PSU 10.5 Point Favorites

Submitted by FauxMo on
I'd never bet against Michigan, but if there was a gun to my head, I'd pick PSU to cover this one. And I'd bet my house Franklin will make dickish comments after the game.

ThatGuyCeci

October 15th, 2017 at 5:43 PM ^

I’ll take the points.. Harbaugh and crew can use the drop in the rankings and double digit underdog role to their advantage. I think we see Michigan play it’s best game to date, and win on a Quinn Nordin walkoff field goal.

Marvin

October 15th, 2017 at 5:46 PM ^

I don't know. We are due for a round of competency on offense, and I feel good about our defense against PSU's one dimentional attack. I think it will be close.

LSAClassOf2000

October 15th, 2017 at 7:20 PM ^

THis fanbase is doing everything it can to prove "the backup QB is the most popular guy on the team" is indeed an axiom. Granted, we have a really....uhhh...interesting situation, but let's not break other people on the roster just because the guy ahead ofhim isn't quite doing what anyone - probably the staff included - would rather he did.

BrightonB

October 15th, 2017 at 6:03 PM ^

I feel our D is just plain better than their O.

Been watching PSU this season.  I just don't see them as a stellar team.  Good .. but I just feel our D will keep us in this and it will be close.  If we can get 17 points .. we win.  I don't care if it's sloppy ... I just want the W.  Would be a big win now that they are #2.

1VaBlue1

October 15th, 2017 at 7:37 PM ^

If you don't get open because you never actually had to run a route in high school, you won't get to catch many passes...  But he's been getting more involved the last couple of weeks.  He'll be fine.  At some point, JOK (or whoever) is going to drop one of those bombs onto his numbers for 6, and the defense will suddenly loosen up the box.

MJ14

October 15th, 2017 at 9:23 PM ^

He caught a ball this weekend with 2 guys on his back and another running toward him not far away on a critical third down. First he's got to get open but he's getting better at his routes. He just missed a bomb at the beginning of the IU game. O'Korn will get one to him soon. They'll get rolling.

titanfan11

October 15th, 2017 at 6:02 PM ^

I'm saying it's scary because I can completely envision a game where we kick a field goal on the opening drive, kick another one after a turnover, and lose 17-6.  On the other hand, maybe the scripted 1st drive results in a touchdown, and we never force that turnover but lose 17-7.  

A2MIKE

October 15th, 2017 at 7:12 PM ^

that is not how the lines are set.  Vegas rarely gets even action, especially on regional college football games.  Lines are set based on advanced statistics, they move based on money wagered.

Red is Blue

October 16th, 2017 at 9:23 AM ^

Notwithstanding this comment.  Even if, "they don’t make the line based on what they think the final score will be. The oddsmakers create a line that they believe will draw even action on both sides."  was true.  That essentially means the oddsmakers create a line that they believe the consensus of bettors will see as fair.  Not sure there is a big difference between:

  • oddsmakers setting the line based on what they think the final score will be 

And

  • oddsmakers setting the line based on what they think "the wisdom of the crowd" thinks the final score will be

and

  • oddsmakers set the line using advanced stats

Ramblin

October 16th, 2017 at 2:07 PM ^

Unless we are playing MSU, then they get it wrong every single year somehow...  Why does anybody bother betting on other games?  I'm actually curious about that.  I think betting Sparty to cover might be my new retirement plan.

As for this spread, I think it is close to correct?  I dunno though, I have a feeling about this one for some reason.  We win a close one.  That my call and I'm sticking to it.

Ramblin

October 16th, 2017 at 2:07 PM ^

Unless we are playing MSU, then they get it wrong every single year somehow...  Why does anybody bother betting on other games?  I'm actually curious about that.  I think betting Sparty to cover might be my new retirement plan.

As for this spread, I think it is close to correct?  I dunno though, I have a feeling about this one for some reason.  We win a close one.  That my call and I'm sticking to it.

Ramblin

October 16th, 2017 at 2:08 PM ^

Unless we are playing MSU, then they get it wrong every single year somehow...  Why does anybody bother betting on other games?  I'm actually curious about that.  I think betting Sparty to cover might be my new retirement plan.

As for this spread, I think it is close to correct?  I dunno though, I have a feeling about this one for some reason.  We win a close one.  That my call and I'm sticking to it.

Ramblin

October 16th, 2017 at 2:08 PM ^

Unless we are playing MSU, then they get it wrong every single year somehow...  Why does anybody bother betting on other games?  I'm actually curious about that.  I think betting Sparty to cover might be my new retirement plan.

As for this spread, I think it is close to correct?  I dunno though, I have a feeling about this one for some reason.  We win a close one.  That my call and I'm sticking to it.

DHughes5218

October 15th, 2017 at 6:00 PM ^

I put down a large amount of money (large to me for a bet, probably small to most) on us last weekend. I got down on Tuesday when it was minus five so I was fortunate it went to overtime and we were able to cover. I might lay the points and be happy to lose some money if we win, but there's a decent chance we cover but still lose and that would suck twice as bad.

A2MIKE

October 15th, 2017 at 7:30 PM ^

Usually (not always) it is a scenario like this:

line:  Michigan -7.5 (-110)

Michigan -7 (-120)

Michigan -6.5 (-130)

Michigan -6 (-140)

The number in parentheses represents the amount of money you have to wager to win $100.