OT - Hypothetical playoff scenario

This is pointless

I think it should be OSU, depending on how much they beat OU by. OSU's loss would be to a top 3 team, compared to OU losing to a top 5 team.

There is no way the committee is going to let two teams from a conference not named the SEC into the playoffs.

What is Alabama's record here? 11-1 with a loss to LSU? They would have the same argument that OSU would. In that situation Oklahoma gets in almost by default. What about the SEC East champ? This scenario is just too vague.

Easy. Obviously the three loss Alabama team gets in.

I'd have to go with OSU based on the head to head. Not sure how you can argue otherwise, conference championships notwithstanding.

My sense is that the CFP committe cares about two things.

First, they care about quality wins. In this scenario, Oklahoma's best wins would have been over Houston, TCU, Oklahoma State, and Baylor (#s 13, 14, 19, and 21 in the preseason Coaches' poll). Ohio State's best wins would have been over Oklahoma, MSU, Wisconsin, and Northwestern (#s 3, 11, 27, and 34). That seems like more or less a wash - OSU has a better marquee win, but Oklahoma's schedule is deeper. And both teams would have a roughly equivalent loss - at home to a top-5 team.

Second, they care about how a team looks heading into the playoff. They explicitly said that OSU made the playoff in 2014 in large part because of their 59-0 demolition of Wisconsin in the B1G Championship Game. In this scenario, Ohio State would have lost their last game to Michigan. Meanwhile, Oklahoma would have a nine-game winning streak. This is no contest - Oklahoma would be seen as the "hotter" team. In addition, Oklahoma would have a conference championship.

Therefore, Oklahoma would get the bid.

Who cares, Michigan is in!!

Houston because they will beat OU

Gotta imagine a conference winner takes precedent over one who didn't win theirs.. even if they lost the head to head. 

I liked the thread about the 2017 season better.

if it's a close loss to osu, I believe OU is in. If it's a blow out, I believe osu is in. Another variable would be how close other games on the year are. but all things being equal, I think how close that game is makes the difference. Bc it's in the beginning of the year, that gives OU the advantage. osu's loss at the end of the year would make it hard to overcome, but I think they could do it of they blew out OU. also, everyone saying it doesn't matter and it's stupid, you're absolutely right. but it's fun to think about. just don't comment if you don't like it.

Hi

Despite BIG12 being garbage I still think OU would get in and then get smashed by 30-40 like they normally do.

Alabama.  2 losses and many would still argue they are the best team so they get it.  World explodes.  Film at 11.

A 2 loss Alabama still gets in.

Let's assume I win the lottery tomorrow, do I buy the 200ft yacht or the 250ft yacht? What options should I get on it?  

That hypothetical is about as pointless as this.

Coin flip. Exactly like Friday Night Lights.

This is why they need to expand the CFP to 8 teams.  When you can't include each P5 conference winner in the playoff then what good is it?  8 teams gives you the 5 conference winners and 3 at large bids.

Or every year Michigan/OSU based on one loss (no guarantee, just two pretty good programs who over the next years will likely go undefeated until the last game) will be hosed because they lost late in the season.

A conference chamion. Any conference champion. How can you be the national champion if you're not your conference champion?

I would guess Oklahoma as their loss to OSU would be in week 2 or 3 right? Combine that with OSU losing late in the year moving them down polls. One big factor would be the SOS. Hard to say what conference would provide a stronger schedule strength. 

 

I just feel the way they play things out the earlier the loss the easier to recover. Would also depend on if OU dominated the other opponents they faced after the loss vs how OSU did. Fun discussion, but so many variables. 

Easily Ohio State if they blew out OU head to head and have the same number of losses. 

 

LSU would for sure be ranked #1, FSU and Michigan would be #2/3, not sure which order. OSU would be #4. 

 

 

Oklahoma, because their loss came early in the season.

Oklahoma, methinks. The playoff committee has shown they're looking for teams that get hot at the end of the year and build momentum (OSU 2014 and OU 2015 are prime examples). An early season loss is much more forgiving and easier to overcome, in the eyes of the committee, then suffering a late-season setback. 

OSU was arguably the best team in America last year, bar none, when they were on their game. But they picked the worst possible time to lose a game, and it cost them a shot at defending their title. They would've been better off losing again to Va Tech at the beginning of the year. Let's not forget too that the playoff committee, thus far, has placed an emphasis on winning your conference. No team that hasn't won their conference has gotten in yet. So I'd pick OU, even if they lost the head to head matchup. This would especially be true after this year when the Big XII gets their title game back. 

The only way I'd see OSU making it in over OU in this situation is if OSU loses a really close game to us, within three points, won the rest of their games, and just took OU to the woodshed and beat them mercilessly. As in Oklahoma losing by 4-5 touchdowns, and even then, the game doesn't feel like it was that close. It'd have to be the kind of loss that when someone thinks of Oklahoma, all they really think of is that game. No matter what they do for the rest of the year.  

Not osu