Michigan's Great Track Record: Only One NFL Draft Bust?

Submitted by BursleyHall82 on

With the NFL Draft Combine taking place this week, there's been a lot of talk about the all-time biggest NFL Draft busts.

Unlike a certain other B1G school in our state, I would argue that Michigan's track record in NOT producing NFL Draft busts is pretty darn good. If you draft a Wolverine, there's an excellent chance he'll have a career at or above his draft spot.

I would argue that there's only been one true NFL Draft bust from U-M: Trezelle Jenkins. He was drafted in the first round in 1995 (31st overall), but only appeared in nine NFL games over three seasons.

Aside from that, our NFL Draft record is excellent. So rest assured, NFL: If you take any of the 14 guys at the combine, you'll get what you draft for.

JMo

March 1st, 2017 at 11:57 AM ^

I think you're confusing "not living up to expectations" with "bust."

Braylon had an 8 year NFL career. One in which he caught 16 TDs in one season, four seasons of over 800 yds receiving and over 50 catches.  No one can argue that the potential was there for him to be a Megatron-like receiver.  But using a Lions metaphor he was closer to Megatron than Charles Rogers, definitely not a "bust."

stephenrjking

March 1st, 2017 at 12:17 PM ^

Yeah, Braylon is not an appropriate selection for this category. He was a good NFL player. Had his issues and could have been better, but a long way from a bust. I'm not a fan of calling guys who get hurt busts, either. Busts to me are guys that didn't belong in the roles they were drafted in, couldn't cut it. Biakabatuka was great in the few moments that he was healthy in the NFL; that health just never stuck. Terrell is, sadly, a much better example.

gmoney41

March 1st, 2017 at 12:26 PM ^

Considering Braylon had 1 good year, I would put him as a huge bust.  He should have been a perennial all pro with his size and speed, but drops plagued him.  Braylon was NOT a good NFl player, other than that good year with Cleveland, he did nothing in the league.  Jason Avant was a million times better than Braylon in the league.   Hell, Breaston had a better pro career than Braylon.  For the 3rd pick in the draft, he was a bust.

JMo

March 1st, 2017 at 1:32 PM ^

Again, there's a difference between being a bust and simply not living up to expectations.  Braylon had an 8 year NFL career.  Was a Pro Bowler and All Pro.  In that same season he led the NFL in TD receptions.  He had 3 other years of 50+ catches and 800+ yards.

Not a hall of famer.  Not a perennial top guy.  Not even a "good" NFL career.  Did he underperform expectations that we all had for him?  Yes, of course.  But the sheer fact that he remained on an NFL roster for 8 years pretty much eliminates him from the "bust" category. The fact that he was at one point in his career among the very best at his position, eliminates him from "bust" but doesn't mean that he didn't underperform.

As far as busts go... he's not even in the same conversation as someone like Charles Rogers (15 gms 38 catches), Vernon Gholson (45 gms 24 tackles), Jamarcus Russell (31gms 65.2 rtg), and other notable actual busts.

JMo

March 1st, 2017 at 3:51 PM ^

Your original group:
 
David Terrell: 8th overall pick
 
Chris Perry: 26th overall pick
 
Braylon Edwards: 3rd overall pick
 
Tim Biakabutuka: 8th overall pick
 
 
 
Your stated criteria for who is a bust and who isn't, based on relative draft position and you "expect them to have an all-pro career"...  
 
So by this criteria, I guess more busts you've forgotten:
 
Jake Long: 1 overall pick, only 2 years as all-pro
 
Brandon Graham: 13th overall, only 1 year (16) as all-pro
 
Taylor Lewan (verge of bust? only 4 years in): 11th overall, no years yet as all-pro
 
 
I dont disagree with Terrell, Perry or Tim B from the original list. Braylon wasn't a bust, at least in the more accepted traditional definition of the term... J. Russell, C. Rogers, V. Gholston, Leaf, etc.  He failed to meet the lofty expectations we all had for him, but he didn't blow up or burn out in a short amount of time, he had four good seasons, of which one was great, in an eight year NFL career.  
 
For the record I don't think Jake Long was a bust either, he was the number 1 overall pick so your relative expectations scale to draft position should have him as a career all-pro and I guess maybe HOF consideration? I don't know, it's your scale.  He played 8ish seasons, had four good years, two of which were great, and fell way below the lofty expectations we all had for him. Not a bust.

Michigan4Life

March 1st, 2017 at 7:08 PM ^

aren't bust but Braylon Edwards was definitely a bust. All three had good years on a consistent basis. Brandon Graham is a top 10 edge pass rusher in the league. Jake Long was a mainstay as a starting LT and Lewan is a starting LT. Braylon Edwards had one good year and wasn't good the rest.

mjv

March 1st, 2017 at 2:11 PM ^

A "bust" is entirely relative to expecations.

I don't think its possible for a player to be a bust if drafted in the 3rd or 4th round or later. Given that sort of draft position, it is obvious expectations are low.

A #3 pick has much higher expectations.  Ryan Leaf had 4 years on NFL rosters and 2 more on practice squads.  But he's one of the biggest busts of all time because he went #2.

I think a WR taken in the top 3 has very lofty expectations.

1974

March 1st, 2017 at 1:26 PM ^

Busts of some degree:

Terrance Taylor: 4th-round pick, never played

Jeremy LeSueur: 3rd-round pick, played only part of one season

Marlin Jackson: Played five years (three or so as a starter) but had a pretty quiet career for a 1st-round pick.

Magnus

March 2nd, 2017 at 8:39 AM ^

That's generally true about Jackson, but he signed with the Eagles after he left the Colts and promptly tore his Achilles. So it's not that he played himself out of the league. He just suffered a major injury and was unable to come back.

lhglrkwg

March 1st, 2017 at 12:55 PM ^

Though a 2nd round pick QB is still someone you hope will grow into starter-quality over time. I don't think Chad has ever threatended to be a starting NFL QB. I think of depth QBs being drafted in the 4th-7th rounds. I would think the Jaguars were expecting Henne to grow into a starter eventually and he has not

stephenrjking

March 1st, 2017 at 12:14 PM ^

Disagree. No QB that lasts until the second round is expected to be a long-running top 15 NFL QB. Anyone that is projected to be above average is a sure-fire first rounder. Henne was a starter on a bad team for years, played ok at times, didn't emerge as a long-term winning starter, and stayed on as a backup for the same team. That's reasonable value for a second-round pick. (He was picked right next to Brian Brohm, where is he right now?)

saveferris

March 1st, 2017 at 1:50 PM ^

Here are the QBs taken in the 2008 NFL Draft and their draft position

Matt Ryan, BC - 1st round (3rd)

Joe Flacco, Delaware - 1st round (18th)

Brian Brohm, Louisville - 2nd round (56th)

Chad Henne, Michigan - 2nd round (57th)

Kevin O'Connell, San Diego St - 3rd round (94th)

John David Booty, USC - 5th round (137th)

Dennis Dixon, Oregon - 5th round (156th)

Josh Johnson, San Diego - 5th round (160th)

Erik Ainge, Tennesse - 5th round (162nd)

Colt Brennan, Hawaii - 6th round (186th)

Andre Woodson, Kentucky - 6th round (198th)

Matt Flynn, LSU - 7th round (209th)

Alex Brink, WSU - 7th round (223rd)

 

Of these guys, only Ryan, Flacco, and Henne are still in the league.  Sure, Henne didn't wind up in their class, but he's proven worthy of an NFL roster spot for going on 10 seasons.  Let's show him a little respect fellas.

saveferris

March 1st, 2017 at 2:20 PM ^

There are only 32 starting QB jobs in the NFL and in any given season, how many of those are really up for grabs?  Three?  Four?  Any QB you take after top 2 or 3 prospects is almost always a roll of the dice; unless it's 1983 and 6 QBs get taken in the 1st round, with the 6th being Dan Marino.

WeimyWoodson

March 1st, 2017 at 11:57 AM ^

They want to get drafted.  That's why several recruiting experts believe that Michigan will recieve its best recruiting boom after this years draft class.  Possibly having 14 players drafted will look much better.  It's part of the reason OSU had such a good class last year.