Leaders And Best

December 12th, 2016 at 1:44 PM ^

February 2012 saw the commitments of Jourdan Lewis, Taco Charlton, Khalid Hill, & Jake Butt. Two All-Americans & 3 All-Big Ten players. Gareon Conley, Mike McCray, and DeVeon Smith committed in early March 2012. Ben Gedeon in April 2012.

And I wouldn't close the book on those guys yet, especially Kugler who played a little this year.

Joined: 09/09/2009

MGoPoints: 22374

Leaders And Best

December 12th, 2016 at 2:18 PM ^

2013 defense recruits: Jourdan Lewis, Taco Charlton, Ben Gedeon, Channing Stribling, Delano Hill, Dymonte Thomas, Maurice Hurst, & Mike McCray. And that is leaving out Gareon Conley who was committed for most of the year until Urban Meyer showed up.

The 2013 offense was pretty rough outside of Jake Butt unfortunately. Also included De'Veon Smith & Khalid Hill. Such a huge contrast between the success on defense vs the non-contributors/transfers on offense.

2013 offense: Shane Morris, Derrick Green, Patrick Kugler, Kyle Bosch, Logan Tuley-Tillman, David Dawson, Chris Fox, Henry Poggi, Wyatt Shallman, Jaron Dukes, Csont'e York, Da'Mario Jones, Dan Samuelson

Joined: 09/09/2009

MGoPoints: 22374

Navy Wolverine

December 12th, 2016 at 1:55 PM ^

Looking at 24/7 Crystal Ball picks:

 

DPJ - 93%

Black - 95%

Wilson - 76%

Ruiz - 100%

 

Multiply them all together and you get 67.1%

 

If you look at the 24/7 prediction graph, you get this:

 

DPJ - 80%

Black - 90%

Wilson - 70%

Ruiz - 95%

 

Multiply them all together and you get 47.9%

 

So somewhere between 48% and 67% - sounds about right! 

Joined: 09/26/2016

MGoPoints: 19370

elm

December 12th, 2016 at 2:50 PM ^

That math is only accurate if you assume each committment is an independent event.  If there are positive (or negative) relationships between the committments, then the chances could be higher (or lower.)  Since these are mostly different positions, I don't think there would be any negative relationshios.  But if getting one recruit excites a later recruit or if the spacing of the announcement dates were planned, then there would be positive relationships. 

Joined: 05/11/2011

MGoPoints: 1902

Indonacious

December 12th, 2016 at 1:31 PM ^

Visit reaction from Najee Harris' mom: https://mobile.twitter.com/Thicks2072/status/808376131199959040?ref_src…

"It's was awesome! Thank you Jim and Sarah harbough you have a beautiful family and to all the wonderful Michigan staff you rock!! Stay warm"

Great picture (can't embed via mobile) of everyone at the airport with the coaching staff.



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Joined: 01/03/2012

MGoPoints: 16597

GRBluefan

December 12th, 2016 at 1:33 PM ^

at this point I tend to think it is not a coincidence.  This is Harbaugh and the recruits looking to dominate a whole week of the news cycle (I hope). 

Joined: 02/13/2009

MGoPoints: 18360

BassDude138

December 12th, 2016 at 1:36 PM ^

This week will be huge (assuming all of these fall in favor of the good guys) not only for the current class ranking, but the momentum that this creates at a perfect time for the stretch run up to signing day. Still holding out hope that there is another name or two that we aren't even talking about yet, that ends up in the class at the last minute like last year.

Joined: 03/01/2016

MGoPoints: 3977

Bambi

December 12th, 2016 at 1:41 PM ^

The only other school I imagine could be a threat here is UGA since he just had an official there this weekend, but I feel like our chances here are very good. It'll be interesting to see what the insiders have to say about this one.

Joined: 10/12/2013

MGoPoints: 23158