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Over/Under: UMASS vs Michigan

By jamiemac — September 17th, 2010 at 1:52 PM — 58 comments
Filed under:
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  • over/under

[Ed: Bumped for the line change info on Michigan's major step forward in Vegas. Since Vegas lines are year-in, year-out the most accurate prediction mechanisms available, this is heartening. Perhaps too heartening. BTW: Jamie and his merry band of degenerate gamblers cover all manner of things at Just Cover.]

 

Before getting into the meat of what will be a quick hitting MGoDiary, let's clean some things up from last week.

I might make a decent oddsmaker after all. Those four prop bets I came up with for the ND/Michigan game sure did confound people. Only one person did better than 2-2 and that was MGoTim, who checked in a 3-1. I guess it pays to be an insider. Not sure what his prize should be. Maybe a day off from cat chasing duties? Or a day where his posts get to breathe for two hours without a post on top of it? He certainly doesnt need the MGoPoints. In that same diary, I listed all the actual props that sports books had up for the Notre Dame game. A few brave souls put their necks out on the line and picked each one. And, you know what? They did pretty well, considering the number of props out there. Special kudos goes to Clarence Beeks who went 10-2-1 on his prop selections. Somebody get that man to Vegas, STAT. But, it's really no surprise. He's a Pittsburgh Steeler fan, so you know he is sharp as a tack. Nice work, Mr Beeks. Now, how are those Orange futures looking? Please advice.

Also, over at the JCB, the Pick-4 game for the week is up. Check it out. If you havent played yet, no worries. Jump on in. Once Ocotber rolls around there will be more points available to allow you to catch up, so dont worry if you're behind and just starting the contest this week. We'vre having a fun time with this and the more, the merrier.

On to the UMASS game. A lot of folks dont realize that the oddsmakers do release lines for FCS vs FBS teams. Some places will even have full betting boards for the FCS vs FCS games throughout the year. Just about everyone of them will have lines for all the levels of college football playoffs, too. That comes in handy every year when I wake up shaking that second Saturday of December with no bigtime college football to bet on anymore. Dont think for a second that that's the deepest we can go into depravity. I've noticed that 5dimes is also offering high school football lines for the bigger games across the country. No way, will I ever bet those. That's just being a degenerate. No way. Well, maybe if its the only game on TV. Or if there's some value in the line, maybe. But, you have to be a pretty dark soul to go this route. Completely unrelated, does anyone know who is starting for Hoover, Alabama at quarterback?

As of now, Michigan is favored tomorrow by 28.5 points. It's been a weird week tracking this line. At the start of the week, 5dimes listed it as just Michigan -21. That must have been a misprint, or they got hammered with so much Michigan money, because they took the line off the board for several hours and by Tuesday afternoon the line had ballooned up to 29.5 points. It crept to 30.5 by that evening. The line has been steadily coming down ever since. It was lodged at Michigan -27.5 for a couple of days before settling in at the 28.5 number this morning, with an Over/Under total of 51.5. THAT looks enticing. Two out of every three games in the Rodriguez Era have gone over the total, but none have this year. Should we play the percentages and expect an Over? With that out of the way, let me quickly rattle of the mock props for tomorrow.

Tate Forcier/Devin Gardner, total combined yards: O/U 250.5

Ray Vinopal, total combined tackles, INTs, PBUs: O/U 5.5

Fiztgerald Toussiant, total rushing yards: O/U 80.5

Will A Michigan Freshman Intercept A Pass: Yes/No

Jeremy Gallon, total yards, including returns: O/U 120.5

Try your hand at those.

I intended on waxing philosophical all the Denard Show, but what more can I really add at this point? For the second straight week, he produced a game and some plays I've never really seen from a Michigan QB before in the 30+ years I've been watching. Damn impressive so far. I say we sit back and enjoy the show. And work on our own dreads.

His emergence has also had a major impact on the odds for Michigan. The most notable being the fact that Denard is now one of the betting favorites to win the Heisman Trophy. Terrelle Pryor is technically the chalk at 3.5 to 1, but Denard is the second favorite bet at 4.5 to 1. Not bad for somebody who wasnt even on the board ten days ago. Kellen Moore is 8/1 and a series of players including Cam Newton, Mark Ingram and Ryan Mallett are at 10/1. Tate Forcier, by the way, remains on the board as a 30/1 shot to win the trophy. FACT: THAT MIGHT BE A SUCKER BET.

Michigan has also shifted from a 100/1 shot to win the BCS National Title all the way down to 30/1. That's a pretty big swing. We've also seen the pointspreads for Michigan's Big 10 showdowns start moving in the Wolverine's favor, some rather significantly. Here are where the Big 10 lines stand right now.

  • Michigan -5.5 vs MSU (Line was UM -3 over the summer)
  • Michigan pick 'em vs Iowa (Line was UM +3 over the summer)
  • Michigan +3 at Penn State (Line was +10 over the summer.......oh, to have a +10 ticket in our pockets right now)
  • Michigan -1 vs Wisconsin (Line was Michigan +3 over the summer)
  • Michigan +13.5 at OSU (Line was Michigan +15.5 over the summer)

Denard is having an impact. The public wants to bet Michigan again. The average line movement since the season started is 3.7 points in Michigan's favor. I fully expect the MSU line to be -7 come game day. The others will continue to move towards Michigan. If you want to play the Homer card and bet Michigan, get these lines now before more value gets sucked out of it. For the the first time in the Rodirguez Era in Ann Arbor, bookies are adjusting lines to stem the amount of money rolling in on the Wolverines. That's progress, babby! And, it's a great thing to see.

[Ed: I cannot believe Michigan is actually a favorite against Wisconsin. The betting public now has Michigan at 8-2-1 on the season, which will be a neat trick.]

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September 17th, 2010 at 1:35 PM | Devin/Tate - Under - will (Score:1)
Jammer
Joined: 09/03/2009
MGoPoints: 5

Devin/Tate - Under - will hand off a lot and may not play until 2nd half, I'm thinking

Vinopal - Under - thinking the ball/ballcarrier rarely reaches his level

Toussaint - Under - no reason, just haven't seen him play yet.

Frosh Int. - Yes - Go Cam Gordon, I have faith in you.

Gallon yds - Over - would like to see a few nice long punt returns

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September 17th, 2010 at 1:38 PM | Gonna let Denard roll (Score:1)
slipknot
slipknot's picture
Joined: 08/13/2009
MGoPoints: 74

Tate Forcier/Devin Gardner, total combined yards: O/U 250.5  Under

Ray Vinopal, total combined tackles, INTs, PBUs: O/U 5.5  Under

Fiztgerald Toussiant, total rushing yards: O/U 80.5  Under

Will A Michigan Freshman Intercept A Pass: Yes/No  Yes

Jeremy Gallon, total yards, including returns: O/U 120.5 Over

O/U total score 51.5:  I'll take over...final score: 45-13

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September 17th, 2010 at 1:45 PM | UNDER and NO, I hope I am wrong (Score:1)
MgoBLUEfromDC
MgoBLUEfromDC's picture
Joined: 07/28/2010
MGoPoints: 170

I have UNDER for all of them and a NO on the freshman interception (am I lame for picking negative on everything?  I see lots of runs for our RBs but no huge game for any one (but decent all around).

"he finds a little seam... 20, 25... there he goes"

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September 17th, 2010 at 1:56 PM | Pessimist? (Score:1)
profitgoblue
profitgoblue's picture
Joined: 09/01/2009
MGoPoints: 17878

I'm with you.  I have under for each of them and a no for Vinopal.  And now I feel bad for being so pessimistic . . .

MGoBlog - your one-stop source for all that is newsworthy.

 

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September 17th, 2010 at 1:58 PM | We're -1 against Wisconsin? (Score:1)
Blue in South Bend
Blue in South Bend's picture
Joined: 08/15/2009
MGoPoints: 26148

Yeesh.  I wouldn't place that bet with an ex-girlfriend's money... but that line sure is nice to see.

The Twitter

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September 17th, 2010 at 2:03 PM | I'll bite (Score:1)
InRodWeTrust333
InRodWeTrust333's picture
Joined: 11/19/2008
MGoPoints: 2330

Tate Forcier/Devin Gardner, total combined yards: O/U 250.5 Over

Ray Vinopal, total combined tackles, INTs, PBUs: O/U 5.5 Under

Fiztgerald Toussiant, total rushing yards: O/U 80.5 Over

Will A Michigan Freshman Intercept A Pass: Yes/No No

Jeremy Gallon, total yards, including returns: O/U 120.5 Under

"When your team is losing, stick by them, keep believing." -Bo Schembechler

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September 17th, 2010 at 2:05 PM | Prop Bets (Score:1)
MGoBlue00
Joined: 06/30/2008
MGoPoints: 47

Gardner/Robinson - OVER

Vinopal - UNDER

Toussaint - UNDER

Frosh INT - YES

Gallon - Under

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September 17th, 2010 at 2:06 PM | First try at this (Score:1)
CapedBlueSader
CapedBlueSader's picture
Joined: 06/24/2010
MGoPoints: 230

Tate Forcier/Devin Gardner, total combined yards: O/U 250.5 Under

Ray Vinopal, total combined tackles, INTs, PBUs: O/U 5.5 Under

Fiztgerald Toussiant, total rushing yards: O/U 80.5 Under

Will A Michigan Freshman Intercept A Pass: Yes/No Yes

Jeremy Gallon, total yards, including returns: O/U 120.5 Over

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September 17th, 2010 at 2:07 PM | Why Not? (Score:1)
Enjoy Life
Enjoy Life's picture
Joined: 07/02/2008
MGoPoints: 2204

Tate Forcier/Devin Gardner, total combined yards: O/U 250.5 Over

Ray Vinopal, total combined tackles, INTs, PBUs: O/U 5.5 Over

Fiztgerald Toussiant, total rushing yards: O/U 80.5 Under

Will A Michigan Freshman Intercept A Pass: Yes/No Yes

Jeremy Gallon, total yards, including returns: O/U 120.5 Over

Roger, over and out!

Life should not be a journey to the grave to arrive safely in a pretty and well preserved body, but rather to skid in broadside in a cloud of smoke, thoroughly used up, totally worn out, and loudly proclaiming "Wow! What A Ride!" HST

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September 17th, 2010 at 2:10 PM | Tim - # of cats chase: O/U (Score:1)
chitownblue2
chitownblue2's picture
Joined: 06/03/2009
MGoPoints: 6433

Tim - # of cats chase: O/U 2.5.

wolverineliberationarmy.com/blog

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September 17th, 2010 at 2:38 PM | Is this # of times he has to (Score:1)
chiwolverine
chiwolverine's picture
Joined: 02/12/2009
MGoPoints: 82

Is this # of times he has to chase a cat, or # of cats he has to chase?

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September 17th, 2010 at 2:50 PM | hhhmmm. how many cats do (Score:1)
chitownblue2
chitownblue2's picture
Joined: 06/03/2009
MGoPoints: 6433

hhhmmm.

how many cats do you think Brian has?

wolverineliberationarmy.com/blog

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September 17th, 2010 at 3:13 PM | Maybe word of his cat chasing (Score:1)
chiwolverine
chiwolverine's picture
Joined: 02/12/2009
MGoPoints: 82

Maybe word of his cat chasing ability has spread, and now the neighborhood is employing him when their cats break loose. 

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September 17th, 2010 at 2:39 PM | The under hits in 60% of (Score:1)
Tim
Joined: 07/08/2008
MGoPoints: 12640

The under hits in 60% of contests.

Yeastbound and Down

Great Lax State

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September 17th, 2010 at 2:11 PM | odds on favorite (Score:1)
IPKarma
IPKarma's picture
Joined: 09/15/2009
MGoPoints: 1021

Tate Forcier/Devin Gardner, total combined yards: O/U 250.5

under

Ray Vinopal, total combined tackles, INTs, PBUs: O/U 5.5

under

Fiztgerald Toussiant, total rushing yards: O/U 80.5

under

Will A Michigan Freshman Intercept A Pass: Yes/No

no

Jeremy Gallon, total yards, including returns: O/U 120.5

under

“What the mind can conceive, the mind can achieve and those who stay will be champions.”
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September 17th, 2010 at 2:14 PM | Bets (Score:1)
MGoAndy
MGoAndy's picture
Joined: 07/22/2008
MGoPoints: 1546

 

Tate Forcier/Devin Gardner, total combined yards: O/U 250.5 OVER

Ray Vinopal, total combined tackles, INTs, PBUs: O/U 5.5  UNDER

Fiztgerald Toussiant, total rushing yards: O/U 80.5  UNDER

Will A Michigan Freshman Intercept A Pass: Yes/No  YES

Jeremy Gallon, total yards, including returns: O/U 120.5  UNDER

 

As an added bit of fun, I think it will be Talbott with the frosh INT.  BOLD.

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September 17th, 2010 at 2:12 PM | Devin/Tate = Under Vinopal (Score:1)
MWW6T7
MWW6T7's picture
Joined: 09/15/2009
MGoPoints: 1664

Devin/Tate = Under

Vinopal = Over

Toussaint = Under

Freshman Interception = Yes

Gallon = Over

51.5 pts = Over

"Tequila on the reg, chicks on the reg, fashions on the reg.  Living the life most men can only dream of" - Kenny Powers

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September 17th, 2010 at 2:13 PM | I, for one, could not take (Score:1)
60blue
60blue's picture
Joined: 06/30/2008
MGoPoints: 299

I, for one, could not take those 13.5 points against OSU fast enough.

Sarcasm is my drinking buddy

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September 17th, 2010 at 2:14 PM | Tate Forcier/Devin Gardner, (Score:1)
mendrygal
mendrygal's picture
Joined: 09/14/2009
MGoPoints: 56

Tate Forcier/Devin Gardner, total combined yards: O/U 250.5 Under

Ray Vinopal, total combined tackles, INTs, PBUs: O/U 5.5 Under

Fiztgerald Toussiant, total rushing yards: O/U 80.5 Under

Will A Michigan Freshman Intercept A Pass: Yes/No No

Jeremy Gallon, total yards, including returns: O/U 120.5 Under

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September 17th, 2010 at 2:17 PM | Book it (Score:1)
Tshimanga Cowabunga
Tshimanga Cowabunga's picture
Joined: 08/09/2009
MGoPoints: 737

Under

Under

Under

No

Under

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September 17th, 2010 at 2:17 PM | I'm going with Under, Under, (Score:1)
WolvinLA2
WolvinLA2's picture
Joined: 11/13/2009
MGoPoints: 12796

I'm going with Under, Under, Under, Yes, Under.

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September 17th, 2010 at 2:18 PM | Tate Forcier/Devin Gardner, (Score:1)
Scotthany
Scotthany's picture
Joined: 10/07/2008
MGoPoints: 2232

Tate Forcier/Devin Gardner, total combined yards: O/U 250.5  I'll take the under, but more so from running back production and lesser playing time.  C'mon Jack Kennedy!

Ray Vinopal, total combined tackles, INTs, PBUs: O/U 5.5  Tough one here.  Again, I'll take the under.

Fiztgerald Toussiant, total rushing yards: O/U 80.5  I'll take the over.  Yes, optimism for once.

Will A Michigan Freshman Intercept A Pass: Yes/No  No.  No clear reasoning on this one.  Why not?

Jeremy Gallon, total yards, including returns: O/U 120.5  I'll again take the under.  And I just realized how pessimistic I've been through this whole thing.  Knowing me, figures.

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September 17th, 2010 at 2:21 PM | Tate Forcier/Devin Gardner, (Score:1)
Big T
Joined: 08/06/2009
MGoPoints: 8

Tate Forcier/Devin Gardner, total combined yards: under

Ray Vinopal, total combined tackles, INTs, PBUs: under

Fiztgerald Toussiant, total rushing yards: under

Will A Michigan Freshman Intercept A Pass: no

Jeremy Gallon, total yards, including returns: under

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September 17th, 2010 at 2:23 PM | Tate Forcier/Devin Gardner, (Score:1)
BillyShears
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Joined: 05/27/2009
MGoPoints: 2168

Tate Forcier/Devin Gardner, total combined yards: Under 250.5

Ray Vinopal, total combined tackles, INTs, PBUs: Under 5.5

Fiztgerald Toussiant, total rushing yards: Under 80.5

Will A Michigan Freshman Intercept A Pass: No

Jeremy Gallon, total yards, including returns: Under 120.5

Fucking magnets, how do they work?

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September 17th, 2010 at 2:25 PM | Tate Forcier/Devin Gardner, (Score:1)
TheOracle6
TheOracle6's picture
Joined: 09/02/2010
MGoPoints: 1636

Tate Forcier/Devin Gardner, total combined yards: O/U 250.5  - Over

Ray Vinopal, total combined tackles, INTs, PBUs: O/U 5.5   -   Over

Fiztgerald Toussiant, total rushing yards: O/U 80.5    - Under

Will A Michigan Freshman Intercept A Pass: Yes/No  - No

Jeremy Gallon, total yards, including returns: O/U 120.5    - Under

Champions of the west, GO BLUE!

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September 17th, 2010 at 2:25 PM | giving it a go (Score:1)
JonSobel
JonSobel's picture
Joined: 10/07/2009
MGoPoints: 766

Tate Forcier/Devin Gardner, total combined yards: Over 250.5

Ray Vinopal, total combined tackles, INTs, PBUs: Under 5.5

Fiztgerald Toussiant, total rushing yards: Over 80.5

Will A Michigan Freshman Intercept A Pass: No

Jeremy Gallon, total yards, including returns: Under 120.5

"I figure if I can get two degrees from Ohio State, it might be close to Elliott’s undergraduate degree"  -- Brock

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September 17th, 2010 at 2:31 PM | Over Under Over Yes Under (Score:1)
octal9
octal9's picture
Joined: 11/11/2008
MGoPoints: 5712

Over
Under
Over
Yes
Under

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September 17th, 2010 at 2:33 PM | Picks (Score:1)
bouje
bouje's picture
Joined: 09/30/2008
MGoPoints: 4708

Tate Forcier/Devin Gardner, total combined yards: O/U 250.5 Under



Ray Vinopal, total combined tackles, INTs, PBUs: O/U 5.5 Over



Fiztgerald Toussiant, total rushing yards: O/U 80.5 Over



Will A Michigan Freshman Intercept A Pass: Yes/No Yes



Jeremy Gallon, total yards, including returns: O/U 120.5 Over



O/U total score 51.5: Over

"A house divided against itself cannot stand"

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September 17th, 2010 at 2:35 PM | While you have to be a (Score:1)
Feat of Clay
Feat of Clay's picture
Joined: 08/10/2009
MGoPoints: 2423

While you have to be a complete idiot (or deluded optimist) to bet on U-M winning the national championship, and I don't consider myself either....  I confess I put $10 on that action when U-M's odds were loooong.  So c'mon, team. 

Sadly, I loved long odds so much I also bet on the Lions to win the NFC championship.

 

Candace: No... That why they make smart word box for tell monkey hard brain-hurty things.
Phineas: Removing prepositions makes it more condescending.
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September 17th, 2010 at 2:35 PM | Bets (Score:1)
jusgre
jusgre's picture
Joined: 08/19/2009
MGoPoints: 4

Tate Forcier/Devin Gardner, total combined yards: Under 250.5

Ray Vinopal, total combined tackles, INTs, PBUs: Under 5.5

Fiztgerald Toussiant, total rushing yards: Over 80.5

Will A Michigan Freshman Intercept A Pass: No

Jeremy Gallon, total yards, including returns: Under 120.5

--Justin--

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September 17th, 2010 at 2:37 PM | Pick with the brain (Score:1)
mbee1
mbee1's picture
Joined: 09/06/2009
MGoPoints: 23

never with the heart...

Tate Forcier/Devin Gardner, total combined yards: O/U 250.5 Under

Ray Vinopal, total combined tackles, INTs, PBUs: O/U 5.5 Under

Fiztgerald Toussiant, total rushing yards: O/U 80.5 Under

Will A Michigan Freshman Intercept A Pass: Yes/No No

Jeremy Gallon, total yards, including returns: O/U 120.5 Under

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September 17th, 2010 at 2:40 PM | Prop bets (Score:1)
dmonet
Joined: 09/17/2010
MGoPoints: 1

Tate Forcier/Devin Gardner, total combined yards: O/U 250.5 --- UNDER

Ray Vinopal, total combined tackles, INTs, PBUs: O/U 5.5 --- UNDER

Fiztgerald Toussiant, total rushing yards: O/U 80.5 --- OVER

Will A Michigan Freshman Intercept A Pass: Yes/No --- YES

Jeremy Gallon, total yards, including returns: O/U 120.5 --- UNDER

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September 17th, 2010 at 2:42 PM |   Devin/Tate - (Score:1)
Keeeeurt
Keeeeurt's picture
Joined: 09/04/2009
MGoPoints: 3633

 

Devin/Tate - Over

Vinopal - Under

Toussaint - Over

Frosh Int. - No

Gallon yds - Under

Fab 5 5Xs

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September 17th, 2010 at 2:45 PM | Picks (Score:1)
StevieY19
StevieY19's picture
Joined: 06/30/2008
MGoPoints: 127

Tate Forcier/Devin Gardner, total combined yards: Under

Ray Vinopal, total combined tackles, INTs, PBUs: Over

Fiztgerald Toussiant, total rushing yards: Under

Will A Michigan Freshman Intercept A Pass: Yes

Jeremy Gallon, total yards, including returns: Under

Vinopal!

MIIIIIIIIICH

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September 17th, 2010 at 2:45 PM | Too Optimistic?! (Score:1)
markjko.rn
markjko.rn's picture
Joined: 08/25/2009
MGoPoints: 87

 

Tate Forcier/Devin Gardner, total combined yards: O/U 250.5 -OVER

Ray Vinopal, total combined tackles, INTs, PBUs: O/U 5.5 -OVER

Fiztgerald Toussiant, total rushing yards: O/U 80.5 -OVER

Will A Michigan Freshman Intercept A Pass: Yes/No -No

Jeremy Gallon, total yards, including returns: O/U 120.5 -UNDER

It's GREAT to be a MICHIGAN WOLVERINE!

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September 17th, 2010 at 3:04 PM | Tate Forcier/Devin Gardner, (Score:1)
BlueintheLou
BlueintheLou's picture
Joined: 09/13/2008
MGoPoints: 3461

Tate Forcier/Devin Gardner, total combined yards: O/U 250.5

-Over

Ray Vinopal, total combined tackles, INTs, PBUs: O/U 5.5

-Under

Fiztgerald Toussiant, total rushing yards: O/U 80.5

-Under

Will A Michigan Freshman Intercept A Pass: Yes/No

-Yes

Jeremy Gallon, total yards, including returns: O/U 120.5

-Over

"Those who stay will be champions."
"As an online discussion grows longer, the probability of a comparison involving Nazis or Hitler approaches 1."
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September 17th, 2010 at 3:07 PM | Under, Under, Under, No, (Score:1)
jrt336
jrt336's picture
Joined: 01/16/2009
MGoPoints: 4470

Under, Under, Under, No, Under.

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September 17th, 2010 at 3:13 PM | Tate Forcier/Devin Gardner, (Score:1)
BraveWolverine730
BraveWolverine730's picture
Joined: 09/21/2009
MGoPoints: 2555

Tate Forcier/Devin Gardner, total combined yards:   O/U 250.5 

over

Ray Vinopal. total combined tackles, INTs, PBUs: O/U 5.5

over

Fitzgerald Toussiant, total rushing yards: O/U 80.5

under

Will a Michigan Freshman Intercept a pass: Y/N

No

Jeremy Gallon, total yards, including returns: O/U 120.5

Under

" I want to win Big 10 titles. Multiply. Consecutively. I just made that word up (multiply). I'm like that. I'm good at Scrabble."

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September 17th, 2010 at 3:14 PM | Ballot (Score:1)
bml
Joined: 10/08/2009
MGoPoints: 147

 

Tate Forcier/Devin Gardner, total combined yards: O/U 250.5. OVER

Ray Vinopal, total combined tackles, INTs, PBUs: O/U 5.5. UNDER

Fiztgerald Toussiant, total rushing yards: O/U 80.5. UNDER

Will A Michigan Freshman Intercept A Pass: Yes/No. NO

Jeremy Gallon, total yards, including returns: O/U 120.5. UNDER

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September 17th, 2010 at 3:15 PM | Tate Forcier/Devin Gardner, (Score:1)
sjastrz
sjastrz's picture
Joined: 11/09/2008
MGoPoints: 102

Tate Forcier/Devin Gardner, total combined yards: O/U 250.5 Under

Ray Vinopal, total combined tackles, INTs, PBUs: O/U 5.5 Under

Fiztgerald Toussiant, total rushing yards: O/U 80.5 Under

Will A Michigan Freshman Intercept A Pass: Yes/No No

Jeremy Gallon, total yards, including returns: O/U 120.5 Under

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September 17th, 2010 at 3:22 PM | let's not get too ahead of ourselves here..... (Score:1)
djean02
djean02's picture
Joined: 10/15/2008
MGoPoints: 142

yes, the oddsmakers are starting to "believe" in Michigan, but let's not get too confident yet.  The defense needs to make some big improvements oevr the next 3-4 weeks..  If we can get to 6-0 that would be a great sign.

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September 17th, 2010 at 8:56 PM | it's not really the oddsmakers, though, (Score:1)
zlionsfan
zlionsfan's picture
Joined: 10/31/2008
MGoPoints: 605

it's the money, right? And that really doesn't say much at all other than that some people are frantically calculating "at this pace" numbers for Shoelace and getting their money to Vegas as fast as they can.

It's certainly better than if the UMass line were dropping precipitously.

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September 17th, 2010 at 3:26 PM | Over/Under (Score:1)
Winged_Knight
Winged_Knight's picture
Joined: 08/09/2010
MGoPoints: 111

Tate Forcier/Devin Gardner, total combined yards: O/U 250.5 - Under

Ray Vinopal, total combined tackles, INTs, PBUs: O/U 5.5 - Under

Fiztgerald Toussiant, total rushing yards: O/U 80.5 - Over

Will A Michigan Freshman Intercept A Pass: Yes/No - No

Jeremy Gallon, total yards, including returns: O/U 120.5 - Under

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September 17th, 2010 at 3:36 PM | Hoover (Score:1)
Blumanji
Blumanji's picture
Joined: 08/11/2010
MGoPoints: 355

Thanks for the Hoover, Alabama comment (Even though it was related to degenerate gambling). I now live in Hoover after 27+ years in Michigan. Makes me feel closer to home despite being in Iron Bowl country. This SEC speed is killing me.

O-H-You-SUCK

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September 17th, 2010 at 3:40 PM | Picks (Score:1)
Kevin_blue
Joined: 09/01/2009
MGoPoints: 110

 

Tate Forcier/Devin Gardner, total combined yards: O/U 250.5--Under, but barely.

Ray Vinopal, total combined tackles, INTs, PBUs: O/U 5.5--Under, no more than three

Fiztgerald Toussiant, total rushing yards: O/U 80.5--Under, 50ish seems reasonable.

Will A Michigan Freshman Intercept A Pass: Yes/No--Yup.  Watch out for Talbott

Jeremy Gallon, total yards, including returns: O/U 120.5--Under, sorry JG.

 

I'll take Umass with the points and over on the 51.5

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September 17th, 2010 at 3:51 PM | Tate Forcier/Devin Gardner, (Score:1)
SD Go Blue
SD Go Blue's picture
Joined: 01/06/2009
MGoPoints: 397

Tate Forcier/Devin Gardner, total combined yards: O/U 250.5

Over

Ray Vinopal, total combined tackles, INTs, PBUs: O/U 5.5

Under

Fiztgerald Toussiant, total rushing yards: O/U 80.5

Under

Will A Michigan Freshman Intercept A Pass: Yes/No

Yes

Jeremy Gallon, total yards, including returns: O/U 120.5

Over

Go Blue!

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September 17th, 2010 at 4:08 PM | My thoughts (Score:1)
aroberts36
Joined: 04/30/2010
MGoPoints: 160

 

Tate Forcier/Devin Gardner, total combined yards: O/U 250.5  Over

Ray Vinopal, total combined tackles, INTs, PBUs: O/U 5.5  Under - They will give Cam the practice

Fiztgerald Toussiant, total rushing yards: O/U 80.5  Over

Will A Michigan Freshman Intercept A Pass: Yes/No  No

Jeremy Gallon, total yards, including returns: O/U 120.5 Over

O/U total score 51.5:  Over and take Michigan giving the points


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September 17th, 2010 at 4:55 PM | Over/Under picks (Score:1)
Raoul
Joined: 09/29/2009
MGoPoints: 2805
  • Forcier/Gardner: Under

  • Vinopal: Over

  • Toussaint: Over

  • Freshman Interception: Yes

  • Gallon: Under

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September 17th, 2010 at 6:14 PM | Mine mine mine (Score:1)
Drill
Joined: 06/30/2008
MGoPoints: 611

Tate Forcier/Devin Gardner, total combined yards: O/U 250.5

Over.

Ray Vinopal, total combined tackles, INTs, PBUs: O/U 5.5

Under.

Fiztgerald Toussiant, total rushing yards: O/U 80.5

Under.

Will A Michigan Freshman Intercept A Pass: Yes/No

Yes.

Jeremy Gallon, total yards, including returns: O/U 120.5

Under.

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September 17th, 2010 at 7:28 PM | Prop Bets (Score:1)
SanDiegoWolverine
SanDiegoWolverine's picture
Joined: 02/03/2009
MGoPoints: 1145

 

Gardner/Robinson - UNDER

Vinopal - UNDER

Toussaint - UNDER

Frosh INT - NO(if this includes redshirt Frosh YES)

Gallon - Under

 

1.  Michigan will run the ball more in the second half so I see closer to 200 yards. Also this game won't be quite the blowout that DSU was last year so Denard might even get a series or two in the second half.

2. Cam needs the work and might be one of the last guys to leave

3. Toussaint has so many nagging injuries I don't expect to see him more than 5-7 times carrying the ball.

4. Frosh won't gamble and will have to get lucky with a really bad throw.

5. Don't think Gallon will see the field enough. 

How about his prop bet: Jibrel over/under on sacks 1 1/2?

T

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