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07/18/2018 - 11:57pm While I agree with you on…

While I agree with you on the OL situation being less dire than many think, it's not much of a stretch to wonder if the starting QB can stay healthy all year.  You have to go back to 2011 for a season that Michigan didn't lose a QB to injury for at least 1/2 a game and usually at least a game.  And how many times was the QB out or playing injured in the OSU game?   Michigan hasn't had a starting QB finish the OSU game healthy under Harbaugh's tenure, only twice out of Hoke's 4 years, and once out of RR's 3 years.

OL play has certainly played a part, but it's also been bad luck and poor depth behind them to make up for it.  I really hope Peters sticks around, because it's likely that he will be called on during the season.

07/18/2018 - 10:41pm I know it's mentioned but I…

I know it's mentioned but I wonder how much people realize defenses focused on containing Barkley.  Everyone knows he was the best RB in CFB last year, yet his stat weren't all that.  He had 5.9 ypc and 11.7 ypr.  That's worse than Hidgon, Taylor, and Dobbins in ypc and worse than Higdon and Taylor in ypr.  When PSU has a mortal RB in the backfield, will McSorley see as favorable coverage in the secondary?

Think of it like the Peppers effect of eliminating screens from the opponents playbook.  You don't realize it's impact until it's gone.

07/18/2018 - 11:10am Newark benefits because it's…

Newark benefits because it's a United hub just like Chicago so they run a lot of flights.  Plus, if you stay in NJ to save money it's much easier to get to and from the airport.

07/16/2018 - 6:47pm How far away are we from a…

How far away are we from a team firing their coach mid season and poaching another coach before the season ends?  We already have coaches interviewing before the season ends(Durkin in 2015), is it so far fetched to move that up a few weeks and hire in late October/early November?  

Also, there are a few ex HCs out there who could be candidates for Group of Five schools and are currently unemployed.

07/16/2018 - 5:44pm Good points regarding this…

Good points regarding this thread. Though mid season firings like Jones are rare, early firings are becoming more common as schools want to get a head start on the search as UCLA, Florida, and Tennessee did last year.  One added consideration now is early signing day which teams were still figuring out last season.  Seeing as how 80% of classes are signed in December, there's more urgency than ever to get the new coach in so he can start recruiting.

07/16/2018 - 5:17pm He grew up in Louisville,…

He grew up in Louisville, played football there, and was an assistant coach. His father played at Louisville and coaches HS nearby. He has more ties to Louisville than Harbaugh had to Michigan, so I don't think you could fault him for jumping at the opportunity to coach there.  And with Petrino's history, Louisville would help their image by getting rid of him.

07/16/2018 - 5:09pm Agreed on Durkin, everyone…

Agreed on Durkin, everyone knows last years results were largely due to QB injuries.  Plus he just had the 4th and 5th best recruiting classes in the Big10.  Everyone knows his ceiling in the Big10 East is 8-4 and with the talent he has brought in plus hiring Canada as OC, they should get pretty close to that and everyone will be happy.

And while Rutgers could fire Ash, what decent candidate would be dumb enough to take that job?  With PSU back, there is no easy home state recruiting, Maryland is already doing much better on the east coast, and you have at least 4 guaranteed losses a year and more likely 6 or 7. 

07/16/2018 - 4:40pm Probably not this first guy…

Probably not this first guy fired, but I've read that Louisville may fire Petrino if he can't get to double digit wins.  They haven't forgotten the 11-2 and 12-1 seasons under Strong and have a unique opportunity with a hot coaching candidate alumnus in Brohm.   If they don't act this year, he might get hired by a richer school.

07/16/2018 - 4:29pm Easy to say that before the…

Easy to say that before the games happen, but if he loses to Alabama, Georgia, Miami, Miss State, and Auburn, all games they are underdogs in fans won't be OK with that.  Just look at Michigan last year, most preseason projections were 9-3 or 8-4, and yet once fans saw the actual games and felt the disappointment at the loss, most weren't OK with it.  If there's a hot candidate out there, don't be surprised if LSU moves faster this time so they don't lost out like they did with Tom Herman.

07/16/2018 - 4:22pm From what I've read Lovie…

From what I've read Lovie has some slack because of how bad the program was when he took over and the recruiting is good(for Illinois).   I don't think it will be a lower P5 team that fires a coach first(unless there is some surprising event like Sarkesian.  They don't tend to be in a rush to find a replacement coach the way the top teams are.

I could see Kelly fired early.  They have 4 top 30 opponents through week 7 and if the hype about them as a top 10 team is wrong and they end up 3-4 or 4-3  it would not sit well with fans with FSU and USC games looming.

And while it would be drastic, Helton's seat at USC could really heat up if they struggle starting a new QB.  Many still aren't sold on him being a good hire and Darnold saved his ass after starting 1-3 in 2017.  And they could go 1-3 again with games at Stanford and Texas and WSU at home in their first 4 games.

Orgeron is another who could get fired early with games against Miami and Auburn in the first 3 weeks.  And he still has to play Alabama, Georgia, Florida, Miss State, and Texas A&M.  The last 3 have new coaches but they inherit solid rosters.

07/16/2018 - 3:46pm While a good general rule,…

While a good general rule, very fatty cuts like short ribs are actually better when they are closer to medium.  They don't dry out at all, instead you get more of that fat to melt and it makes it juicier.

07/16/2018 - 3:40pm I can kind of agree, because…

I can kind of agree, because filet is an inferior cut of meat and I am baffled why people like it.  It lacks the fat that makes steak taste great and has no texture it's just mushy.  A good NY strip, ribeye, or cross-cut short rib(think galbi or tira de asado) beats it everytime.

07/16/2018 - 1:50pm I don't follow soccer that…

I don't follow soccer that closely so I'm confused by this line regarding Sargent:

Sargent signed with Bremen, a mid-table Bundesliga side, afterwards and moved to Germany despite being ineligible to play with the main team—FIFA rules state you have to be 18 to leave your country of origin and Sargent just turned 18 in February.

I thought it was very common for players to leave their countries(especially Latin America and Africa) to join development programs in Europe.  Is this a relatively new rule or do they go knowing they won't play on the senior team until 18?

07/13/2018 - 12:44pm He's actually higher than…

He's actually higher than that I believe.  His rating is bumped up to a 90 and he's the #13 TE now, which would likely have him around 250-300.  They did the top 247 updates yesterday but rankings outside of that should be updated today I think.  Unfortunately for Seth, this post may be outdated within a few hours because of the movement outside of the top 247.

 

https://247sports.com/Season/2019-Football/RecruitRankings/?InstitutionGroup=HighSchool&Position=TE

07/13/2018 - 12:42am I was wondering recently,…

I was wondering recently, how long does it usually take for a subpar replacement to really show and impact a team?  Like the 2011 Michigan offense was still decent because it was basically the RR players and had guys like Lewan and Denard, it wasn't until 2012 that it started to show and 2013 when it went off a cliff.

Even if the replacement isn't Moorehead, it won't be an immediate regression.  However, they lost Shoop and promoted a LB coach who has kept them at the same level for the next 2 years.  

07/11/2018 - 9:30pm I hope you aren't going to…

I hope you aren't going to Venezuela.

07/11/2018 - 10:54am 247 let him go, likely due…

247 let him go, likely due to being over staffed after the merger.  Although I thought he provided better coverage than some of the guys they kept on, I'd guess he was also getting paid more considering he wasn't just out of college like some of their writers.

07/09/2018 - 11:43am Thanks, didn't realize it…

Thanks, didn't realize it was on kindle.

07/09/2018 - 11:11am I'm out of the country this…

I'm out of the country this summer so I didn't back this year, forgetting about the digital copy.  Is there any way to just buy the digital edition? I looked around but only see the paper copy and no mention of digital with those orders.

07/05/2018 - 8:18pm Even better is fried brussel…

Even better is fried brussel sprouts.  They get nice and crispy, don't really taste like brussel sprouts, and with some salt can be a nice substitute as a side dish for fries or chips.

06/29/2018 - 12:04am And how do you propose…

And how do you propose Michigan gets those guys?  It's not like Michigan doesn't want to have their first choice at every position but this isn't a video game.  They are going up against teams with a lot more recent success on the field, in the NFL, and with boosters.  Clemson has shown that a mix of development and stars can compete with OSU and Alabama.  And with some wins, recruiting starz will improve.  Until then, I don't understand the constant posts about recruiting being "Unacceptable" like there is some choice by the staff to suck at recruiting.

06/28/2018 - 9:44pm But the main focus of the…

But the main focus of the 2018 class was they didn't need anyone who was ready to come in and start as a freshman.  They have all the depth they need for 2018 in the previous 2 classes.  So they went after guys who they liked that could help in 2019-2020. 

06/28/2018 - 9:35pm The one part you're leaving…

The one part you're leaving out is the people forced to move out of their homes are leaving with a big check because of the huge increase in value.

06/28/2018 - 9:33pm The money isn't there to…

The money isn't there to build new affordable apartments, not where there is still demand for luxury and all development sites are priced based on the highest and best use.  And even if the land and air rights were free, you are still working in one of the more expensive cities to build in.  So you are looking at construction costs of at least $300 a foot, which then sells for $500 a foot.  That means the cheapest apartment you could provide would be $500,000 for a 1,000 sq ft apartment which I wouldn't call affordable. 

As Brian has mentioned before, they way to get more affordable housing is by just building more housing, even if it is luxury.  Then you have the people who live in slightly worse housing move up, and the people below them move up and it carries on down the chain as everyone's housing quality improves.

Plus, the people living in pre-war buildings have it better anyway.  Most new construction in Williamsburg and Vinegar Hill is crap quality and has constant water penetration issues along with thin walls and no sound proofing between floors.

06/28/2018 - 8:33pm It can be doing both.  It's…

It can be doing both.  It's also keeping out other people who would want to live there and could afford the higher taxes. 

This is going to come off as sounding harsher than I intend it to, but it's a delicate subject that isn't easy to discuss the nuance of in text.  Do people have a right to stay in their home if the town raises property taxes above what they can afford?  Is it the best for the community if an older couple lives in a 3 BR house, paying a lower effective tax rate and only using 1/2 of the house?  What if the city decides it wants to do a major infrastructure project downtown to finally fix the terrible traffic, 70% of people vote to support it and raise taxes to fund it, should the old people fight the taxes so they can stay in their house and deny the 70% the infrastructure they want?  And what about the young family that wants to benefit from the great schools in town and could easily afford the taxes, but can't find anyone to buy from because the houses are all being held onto.

I don't know what the best solution is, but the status quo doesn't seem to be that great.  Maybe allow taxes to rise and give exemptions based on income to those who really can't afford it?  Or allow more housing to be built to make up the lost tax revenue?

 

 

06/28/2018 - 8:13pm NYC has a similar issue. …

NYC has a similar issue.  Assessed value can't increase by more than 4% a year, so in neighborhoods that gentrified rapidly the taxes never kept up. Meanwhile in neighborhoods that gradually changed or just gained value as everything in NYC improved the taxes have been steadily increasing more in line with the market value.   On top of that it tends to have a class and racial disparity with minorities or more blue collar people living in the areas with higher relative property taxes.   A $4 million townhouse in Park Slope or, Williamsburg, or Fort Greene often has the same tax bill (about $10k) as a $1 million house out in Crown Heights or Sheepshead Bay.

You don't hear as much about it because NYC isn't facing the same housing shortage as AA or SF (more areas to gentrify, city actually allows lots of new construction) and most of the people who would write about it actually benefit from it.  

 

06/25/2018 - 10:39pm You seem to echo that…

You seem to echo that sentiment about Dobbs, where do you think he should be ranked?

06/24/2018 - 7:56pm Considering he has been…

Considering he has been after an OSU offer for a while and they just finally offered after missing on Mertz and passing on Gunnell, he wasn't a 1st choice.  And he's from Belleville just like Dobbs and Barnett so it's not unreasonable to question that angle.

06/24/2018 - 7:54pm Considering the lack of PRO…

Considering the lack of PRO QBs on OSU's roster, Wilson's college track record, Day having worked as an NFL QB coach, and the focus Meyer puts on recruiting, the 2018 and 2019 QB classes look like a failure for OSU.  I won't complain as a Michigan fan, but I'd be concerned about anything happening to Haskins or him leaving early with a good year.

06/24/2018 - 7:48pm Viramontes-Michigan wanted…

Viramontes-Michigan wanted at LB, he has kept trying to make QB work

Falcon-Injuries, Michigan realized and put him on track for a medical before his senior season

Enis-Legal issues

Scott-Qualifying

Harding-Not a Harbaugh recruit and stayed "committed" while he looked for another school

Richardson-Played as a true sophomore and started several games but couldn't stay healthy

Every player who is healthy and playing on a college team is exceeding their rankings.  

06/24/2018 - 7:20pm The ironic thing is people…

The ironic thing is people like Maizen/Bluey actually can make recruiting worse with their constant negativity.  Recruits and their family's know about the internet, they can read sites like mgoblog and see people shitting on 17 year olds because they don't have enough starz next to their name.

06/24/2018 - 6:14pm Weaver is most definitely…

Weaver is most definitely out performing his ranking, he was the first non-QB taken in the Pitt spring game and the team/fans think he will be great.  The rest there are legit reasons they haven't worked out and Space Coyote gave a good breakdown.  Plus, even your prized 5 starz aren't 100% hit rates.   Just going by 2016 top 10, Eason lost his job and transferred, Paterson was a mixed bag and according to Ole Miss fans was losing his starting job, and Ben Davis has played in 1 game at Alabama.  For the top 10 players in the class, that's 30% who hasn't done much at all.

06/24/2018 - 4:15pm Someone's mad on the…

Someone's mad on the internet.

06/24/2018 - 2:35pm Why are you so mad on the…

Why are you so mad on the internet?

06/22/2018 - 1:24pm He is limited to playing a…

He is limited to playing a hybrid LB/S position which many defenses don't have, or don't use in the same way as Brown does.  Hudson had a bit more flexibility and even then, PSU didn't want him when he committed to Michigan. 

06/18/2018 - 10:07pm And the coaches don't have…

And the coaches don't have guys on staff who do the same thing?  You're either arguing in bad faith or a moron.  Michigan has a staff of guys who do nothing but watch film, scout prospects, and relay the information to the coaches.  These are people who have usually played or coached at a relatively high level and want to move up in the football coaching world.  Besides watching 18 year olds play football and go to camps, what experience do the recruiting site analysts have?  Maybe they played in college?  I don't know that any of them have actually coached.  Do they do the homework on finding out from the recruit's family and coaches what type of person they are?  How hard a worker they are?  How likely they are to get in trouble? 

And on top of that, these 7 on 7s and other camps aren't exactly the best judge of football talent.  How much can you tell about a QB wearing shorts who doesn't have to worry about contact, a tackle who is just going 1 on 1 with a DE, a WR running a quadruple move on a safety?

06/18/2018 - 8:00pm It still is, the very last…

It still is, the very last line of the article.

 

Not all recruits can handle Michigan State’s hard-working atmosphere, but if he wants a program that’s always in the spotlight, Ann Arbor may just be the perfect fit.

06/14/2018 - 5:38pm In his first couple of years…

In his first couple of years, Harbaugh put a lot of emphasis on improving the walk on program and they got a bunch of guys who were FCS or D3 caliber to instead walk-on.  Also, these guys usually go unnoticed but are an important part of the team and a mention by the head coach is a great reward for their hard work.

06/14/2018 - 4:42pm People are going way…

People are going way overboard on the RB roster problems.  In the 2017 class, Michigan was pretty sure they were getting Najee Harris, who was a day 1 player along with Samuels who needed a couple years to be college ready.  Once they were blindsided by his Alabama commitment they didn't have much time to fill the spot.  In the very next class, they addressed the lack of depth by going after 3 guys they really like in Turner, Haskins and Barrett.

None of those guys have practiced yet so they can't be on the depth chart.  Come September, there will be 7 RBs on the roster, only 1 of whom will be out of eligibility after this year. 

06/06/2018 - 10:28am Michigan was in his top 3 a…

Michigan was in his top 3 a month ago and now out of it?  Maybe there's more to it than just not having Michigan in his top 13?  And it really doesn't matter, because right now he clearly has a top 1, so Michigan being 2, 13, or 50th doesn't matter.

Win some games, beat some rivals and things like this will change quickly.

06/01/2018 - 3:33pm It's likely no more than he

It's likely no more than he developed early and then didn't keep developing as his classmates caught up.  Michigan was after him at one point but they dropped off as they saw more of his classmates and started to pursue guys like Daxton Hill and Lewis Cine.  Plus they took a bunch of CB/S types last class so they can be picky.   His offers from Michigan and ND are likely not committable.

For anyone interested, the 247sports targets page for Michigan is kept pretty up to date by Steve L and those listed as top targets are guys who the staff really wants and thinks they have a good shot with(in the top 3-5).  Those under high choice are guys Michigan would like but aren't likely to get.  Below that are guys Michigan isn't really recruiting or are watching but haven't offered yet.  I don't think it's paywalled and it gives a nice snapshot for those who don't follow recruiting closely.

 https://247sports.com/college/michigan/Season/2019-Football/Targets

06/01/2018 - 9:44am The PSU pick is not Webb.

The PSU pick is not Webb. It's some PSU fan who went on a run of picking 30 recruits to commit to PSU.

05/31/2018 - 2:35pm True, though hopefully the

True, though hopefully the fixes at tackle are already on the roster in Hudson,  Stueber, Honingford, Hayes, and Mayfield.  If Michigan is counting on fixes to the lack of tackles coming from 2019 class we're in for a couple of dissapointing seasons.  With no guards in 2018, they need a few younger guards and they should ride the bench until the 16 and 17 classes have moved on.

05/30/2018 - 1:02pm I love the idea that Al

I love the idea that Al Washington is a pass rush guru and what that means for improvements in Bush and Hudson's game. 

Additionally, thinking about improvements for next year I looked up what Michigan's havoc rate was and even with a young defense that was only 10th, they were #1 in Havoc at 23.7%.  That's a tfl, pass defensed, or forced fumble on 23.7% of plays faced.  Since 2014 (as far back as I can find havoc rate listed) the only team to exceed 23.7% was 2016 Michigan at 23.9% and the only teams above 23% were 2017 Wisconsin(23.6%) and 2014 Clemson(23.2%). 

They will certainly miss Hurst's disruption on the interior, but I could really see this defense setting a new record and maybe even pushing 25%, which would only be 1 more havoc play per game.

05/28/2018 - 1:21pm Because predicting what

Because predicting what teenagers will do is a 100% scientific process?  The nice thing about the crystal balls is they are easier to keep updated than the hot/warm/cool tags that the recruiting sites maintain themselves.  But they aren't a forecasting of the future, things change. You're asking people to forecast 17 year olds making a decision where they have parents, HS coaches, and multimillionaire college coaches(masters of motivation and manipulation) all trying to sway their decisions.

05/28/2018 - 1:17pm Herron is at best 50% to stay

Herron is at best 50% to stay in the class, Hinton is going to outgrow DE, one of Upshaw or Hutchinson likely moves inside, and Welshof is very raw.  The attention paid to hiim by Mattison and Brown indicates he's more than a backup plan, and they want him.  And as Magnus has pointed out here, he has tremendous upside, if they take a lot of DEs, they have room for some guys who are more developmental.

05/28/2018 - 11:39am The staff definitely likes

The staff definitely likes Fletcher, who was all MSU at one point before Mattison and co had him leaning towards Michigan. Now he's trending back towards MSU but he has his official visit in June right before his announcement and that will be a huge recruiting weekend for Michigan that could swing him back. Even though recruiting services have him lower, the staff seems to want him.

05/28/2018 - 1:00am Peppers was hurt by the way

Peppers was hurt by the way he was used to cover up for the lack of athleticism at a lot of positions on the 2016 team.  It was essentially his 2nd season after missing most of 2014, and he was playing a new position in a new defense.  On top of that he had KR, PR, and saw plays on offense.  So while his athleticism allowed him to do a lot, he was lacking in the technique department and it showed in his coverage.  I don't know that you can fully compare the two because Peppers erased the screen game in a way I've never seen before and that doesn't show up on film.

05/27/2018 - 11:26pm Too many question marks to

Too many question marks to give 2018 the nod before the season, but they have the potential to exceed 2016 at a bunch of postions depending on how guys perform.  The theme across the board is the players are more athletic but younger.  2016 was a lot of 4th and 5th year players, 2018 will be mostly 2nd and 3rd year guys.  But QB, WR, TE, DE, S, and CB are all position groups that could be better while RB and LB are already better.  Unlikely that DT will be better because Solomon and Dwumfour are new starters.  And OL is arguably already better at run blocking but is unlikely to pass block as well unless Wariner exceeds the hype.

05/26/2018 - 11:42pm Though I'm not a big

Though I'm not a big basketball fan, I can't stop being amazed at what LBJ does and how long he has been consistantly elite.   It's unbelievable the way he can just take over a game and carry a team.  I don't see how LBJ can't at least be on the same level as Jordan if not better.

One criticism I don't understand is the idea that MJ made his teammates better while LBJ makes his worse considering the assist numbers don't seem to back that up.