[Patrick Barron]

Michigan 64, Florida 49 Comment Count

Alex Cook March 23rd, 2019 at 8:58 PM

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Despite an early barrage of three-pointers from Florida, Michigan was phenomenal again defensively, holding the Gators to 0.80 points per possession and securing a spot in the Sweet 16. Jordan Poole hit four threes and scored a game-high 19 points; Zavier Simpson controlled the game, outplayed his counterpart Andrew Nembhard, and posted 9 points, 9 rebounds, and 9 assists. Solid individual performances across the board aggregated into an impressive overall performance: Michigan grinded out a decent offensive showing and completely shut down the Florida offense, especially as the game wore on.

The first half was defined by runs and surprisingly high-scoring early on. Florida’s first two buckets came on threes: Jalen Hudson hit one in transition and Keyontae Johnson was set up from the pick and roll, but Michigan controlled the paint as they dug out a 15-6 lead. Simpson dished to Jon Teske for two early dunks, Jordan Poole was fouled and had a four point play, then Poole hit a decently contested, quick trigger three in the corner. Florida responded with a 15-6 run of their own to tie the game. Noah Locke got going from off the bench, scoring a quick eight points, and Nembhard’s work in the ball screen game was effective.

Florida’s defense was tricky. The Gators broke out an aggressive 1-3-1 at times, and it worked only because Michigan missed a fair amount of open threes in the first half. Eventually they would settle into man on 1-3-1 possessions after Michigan passed the ball around to distort the zone. The Gators, who finished with the third best defense in the SEC, were willing to defend Michigan with ostensible mismatches, and Simpson was excellent in breaking down different types of defenses. He pushed the ball off rebounds to force those mismatches, picked apart Florida with ball screens, and guided a Michigan offense that was much better at taking advantage of Teske’s size when he was guarded by a smaller player than it had been this season.

[Barron]

The defenses eventually settled in partway through the first half and the game more resembled the slow struggle it was expected to be. Ignas Brazdeikis, the only Wolverine who had a relatively quiet afternoon, had a couple of consequential sequences in the first half — he missed a layup but walled up in help defense at the rim on Kevarrius Hayes to get a stop; he posted up and missed a hook, then committed his second foul, a block. Michigan was without Iggy for the last five minutes of the half. Nembhard hit a three off a dribble handoff when Charles Matthews went under, but Matthews responded a few possessions later by flying down the lane for a two-handed dunk off a ball screen. Hayes scored on an alley-oop layup from Nembhard; Livers finally knocked down a three to give Michigan a 32-28 lead at halftime.

The Wolverines jumped the Gators after the break and looked to be on the verge of a blowout, scoring on their first four possessions. Iggy got a friendly bounce on a 1-4 pop three; Poole threw a nice pass over the top to a mismatched Teske for two; and Poole pump-faked and sliced through the 1-3-1 for an and-one layup. That play prompted a Florida timeout, Poole made the free throw, and then knocked down a step-back three on the next trip.

Michigan led 43-28, but the Gators responded. Hudson replied with a three of his own, Michigan went cold for a short stretch, and a nice drive and dish from Nembhard to Johnson for a dunk capped a 9-0 Gator run. Their lead down to six, John Beilein summoned Simpson for a timeout.

That timeout came with 14:21 left in the game, and Florida only managed to score 12 points the rest of the way. Michigan’s defense, spearheaded by Simpson, was physical and switchable on the perimeter (especially with Isaiah Livers in at the five), stayed in front on dribble drives, and started to take away the three. The Gators shot 6-12 from beyond the arc in the first half, and shot 3-14 in the second. Out of that Michigan timeout, Florida defended the initial action well, but fouled Poole on a three-point attempt. Poole knocked down all three free throws to push the lead back to nine, and Florida started to settle for difficult jumpers. Florida’s leading scorer, KeVaughn Allen, was held in check by Matthews for most of the game, but kept the Gators in striking range with a few buckets.

[Barron]

Michigan went on its decisive run with less than seven minutes left in the game. Up seven, Simpson was tripped and hit both ends of the one-and-one, Teske made himself available for a layup after the Gators shut off Simpson’s initial passing lane, Simpson threw an insane bounce pass to a streaking Livers in transition for a two-handed dunk over Nembhard, and Poole capped the 9-0 spurt with a three. As they pulled away, the defense locked in further and held Florida scoreless on seven straight possessions over that span. As the Gators extended their defense in desperation, Michigan made the right passes to unlock easy dunks for Livers and Matthews to put an exclamation point on the win.

Average offenses don’t have much of a chance when Michigan decides to tighten up the defense, and Florida’s struggles in the second half looked very familiar — no easy looks, tough contests inside, defenders flying around to bother shooters on the perimeter. Forty-nine points was the fewest scored by Florida this season. Even though the Gators had a strong defense, Simpson was the catalyst for what was a more than adequate offensive output, and one of Michigan’s wings — Poole, in this game — was an effective scorer. The Wolverines have been winning games like this all season.

This program has come a long way under John Beilein. Michigan’s in their third straight Sweet 16, they have arguably the best defense in the country (and if not, the second-best), and they notched their third 30-win season since 2013. The Wolverines will head to Anaheim for the West Regional and will face either Texas Tech — Michigan’s only peer in terms of defensive prowess — or Buffalo — a veteran mid-major with the best core in program history. Whichever team wins that Round of 32 game tomorrow will face the nastiest opponent they’ve seen all year.

[Box score after the JUMP]

Comments

Luke15

March 23rd, 2019 at 9:23 PM ^

GO BLUE! SWEET 16!

So nice to win these first two games, both called evenly by the refs. Anyone else notice? If anything, Michigan had a little advantage in both of these well-officiated games where they let the players decide the outcome.

The contrast is amazing. You’d have to be blind not to see how Big 10 officials negatively affect the outcomes of our Big 10 games. Against Montana and Florida, UM was whistled for a combined 23 fouls versus 33 for their opponents. FT attempts were 36 vs. 15. About right for a team that averages only 14 fouls per game and is ranked #4 nationally. They should have an advantage in a part of the game Beilein coaches to win (i.e. foul differential).

Compare that again to how the three games were called against MSU. FT attempts were 76 to 39 in favor of MSU, a +95% advantage. Michigan was called for 49 fouls vs. 38 for MSU. Statistically speaking, Michigan should have been called for 42 fouls and MSU called for 51 fouls. That’s a 20 foul swing.

Fouls per Game

MSU: 16,12,10. Total = 38.

Michigan: 18,20,11. Total = 49.

FT Attempts per Game

MSU: 24/30, 23/30, 12/16. Total = 59/76.

Michigan: 17/20, 5/7, 10/12. Total = 32/39.

Again, MSU gets a +38 FT attempt advantage (+95%) and net +27 point advantage from the free throw line. In three closely contested games. That is an absolute farce.

Don’t forget the names.

Referees in UM-MSU Games

Feb 24: McJunkins, Terry Oglesby, Carstensen

Mar 9: Terry Oglesby, Kimble, Lamont Simpson

Mar 17: Larry Scirotto, Bo Boroski, Paul Szelc (BIGGEST CROOK WHO EJECTED BEILEIN FOR FIRST TIME IN 40 YEARS and is responsible for the single game records for UM, when it comes to most fouls against -27, and FT attempts against, -41. He is our John O’Neill in basketball),

And don’t be afraid to let Jim Delaney and his Director of Big 10 Basketball Officiating, Rick Boyages (former Ohio State Assistant Basketball Coach) know you’re watching. ([email protected],[email protected]). Crooked remains crooked until enough people pay close enough attention and let those in charge know they’re being watched. 

Alumnus93

March 24th, 2019 at 2:10 PM ^

Never underestimate the frailty of the human ego... unless they are sparty grads, I chalk it up to Izzo's weasel effectiveness in conditioning the refs.... he is a midget and whines in a way that seems to be quite effective…watch Izzo from the getgo, and he is on them immediately....meanwhile Beilein is big, and intimidating physically, and only bitches when merited... and midgets tend to favor fellow midgets...

Michigan4Harbaugh

March 23rd, 2019 at 9:23 PM ^

Our defense did a phenomenal job today! I felt pretty good about this matchup from a defensive standpoint. Florida didn't seem to have a ton of offensive firepower coming in, which plays right into our hands. Very proud of these boys, and our entire coaching staff. Man, it's great to be a Michigan Wolverine!! 2 down, 4 to go!!

TrueBlue2003

March 24th, 2019 at 1:39 AM ^

They are a good defense this year, almost as good as Michigan (and their stats are even closer if you only count games Zion played), but they do it quite differently.  They do it the usual way: by blocking shots.  They have the third highest block rate in the country.

Michigan is a weird team.  They're one of the rare teams that hold opponents to very low 2pt % without blocking a lot of shots (only 110th nationally).  They're able to maintain a low 2pt % by forcing teams to take tough 2 pt jumpers disproportionately more than shots at the rim.  They are able to do this without having exceptional shot blocking by limiting transition and keeping perimeter players in front of themselves and out of the paint.

1VaBlue1

March 24th, 2019 at 9:08 AM ^

I think Duke's defense, while still pretty good, benefits in large part by their opponents incessant need to score enough to keep up.  I don't think they've experienced a team like Michigan - an entity that makes it difficult for every player on the floor to get a good shot, without keying on any particular player.  Offensively, I don't think they've seen an offense like Michigan's either - one that is patiently efficient and very diverse in how it can score.  Neither Gonzaga nor UNC play a whit of defense, and UM eviscerated UNC because of it.

I'm not saying UM would beat Duke, but I am saying that the game would probably be a lot closer than most seem to think...

SeattleWolverine

March 24th, 2019 at 11:31 AM ^

I don't really agree with your first paragraph. They beat TTU (#2 defense nationally), and they beat UVA 2x (#3), Kentucky (#9), FSU 2x (#10), UNC 1x (#11), Clemson (#13), Gonzaga (#16), plus lost to UNC 2x (#11) and VT (#20). That's 12 games against elite top 20 defenses. They also played top 50ish defenses in Auburn, Syracuse 3x, NC State, Indiana, Georgia Tech, and Louisville etc. Put it this way, their OppD is 98.0 which is exactly the same as ours. 

I don't think Gonzaga or UNC are great defensive teams but give them some credit. Gonzaga is a bit hard to tell because of the competition and UNC is inflated by Zion being out twice. And obviously the UNC team we saw is a lot worse than the current version. We won that game because we shot the ball abnormally well (50% from 3) and because we destroyed them when Roy Williams pulled the starters to make a point. Anyway, overall they are still 5/6/7 points per 100 possessions worse than us. That's material but still quite good and not a huge gulf. 

As far as experiencing a defensive team like us, I do think Virginia is pretty similar. Slow tempo, won't allow transition, doesn't foul, doesn't turn you over per se, balanced and quality at all spots. Similar height though Teske is a little taller than Salt. 

I mean as far as offense, what do we do that Virginia doesn't? Balance with no one above 24% usage, low turnovers, but don't get to the line. We really are basically Virginia but with incrementally better on ball defense and noticeably worse shooting on offense. I will say this, Virginia did play Duke even at Cameron and then lost at home because Duke shot ridiculously (60+%) from 3 which was just luck. They deserved to win at least one of those games. 

I do like the matchup with Duke, I'm with you there. I don't think the gap is as big as ESPN talking heads would have it, they'd be maybe a 5 point favorite? They're beatable. Simpson would lock down Jones on one end and wouldn't turn it over and if you make them play half court they are manageable. Put Matthews on Barrett, let Poole (please) stick with Reddish since he just shoots 3s. The interesting thing would be the lineups. Go small with Livers when they take out DeLaurier and put Goldwire or White in? How do you handle Zion? Can Teske provide his normal rim protection against that level of athlete without fouling out in like 15 minutes? Think we matchup pretty well with them overall but it's possible we would have no answer for Zion going to the rim (understandably). Hope I get to see that game.

Indy Pete - Go Blue

March 23rd, 2019 at 9:57 PM ^

 I remember back in 2013 they always put up a statistic that Michigan is like 44-1 when they score more than 80 points. Now they are mentioning that Michigan  has won >40 in a row when holding the other team to less than 60 points.  Two unbelievable rounds of dominance with two completely different keys to success.  Beilein is a ?‍♂️ 

stephenrjking

March 24th, 2019 at 12:34 AM ^

If nobody but Charles Matthews leaves, this team is loaded next season. #1 seed, national title, all of it well within reach.

But I live in Minnesota. Seeing Michigan in the Final Four would be a once-in-a-lifetime experience. 

Let's do it this year. And if the guys wanna come back and do it again next year, that's fine with me. 

Alumnus93

March 23rd, 2019 at 11:47 PM ^

I didn't see a mention of Eli Brooks, so I will do so.

Many here were down on him all season, even claiming DDJ should be playing ahead of him... I hope todays game laid that to rest....   Brooks did a great job in the 8 minutes he played... and he needs to play ALOT more if possible.  He seems to also play stronger the more minutes he gets.  And man can he jump... he can sky for rebounds....  he may be the teams best jumper.   I do hope we keep him because we will regret if he leaves for playing time next season.  Just seems grossly under-appreciated here...

stephenrjking

March 23rd, 2019 at 11:57 PM ^

To say that Brooks was struggling with his shooting midseason would be incredibly kind. Brooks had Rick Ankiel-level yips in his shooting. He was terrified of taking shots and would miss badly when he took them. The critical discussion happened for a reason, and Beilein agreed because DDJ was the first off the bench several times late in the year. 

Brooks still isn't a big contributor on offense. But he remains very consistent on defense, and that's why he got such a long leash early in the year and why he is playing now. The team is every bit as good on defense when he is on the floor. 

I have no idea what the rotation will look like next season at guard, but this year Brooks is important because of defense.

victors2000

March 24th, 2019 at 7:19 AM ^

You could definitely feel a difference when Eli was in there. I think he plays with a little chip on his shoulder; getting less minutes then the guys he was recruited with, and then knowing the newbies behind him are waiting for their shot. Hopefully, he doesn't go anywhere, I think he has a lot to give to the team next year.

WolvinLA2

March 24th, 2019 at 11:10 AM ^

I'll be honest I was one of the ones hating on Brooks when he came in but he has really improved his game, and more importantly, his role.  I think he's great as an off the bench energy and defense guy.  I also like bringing him in when Poole starts jacking up stupid shots as a way to let Beilein talk to Poole and to get the ball in everyone else's hands.  

TrueBlue2003

March 24th, 2019 at 3:12 PM ^

He's been just what Michigan needs off the bench for the past 6 or so games...just like he was in the first month of the season.

He had an extended shooting slump that was entirely confidence (and bad luck) related.  He's a good player and it's very good for the team that he is playing solidly off the bench again.  And it makes Poole a better player to have an adequate backup that can give him rest and keep him accountable.

uminks

March 23rd, 2019 at 11:54 PM ^

If we meet sparty again the more fair calling refs in the tournament will not give sparty the advantage and Michigan may win the 4th match up.

xtramelanin

March 24th, 2019 at 7:09 AM ^

i don't think we lost 3x to sparty b/c of the refs.  refs didn't help, but sparty is a good team this year with a spine. i would not be surprised at all if they gave duke a very good game if it comes to that - sparty has some big bodies (read: tillman and ward) that could play well against z. williamson.  not saying they are better than that kid, no way, but i think they are big enough and particularly tillman is athletic enough to play a very tough game against him.  we'll see.  

yossarians tree

March 24th, 2019 at 10:11 AM ^

Livers keeps getting better and more important he is the most consistent guy on the team outside X and Teske. As for Teske I've been noticing that the team never slides more quickly or as far as when he leaves the floor. As soon as he comes back everything gets back to normal. Amazing transformation as a player in just one year.

maize-blue

March 24th, 2019 at 8:58 AM ^

I feel like everyone has stepped up their game except Iggy. If he gets it going the team will be tough to beat.

samdrussBLUE

March 24th, 2019 at 9:28 AM ^

Gonzaga and FSU are major problems. We will HAVE to bring our GREAT defense and offense to that contest. We can slog it out with TT or Buffalo, because Matthews will shut down the primary guy and the team can stifle the opponent collectively 

JBlitz1

March 24th, 2019 at 9:32 AM ^

Dunk fest!  Love that a team not known for working the paint starts the game with 3 dunks and has 7(?) for the game along with several slicing lay ups and another Capn Hook!  Seems like I say it every year, I love this team's personality and feistiness!  Bielien is amazing