|11/20/2018 - 2:11am||It might be tough to do with…||
It might be tough to do with some of the statistics you’re using in your model (which seems to be based on average points allowed versus points scored), and I’m sure you’d need much more sophisticated, play by play data, but to the point about in-game coaching decisions by coaches like Frames Janklin, it should be possible to get more insight into offenses like Penn State’s that are “highly variable.” I don’t think “randomness” and “chance” are as much the issue as the effects associated with incomprehensible decisions.
It seems to me that Field Goal Franklin costs his team, on average, about 7 points per game. The last offensive play call against OSU is a perfect example.
That's not to say that other coaches don’t make bad calls. But I would bet that in some - maybe many - cases, the negative impacts of those decisions over time are quantifiable.
By the way, I completely agree that, at best, models like these are useful insights into how a game might go.
|11/19/2018 - 4:44pm||Aren't you an attorney? You…||
Aren't you an attorney? You're bucking long-standing stereotypes by trotting out chemistry references, Mister.
|11/19/2018 - 9:53am||50% of all predictions are…||
50% of all predictions are wrong, and another half of predictions are prone to errors.
|11/19/2018 - 8:50am||I never used to be one of…||
I never used to be one of those "we should leave the B1G" guys with a tinfoil hat, but considering the inexcusably poor officiating in this conference, maybe it's time to at least threaten a move to the ACC. If "certain people close to the Athletic Department" merely have a meeting with "certain people close to the ACC," Delaney might, finally, be forced to act.
|11/18/2018 - 1:46pm||I hope Warde leaves a…||
I hope Warde leaves a flaming bag of shit on John O’Neill’s front porch, and covers his car in Liquid Ass.
|11/18/2018 - 10:14am||Well, a “playoff caliber”…||
Well, a “playoff caliber” Alabama team was tied with The Citadel at the half, and needed Tua to play hurt in order to finally take control of the game.
|11/18/2018 - 10:11am||Man, I want to come to your…||
Man, I want to come to your house for the holidays. Not because I have a burning desire for diarrhea or to drink cheap beer. I’ll just come for the comedy.
|11/18/2018 - 9:24am||I don’t think it’s a new…||
I don’t think it’s a new affliction, but rather a sub-strain of BPONE.
I am not convinced that the red zone issues weren’t partly the result of two factors: 1) the coaches knew they had a kicker who could get them points, and 2) the play calling reflected it.
In many instances this season, Patterson ran the ball on a zone read inside the 20 to get TDs. Although there were a few, critical QB keepers in this game, they were almost non-existent against Indiana. I think that was on purpose.
I am far more concerned about the defense. They were just not that sharp in the first half; and although they only gave up 3 points in the second half, they revealed a startling vulnerability to a mobile QB. I expect we will see a lot of Tate Martell next week, and it would surprise me if we even saw Haskins reprise some of his keepers from last year’s game (or try to, anyway).
Net-net, my expectations for next week have softened somewhat. I’d call that a BPONE rebound.
|11/17/2018 - 10:44pm||Speaking of cheap shots....||
Speaking of cheap shots....
|11/17/2018 - 4:05pm||Sludgefart game. Just as…||
Sludgefart game. Just as ludicrous as OSU-MD, and for the same reason: two awful teams.
|11/17/2018 - 3:53pm||At this point, the best the…||
At this point, the best the Turtles can hope for is for OSU to turn it over, or for them to stay out of the end zone in the 1st OT. Otherwise, this game’s ending is a formality.
|11/17/2018 - 3:49pm||Bet your house and car on…||
Bet your house and car on Ohio State in OT.
|11/17/2018 - 1:16pm||The word for that game is …||
The word for that game is “sludgefart.” It is just an awful display by both teams.
|11/17/2018 - 9:11am||So your favorite movie is …||
So your favorite movie is “Dial N for Murder?”
|11/17/2018 - 7:37am||I am not FauxMo, even after…||
I am not FauxMo, even after Propofol. Besides, that was last week,
|11/16/2018 - 4:24pm||You're an Equal Opportunity…||
You're an Equal Opportunity Offender.
|11/16/2018 - 4:10pm||As I'm sure some on this…||
As I'm sure some on this board can attest (I'm look at YOU, Mad Hatter), the Germans film themselves doing some really freaky shit, and then post onto certain adults-only sites.
I haven't seen any of it myself, mind you; I heard some guys talking about it in a bar once. Allegedly.
|11/15/2018 - 10:04pm||That’s absolutely true. Half…||
That’s absolutely true. Half of my relatives are from East Tennessee, and they’re ready to give up NASCAR if it means the Vols return to glory.
|11/15/2018 - 3:36pm||Louisville is just across…||
Louisville is just across the river from Indiana ... but a world away.
|11/15/2018 - 3:32pm||Better still...
Γεια σας, Γιώργος Καρλαφτής
|11/15/2018 - 3:29pm||That's ... That's a high…||
That's ... That's a high-rise mobile home. I have no words to describe the awesomeness of this.
|11/15/2018 - 3:25pm||Mayonnaise, y'all.||
|11/15/2018 - 7:07am||I love autocorrect. It keeps…||
I love autocorrect. It keeps me from telling people to duck off.
Not duck! DUCK!
|11/14/2018 - 8:11am||Maybe what MSU needs is a QB…||
Maybe what MSU needs is a QB with a hot sister like Connor Cook's. That'll give the folks on RCMB something to talk about for a while. They still won't win many games, but it'll keep the natives at bay until Mork retires.
|11/14/2018 - 7:37am||Jokes aside, D’Agostino’s…||
Jokes aside, D’Agostino’s failure to develop any decent QB play since Connor Cook is pretty remarkable. Injuries have something to do with that, but it’s not like Lewerke was NFL QB material last year either.
At some point, that has to impact recruiting at the position and at other skill positions on the offense. Even with a lights-out defense, the best recruits are going to want to play for a winner.
|11/12/2018 - 5:17pm||To be fair OU gets…||
To be fair OU gets obliterated at least once a season by a very sub-par team. See also: 2018.
|11/12/2018 - 2:18pm||That Rutger vs MSU game …||
That Rutger vs MSU game ... Woof. The offenses of both teams are going to be offensive.
And Purdue has to travel to Indiana for its last game? First team to score 3 points wins.
|11/12/2018 - 6:31am||42 Year-Old Virgin.||
42 Year-Old Virgin.
|11/11/2018 - 8:09pm||No. More like a bad case of…||
No. More like a bad case of poison ivy on your wedding tackle.
|11/11/2018 - 2:36pm||Is this the thread where I…||
Is this the thread where I repeat my misguided comment about The Game? Or where I talk about becoming the crazy uncle at Thanksgiving?
|11/11/2018 - 12:45pm||Don’t underestimate the pull…||
Don’t underestimate the pull of the heart strings for an alma mater. We have Jim Harbaugh for that reason, despite all of the pundits saying that he was taking a step or many backward by returning to coach in college.
|11/11/2018 - 11:44am||Yeah, choosing The Game was…||
Yeah, choosing The Game was probably a bad example. But in my view, Michigan and Ohio State (not to mention the B1G) don’t move that game, even when there’s that much at stake. But a game against Indiana? The schools and the league have no problem, apparently, with a kick-off at what will be practically dusk.
Maybe I’m just grumbling like the old man I am, and want you all to get off my lawn. Thanksgiving is coming up, and I’m practicing my “Lunatic Uncle” role. I need to work on the Politically Incorrect statements, though. My son already has the unpopular political rants covered.
|11/11/2018 - 10:49am||I know. My point is that 20…||
I know. My point is that 20 years ago, the networks didn’t have as much control over the scheduling, even when there was so much at stake in the matchup. IIRC, even the ‘86 game between Michigan and Iowa, which was ba must-win for both teams in order to win the Big Ten, and a rematch of the classic ‘85 contest, had a 3:30 PM kick-off.
I guess I am stunned that the start time of a game against a team like Indiana in mid-November, in Ann Arbor, could be so manipulated by Fox Sports. It didn’t used to be quite so bad.
|11/11/2018 - 10:06am||How times have changed. In…||
How times have changed. In 1997, The Michigan - Ohio State Game, between the #1 and #4 teams, to decide the Big Ten Championship and a trip to the Rose Bowl, was a noon kick.
|11/11/2018 - 10:03am||Field Goal Franklin.... I…||
Field Goal Franklin.... I think he was replaced by v2.0, Frames Janklin.
|11/09/2018 - 9:06am||Many thanks! Same to you!||
Many thanks! Same to you!
|11/09/2018 - 7:58am||I see you had a camera set…||
I see you had a camera set up in my bathroom. Nice touch.
|11/09/2018 - 7:57am||Oh, it’s prepared. It raised…||
Oh, it’s prepared. It raised the white flag of surrender about 10 PM last night after the 45th firehose dump of the day.
|11/09/2018 - 7:29am||I’m going to need a good…||
I’m going to need a good bang later... I have my first-ever screening colonoscopy this morning (yay, 50).
The prep was as much fun as being a Rutger lineman fending off a Winovich/Gary tag-team, and went through me just as effectively.
|11/09/2018 - 5:23am||Most of college football…||
Most of college football sucks ass this season. It’s not just the ACC. In the B1G, we could theoretically have a 5-7 Northwestern team playing for the championship in Indianapolis. That’s ... remarkable? Is that the word?
The SEC and PAC-12 are equally awful. I can count on one finger the number of teams in both of those conferences (combined) who could go head-to-head with Michigan.
|11/08/2018 - 2:29pm||DM me - let's get together…||
DM me - let's get together over there for some beer, kielbasa and kapusta. First round on me.
|11/08/2018 - 12:12pm||Pierogi sounds pretty good,…||
Pierogi sounds pretty good, too ... Do you make your own?
If home for you is in the Metro Detroit area, check out a place called "Polka Polish Cafe" in Troy, next to Polish Market. Hands down, the best Polish restaurant in the area.
|11/08/2018 - 10:55am||Buy her a Tofurky and tell…||
Buy her a Tofurky and tell her she can cook it herself.
Or make a point of putting bacon into everything, even the apple pie (that sounds pretty good, actually).
|11/08/2018 - 10:16am||Denny's, of course. Your…||
Denny's, of course. Your pescatarian can get the Tilapia Ranchero, and the rest of you can get the Holiday Turkey Melt sandwich from their "Festive Flavors" menu.
Dinner just like Grandma used to throw away.
|11/08/2018 - 8:44am||My mistake, I totally missed…||
My mistake, I totally missed it (though if you look at the time I posted my comment, the reason will become immediately apparent).
I know, I know ... "Quit drinking and go to bed."
|11/08/2018 - 8:43am||This year's FSU team would…||
This year's FSU team would have a hard time beating the Sisters of Charity in Tallahassee. They are just awful. No way ND goes down to the Noles.
|11/08/2018 - 1:12am||I agree with Bando on Ashley…||
I agree with Bando on Ashley’s. That would probably be my first option.
But how has this thread reached more than 5 entries without anyone yet mentioning Little Brown Jug or The Pretzel Bell???
|11/07/2018 - 11:46am||Loved it!
Was I the only…
Was I the only one hoping that Seth's in-home assistant would have offered some of his own color commentary?
|11/07/2018 - 11:35am||You make a compelling…||
You make a compelling argument as always, MGrowOld. One possible alternative is to stack the deck in favor of SEC teams in the NY6 bowl games. They might be looking at possible matchups in those games, and propping up the SEC's likelihood of "quality wins" in those contests. Doesn't mean a lot for this season, but for following seasons.
|11/07/2018 - 11:24am||Wanna bet? The WWL talking…||
Wanna bet? The WWL talking heads last night were falling all over themselves to justify putting Alabama into the CFP EVEN IF THEY LOSE TO GEORGIA! The Committee is doing the same thing. It's stupid.