CFP Rankings Speculation
Welp. I'm as pissed as anyone but fortunately Michigan still controls its own destiny.
Today was the classic late season, everyone loses Saturday and we thought it would be dull. So with #2 Clemson, #3 Michigan, #4 Washington, "#8" Texas A&M & #9 Auburn all losing what happens Tuesday? Believe it or not, our loss was probably the most respectable of them all with Clemson losing at home to a similar team and Washington lost by double-digits at home to a ranked team.
I have no idea how you sort this out. Do we even drop? I'm guessing
- Alabama
- Ohio State
- Michigan??
- Louisville??
- Clemson
- Washington
It's going to be hard for the committee to justify throwing Louisville past Clemson and all the way up to 3 and no one else can really justify overtaking us but OSU. Is there a shot we stay put with a last second loss on the road at night?
November 13th, 2016 at 6:28 AM ^
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November 13th, 2016 at 12:59 AM ^
If it is true that this doesn't have any bearing on our playoff chances if we just win out, AND...
If it is true that teams gain more from losses than from wins, and learn more about themselves from losses than from wins, I will gladly take this loss ----- ONLY IF ----- *this is what it takes to improve and play to our potential to beat OSU in Columbus
That's a good number of "if's", but I'm really tryin hard to see the bright side here while bein in a lot of pain
November 13th, 2016 at 1:20 AM ^
November 13th, 2016 at 1:27 AM ^
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November 13th, 2016 at 1:31 AM ^
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November 13th, 2016 at 4:11 AM ^
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November 13th, 2016 at 7:50 AM ^
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November 13th, 2016 at 1:32 AM ^
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November 13th, 2016 at 1:56 AM ^
November 13th, 2016 at 1:45 AM ^
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November 13th, 2016 at 2:07 AM ^
November 13th, 2016 at 4:10 AM ^
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November 13th, 2016 at 2:20 AM ^
November 13th, 2016 at 7:45 AM ^
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November 13th, 2016 at 2:33 AM ^
The rankings this week will be real interesting. Supposedly the committee values being a conference champion but if you end up with a 2 loss Pac-10 champ (Wash St, Utah or Colorado). a 2 loss Big Ten champ (PSU, Nebraska or Wisky), a 2 loss Big 12 champ (Oklahoma or Okie St) and one loss teams in Louisville and OSU who don't even win their divisions, who the heck makes the playoffs?
November 13th, 2016 at 3:32 AM ^
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November 13th, 2016 at 8:19 AM ^
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November 13th, 2016 at 4:40 AM ^
Probably # 6, since Washington lost to a good USC team. We lost to a team that got blown out by PSU last week, one that only beat Rutgers by 7 points and one that Purdue scored 36 points on. Earlier this year I thought our defense was elite but it has fallen off since the MSU game. Our offense was improving but our OL is an average unit at best, not elite. It will be tough to beat OSU but you never know. We could be hyped up for the game and we may play well enough to beat OSU.
November 13th, 2016 at 4:51 AM ^
November 13th, 2016 at 6:35 AM ^
November 13th, 2016 at 7:02 AM ^
November 13th, 2016 at 7:40 AM ^
1. Bama
2. OSU
3. Louisville
4. Clemson (because the CFP committee can see no wrong in their nail biter wins or losses)
5. Wisconsin
6. Michigan
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November 13th, 2016 at 7:49 AM ^
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November 13th, 2016 at 9:01 AM ^
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November 13th, 2016 at 11:11 AM ^
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November 13th, 2016 at 7:46 AM ^
November 13th, 2016 at 7:54 AM ^
1. Bama
2. OSU
3. Clemson
4. Louisville
5. Michigan
Don't know how you can put Louisville ahead of M or Clemson based on resume especially if it's about who you beat like they say. I also think there's a solid chance Michigan ends up ahead of Louisville but I wanted to end conservative.
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November 13th, 2016 at 8:07 AM ^
2) OSU
3.) Louisville
4.) Michigan
5.) Clemson
6.) Wisconsin
7.) Washington
8.) Oklahoma
9.) Penn state
10.) Colorado
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November 13th, 2016 at 8:31 AM ^
2) OSU
3) Louisville
4) Clemson
5) Michigan
6) Wisconsin
7) penn st
8) Washington
9) Colorado
10) Oklahoma
Remember that SOR is what the committee uses, not SOS. Though similar, not the same. if you are using the SOR metric, how can you say a team with 1 loss that has beaten 3 top ten teams isn't #2? Because of who we lost to. I can see us as high as #4 above Clemson because of that, but I doubt it. I don't know why the committee loves them so much, but they do. Louisvilles loss is to a top 5 team, so they jump us. Obviously OSU for the same reason. But hey, the committee also put a 1loss A&M over undefeated Washington. Don't be shocked if we drop down to 7 or 8. It could happen. Hell, Washington might drop to 10. This committee has proven they're insane
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November 13th, 2016 at 8:39 AM ^
November 13th, 2016 at 9:03 AM ^
2) Louisville
3) OSU
4) Clemson (the committee loooooooves them some Deshaun Watson)
5) Michigan
6) Washington
7) Wisconsin
8) Oklahoma
9) PSU
10) WVU
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November 13th, 2016 at 9:19 AM ^
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November 13th, 2016 at 10:22 AM ^
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November 13th, 2016 at 10:44 AM ^
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November 13th, 2016 at 9:04 AM ^
I don't think Michigan is ready for that kind of stage. I don't think we'd beat Alabama or Clemson and both might get ugly. Washington is so much faster than us and Louisville and Ohio State are probably much better than us as well.
November 13th, 2016 at 9:15 AM ^
2.OSU
3.Clemson
4. Louisville
5.Washington
6. Michigan
Out of all those teams we probably have the worst loss. Yes Clemson loss to a 6-4 team, but Pitt has 2 top 10 wins on their resume. Iowa hasn't done anything all year and I think we will be penalized for it.
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November 13th, 2016 at 3:17 PM ^
November 13th, 2016 at 9:49 AM ^
Yes, win out and we're in is true and it's great to control our own destiny....
However, had we gone in to Columbus undefeated and stayed within 10 points of them in a loss, we would have absolutely been in the final Playoff top 4. No way they could keep a 1 loss Michigan out of the final 4, especially given how the rest of the scenarios played out this weekend.
I'd even argue (although we would much rather earn a trip to the playoff), the easiest way in would have been going in to Coumbus and losing that game, sitting out the B1G championship game, and probably getting in at #3, where we wouldn't have to play Bama in the first game.
Now we have to win out to earn back the #2 or #3 ranking.
November 13th, 2016 at 12:55 PM ^
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November 13th, 2016 at 3:27 PM ^
November 13th, 2016 at 5:29 PM ^
West Virginia has only lost once and would have the tiebreaker over Oklahoma if they win out and OU beats OSU.
November 14th, 2016 at 4:54 PM ^
November 13th, 2016 at 10:20 AM ^
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November 13th, 2016 at 10:36 AM ^
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November 13th, 2016 at 11:27 AM ^
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November 13th, 2016 at 11:39 AM ^
We will be 4th.
1) Bama
2) OSU
3) Louisville
4) UM
5) Clemson
Clemson has the worst loss - at home.
But 4 vs. 5 is really splitting hairs at this point.
November 13th, 2016 at 11:51 AM ^
Speaking realistically I dont see us beating OSU in Columbus..That means Penn St goes to the BIG Title game and M and OSU dont..Who saw that cominmg? Osu would be top 4 and into play off with ? Wisc or Penn st whoever wins the BIG? 2 loss team? unlikely so whoever wins that game goes to Rose bowl knocking Michigan 0ut of that too..Short of beating OSU (unlikely) this game cost us ALOT
I felt this coming all week long and my worst fears came true...We probably would get a Big 6 bowl game though say Orange Bowl or other so there is that
November 13th, 2016 at 12:13 PM ^
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November 13th, 2016 at 6:34 PM ^