CFP ranking discussion - M stays at #4

Submitted by lhglrkwg on November 13th, 2018 at 7:17 PM

Well, rankings are out and the top 10 held serve.

  1. Alabama
  2. Clemson
  3. Notre Dame
  4. Michigan
  5. Georgia
  6. Oklahoma
  7. LSU
  8. Wazzu
  9. West Virginia
  10. Ohio State
  11. UCF
  12. Syracuse
  13. Florida
  14. Penn State
  15. Texas
  16. Iowa State
  17. Kentucky
  18. Washington
  19. Utah
  20. BC
  21. Mississippi State
  22. Northwestern
  23. Utah State
  24. Cincinnati
  25. Boise State

Florida and Kentucky continue to be laughably overrated.

Comments

buddha

November 14th, 2018 at 2:17 AM ^

Honestly, it seems like a down year overall for conferences. There really doesn’t seem to be a single dominant conference. Instead, there are some dominant teams, and conference performances feel like “talk track.”

If I had to choose the “best” conference, is probably give it to the SEC. and it’s not because they are good; rather, i just think every other conference sucks!

Newton Gimmick

November 14th, 2018 at 1:02 PM ^

SEC shills have persuaded a lot of the country into comparing conferences instead of comparing actual schedules.  Conferences are so big now that teams from the same conference play very different schedules, so saying a conference is good is not synonymous with a tough schedule.

LSU's "SEC schedule" is actually difficult, as it includes Georgia and Florida, whereas Alabama draws Tennessee and Missouri from the East.  Alabama also 3 of the 4 next toughest West teams (Auburn, A&M, Miss St) at home, whereas LSU 2 of the 4 at home.

And that's just comparing two teams in the same division.  Tennessee has just two common opponents with Alabama, in addition to head-to-head.  They have five common opponents with Middle Tennessee.

TrueBlue2003

November 13th, 2018 at 11:33 PM ^

Agreed, they can go F themselves.  Whatever tiny bump we might get from them being ranked is far outweighed by their need to rot in hell.  Better for our recruiting for them to be bad too.

For Michigan it's as simple as this: win out and if Bama wins out there's nothing to worry about whatsoever.  OU isn't catching Michigan with that defense.  If M wins out and Bama loses to UGA, it will all come down to whether the CFP values the conference title more than blowing out mediocre teams (which is mostly what Bama has done).

I think M would still be in.  The committee is supposed to use conference titles, SoS, head-to-head and common opponents to breaks "ties".  M would have the conference title and the better SoS. Neither of the other two categories would be relevant.

TrueBlue2003

November 13th, 2018 at 11:40 PM ^

That may be the case, but it is undeniable that Kentucky has a better resume and that's what it's all about here.  The resume. UK has three losses. Two to top 5 teams and one to a bad but not-horrible Tennessee team on the road.

Northwestern has four losses - one of which to Akron! At home! Akron!

One thing is for sure, a game between UK and NW would be pretty brutal to watch with both teams good at defense and...not good at offense.

Probably a decent chance those teams meet in Tampa or Orlando for a bowl game so you might get to see it.

Also, I just noticed that Northwestern is a mind-bogglingly bad 77th in S&P+!! They might win a game against UK but they certainly would be underdogs coming into it.