Most people on this board seem to think the biggest threat to a 1 loss playoff for Michigan is Georgia beating Bama and Bama getting in over Michigan. I disagree with this for two reasons; 1) A 1 loss bama getting in over 2 loss OSU means nothing for this scenario and 1 loss Michigan is getting in over a non conference champ 1 loss Bama and 2) Bama isn't going to lose so it isn't going to come up.
To me the much bigger threat is a 1 OU with the number 1 offense in the country getting in over 1 loss Michigan, and a big reason I'm concerned about this is because we are going to be playing a 4 loss (and would anyone really be surprised if they lost to minnesota) NW team while OU will likely be playing a top 15 team. That would allow OU to be able to make a "statement" in the big 12 championship game by blowing out a good team a la OSU blowing out Wisconsin to jump TCU and Baylor while Michigan is in a lose lose situation where a blowout of NW impresses nobody and a close game looks bad. Given that what do you all think is the ideal scenario for us for the big 12 championship game?
Possibilities given OU winning out (Iowa state and Texas play this weekend, both are currently in the top 25):
OU vs WVU (playing back to back weeks, would be 10-2 going into the game with losses to OU and Iowa state)
OU vs Iowa State (Iowa state will be 10-2 with loses to Iowa and OU and would certainly be top 15)
OU vs Texas (In this scenario Texas is 10-2 with losses to WVU and MD and is also certainly top 15)
Figure it could be fun to talk about on a slower with Indiana up (and yes I know this means nothing if we don't beat OSU)