CFP Rankings Speculation
Welp. I'm as pissed as anyone but fortunately Michigan still controls its own destiny.
Today was the classic late season, everyone loses Saturday and we thought it would be dull. So with #2 Clemson, #3 Michigan, #4 Washington, "#8" Texas A&M & #9 Auburn all losing what happens Tuesday? Believe it or not, our loss was probably the most respectable of them all with Clemson losing at home to a similar team and Washington lost by double-digits at home to a ranked team.
I have no idea how you sort this out. Do we even drop? I'm guessing
- Alabama
- Ohio State
- Michigan??
- Louisville??
- Clemson
- Washington
It's going to be hard for the committee to justify throwing Louisville past Clemson and all the way up to 3 and no one else can really justify overtaking us but OSU. Is there a shot we stay put with a last second loss on the road at night?
November 13th, 2016 at 12:09 AM ^
November 13th, 2016 at 12:48 AM ^
That's all true, but the issue is that as of 8:00 PM tonight, we were likely in the CFP even with a close loss to OSU. No more.
November 13th, 2016 at 2:06 AM ^
With all the upsets today if they get out of Iowa City with a 13-11 win and as long as they beat IU and at worst lose a close game in Columbus and they are probably in the playoff. Now, they half to win out. A 2 loss UM team is not making the CFP.
November 13th, 2016 at 12:09 AM ^
1. Alabama
2. Ohio State
3. Any other SEC team.
4. Cleveland Browns
5. Michigan
6. Any other school with Alabama in the name.
7. Charles Xavier's school for the gifted.
8. ???
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November 13th, 2016 at 12:20 AM ^
November 13th, 2016 at 12:25 AM ^
Cleveland was up at halftime against the Ravens. So yeah, they're pretty good.
November 13th, 2016 at 12:12 AM ^
Washington lost to a ranked team who is hot as hell, but Washington does not really have any good wins.
1. Alabama
2. Ohio State
3. Louisville
4. Michigan
5. Clemson
6. Washington
7. Wisconsin
8.Oklahoma
9. Penn State
10. Colorado
November 13th, 2016 at 12:51 AM ^
Clemson will be above us. A lot of people were not sold on Michigan and we did nothing to change that opinion. Meawhile, they are all over Clemson - even though they shouldn't be - mostly because of Watson and last year.
November 13th, 2016 at 12:23 AM ^
a road loss by a mere point against a halfway-decent opponent?
For better or worse, those things do happen. Undefeated seasons are rare events. Playing on the road is tough. That's a better loss than either Clemson's loss (at home) or Washington's loss (at home).
OSU --- given the direct comparison to Michigan in the Penn State and Wisconsin games --- cannot credibly be ahead of Michigan. IMO.
I'd have: 1. Alabama, 2. Michigan, 3. Ohio State, 4. Clemson, 5. Louisville, 6. Wisconsin, 7. Washington ...... then others.
I think that WVU is the single-most-interesting team as regards this week's rankings. They still only have 1 loss. The winner of next week's Oklahoma/WVU game will definitely be at least at the fringes of the playoff talk.
November 13th, 2016 at 1:09 AM ^
November 13th, 2016 at 7:42 PM ^
November 13th, 2016 at 12:13 AM ^
Michigan 3? LOL!
1. Alabama
2. OSU
3. Clemson
4. Louisville
5. Michigan
6. Washington
November 13th, 2016 at 12:19 AM ^
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November 13th, 2016 at 12:29 AM ^
November 13th, 2016 at 12:46 AM ^
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November 13th, 2016 at 12:47 AM ^
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November 13th, 2016 at 12:14 AM ^
we could play decently on the road and IF OSU didn't finally wake up and play offense. I get they have played some horrible teams the last couple of weeks, but theat Nebraska win was impressive to the committee and we just shit the bed to a .500 team.
We have to destroy Indian next week and somehow find a way to be competitive at the shoe. Tall task considering our QB may be out for the next two games and Peppers has beewn overused to the point of being neutralized.
Biggest problem tonight was Brown's defensive gameplan was over aggressive and the pass rush by passed the QB and runnings backs and they controlled the LOS
November 13th, 2016 at 12:15 AM ^
November 13th, 2016 at 2:08 AM ^
in that a scenario, a one loss OSU team is probably going to make the playoffs.
November 13th, 2016 at 9:49 AM ^
November 13th, 2016 at 12:18 AM ^
November 13th, 2016 at 12:17 AM ^
November 13th, 2016 at 1:51 AM ^
I hate to say it, but OSU will be ranked number 2 next week. Therefore, even if Penn State goes to the Big championship and OSU wins out, I highly doubt they drop a 1 loss OSU team that is ranked 2 out of the top 4 teams in the playoff. I could see a possibility that a two loss big ten champ and a one loss OSU team in the 4 team playoff. We need to just win out and let this not be a factor.
November 13th, 2016 at 12:18 AM ^
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November 13th, 2016 at 12:23 AM ^
...they'll undo it all after the conference championship games, giving bumps to the winners. They might well put Louisville ahead of Clemson on Tuesday but they won't keep them there if Clemson wins out.
Alabama is in unless they lose twice.
Michigan, Ohio State, Clemson and Washington are all in if they win out.
Louisville is only in if they win out and there's an upset in one of the championship games other than the SEC. (It's possible a 2-loss Wisconsin would end up ahead of Louisville too.)
Next comes West Virginia if they win out.
Then they start picking from the 2-loss conference champions. Maybe the M/OSU loser is in this slot too but I'm guessing the loser of that game is out now.
November 13th, 2016 at 12:31 AM ^
November 13th, 2016 at 12:19 AM ^
November 13th, 2016 at 12:19 AM ^
and got smoked at PSU last week. This may hurt more than you think.
What saves us everyone else of consequence lost too. Winning out just looks tougher after that crapfest. Our two real road games and we didn't dominate either one like we should have.
November 13th, 2016 at 12:20 AM ^
November 13th, 2016 at 12:56 AM ^
Washington lost to USC, one of the hottest teams in the country. A lot of peple saw this coming. USC is not Iowa.
November 13th, 2016 at 5:25 AM ^
November 13th, 2016 at 12:21 AM ^
Given that there are only 6 1-loss teams left, I'd be really surprised if we fell farther than 5. I could see Louisville jumping us, but not so sure about Washington.
November 13th, 2016 at 12:29 AM ^
I think you forgot West Virginia.
(Well, Boise and Western and SDSU and Troy, too, but I know you're talking about P5.)
November 13th, 2016 at 12:24 AM ^
November 13th, 2016 at 12:33 AM ^
November 13th, 2016 at 1:27 AM ^
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November 13th, 2016 at 12:21 AM ^
November 13th, 2016 at 12:23 AM ^
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November 13th, 2016 at 1:18 AM ^
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November 13th, 2016 at 12:50 AM ^
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November 13th, 2016 at 1:42 AM ^
November 13th, 2016 at 10:55 AM ^
November 13th, 2016 at 12:22 AM ^
With Wilton banged up, maybe there will be a coming out party next week for John O'Korn.
November 13th, 2016 at 12:25 AM ^
November 13th, 2016 at 12:22 AM ^
November 13th, 2016 at 12:23 AM ^
hard to imagine Bama losing, so one spot to them.
Clemson most likely wins the ACC, so do they get in with Louisville? Just Clemson?
PAC-12 seems out.
OKlahoma is long shot, but those odds got better tonight.
In the BIG...if Michigan wins out, they are the only team to make it. But, say OSU and PSU win out regular season, and Wisconsin beats PSU in the title game. That would put Wisky and OSU in, right?
November 13th, 2016 at 12:34 AM ^
In fact I think Washington probably still controls their own destiny. 12-1 off a win over Colorado or Utah, vs. an 11-1 Louisville with only one win all year over a top-50 (Massey) team.
It's not hard to put together a scenario that gets Colorado in if they win out, either. They would have closed with three really good wins (Wazzoo, Utah, Washington) and their two losses are good ones.