[David Wilcomes]

Penn State 66, Michigan 57 Comment Count

Alex.Drain March 14th, 2024 at 1:40 AM

Michigan Men's Basketball's 2023-24 season, the worst in four decades (or longer), met its merciful conclusion tonight at the Big Ten Tournament. The team trailed a 15-16 Penn State team for nearly the entire contest, falling behind by 11 at halftime, making a small push in the early second half, before falling apart and then going out with its tail between its legs. Michigan made one of its final 10 field goals and did not score a point over a four minute stretch in the game's waning moments, not scoring again until the walk-ons were in. The game that unfolded on the court from both teams was sloppy, disorganized, and fitting of two bad teams. Michigan finishes the season 8-24. 

The first 13 minutes of the game were arguably the worst combined sequence of basketball between the two teams of Michigan's season, a year where there have been plenty of candidates. Michigan's offense was turning the ball over with machine-like efficiency, committing three in the first 2.5 minutes and they had seven turnovers on their first 15 possessions(!!!). Michigan couldn't hang onto the ball and it's not like Penn State was playing a whole lot better, the shooting quite cold and too many turnovers themselves. At the under eight media timeout the score sat at 16-10 in favor of the Nittany Lions, with the two teams combining for 12 turnovers against nine made field goals.

It was a game that certainly looked like the 14 seed vs. the 11 seed in the B1G Tournament (mostly because it was). Nimari Burnett was Michigan's only positive offensive contributor early on, making three triples in the first half while Dug McDaniel, the team's usual offensive engine, was ice cold (0 points, 0/5 in the first half). Burnett's third three cut the lead to 18-16 PSU and Michigan would end up tying it at 20 with just under 4.5 minutes to play. It felt like Michigan was playing poorly, but their opponent wasn't doing much better and the Maize & Blue were hanging around. 

 

[Marc-Gregor Campredon]

Penn State tacked on a 10-0 run, though, that gave them full control of the game going into halftime. They got it started with a three from the wing by Zach Hicks, added a neat little layup from Qudus Wahab, and then McDaniel was stripped by Ace Baldwin Jr., fouling in response. PSU made both free throws in the bonus to lead by seven and the lead hit double figures a half-minute later when Hicks drilled a corner trey. Hicks added one more three in the final minute and Jaelin Llewellyn's tough runner was off the mark as the horn sounded and Penn State led 33-22 at the break, using that strong spurt late to grab command. Michigan shot 7/29 from the floor and turned it over eleven times in the first half. 

They also were dealing with foul trouble, a theme that would continue in the second half. McDaniel, Tarris Reed Jr., and Will Tschetter all accrued two fouls in the first half, leaving them vulnerable. However, the early stages of the second half were good for Michigan, the only good string of basketball they played all game. Burnett stayed hot with a driving layup on the team's first offensive possession and Reed made a spectacular block from behind on Wahab on the team's first defensive possession. The tone was set and Michigan then got McDaniel into the game with a three (his first FG of the contest), followed by a Terrance Williams II jumper. Quick 7-0 run and Michigan was only down 33-29. 

Michigan was hanging in there down only 40-35 about four minutes into the second half and that was more or less where the fun ended. They couldn't get consistent stops, which dampened their ability to make a major run even as their two primary problems offensively in the first half (turnovers and McDaniel's struggles) improved. Michigan turned it over only once in the first 10 minutes of the second half, while McDaniel began to look more like himself, still not at his best but a drive and layup to trim the lead to 50-46 Nittany Lions was a sign that Dug was more alive. That McDaniel layup came just over the midway point of the half, while Reed was on the bench after picking up his fourth foul and just before the wheels began to come off.

 

[Marc-Gregor Campredon]

Michigan scored just five points over a nine minute span thereafter, bricking shots from all over the court while their defense was of course unable to muzzle Penn State enough to stomach that atrocious effort from the offense. Even the best defenses in college hoops wouldn't do well trying to support an offense that scores five points in nine minutes, but Michigan's is uniquely ill-equipped for that situation. PSU didn't run away with it, but they chipped in points to continue stretching the lead, going up by nine on a Wahab hook with 7.5 minutes left and then restoring a double digit lead with under 6 minutes left on a desperation heave three from Hicks. 

You didn't get the sense, given the way the game had gone, that Michigan had much of a run up their sleeve to get back in the game. But even considering those low expectations, the way Michigan's offense went out in this game was shambolic. There was an 0/2 trip to the line for Williams. There was Reed fouling out. There was a possession where Michigan got three open looks for jumpers around the court and missed all three. There was Jace Howard missing the front end of a one-and-one, Michigan getting the offensive rebound, and Howard missing a point-blank layup. They could not facilitate coherent offense and their shooters could not hit the broad side of the barn. 

The final minutes of the game didn't have any intensity to speak of and Michigan didn't begin intentionally fouling until Burnett did so with 1:08 left. The score was 64-51 Penn State and frankly, there didn't seem to be much point in doing so. Like so many Michigan games in the second half of this season, the game ended with an array of walk-ons in the game. Jackson Selvala's three was the last score of the game- and of Michigan's season- cutting the deficit to nine. The final score was 66-57 in favor of Penn State, Selvala's three to cut it to single digits thereby ensuring that this game would be only Michigan's second loss by <10 points in the past two months. In the words of a PSU fan watching: 

[AFTER THE JUMP: Thoughts on the season]

 

[Marc-Gregor Campredon]

At 8-24, Michigan will not be invited to a postseason tournament, as they were last season. In other words, the season is over. The list of ignominious stats one can conjure up about this season from hell are seemingly endless. Michigan ends the season on a nine game losing streak, winning just one of their final fifteen games. After starting the year 6-5, Michigan finished 2-19 in their last 21 games. They finished 5-21 after beating St. John's in Madison Square Garden, a notion that seems almost impossible to have believed at the time. Even crazier: the men's basketball team won as many games in calendar 2024 as the football team did (2). 

Michigan finishes the season ranked 128th in KenPom, 98th on offense and 183rd on defense. Their eight wins are the fewest for the program since Bill Frieder's 1981-82 team finished 7-20. They were the first Michigan team to finish last in the conference in over a half-century. Not a single player on the roster was anywhere to be found on the media's list of voting for awards this week, save for Will Tschetter winning the team's sportsmanship award, a completely meaningless distinction in the way of on-court talent. For a program that made the NCAA Tournament (or was going to make it in 2019-20's case) 11 of 12 seasons in the very recent past, a period that included two national championship game appearances, three B1G regular season crowns, and two B1G Tournament crowns, this season was an embarrassment. 

This Michigan team was a calamitous mix of poor talent and poor coaching. The problems ran deep, down to a roster that had too many wings and not nearly enough guards or big men. But the talent level was also not any good, magnified during the period of Dug McDaniel's away game suspension and Olivier Nkamhoua's late season injury. Their defense was the worst anyone in recent memory has seen a Michigan team field (even Beilein's first team finished higher in defensive efficiency), a problem that can only be partially chalked up to talent. You don't get to 183rd in defense with high major talent without profound coaching and effort problems. Their offense was better, as they were a decent shooting team contrary to expectations pre-season. But they had one offensive creator, little flow or ball movement, and were at times (like tonight) a turnover factory. 

 

[David Wilcomes]

Spoken as someone who wrote recaps for ~24 of 32 games this season, I feel qualified saying this was a terrible basketball team. They did very little good and from a fan perspective, there was almost nothing redeeming about this group. It was fitting that the newest forum on the MGoBoard when I sat down to write this was titled "It's finally, mercifully over". That's the mood of the fanbase right now and it is completely justified. If anything, people should probably be more angry rather than cynical or pessimistic. Michigan Men's Basketball is capable of so much better and we have a decade's worth of evidence for that. 

With the season reaching its conclusion, now comes the period of review for the coaching staff. For some time the belief had been that Athletic Director Warde Manuel was planning to retain head coach Juwan Howard. However, John U. Bacon tweeted this week that "(Manuel) now seems less inclined to protect Howard's job". We shall see what happens. That it is a debate of any kind is completely outrageous and an indictment of every decision-maker in charge of this choice, with Manuel of course being the most notable. Howard just finished his fifth year on the job and put together a team that went 8-24... one year after the team missed the NCAA Tournament for the first time in eight years. This year should've been the make-it-or-break-it season for Howard to assert that he is the coach of the future, with a vision for the program.  

In that effort Howard failed spectacularly. Maybe it was because of Howard's medical situation, having had a serious cardiac procedure before the season. Certainly onerous transfer rules that Michigan self-imposes made it more difficult for him to build a roster. But Northwestern also self-imposes strict transfer rules and the 'Cats are 21-10 and 41st in KenPom. There are things that have made Howard's life more difficult but I have a general rule for Michigan Basketball: if at any point Craig Ross tells me "you know, this Michigan team might be the worst since the 1959-60 team" and the coach responsible for that team is not a first year coach, that person must be shown the door. No amount of bad luck or unfortunate circumstances make that okay. There has to be a line where firing is mandatory. 

 

[Marc-Gregor Campredon]

Especially not when you factor in the off-the-court issues that have surrounded the program, most notably the altercation with Jon Sanderson this season but also including McDaniel's suspension and issues dating back to the Howard slap against Wisconsin in 2022. There have been too many shenanigans off the court to justify the dumpster fire on the court. With Howard's buyout being only $3 M, there should not be any debate about what to do. Not when you arch-rival swallowed a $13 M buyout during this season and immediately began to see their team play better under the interim. Ohio State is serious about winning basketball games. Is the University of Michigan? 

Entertaining bringing Howard back is insulting to the intelligence of every fan and alumni of the University of Michigan. Fans give their time, energy, and dollars to this team and endorsing Howard, making the implicit statement that this is okay is a slap in the face of every one of those fans. If Manuel wants to take those fans for granted, he is allowed to do so but the fans are allowed to respond as well. As we saw over the course of this season, those fans should not be taken for granted. Attendance dwindled as Crisler Center began to fill up with fans wearing opposing colors and this site has barely discussed basketball outside of Seth's lonely previews and my lonely recaps.

Michigan Men's Basketball is not the institution that football is. It needs to put a watchable product on the court for the average Wolverine to care. This season there was not a watchable product after the third week of November. Everyone deserves better and this program needs a fresh start after three consecutive years with the arrow pointing downwards. Hopefully those in charge of steering the ship will recognize that. Or else they can deal with the ire of the fanbase. 

Comments

Blinkin

March 14th, 2024 at 6:07 AM ^

I hope Brian is giving you hazardous duty pay or something similar. 

Warde also needs to realize how much the football team's recent success has papered over the issues with basketball. I'm able to be a little blase about how heinous basketball is because I can still rewatch Sainristil's 4th down INT against Washington at least once a week. Next year football projects to still be very good, but will probably come down from the edge of space where we have been the last 2 years. The "look over there" factor distracting us from Crisler is almost certain to be significantly less potent, and I hope that the AD has a plan to deal with that. 

Blue Highlander

March 14th, 2024 at 9:05 AM ^

I don’t think there is anything salvageable from this season. 

The repercussions of this shit show start with Alex.  Why would he come back after being forced to endure this torture?  What did he do to Brian to deserve this?

GW and Yoyo were firmly attached to the bench, so who knows if they will ever develop?  With Transfer-Palooza, why would we expect Dug and Tarris to stay?  I love the heart of Cheddar, but that’s not the basis of a team.

Blue boy johnson

March 14th, 2024 at 6:10 AM ^

Sure, it was a tough season. However, finishing up early like this give the young men a chance to get an early look, an early opportunity at camp Sanderson. Maybe get a little jumpstart towards next season. 
oh no, that’s not gonna happen is it. Sanderson is another victim of Fightin’ Juwan Howard’s slugfest to the cellar of college basketball

LloydCarnac

March 14th, 2024 at 6:38 AM ^

"You take the ball. ."

"No, you take it. ."

Miss shots, make errant passes, kick the ball out of bounds, hit your teammate in the back of the head with a fast-break ball, players tripping over their own *s (shoelaces). .

Middle school caliber basketball at it's finest. .

tybert

March 14th, 2024 at 7:06 AM ^

The coast-to-coast lay-up in the final home game to a guy who already had 28 points was the "best" statement to define this season. Not only did people play poor, they quit to boot. 

Any thoughts of who could rebuild this mess and be back in the NCAA in two years????

 

TESOE

March 14th, 2024 at 7:22 AM ^

Wow...so hard to watch and read. Sobering, and no amount of "We are still Football Champs" talk is going to make this better. These guys need better from Michigan. Ono needs to see that, or I have ĺost faith in him as well.

I love love loved the Rose Bowl. Sold the farm and sat 50 yard line club for the championship. I don't want Michigan to ever have a season like this one again. What do I need to do or say? I got nothing.

Go Blue forever.

Don

March 14th, 2024 at 7:59 AM ^

“That it is a debate of any kind is completely outrageous and an indictment of every decision-maker in charge of this choice, with Manuel of course being the most notable.”

Pretty much sums the situation up for me. 

If Howard had played his college ball elsewhere, not only would he already have been fired, he probably wouldn’t have been hired by Michigan in the first place.

ST3

March 14th, 2024 at 2:02 PM ^

Howard was an assistant coach for the Miami Heat. It doesn’t get much better than that in terms of a coaching training ground for in-game stuff. We paired him up with Martelli for the rest of the college stuff and that blew up. Juwan is ultimately responsible, but the thought process was sound.
He was being talked about for NBA jobs. The decision to hire him was not based solely on his UofM days. I’m not happy at how things turned out, but there’s no guarantees in the coaching business. Harbaugh was the closest thing to a sure thing and he started out 0-5 against OSU and took 7 seasons to get the train rolling to its current form.

cbutter

March 14th, 2024 at 8:11 AM ^

On a positive note, Michigan basketball won more games in 2024 than all football programs outside of Michigan. That’s something, right? 

mGrowOld

March 14th, 2024 at 10:10 AM ^

On an actual positive note I started betting the hell out of whoever Michigan was playing as it became clear they didnt give a shit anymore and absolutely cleaned up.  It was very easy money as they never came close to covering the spread from the Purdue game on.

If we have endure being embarrassed on the court at least they made it financially attractive.  What a a joke of a season.

NittanyFan

March 14th, 2024 at 3:31 PM ^

(Edit: oops, I mis-read.  I thought the question was would Michigan hoops have as many wins as Michigan football come December).

Sure, it's possible.  I'd say there's a fairly decent chance.

Purdue basketball ---- even they went 12-1 during the November-December portion of the 2023-24 season.

Michigan 2024-25 hoops probably isn't starting 12-1.  They may not even start 10-3.

Perkis-Size Me

March 14th, 2024 at 8:15 AM ^

These last few paragraphs sum up exactly how I'd feel if Juwan is retained:

1) It says Warde is tolerant of abhorrent results, both on the court and off. That in and of itself should be a fireable offense FOR HIM. I don't care that he heads the CFP committee. His primary job is to this university, and if he retains Howard after this, that is a direct dereliction of that duty. 

2) If Howard is retained, the idea of "Leaders and Best" is a sham. At least to Warde, it would be. No one who considers themselves The Leaders and Best would be tolerant of this kind of result to anyone who isn't a first year coach.

3) It would say that Warde takes the fanbase for granted and, moreover, thinks they're a pack of idiots. In a way, Warde keeping him would be an insult to any and every Michigan fan who spent any kind of money to watch this basketball team this year. 

If Warde keeps him, I hope he enjoys watching the donation well dry up. No one is going to write him a check for this program right now. Not after what they've seen the last few months. Not without a complete overhaul of the coaching staff, starting at the top. 

If Warde keeps him, I hope he enjoys hearing "IU", "Boiler Up," "Go Bucks, and "Go Green, Go White" chants blasted throughout Crisler all of next season. Because no fan in their right mind and with anything better to do will watch a Juwan Howard coached team next year. But opposing fans will certainly be flooding Crisler just to rub salt in our gashing open wound.

As they should. We'd deserve it. 

If Warde can't make the call on this, then Michigan deserves to look like clowns, and be treated as such. 

 

DennisFranklinDaMan

March 14th, 2024 at 9:55 AM ^

I mean, it's possible Warde somehow will allow himself to be convinced that Howard is on the verge of turning things around. I can't quite imagine how, but ... it's not as if the only option is that Warde is fine with these kinds of results. He may actively be deluded as to how likely a turnaround is.

But goodness gracious, I hope not. I hope he does the right thing. And soon, so we can begin the rebuild ASAP. Whatever he does — whether it's fire Howard or (gulp) retain him with a public defense and explanation — he should do it within a week, so that everyone knows what the plan is.

Letting it linger for months would be a serious mistake, above and beyond the mistake of keeping Howard in the first place.

Perkis-Size Me

March 14th, 2024 at 10:15 AM ^

I don't know how anyone could be convinced that Howard is on the verge of turning things around.

1) There has been a very noticeable downward trend for this program for the last three years. Once the last of Beilein's guys left, you could tell something within the program just began to fall apart. They've gotten worse and worse ever since the COVID season. Its not like they started at the bottom but things have trended in the right direction. They went from a one seed to a national laughingstock in three years. 

2) Your best players are gone after this season, whether they're out of eligibility or (in Dug's case) they are almost certainly transferring out. What do you have coming back next year that you can reliably build a winning team around? At this point, your only hope is to strike gold multiple times in the transfer portal (assuming the Admissions Dept doesn't cut your legs out from beneath you again) and hope to get strong production from freshman. Good luck. 

3) You're fighting for transfer players with one hand tied behind your back, given how difficult the Admissions Dept makes it. Some of this isn't Juwan's fault, and it does make life more difficult for whoever the coach is, but him not adapting to the situation? That is his fault. Even if they got past Admissions, they'll be dealing with a heavily embattled coach who would almost certainly be on a one year prove it deal. Who's going to want any part in that? I'd certainly be advising my son against it if he had options. 

4) Howard just ran out of town a long-time institution of Michigan Basketball with Jon Sanderson. The man responsible for so many of Beilein's players who experienced that ginormous year-to-year leap in strength and production. Couple that with all of his other off-court incidents. 

---

Chris Holtmann was fired for less. And his buyout is 4x what Juwan's is. Say what you will about OSU basketball, but at least they've shown they're serious about trying to build a winning product. The longer Howard keeps his job from this point on, the more damning this is for Warde Manuel, and the more it says about him as a leader. 

 

kehnonymous

March 14th, 2024 at 12:52 PM ^

^^^^

10/10 post, no notes

Edit: okay, one note.  One argument you can make for Juwan if you squint really hard is that he was thrown under the bus by our admissions department shenanigans.  But even that excuse falls about as short as most of our second half jumpers.  He was thrown under the bus (much like RichRod was) but also didn't do nearly enough to extricate himself from under said bus (again, like with RichRod). Many of his failures are his own, and there's no reason to expect that things will get better.  He's not getting recruits.  He's not getting buy-in from the players that are here.  So what are we even doing here?

dragonchild

March 14th, 2024 at 8:25 AM ^

Now that everyone's done wasting their time, the women's team is expecting an invite to the Dance after a thrilling upset of Indiana in the conference tourney.  They could use all the support they can get.

jplwhite has been providing regular, detailed updates in the MGoBoard.

lilpenny1316

March 14th, 2024 at 8:56 AM ^

Can two things be right?

1. Hunter made the right decision for himself. Him staying doesn't change our archaic transfer rules and we still wouldn't be a title contender.

2. If he would have stayed, his senior leadership could have been a steadying influence with the coach out and could have impacted the W-L record to where it wouldn't be historically bad.

KBLOW

March 14th, 2024 at 9:40 AM ^

So in regards to Dickinson you give us an "if", "could have" and another "could have." 

There is no telling what Dickinson's contributions might have been except that we can look to last year when he was on a much better team and though he played well still did not play up to his potential, sulked all the time, embarrassed himself and the team, played horrible defense and couldn't/wouldn't lead his team past a terrrible Vanderbilt team in the NIT. The assumption that he would've provided some sort of mythical "senior leadership" is not reflected in reality. 

SDCran

March 14th, 2024 at 1:48 PM ^

There is something wrong with the player culture in the program.   HD was the de-facto leader of the team and I wonder if he was ultimately toxic (maybe not toxic as an individual, but a leader not leading in the best direction).    Then there was a void this year that I never saw anyone fill.   To me, this is a big reason the team went from being a potential 6-10th place BT team to the worst team in the BT in a while.   

Think about sophmore X/Z on this team.   He was ok as a player, but he was a leader on the court.  This team has missed having someone like him over the past couple of years.

Is that a cause of the problem?   a result of the problem?   I'm not sure if we will ever know.

jimmyjoeharbaugh

March 14th, 2024 at 8:37 AM ^

I wouldn't mind if they fired him, but I'm not quite to the point where I think it's "mandatory." 

I think a coach should be granted one complete dud season and given one chance to turn it around.

I'm also not going to fight for Howard's job. Its fine with me if you have a different perspective. 

Let's see what happens 

maizedNblued

March 14th, 2024 at 9:22 AM ^

Just quietly float to NBA executives that Howard is looking to move back up and offer to pick up a portion of his salary - keep it hush hush and everyone saves face.

WolverineHistorian

March 14th, 2024 at 9:32 AM ^

Disaster seasons are always a nightmare.  But when you are so bad that you consistently make awful and mediocre teams look like national title contenders, you’re in a truly scary place.  The Big Ten (outside of Purdue) is not a good conference at all.  I don’t expect any of them to go far in the tournament, including the Boilers who have a history of early exits.  And our guys couldn’t even compete with this slew of teams?

From Big Ten Champs three years ago to this current pile of crap.  This free fall was so fast.  How do you watch this and feel any positives for the future?   

WolverineHistorian

March 14th, 2024 at 10:16 AM ^

I learned my lesson during the football RichRod years to never again use the things can’t possibly  get worse mantra to try and make myself feel better.

Going into the 2010 season, I told myself there’s no way the defense could get any worse.  They then went out and set a school record for most points given up in a season.  Even mighty UMass put up 37 on us.

Just the fact that we’ve reached the point where thinking it couldn’t get any worse is so damn sad.  

Tom in AnnArbor

March 14th, 2024 at 9:38 AM ^

Now that the season is gratefully over - in his words - Warde can now examine the complete body of work on the season and make his choice on the future of the MBB program.  

If its anything other than Howard not being the coach next year and decided in a timely manner to get the new coach search going, Mr. Ono should fire Warde.  On any objective measure and most subjective measures, Howard just isn't the right person for this job.  It should have been obvious from last year's results, but if it isn't now, Warde is blind.  Blow it up.

OldSchoolWolverine

March 14th, 2024 at 9:47 AM ^

Am I wrong to think that Juwan cared more about getting his son drafted as high as possible,  than the program itself ?   Wouldn't bench him when played atrocious defense, and he gets hurt, team thrives, and then puts him back in once off injury.   Now he's gone and the program craters. When Jett was abhorrent, and wasn't benched, everyone knew how it was, and it seemed from then on, the culture deteriorated.

los barcos

March 14th, 2024 at 10:58 AM ^

Juwan deserves the blame for all of this -- but, I don't get the whole "son" complaint. I don't think Juwan was giving Jett preferential treatment - Juwan didn't bench anyone. Not that it's any better, but this notion that they were allowed to do anything while others were held accountable for their play isn't exactly true.