Michigan Draws South Carolina In Outback Bowl
you can touch a ray if you go to Tampa. woo.
Michigan returns to Tampa for a rematch against South Carolina, as predicted weeks ago by Brett McMurphy. As far as bowl matchups against SEC teams with the same record as you go, South Carolina is an ideal matchup if your preference is to get any sort of win and get to the next season—and this is my preference.
The Gamecocks rank 67th in S&P+ because that ranking system thinks they're a 6-6 team that's been fortunate. Tale of the tape:
MICHIGAN | thing | SOCAR |
---|---|---|
OFFENSE | ||
31st | SD RUN RATE | 94th |
8th | RUSH O | 67th |
10th | LINE YARDS | 54th |
76th | PASS O | 48th |
118th | SACKS ALLOWED | 71st |
24th | PASSING DOWNS | 102nd |
72nd | OVERALL | 88th |
DEFENSE | ||
43rd | SD RUN RATE | 105th |
8th | RUSH D | 25th |
2nd | LINE YARDS | 41st |
2nd | PASS D | 56th |
2nd | SACKS | 72nd |
3rd | PASSING DOWNS | 31st |
10th | OVERALL | 46th |
The Gamecocks' offense is a passing-oriented dunk and dunk outfit; their defense is okay but only that. They've played two games against defenses in Michigan's vicinity; they scored ten points against both Georgia and Clemson, failing to crack 300 yards in either game.
S&P+ favors Michigan by about nine. So naturally Vegas favors a team that lost to Kentucky by ten? By more than a touchdown?
South Carolina opened as an 8 1/2-point favorite over Michigan in the Outback Bowl https://t.co/TkM1xdNyDr
— Nick Baumgardner (@nickbaumgardner) December 3, 2017
That might be a data entry error. It is exceptionally rare for systems like S&P+ to differ by that much from the Vegas line. It's either that or Vegas pricing in O'Korn, but if Brandon Peters's health is that much of a swing and unknown why would they even have it on the board? I don't know. A dollar says typo.
Anyway. Good matchup Michigan should win.
UPDATE: score one for typo.
@chengelis no Vegas line or consensus offshore line yet, but 5Dimes has MI -9 over South Carolina. I was thinking it should be around -7, so waiting to see what CG or Westgate opens at.
— Johnny Detroit (@Johnny_Detroit) December 3, 2017
December 3rd, 2017 at 6:22 PM ^
This here blog has put it in writing every single week.
December 4th, 2017 at 8:35 AM ^
Oh yeah. He should have come to Michigan in the first place.
December 3rd, 2017 at 6:03 PM ^
December 3rd, 2017 at 6:16 PM ^
safe bet on 3/5. they werent great in pass pro (and not just OL, everyone played their part including backs) but okorn takes the blame for decent portion of sacks
December 4th, 2017 at 2:17 AM ^
respected our DL rush and usually did the 3 step pass. Our QBs dropped back and took way too much time to throw the ball. It may be just a disconnect between the QB, WR and TE or the QBs were confused most of the time by opposing D. In the OSU game, JOK look like he had plenty time to throw but had a difficult time checking off to his 2nd and 3rd options and took way too much time against a good OSU D. Oh well, next year our OL will be improved and we will have a QB quick to make decisions.
December 3rd, 2017 at 5:41 PM ^
December 3rd, 2017 at 5:42 PM ^
how can we be 8 against the run, 2 against the pass and yet be 10 overall?
December 3rd, 2017 at 5:44 PM ^
December 3rd, 2017 at 5:49 PM ^
I'm guessing it has something to do with the number of "explosive plays" Michigan gives up, which is part of S&P's defensive rating. We've been mediocre in that regard this year.
December 3rd, 2017 at 5:54 PM ^
I'll take 1 million on blue
December 3rd, 2017 at 5:54 PM ^
We are in mix but South Carolina is the strong leader so a dominant win might give him something to think about.
Long shot but still some nugget to make this game more interesting.
December 4th, 2017 at 12:37 AM ^
December 3rd, 2017 at 5:58 PM ^
For those wondering, yes a Rooster is a bird
December 3rd, 2017 at 7:40 PM ^
It's also a dinosaur.
December 3rd, 2017 at 6:08 PM ^
December 3rd, 2017 at 6:47 PM ^
December 3rd, 2017 at 6:47 PM ^
December 3rd, 2017 at 6:13 PM ^
December 3rd, 2017 at 6:16 PM ^
Well, this bowl game is uninspiring. I was hoping for a Holiday date with Stanford.
December 3rd, 2017 at 6:24 PM ^
December 3rd, 2017 at 6:26 PM ^
December 4th, 2017 at 9:57 AM ^
HATE HATE DISREPEKT HATE IT'S MSU'S FAULT HATE HATE HATE HATE F*CK MARK DANTONIO HATE HATE HATE HATE HATE.
December 3rd, 2017 at 7:04 PM ^
December 3rd, 2017 at 7:05 PM ^
December 3rd, 2017 at 7:06 PM ^
December 3rd, 2017 at 9:49 PM ^
No injuries....
December 4th, 2017 at 12:49 AM ^
December 3rd, 2017 at 7:09 PM ^
December 3rd, 2017 at 7:35 PM ^
With no major injuries and get ready for next year's championship run.
GO BLUE!!
December 3rd, 2017 at 7:38 PM ^
Will we finally be allowed to wear our blue jerseys? I can't remember the last time we got wear blue for a neutral site game.
December 3rd, 2017 at 8:19 PM ^
We should just wear it no matter what and take the penalty. South Carolina is red, so it will contrast just fine.
December 3rd, 2017 at 7:42 PM ^
December 3rd, 2017 at 7:40 PM ^
December 3rd, 2017 at 8:04 PM ^
Screw the CFP comittee. Bunch of SEC slappies.
December 3rd, 2017 at 8:34 PM ^
Last time the two teams met, in the 2013 Tampa Outback Bowl, South Carolina had Jadeveon Clowney, who made that memorable hit on Vincent Smith. This time, M has several players (Hurst, Gary, Winovich, others) who are capable of the same kind of mayhem in the Gamecock backfield.
When Coach Jim has his next presser we should hear about Peters' status. My guess (and hope) is that he's already cleared to practice, but of course he'll wear a dayglo, neon, flashing-light jersey to ensure no one makes contact with him.
Peters' presence on the field during the bowl game will largely spell the difference between a possibly convincing win and a nailbiting, to-the-wire finish. JOK is a fine young man, but I'd prefer he spends his last game in an M uniform as a spectator.
December 3rd, 2017 at 9:30 PM ^
December 3rd, 2017 at 8:27 PM ^
December 4th, 2017 at 3:32 AM ^
Eh, South Carolina are legitimately a mediocre team. They're quite a bit worse than IU and Purdue, and Michigan has a clear coaching advantage, which especially matters when you have a month to prepare. It would be disappointing if M doesn't win by 10.
December 3rd, 2017 at 10:35 PM ^
Per usual fake news previously.
December 3rd, 2017 at 10:43 PM ^
Shit where can I place a bet on those odds?
December 3rd, 2017 at 11:44 PM ^
December 4th, 2017 at 1:34 AM ^
The line on this is bizarre. SCar by 8? It... seems like free money?
December 4th, 2017 at 2:01 AM ^
Kentucky for the stingrays. Go Blue
December 4th, 2017 at 2:23 AM ^
Never thought we would with 4 losses. Happy to see sparty getting all upset. The Outback bowl wants revenue and know ratings will be much higher with Michigan playing than MSU. Sorry sparty, until you start selling out your little stadium, you will not get any respect.
December 4th, 2017 at 8:10 AM ^
I know it's not the most exciting matchup but I think it's a good one for this young Michigan team. I like the bowl years when UM has a young team as you usually see a motivated team coming out to play like it's a fall Saturday verse a veteran team just kind of dissapointed. Sort of like year one with Harbaugh against Florida. I bet we see a jacked up team coming out to play. It's almost like young teams view a game like this as "week 1" of '18.
Who knows I'm excited though. I really hope UM wins this game. the last three years would be 10,10, and 9 wins with the hope of '18 being a big farking year! Lots of things didn't go UM's way and we are all disspointed with some games but let's go!
December 4th, 2017 at 11:08 AM ^
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