.UM is not going to become Northwestern. Duderstadt tried that and failed.

If he does try he'll soon be disabused of such notions.

bighouse22

November 3rd, 2014 at 12:35 PM ^

Schlissel just witnessed firsthand the importance of the football program on the University.  There is no logical way that you can make the leap that he intends to de-emphasize football.

The football program was so important in the eyes of the Regents that it was on the agenda for a recent meeting.  

You are correct!

Sam's losing his mind!

uncleFred

November 3rd, 2014 at 7:09 PM ^

Unless you are his personal confidant there is no way to know what Schlissel "learned" from recent events, nor what he thinks is in the best interest of the University based on what he's learned. It is completely reasonable, and logical, that he MIGHT decide that a substantial deemphasis of the football program is in the best interest of the University. After all eventually there would be no students deomnstrating on his front lawn, there would be far fewer distractions keeping him from raising academic and research standards, there would be far fewer problems keeping him from improving the educational experience of the student body. 

Never doubt, and you can find supporting comments here from various folks within the university staff, that there is a substantial percentage of faculty and staff who would welcome the end of all athletic scholarships at the University. Build enough tire fires and you may get a result you do not want. 

umumum

November 3rd, 2014 at 11:40 PM ^

for someone questioning another poster's sourcing, your posts are nothing but personal supposition---what the media thinks of Hoke, that Hoke has a good chance of being back in 2015, that this board is responsible for recruits decommitting.  I could go on.  You weren't too correct on how Brandon went down.  Not quite sure why you are so invested in defending Hoke, but  (based on your posts) I trust if we lose to Northwestern or Maryland, you will be onboard that he should go.

bighouse22

November 3rd, 2014 at 12:18 PM ^

I interpreted the comments much differently than Sam.  I viewed his comments as balance and finance being related to running the Athletic Department like a Business at the expense of the fans.  What I also heard from Schlissel was that "Excellence" was the expectation for the University and Athletic Department (including football).

I we really think critically about it, the uproar with the football program and the treatment of the fans is what drove the decision to move on from Brandon.  You would have to be even more tone deaf than Brandon not to recognize that the straw that stirs the drink is the football program.  

If a President of the University comes in and tries to upend the football program and its 100 years of tradition it is not going to end well for him either.  The Regents won't allow it, because they would get hammered.

I think Sam is projecting his fears, not the reality.

The other items during his show this morning came from Andy Mignery who thought Hoke could come back if he showed progress at the end of this season.  That is the comment that made me cringe.

Durham Blue

November 3rd, 2014 at 11:18 AM ^

Most likely scenario:  we beat NW, because they're pretty awful.  Then we eke out a win against Maryland.  Then against OSU we put up a fight in the first half but end up losing by 7 to 10 points (but cover the spread!).  We make a crappy bowl against an equally mediocre opponent and we win by about 10 points.  Sorry, but none of this scenario makes me want Hoke back for another season.

MGoCombs

November 3rd, 2014 at 12:22 PM ^

Other than of course always wanting to beat OSU, that's the most likely and hopeful scenario. I want them to win because I want our student athletes to win. I want them to experience victory against OSU, and as much as we all hate the crappy bowls, it's cool for the players. Hoke needs to be gone no matter what, but I'll never hope for losses. It's unfair to the players.


Sent from MGoBlog HD for iPhone & iPad

samdrussBLUE

November 3rd, 2014 at 11:30 AM ^

We would be 8-5 and turn a bad season into a not quite as bad season.  We will have beaten 1 of 3 main rivals and lost the little brown jug.  We would have won our last 5 games.  Hoke will still be the coach.

uncleFred

November 3rd, 2014 at 7:24 PM ^

Watch Nussmeier's presser. Some things take time. 

If Hoke wins out I want him to have one more season to show how far the team can go. If they don't make it to the Big Ten championship game in 2015 then, in my opinon, he'll have to go, But if he and his staff can deliver an 8-5 season this year then the risk of another coaching churn is just to great for me to roll the dice on another head coach and a new scheme on BOTH sides of the football.

MIMark

November 3rd, 2014 at 12:32 PM ^

1. Don't get too excited about a blowout win.  Indiana has QB depth resembling 2012 Maryland.  And Indiana's defense is ... well ... Indiana's defense.

2. Can we win out?  Unlikely, but yes, we can.  We can beat Northwestern (and possibly as easily as Indiana), Maryland (it will be a battle), and yes, we can beat Ohio State.  Hoke gameplanned incredibly well against Meyer last year and nearly won with a far inferior team.

3. If the stars and planets all align and we somehow finished 8-5 with wins in a bowl game and a win in the Shoe, many fans and alums would share a lot of good sentiment regarding the coaching staff.  So if Hoke were retained, it would not be a complete PR disaster.

4. Hoke will not be retained even in the unlikely 8-5 scenario because we will have a new AD.  A new AD will want to make a splash with a big hire in the university's most visibile position.  Even if we finish 8-5 with a bowl win and a win in Columbus and some top 25 votes, there still was the Shane Morris situation, and the new AD can use the handling of Morris' head injury as a justification to replace the coaching staff.

Black Socks

November 3rd, 2014 at 11:56 AM ^

Doesn't Schlissel realize we will all chip in to get the best coach.  I don't care if Harbaugh costs $8M/year.  It will pay for itself.  Mediocre football will drain the Big House.

bigfan2959

November 3rd, 2014 at 1:34 PM ^

I think we are on the verge of seeing a huge drop off in attendance at Michigan Stadium.  They need to reverse the trend quickly and definiively or people will find other things to do on Saturdays,andthere are many other things one can do with their fall saturdays then drive to Ann Arbor..

Giff4484

November 3rd, 2014 at 11:57 AM ^

These daily posts here and on social media about Brady Hoke coming back with a 7-5 record again in year 4 make me want to cry. I liked when the goal here was winning the Big 10 championship, you know those 42 titles we have.  I don't think he is going to go 6-6 I hope he does better but we really do have one of the worst head coaches in College Football and the record doesnt lie.

LSA91

November 3rd, 2014 at 12:22 PM ^

What if Michigan wins out so impressively that the mysterious committee decides that we deserve a shot in the playoffs, both games of which we win decisively, including a championship game so impressive that the Auburn players end the game by ritually cutting off their bell braids and dropping them in front of Devin Gardner?

Actually, now that I think about it, if that happened, I would argue to keep Hoke.

SECcashnassadvantage

November 3rd, 2014 at 12:24 PM ^

We played like shit against Indiana and they had a bad game. We will win 1 more maybe. Hoke is so lost, please just look at him.

Soulfire21

November 3rd, 2014 at 12:26 PM ^

If we win out (which, as has been discussed ad nauseum, has probably < 2% chance of actually happening) I think it is very possible he stays.  I wouldn't be thrilled with the decision but I wouldn't be devastated either.

While the Beilein comparison is not 100% accurate (Beilein is definitely an X and Os type guy unlike Hoke) I do recall us calling for his head after a 1-6 start to conference play a few years back before the aneuryism of leadership happened @ MSU.  That was the turning point of the basketball program.  If Hoke can win out (including in Columbus, obviously) the eternal optimist in me would hope that is the turning point for the program, should Hoke be retained.

TheBoLineage--

November 3rd, 2014 at 12:33 PM ^

these 2 are Another Part Of The Emerging Potential Puzzle

 

Esp--  the potentially emerging RB-RunGame, and its linkage to the Broader-O

 

 

AMazinBlue

November 3rd, 2014 at 12:44 PM ^

at Michigan actually donates money to the general University every year. in the multi-millions of $$ neighborhood.  That can't happen if the ath. dept isn't in the black and THAT doesn't happen if the football program isn't winning.  The football program is the wheels, engine and driver of the bus that makes this ath. dept go.  MBB does contribute, but let's face it, without the Big House being full and Michigan being more than just 'competitive' in football, many 'wheels' grind to a halt.   This program hasn't been competitive for the last seven years and the university has been in melt down mode for months.  Donors on both sides of the ledger are withholding funds because the dept and the program are in shambles......So to be cruel, NO, if this team wins out, fire them all anyway.  If Hoke is still here next fall you'll be able to pick your seat in that empty big house and all games will be on BTN.

BornSinner

November 3rd, 2014 at 1:02 PM ^

If they win out, then it is the worst possible scenario... I hate saying this but a big part of me wants us to have more losses than wins purely so Hoke n Co don't have a shot of returning.

maquih

November 3rd, 2014 at 1:21 PM ^

I'd rather go 1-11 with a win over Ohio than 12-1 with a loss to Ohio.  If we beat Ohio, Hoke will stay.  That said, I don't think there's a snowball's chance in hell of that happening, but greater miracles have happened.

maquih

November 3rd, 2014 at 1:21 PM ^

I'd rather go 1-11 with a win over Ohio than 12-1 with a loss to Ohio.  If we beat Ohio, Hoke will stay.  That said, I don't think there's a snowball's chance in hell of that happening, but greater miracles have happened.

uminks

November 3rd, 2014 at 1:26 PM ^

does not mean we are good. NU and Maryland don't look too hot, so there is a good chance we could win both of these games. Winning in Columbus is not out of the realm of possibilities but odds are OSU (not a great team) will win by a couple TDs!

Atlanta_Blue

November 3rd, 2014 at 1:29 PM ^

Since OP threw it out there, IF (and big, major, unlikely, not happenin' kind of IF) but if Michigan won out I think Hoke would be retained and given one more year to really show if he can turn things around (probably cannot).  However, decisions are not made in a vacuum, unless it's the sucking vortex of Dave Brandon's ego, and I do think Harbaugh's availability/willingness to come to UM will play a role in the decision (all via backchannels of course).

bigfan2959

November 3rd, 2014 at 1:29 PM ^

For sure Hoke would have been back if he won out and Brandon was still here. I think he probably still gone if he wins out, but that will completely depend then on the decision maker, as Hoke has done enough that both keeping and firing could justified.  We definitely would be better if he was canned, but I could see keeping him if he won out.  Give him a chance to coach his seniors.  It would also depend on the way the next three wins go.  If it's two 30 point wins and then squeek out a win against OSU, that's better for hoke than 3 two point wins to finish.  I don't think Hoke will ever win big here.  It is better to hire someone else at the end of the year.   

markusr2007

November 3rd, 2014 at 1:37 PM ^

2011: 11-2

2012: 8-5

2013: 7-6

2014: 4-5

First of all, Michigan won't win out.  Best case scenario is 6-6 with wins over Northwestern and Maryland.  Beating both of those teams seems highly unlikely given UM's past and recent performances.

As for the Ohio game, no chance.

Michigan lost to MSU by 24 points on the road. MSU had the 5th ranked scoring offense in the nation and the 22nd ranked scoring defense in the nation.

Ohio currently has the 4th ranked scoring offense and the 17th ranked scoring defense. Those numbers will probably decline after this weekend, but rise again after Minnesota and Indiana games.

Michigan football and Hoke's career are going into a proverbial wood-chipper on November 29th, just as it did on October 25th.  Not much difference really. So there is really no universe where Michigan wins that game.  I'm going so far as to predict an Ohio shutout of Michigan in Columbus (a la at Notre Dame), even if Hoke is given the Ol' Earle Bruce treatment.

Therefore the question about Michigan football winning out is just moot, man. 

At 6-6 I think Michigan will still play in a bowl game for the money and bowl practices, but I'm not sure what bowl that would be or the opponent.

 

victors2000

November 3rd, 2014 at 1:41 PM ^

we may not win one of the next few games coming up. Yeah we looked good last Saturday - for the most part - but that was against Indiana; we're not going to look that good against, say Ohio State. I didn't realize what 'impose your will' upon the opponent meant until we couldn't do it no more. Imposing your will means, basically, you are better than your opponent and you can run your offense against them. We're going to struggle to do that against our remaining opponents. We got amazingly lucky last year against Northwestern - we shoulda had an extra 7 turnovers that game, I swear - and Maryland just won at Penn State, that was rather impressive. I don't think we have the character or the talent to win at Ohio State. I hope your right but at the same time I can't believe you would believe we could do this after the decade we've just been through.

mdonley

November 3rd, 2014 at 1:44 PM ^

Maybe aliens will visit the earth and share with us the secret of never dying,maybe I will find Gold under my house left for me by a litle short guy who looks a lot like the Notre dame mascot,maybe stephen A Smith will take a vow of silence. But than again maybe none of those will happen the same as your scenario were our horribly coached football team wins out.

mdonley

November 3rd, 2014 at 1:44 PM ^

Maybe aliens will visit the earth and share with us the secret of never dying,maybe I will find Gold under my house left for me by a litle short guy who looks a lot like the Notre dame mascot,maybe stephen A Smith will take a vow of silence. But than again maybe none of those will happen the same as your scenario were our horribly coached football team wins out.

lilpenny1316

November 3rd, 2014 at 2:13 PM ^

I'm being a bit over the top, but winning out would be akin to winning a few games at the end of a bad NBA season and ruin your chances at the number 1 pick in the draft.  The Pistons would win near the end of the season and instead of getting a top 3 selection, they routinely drafted around 7th and are still mediocre.

Winning out for us would do the same thing.  The same mediocre coaching staff would return with the hope that "next year will be the year".  I'd rather lose out, get our top choice as HC and get back to challenging for B1G and MNC titles in November.

PasadenaFan

November 3rd, 2014 at 2:24 PM ^

I hope we win out.  I would still fire HOKE.  We got creamed by ND and STATE.  Also lost to RUTGERS PEOPLE!   Also lost to UTAH.  Not acceptable.

Winning out is do-able. Here's HOW:

DG needs to get contact lens.  And not throw simple INTs. 

 Drake Johnson continue to run like that

#1 make some BIG PLAYS

DARBOH continues to GROW and make it happen

D continue to be awesome

oh, and PEPPERS comes back and makes history somehow on OHIO!  Be the man!

It IS possible.  Would still fire HOKE.  On the ND loss alone.

ford_428cj

November 3rd, 2014 at 2:51 PM ^

Do the earl Bruce deal. OSU isn't that good. They barely got past PSU in OT. Send Hoke & the seniors out with a win ...yea!