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12/13/2018 - 10:54am I wish that were true.

But…

I wish that were true.

But IIRC, listening to Sam Webb sometime this summer on WTKA, he said that the hard part about  this PARTICULAR recruitment is that if there is one plausible hole that Alabama actually has right now, it's at Safety.  

So yes, one major trump card Michigan can USUALLY play against Alabama for top recruits is that with Michigan, there is a clearer to path to early playing time.  But at least as of August, that is not necessarily the case for this one.

Now, maybe as the 2018 season unfolded, Alabama has found their answer at Safety for the next 1-2 years.  So it's possible circumstances have changed & we can still play that card.  But as of August, that was not really the case. 

12/12/2018 - 4:35pm The bigger question in my…

The bigger question in my mind is what type of CONCRETE facts was Alabama able to present that made Dax AND his family believe that Harbaugh would leave?

 

Don't know, but even if somebody gave them seemingly compelling information, by all accounts Michigan was totally blindsided by the flip.  I'd find it hard to believe that a family like the Hills who are experienced with the process already would not at least directly contact Michigan first before hitting the eject button.

That being said, Dax's desire to sign in February would seem to make a bit of sense in that context.  It would enable him to have a clearer picture of any "coaching musical chair" movements.  Rather than taking people's word for it, he could wait it out & see what ACTUALLY happens in in a vast majority of any particular cases he may be worried about prior to sending in his NLI. 

12/12/2018 - 4:26pm I'd be shocked if this were…

I'd be shocked if this were actually the case.  Not shocked that Alabama would TRY that path of course.  But I'd be shocked if the Hill family wouldn't at least check back w/ JH and Michigan first before pulling the plug if that were truly one of the major or THE major concern.

Word was that Michigan was totally blindsided by the flip.  Which means either the Hills are one of the most unthorough and impulsive recruits I've ever seen, or it was likely something else.

 

 

12/04/2018 - 8:18am This is true. A buddy of…

This is true. A buddy of mind is very plugged into the ND football program. Said a Letter of Intent was on the table for Meyer years ago before he took OSU. 

The one Meyer demand that ND refused to agree to was allowing Meyer 2-3 recruits annually into the school “no questions asked”. ND refused. Meyer turned down the offer saying he couldn’t guarantee success without getting his guys & walked away. 

 

As much as we hate Notre Dame, that rivalry is qualitatively different. With them we are two dogs fighting over the same bone. With OSU and MSU it’s cats & dogs. 

12/04/2018 - 8:06am Don’t worry. We will when we…

Don’t worry. We will when we beat him in 2022 when we smoke USC in the National Championship game. 

12/02/2018 - 1:13pm Agreed. 

 

I’d most…

Agreed. 

 

I’d most certainly force Notre Dame to join a conference. But it would actually DECREASE the likelihood of teams scheduling stronger OOC games. 

I could also see teams perhaps jockeying to get into weaker conferences so they could bully everybody. Or alternatively, reduce the conference schedule from 9 games to either 8 or even 7 games and insert insanely easy OCC teams like the SEC does. 

 

Then a team like Michigan or OSU could do what the SEC does. Play a cupcake schedule, and then play maybe 2 respectable teams the whole year max until the conference championship game against a legit strong team. 

 

Basically boils it down to a one game regular season unless a team chokes and gets upset by one of the 1-2 “respectable” teams.

 

11/30/2018 - 11:45am To use your hypotethical…

To use your hypotethical disgruntled kid who isn't *quite* good enough for the booster payments/gifts, but then sees his buddies getting them....

 

The reason he/his family doesn't whistle blow may be a combination of several reasons:

 

  1. He may not be totally aware of it in a provable way.  Usually the sophisticated booster networks make sure to place the payments/benefits in either small dollar intervals so the recipient CAN'T flash the cash around unless he's insanely disciplined & saves all of his small $50/$100/$250 payments.  But if he's that disciplined, then he's probably also disciplined enough to not flash it around anyway.  Or they have the car lease in the uncle's name and the uncle keeps it at his house across town & the kid only gets to drive it around once or twice per week--plausible deniability saying he's just "borrowing his uncle's car."
  2. Football teams and groups of friends/cliques especially for young men are tribal & have a great sense of community in many respects.  Even if he/his family is aware of the payments & he's not getting them, he enjoys the camradarie and doesn't want to "rat out" his friends and become a parriah on a practcail/day to day level.
  3. Even if he's willing to throw his current team (or a team he *almost* committed to) under the bus with some type of (almost impossible to find iron clad evidence), he may still think he's got a shot at playing in the NFL or coaching at the college level and does not want to get labeled as a "troublemaker" by the industry generally.  Just go with the flow, man.  Don't make no waves.  He just doesn't want a scarlett letter generaly even if he's willing to totally burn bridges at his specific program.  This might also be true if he's got a sibling or cousin or best friend who is wrapped up in the whole thing.  Blowing the whistle may create some collateral damage to people he cares about, either b/c they would get swept up in the scandal, or they too would get the "troublemaker" label due to "guilt by association" if he turns whistle blower.
  4. If he's still in the recruiting cycle or if he's young in his college football career, he may be under the delusion that if he keeps his mouth shut & is just patient enough, he'll get some type of payments (or better payments) too.  i.e., Holding out hope that even if he didn't get a signing/committment bonus, maybe the booster network will still give him cash for in-season/in-game performance, or for not declaring for the NFL Draft & coming back to play for his college one more season.
11/30/2018 - 2:55am 1) Interesting post…

1) Interesting post. Somewhat related to the “Michigan is Good but won’t ever be Elite Unless we Cheat” diary, with the modifier of “Cheat MORE”. As to the posters who wonder why we dabble but not go in whole hog—either moral rationalizations and/or similar to people who break rules but who are still not hardened criminals yet. But it seems like we are on that path due to the cultural shift and total lack of meaningful  enforcement by the NCAA. When just one or two programs break the rules, they are corrupt and the non cheaters are virtuous. But when a tipping point hits and a big % of high profile teams cheat with impunity, then the programs exercising restraint cease being virtuous and instead just become suckers.

2) To posters wondering why we don’t as a school openly advocate paying players—it’d put an even bigger target on our back from the NCAA. Unless we only advocate the private free enterprise route (commercial sponsorships, endorsements, etc), the NCAA would feel their profits absolutely threatened and make us Public Enemy #1. It’d have To be a critical mass of schools to have safety in numbers.

 

3) To those wondering why there aren’t more whistle blowers—just WAY too much money and power involved.

Most don’t have an incentive to whistle blow. Either because they derive direct benefits from the current system or they’d suffer financial or political loss as a pariah for harming the favored home team. Disgruntled staffers coaches and players don’t want to get kicked out of the coaching/player fraternity for being a “troublemaker.” Plus they likely wouldn’t have the systematic proof to blow it wide open  

This is a cash cow for the NCAA, so unless it’s blatant and they’re EMBARRASSED into investigating, they won’t. Plus they don’t have subpoena power. And what local state Attorney General is going to investigate the state’s beloved team or coach when the next election is around the corner?

What local beat journalist will sacrifice their access and goodwill among program insiders/sources by printing an expose article? What local news editor will risk a huge drop in ratings or circulation by alienating a big % of the local readership/viewership?

Only way this gets blown open is if the federal government (FBI/DOJ) get involved, or if a national level media outlet (or unemployed/ambitious reporter) with nothing left to lose and a Pulitzer To gain spend YEARS of investigative journalism and then rolls out an iron clad expose over multiple media platforms.

Which brings me to my final point:

 

4) I’m surprised Michigan booster networks don’t find legal ways to spend their money more creatively. For example, if we lack the will to go full SEC, why not use our booster money to shine light on the shenanigans at our rival schools? Yes, there’s a risk of blowback if we aren’t squeaky clean. But in a 3 foot flood the 2 foot tall guy drowns and the 4 foot guy survives. Plus, boosters could do this totally confidentially.

Have a deep pocketed donor fund an “investigative journalism” nonprofit to the tune of a million bucks per year. Set it up via a series of shell corporations to obscure the source of the money. Then hire a small army of investigative feeelande journalists, seasoned “opposition researchers” from the political world, and a chief of staff to coordinate it all. Then systematically target the dirtiest 2-3 key rival programs for research. Compile a dossier of iron clad proof, then hire a PR firm based in NYC or LA to confidentially shop around the findings to every media outlet that will listen. 

Journalists are usually lazy. They’d need to independently confirm the dossier of course, but it’s basically spoon fed right to them. At some point a critical mass of outlets would pick up the story and voila—your key rivals are now dealing with shitty PR, laboring to recruit under a cloud of a potential NCAA investigation, dealing with potential friction from their AD, board of trustees, prominent boosters, the also-ran media feeding frenzy, etc.

Basically privately fund a clandestine opposition research unit & PR “war room” to systematically uncover and lob PR Molotov cocktails into the laps of key rival coaches/programs.

 

 

11/30/2018 - 2:08am That movie would be totally…

That movie would be totally great as a remake featuring college  football in the modern era. 

11/28/2018 - 10:55pm Per the Google, Gal Gadot is…

Per the Google, Gal Gadot is 5’10”. 

Is it lying or are you like 6’5” such that you think a 5’10” woman qualifies as tiny?

11/28/2018 - 10:53pm And it has the potential to…

And it has the potential to make mid tier bowl games or bowl game blowouts infinitely more interesting. 

The freshmen who won’t burn their RS with bowl participation will practice all December with their hair on fire because they know there’s a solid chance they could get a bunch of PT in the bowl depending on circumstances. 

11/24/2018 - 5:44pm Totally disagree. In the…

Totally disagree. In the next 3-4 years we will beat OSU in a totally meaningless end to a craptastic 7-5 or 8-4 season with zero substantive meaning on the line. 

 

Then theyll hammer us for another 6-9 years straight again. 

11/24/2018 - 4:50pm Agree. You tell me this…

Agree. You tell me this morning that we score 39 in a non overtime game and I assume we win 95% of the time. Especially if our drives eat clock, 39 would be nearly impossible to overcome. 

Our DL was atrocious and it exposed our already weak LB/safety in coverage weakness even more. ZERO pressure. Superior slot WR athlete types also exacerbated the issue.

Part of it was no Solomon, maybe part of it was no hold calls called against OSU’s OL. But getting zero push on the interior gave Haskins all day, and that was deadly. 

11/20/2018 - 9:55am Anything under 40:  Moody.

Anything under 40:  Moody.

 

Anything 40 or over:  Nordin.

 

Assuming both don't look particularly terrible in practice this week or in warm-ups.

 

I know it's an unconventional approach, what with a limited number of scholarships and with kicker's "head games/confidence" issues.  But I've actually always thought an extra scholarship or two would be worth spending if it could guarantee you TWO "dead ringer" kickers if needed.  Basically a howitzer distance guy, and then somebody who maybe is INCREDIBLY accurate/consistent but maybe can only go from 35 yards or shorter.

Like having both a very good driver & an incredible putter both available in your golf bag.

11/17/2018 - 11:30pm My hope on the RZ stuff is…

My hope on the RZ stuff is that we kept it vanilla and have got a good 8-10 RZ/4th down plays that we’ve got down 100% solid and salted for OSU. 

11/17/2018 - 11:26pm There are a couple off odd…

There are a couple off odd blitzes but not too many. And the reason we couldn’t get to the QB all night was about 70% because they didn’t do long developing pass plays (it was all quick slants, crossing routes, hot reads etc) and also 30% atrocious officiating they didn’t call a bunch of Indiana OL holding calls

11/16/2018 - 9:54pm Aside from key player…

Aside from key player injuries and lousy officiating, this is the biggest thing I’m worried about. 

 

Basically the total opposite of last year. We prep for Haskins and then they trot out some secret red zone packages with Martel that we aren’t ready to defend. 

11/11/2018 - 5:48pm I agree, but at least some…

I agree, but at least some of them are coming from a place of principle.  Like guys who say, "No 2 loss teams allowed in the Top 25" or something like that.  What I don't like are the guys who are outright homers, like that John Bednarowski guy I mentioned earlier up the thread.  He's outright stating that he actively roots AGAINST Michigan simply because he grew up in Ohio.  Hard to believe that the dude ranking Michigan at #6 isn't a biased position.

11/11/2018 - 5:45pm Not Pollack.  He's referring…

Not Pollack.  He's referring to the guy I mentioned in the earlier thread, John Bednarowski of the Marietta, GA Daily Journal. 

 

See my post below (I cross-posted it in this thread for convenience) for details.

11/11/2018 - 5:40pm Actually there is a URL that…

Actually there is a URL that has the same table with better functionality.  When you scroll over the team logo, it highlights that same logo all over the table so you can get an idea of distribution. 

 

Link HERE:

https://collegepolltracker.com/football/grid/2018/week-12

 

You can also click on the teams, which features a handy orange-shaded distribution scale so you can see how the votes were distributed week to week (each tab for a different week). 

Link HERE:

https://collegepolltracker.com/football/team/michigan-wolverines/2018

 

The website also has poll respondent profiles to check out who the person is, their voting history, etc.  I'm going to cross-post what I wrote in the Coach's Poll thread since it's far more relevant to the AP Poll:

"First, a caveat--I'm sure Michigan may benefit from favorable rankings among maybe some pro-Michigan journalists out there, but at least over the past several weeks there have been ZERO "upper range" outliers.  The vast majority pick Michigan at #4, a smattering at #5, and then only 3-4 in the nation at #6.

Three journalists have chronically ranked Michigan lower than the others over the past few weeks.  They are:

Jim Alexander of the Press-Enterprise (Inland Empire, CA).  From a quick google search, this is the first year he's been a voter in the AP polls.  Online profile seems innocuous enough.

Rob Long of 105.7 FM The Fan in Baltimore, MD.  Seems to be an SC Gamecock fan, but nothing particularly antagonistic against Michigan.

 

And then there's....

John Bednarowski of the Marietta, GA Daily Journal.  Naturally he ranks Georgia currently at #4 this week.  Ranked OU #5 and Michigan at #6.  Select quote from his latest column online:

"After growing up in Ohio, I pull for Ohio State one week of the year, and that’s when it plays Michigan."

https://www.mdjonline.com/cobb_football_friday/my-top-uab-could-be-the-best-story-in-college/article_33e8152a-e5d4-11e8-88de-9718f4c274ad.html

 

Bottom line is I'm glad the CFP doesn't really take these polls into account, or if they do, then it's a small sliver of the information they consider.

 

11/11/2018 - 3:38pm First, a caveat--I'm sure…

First, a caveat--I'm sure Michigan may benefit from favorable rankings among maybe some pro-Michigan journalists out there, but at least over the past several weeks there have been ZERO "upper range" outliers.  The vast majority pick Michigan at #4, a smattering at #5, and then only 3-4 in the nation at #6.

Three journalists have chronically ranked Michigan lower than the others over the past few weeks.  They are:

Jim Alexander of the Press-Enterprise (Inland Empire, CA).  From a quick google search, this is the first year he's been a voter in the AP polls.  Online profile seems innocuous enough.

Rob Long of 105.7 FM The Fan in Baltimore, MD.  Seems to be an SC Gamecock fan, but nothing particularly antagonistic against Michigan.

 

And then there's....

John Bednarowski of the Marietta, GA Daily Journal.  Naturally he ranks Georgia currently at #4 this week.  Ranked OU #5 and Michigan at #6.  Select quote from his latest column online:

"After growing up in Ohio, I pull for Ohio State one week of the year, and that’s when it plays Michigan."

https://www.mdjonline.com/cobb_football_friday/my-top-uab-could-be-the-best-story-in-college/article_33e8152a-e5d4-11e8-88de-9718f4c274ad.html

 

Bottom line is I'm glad the CFP doesn't really take these polls into account, or if they do, then it's a small sliver of the information they consider.

11/08/2018 - 3:52pm At what point did everybody…

At what point did everybody decide to call Rutgers, "Rutger"?

I understand the whole thing about trying to "make fetch happen," but a Rutger is a statistical category, not the school itself.  The school is still Rutgers, no?

Or is this like calling Ohio State, "Ohio" back in the day to get under their skin?  If so, why do we feel the need to go through the effort to irritate Rutgers? They're barely worth considering as a Big Ten team. Just hammer them and move on....

11/08/2018 - 3:39pm At what point did Rutgers…

At what point did Rutgers become "Rutger"?

This seems to be a *thing* that everybody is doing.  I am puzzled as to the origination of this, and also why we think it's even fun or necessary to do it.  Is this like when we used to call Ohio State, "Ohio"?  I found that one pretty dumb, but at least it was a rival worth irritating. 

Rutgers isn't even worth going out of our way to irritate....

 

 

11/05/2018 - 5:54pm Caveats aside---things…

Caveats aside---things change, risk of a reinforcing echo chamber, etc., but.....

As of now, Harrison has a grand total of 23 Crystal Balls starting from November 2016 thru today.  There has been an absolute paradigm shift looking at the pattern.  Behold:

  • The first 11 predictions were 100% Ohio State starting from November 2016 thru late September of this year. 

 

  • The next 12 have come over the course of 16 days (10 of which came over the past 48 hours). And 100% of them have been for Michigan.   And as the OP pointed out, these are not merely from random guys. Several are from either top 247 recruiting experts, and a few are from OSU based blogger types.

Can't rest on laurels or take his potential commitment for granted of course. Crazier things have happened in recruiting.  But I will say this--I'd much rather be in Michigan's position right now for Harrison's services than in OSU's position.

11/05/2018 - 3:21pm Yeah I was very surprised…

Yeah I was very surprised Brian didn’t note the McCaffrey injury. He’s definitely in the 2 deep. 

 

In my view, this should have been the #1 Epic Double Bird of the Week since if for some reason Shea gets hurt, it could drastically impact how the next 2 months will go for us. 

11/04/2018 - 3:18pm No matter what happens, I…

No matter what happens, I pray that Harbaugh understands that the “style points” and PR/spin game in the media MUST be played too.

 

IIRC, back in 2006, we didn’t do that at all because it was uncouth and we wanted to stay “classy.” Meanwhile, Urban Meyer was shamelessly shilling for Florida every chance he got. Maybe it wouldn’t have made a difference back then, but IIRC we didn’t even TRY. 

 

Our school has considerable resources at our disposal including both financial and in terms of human capital. Lobbying Michigan’s case in the sports media is well within the rules of the NCAA. 

 

JH and the staff need to win out & (not risking injury to key players) BLOW OUT remaining teams wherever possible. Meanwhile, the football team’s PR department need to put together a multi faceted PR campaign on a national scale. Social media graphics & viral videos of key plays or highlights, coordinated talking points to be delivered by high profile surrogates in the media, pulling strings with every sports columnist they can to do their part, etc. 

 

“Play through the whistle,” they say. 

 

Well, in this case, running up the score & waging a full scale PR battle in the media is the off field equivalent of playing through the whistle. Leave NOTHING to chance. 

 

11/04/2018 - 3:06pm Not to get ahead of…

Not to get ahead of ourselves, but if we win out & find the media being tempted to push for a 2nd SEC team or a 1 loss Big 12 team to get in over Michigan, we need to do this:

 

No matter what happens, I pray that Harbaugh understands that the “style points” and PR/spin game in the media MUST be played too.

 

IIRC, back in 2006, we didn’t do that at all because it was uncouth and we wanted to stay “classy.” Meanwhile, Urban Meyer was shamelessly shilling for Florida every chance he got. Maybe it wouldn’t have made a difference back then, but IIRC we didn’t even TRY. 

 

Our school has considerable resources at our disposal including both financial and in terms of human capital. Lobbying Michigan’s case in the sports media is well within the rules of the NCAA. 

 

JH and the staff need to win out & (not risking injury to key players) BLOW OUT remaining teams wherever possible. Meanwhile, the football team’s PR department need to put together a multi faceted PR campaign on a national scale. Social media graphics & viral videos of key plays or highlights, coordinated talking points to be delivered by high profile surrogates in the media, pulling strings with every sports columnist they can to do their part, etc. 

 

“Play through the whistle,” they say. 

 

Well, in this case, running up the score & waging a full scale PR battle in the media is the off field equivalent of playing through the whistle. Leave NOTHING to chance. 

 

11/03/2018 - 12:09pm I am a real estate attorney…

I am a real estate attorney. I think Cutco has some type of wholesale agreement with a few of the larger real estate brokerage firms. 

The realtors get their 2.5% commission for helping you buy your home, and they give you a bottle of wine or a Cutco knife set as a thank you. 

10/31/2018 - 1:07pm Really?

You move the goal…

Really?

You move the goal posts THAT much during the course of a season?

Sure, I'd love to go 11-1 and go to the CFP.  But if you tell me we go 10-2 with loses to just ND and PSU but we beat OSU in Columbus and win a Big Ten Championship in Indy & go to a Rose Bowl, that's a pretty damned good season.

You lay out that scenario in August and 99.9% of use would have taken that deal in a New York Minute.

People have been bitching that Harbaugh can't beat OSU and that Michigan hasn't won the Big Ten in a dozen years.  Then, when we beat OSU and win the Big Ten, it immediately becomes, "what a disappointing season because we didn't go to the CFP."

Blows my mind.

 

10/28/2018 - 3:16pm It seems so clear to me the…

It seems so clear to me the best way to minimize most of the controversy is to expand to 8 teams total with the Power 5 champions each getting automatic bids. 

The 3 at large would be plenty most years to accommodate a mix of a good ND team, strong 2nd teams from Power 5 conferences, or the occasional outstanding Group of 5 team. 

Anybody at #9 arguing they should be #8 wouldn’t have a super plausible path to becoming NC anyway. At that point, the arguments would boil down to seeding and match ups within the 8 team bracket. 

10/27/2018 - 2:44pm I’m concerned about a…

I’m concerned about a scenario where ND wins out and Alabama loses to LSU in a squeaker. 

ND has the head to head against us and is undefeated. OTOH they don’t have a conference championship line we would if we won out. 

Alabama is Alabama Ave has the “eye” test and loses a hypothetical squeaker agains a 1 loss SEC champ. OTOH they’re in a conference where championships are SUPPOSED to mean something, but we all saw what happened last year.

I’m basically paranoid about a LSU/Clemson/Alabama/ND playoff  where we narrowly get shut out.

 

 

 

10/27/2018 - 2:27pm Although Wisconsin not…

Although Wisconsin not playing with Hornibrook and the backup is making his first career start.

 

But does anybody who matters cares?

How granular do strength of schedule statistics get? Or CFP members for that matter? Do they factor in key injuries at all when evaluating the relative strength is CFP contenders? Let alone taking the extra step to see whether key CFP contender OPPONENTS had critical players injured at the time the CFP contender played them or after (thereby creating an artificially poor SOS metric compared to when the CFP contender actually played the team at full strength?

Hypothetical—

Team X has a player Y that is utterly dominant and accounts for a huge % of the team’s offensive yardage, but then a big drop off at that spot in the 2nd string. Like an exaggerated version of PSU and McSorley. 

Then Player Y gets injured for a single game prior to the bye week & returns 100% after the bye. Team X loses the game where Player Y is out.

Does the team that beats Team X during that single game get an absurd bump in their “quality win” or SOS metrics even though there should be a massive asterisk next to their win?

Lets say Team X gets two losses on the season. The one with the Player Y injury and another nail biter away night game against the #1 team in the country. Does the CFP basically disregard or at least discount that second loss because they know that Player Y was unavailable but now he is for the rest of the season & the playoffs?

10/27/2018 - 1:31pm What’s our rooting interest…

What’s our rooting interest this weekend? Is it generally root for outcomes that increase our strength of schedule plus whatever outcomes boost our preferred team becoming Big Ten West champs?

If so, what would those outcomes be specifically?

Are there any squads we want to lose most definitely (like Georgia or Florida, etc) to minimize the odds that IF we run the table, we won’t get shut out of the CFP at the #5 slot?

10/25/2018 - 3:18pm I disagree on this one in …

I disagree on this one in *this* particular year. 

Penn State already has two losses in the Big Ten East.  Barring a catastrophic loss by us to Indiana or Rutgers, we can afford to actually lose to PSU and still be heading into The Game w/ the division championship on the line.  It'd kills us for our playoff chances of course, but in my view first thing is first--beat OSU & win the Big Ten.

That said, I would maybe spend some extra time preparing for PSU, but not the full extra week.  I'd dedicate maybe 1-2 full practices to extra PSU work (so maybe this Thursday & Friday). 

So it'd probably look like this:

  • First Monday I'd likely give the entire team a day off to rest/rehab & take care of their life outside of football.  The coaches & staff would still grind away Monday. 

 

  • First Tuesday-Wednesday would be a combination of  "refine & review" practice to fix persistent technique or scheme issues (i.e., defending slant passes, converting on 3rd & long, FG kicking, etc.), and also install/practice some trick plays or packages specifically designed for OSU.  For the stuff that's truly refining/reviewing, maybe even do that at half speed so it's a light workout or glorified walk thru.

 

  • First Thursday would be treated as a "flex" day.  If we are particularly confident about PSU and/or the "refine & review"/"OSU Special" stuff was a hot mess or taking longer than expected, then treat Thursday like Tuesday-Wednesday.  If we just breeze through the Tuesday/Wednesday content or feel uneasy about PSU, then treat Thursday just like Friday & do 100% PSU.

 

  • First Friday would be 100% PSU focused.  This practice (and any Thursday practice if the flex day was earmarked for PSU) would be more schematic & slower walk-thru pace again.  So the idea for these earlier PSU practices is it's more for guys to download scouting reports, review film & apply the strategies we intend to deploy against PSU.  Then they'd have the weekend to let the scouting/cognitive/schematic stuff to marinate.  

 

  • Guys rest up on the weekend.  Probably against NCAA rules and would kill team morale, but I'd love to put lojack systems on all my guys and ban both alcohol consumption & playing any recreational sports.  Host a "voluntary" (mandatory) PSU vs Iowa viewing/pizza party on DVR review Saturday evening.  Basically have the staff do a quick & dirty preliminary breakdown while watching the 3:30pm game & then by 8pm have a somewhat annotated version ready to go for the guys to watch somewhat socially.  Like a somewhat more thoughtful & organized version of the "Coach's Film Room" broadcast during the national championship games.    Of course true breakdown & film study would occur later. Key recruiters on the coaching staff go on visits Friday-Saturday.

 

  • Second week would be just like a regular full speed PSU game week but we'd already have that 1-2 extra practices under our belt form Thursday/Friday the week prior so hopefully guys already had a big head start on the scouting/mental aspect of PSU game prep.

 

For what it's worth, I know "the next game" is always supposed to be the most important game, but it just ain't true.  I'd take the following Rutgers week & treat it almost as a quasi bye week as well.  Namely, instead of preparing for Rutgers exclusively M-F, I'd dedicate Monday & maybe even Tuesday for the trick play/OSU package/refine holes in our game stuff & only dedicate W-F for 100% Rutgers.

The whole point being, by dedicating 1-2 days during the true bye week & shorting Rutgers prep by 1-2 days, what you're really doing is socking away about a week's worth of OSU preparation so that when we go in there, it's as if we dedicated a two full weeks to them alone.

10/23/2018 - 9:29pm If it’s reported that he’s…

If it’s reported that he’s always in the gym practicing, how is it that one of his “areas of improvement” is level of commitment?

Seems like one wouldn’t follow from the other. 

10/21/2018 - 4:29pm Also forgot: Team B’s single…

Also forgot: Team B’s single loss was by one score at night away game to an undefeated CFP team. 

10/19/2018 - 4:53pm He also plans to visit Penn…

He also plans to visit Penn State, Stanford (where his father went to school), and Michigan (where his mother went to medical school).

"Dr. Johnson & Mr. Johnson? Welcome to campus!  We'd like to introduce you to Dr. Jones & Mrs. Peoples......"

10/19/2018 - 4:51pm No, those were both 2020…

No, those were both 2020 recruits I think.

10/16/2018 - 9:45pm There is no damned way White…

There is no damned way White comes back for our game. Did you see the video of his injury?

10/14/2018 - 10:54am Great game in almost every…

Great game in almost every respect. Stadium and crowd looked electric on TV  

One of my favorite post game moments was seeing Winovich recruit the hell out of a few clearly star struck recruits standing on the sideline as he went into the tunnel after the game. 

Hope last night really made an impression on the kids visiting yesterday. My understanding is that it was a pretty big recruiting weekend for us. 

10/14/2018 - 10:51am Wondered the same thing. I’m…

Wondered the same thing. I’m no strategist but maybe Wisconsin’s line up and strength just doesn’t suit him? Seems like he does better when he’d outweigh this poor defensive player by 30-40 LBs. 

10/14/2018 - 10:48am True, although last night…

True, although last night our DL was getting outright tackled by Wisconsin’s OL on several occasions. I don’t think we got a single holding call or maybe 1 if we did. 

10/10/2018 - 11:29am No.

No.

10/06/2018 - 12:13pm Yeah, that's my question too…

Yeah, that's my question too.

 

I'm in Chicagoland and the game is on ABC 7.  We want to record the game & then watch it later tonight.  We don't want to discover later that we didn't get 100% of the game on the DVR.

If I simply extend out & record the 30 minute post game show & also the Florida State vs. Miami game that is on ABC 7 after our game, will that be enough?

Or would they move all/part of the game to some ESPN alternative channel?  If they do, where do we find that information so I can make sure to record the correct channel?

10/05/2018 - 1:36am I think you’ve got a typo in…

I think you’ve got a typo in your post. It seems that you wrote “Winovich” instead of “Hart”. 

10/03/2018 - 5:32pm Dwumfor is like the inverse…

Dwumfor is like the inverse JBB.

 

 

10/02/2018 - 2:00pm Definitely don’t look at the…

Definitely don’t look at the video. Brian linked it in his “Unverified Voracity” post today at the bottom, and I made the mistake of clicking the link. 

10/02/2018 - 1:53pm I agree this is egregious…

I agree this is egregious and should be brought to the attention of our own AD and to the Big Ten generally. However, before we do I think it’s important to anticipate and rule out other likely explanations first. 

Its the difference between being taken as wild eyed kooks versus being taken seriously.

 

I am skeptical of this explanation, but some of the Reddit users did make a credible case that this could also be due to the WAY we create sacks. One would think that the longer a play goes on & the more players who are being directly engaged by blockers, the higher the risk is that a joke takes place. 

I’m no defensive guru, but it does seem to me that the way Don Brown generates a lot of our sacks is by sending extra blitzers off the edge and through gaps at high speed, and doing stunts to increase the odds that guys are coming free into the backfield largely untouched. To me, it seems like those situations would have less opportunity for a player to commit holding as opposed to just 3-4 strong/talented DL bull rushing & engaging OL to collapse a pocket. 

Now, whether we do that far more than the other strong sack rate teams, or whether that DOES in fact reduce the opportunity for holding to take place, I don’t know. Maybe it does a lot. Maybe it doesn’t. Maybe it mitigates the outlier somewhat but it is still a significantly significant outlier when one factors all KR that into the analysis. 

The hard part would be to get the underlying data & to quantify it. One person suggested also plotting the average number of rushers defenses use on passing downs to see if there is a clear correlation. 

10/01/2018 - 2:54pm Metellus did in fact come…

Metellus did in fact come back after half time. 

09/29/2018 - 11:38pm Setting conspiracies aside,…

Setting conspiracies aside, what we should do is have one of our many analysts look at the statistical trends in penalty calls & non calls over time in the Big Ten. Then based on those trends, modify certain coaching points & modify perhaps the long term recruiting strategy RE position groups. 

For example, if refs simply don’t call offensive holding anymore, Warriner should be telling our guys to hold the hell out of the opposing team. Conversely on the defense, it may alter how we scheme against offenses.