Hail-Storm

June 13th, 2017 at 11:32 AM ^

That is 12 players off the team and doesn't include the two early departures for the NFL that UMbig11 said were not replaced with transfers or recruits. With a possible 1 more to go (with a whole summer left) that is 15 players that could have played this year that won't. 

This is such a strange and fast fall.  They could be hurt for this longer than PSU was hurt for their sanctions. 

Farnn

June 13th, 2017 at 11:37 AM ^

Coupled with the dregs they had to scramble to fill their class with at the end of last year, and they are effectively entering the season with a 65 man roster after a 3-9 season.  So they have room for a big recruiting class, and they currently only have 7 commits.  If they don't overachieve this year and boost their recruiting it could be a humongous dig out over the next 5 years.

LKLIII

June 13th, 2017 at 12:27 PM ^

Yeah---that's the cascade thing going on here.  Even w/ the new NCAA rules, they have an "opportunity" I guess to have a really big recruiting class the next two years or so.  

But since they're in a major rut, it isn't like they'll be scooping up 60 kids in 2 years that are 4 star kids.  They'll be likely scraping the bottom of the barrel with the occsional exception of a highly ranked kid that is sold on the "immediate playing time" sales pitch they'll get.

Compare that to, say, a team that just lost a huge senior-laden class & kids going to the NFL on coming off a few double-digit win seasons.  That same "opportunity" allows for huge recruiting classes, but in that case the chance is to scoop up 55-60 kids who are relatively strong recruits.

Bottom line is MSU has this "opportuity" of some large recruiting classes at the exact time they're unable to full capitalize off of them.  It's going to just be a giant grab-bag of kids & hoping that among the volume of 2-3 star kids, they find a few diamonds in the rough.  I know stars aren't everything, but if you think of the average star rating of the entire roster as an average GPA, losing a bunch of kids & then filling those ranks with a ton of 2-3 star kids is really going to drop the average talent level of the team over a year or two.

But honestly, if I were an MSU fan, I'd be pushing for a total program reboot at this point.  If the raw talent is going to drop anyway, go for the "character" kids and don't take any risks on high talent head cases.  Priortize work ethic and character and at least stabalize the program to a 6-6 or 7-5 level.  Then start pushing for your high talent difference makers at DE, QB, WR, RB, DB where one or two top kids can put an extra 1-2 games in the win column to get you to 8-4 or 9-3.

MileHighWolverine

June 13th, 2017 at 12:48 PM ^

I feel like the process you're describing will take them at least 5 years to get through as they weed out the remaining bad apples and replace them with kids that won't be field ready for another 3 years. Hell, it could be 7 years before they turn it around.

Look how long its taken us to stabilize the OL since the days Carr left.

alum96

June 13th, 2017 at 1:14 PM ^

That's the sweetness in all this... this shit is not a 1 year issue.  Look at our 2015 class - it's more or less a black hole and if Harbaugh hadn't gone gangbusters in 2016 and 2017 it would have hurt us badly in 2018-2019.

Their 2016 class - the whole top of it - is not at MSU anymore.  That's not even what is hitting them now.  That's going to wreck their 2019.

evenyoubrutus

June 13th, 2017 at 2:52 PM ^

MSU just had back to back classes that are as bad, or worse, than Michigan's 2015 class, when you account for attrition, and they could very well have another one this year. Somehow, some way, Dantonio has put MSU into a worse spot than they were when he arrived in 2007.

DrMantisToboggan

June 13th, 2017 at 11:37 AM ^

If they end up losing Bowers and Cooper they will struggle to win 2 games (I'd be shocked if they dismissed Cooper). Dantonio getting this squad to a bowl game would be his greatest coaching feat yet.

MileHighWolverine

June 13th, 2017 at 12:38 PM ^

They went 3-9 last year and have now lost a pretty amazing amount of players from that team...how will they ever get to a bowl game with this squad?

This is actually a very interesting expirement from my point of view. He is widely thought of as a great coach and now we will know what a "great" coach is supposed to do when faced with a major talent drain. Last season and this season put our own 3-9 season in better perspective for me. Great coaches cannot win with subpar talent and no depth. 

DrMantisToboggan

June 13th, 2017 at 1:47 PM ^

I agree, I would be shocked if they got to 6 wins. They have guaranteed losses to Michigan, OSU, Penn State and Notre Dame. Assume they beat Bowling Green and WMU (can't always assume, but give them benefit of the doubt here). At 2-4 in those 6 games, they need to find 4 wins among Iowa, @ Minnesota, Indiana, @ Northwestern, Maryland, @ Rutgers. I think 4-8 is the most likely outcome. I could also see a 3-9 repeat or even a drop to 2-10 if things get really bad and players/coaches mail it in.

Bodogblog

June 13th, 2017 at 3:30 PM ^

Notre Dame combined a lot of bad luck, dumb ass head coaching, and a horrible DC into a much worse record than they should have had last year.  S&P had them as 26th (!) in the country last year, and Connelly fully expects a rebound. 

http://www.sbnation.com/college-football/2017/5/9/15552022/notre-dame-f…

After last year I beleive they'll hammer MSU 

Cruzcontrol75

June 13th, 2017 at 3:33 PM ^

of doubt for a team coming off 3-9 with a disastrous off season. Granted Western lost a ton to the NFL in an FBS record setting WR, 4 yr starter at QB, a beast of an OT and an anchor of our defense at LB. Fleck also bailed for Minne$ota. what the Broncos do have is an experienced Jr Center that has started since being a true Freshman. A stud Jr OT that was offered by Iowa, Virginia, Stanford, Nebraska & Ohio St. A defense coming off of a 13-1 season returning 9 starters. And a stable of RBs rated as 7th best in he nation by Bleacher Report. I would say that man for man the WMU defense is better than what MSU has. The question marks on offense at QB & WR, new kicker & new coaching staff + systems make this an intriguing matchup early in the season. It will be a dogfight week 2 with Dantonio & company coaching to save their jobs. Don't be surprised if MSU is 1-1 going into the bye week prior to ND.

Cruzcontrol75

June 13th, 2017 at 7:34 PM ^

They really are that good. Love watching Jarvion Franklin smash defenders. But I'm really interested to see former UofM commit Matt Falcon run. Tough to see him go down with a second knee injury as a HS senior but I hope he can come back from it. The kid has worked his ass off to get back from injury twice. He's in an ideal spot behind those two and Bellamy who was originally a WR and is lightning quick.

I Like Burgers

June 13th, 2017 at 1:05 PM ^

Oklahoma won't bail on Lincoln Riley after a year. 0% chance that happens.

Could be wrong, but I don't feel like Chip and Notre Dame are a fit.

UCLA feels like a terrific landing spot for Chip.  Probably the best, actually.  He used to recruit LA all the time at Oregon, would be back on the west coast, offense rules in the Pac-12...lots of things make sense.

GoBlueInNYC

June 13th, 2017 at 1:58 PM ^

Admittedly, I don't know enough about Riley and his relationship with Oklahoma's AD to estimate the likelihood of him sticking, as opposed to being a one-year interim deal.

I do agree that Chip Kelly and Notre Dame is not a very good fit. But I would also say that neither Chip Kelly nor Notre Dame have demonstrated the ability to make sound decisions as far as "fit" of employer/employee choices lately.

FatGuyTouchdown

June 13th, 2017 at 3:05 PM ^

unprecedented 3 year deal in excess of a million per year last year. He's essentially the handpicked successor. Everyone in the OU program knew Bob would be gone soon, and they kept Lincoln to take over. According to Bruce Feldman, Stoops would have coached one more year if he didn't think Lincoln Riley was ready to take over. 

UMich2016

June 13th, 2017 at 11:47 AM ^

Although I would love a formidable rival - Michigan State's downfall is a beautiful sight for UM's future.  We must be able to dominate in state recruiting and with PSU now rising, its nice to only have two power players in the Big Ten East to worry about. 

Lets beat them by 40 this year.

UMich2016

June 13th, 2017 at 12:17 PM ^

It is nice to have exciting games throughout the season, but now that we have the playoffs -- just win as many as possible and get there for the excitement.

Also if/when OSU is only major threat on our schedule, there will be scenarios in the next 10 years where UM & OSU go into that matchup 11-0 and the loser could still advance to playoffs.

MaizeAndBlueWahoo

June 13th, 2017 at 12:21 PM ^

Agreed.  A good OSU program is better for Michigan.  That rivalry is a major part of Michigan's identity.  Its brand, pardon the Brandon-speak.  (Though I'm totally OK if they have a couple 5-7 seasons in the near future, too.)  A good MSU does nothing for us.  Let 'em burn.

WolverineHistorian

June 13th, 2017 at 1:54 PM ^

THANK YOU!  Those are my feelings exactly.

OSU needs to go through a decade of RichRod and Hoke.  That week after week helpless feeling of futility on defense, futility on O-Line, stressful games against the likes of Indiana, Akron and UConn, lose to Rutgers, constant blowouts against good teams and the misery over not even being able to qualify for a toilet bowl game.

Let America's worst fan base have to dread Saturdays where the only good feeling is knowing football season is over.  It's nothing less than they deserve.