Michigan Monday up at the Ozone

Submitted by StephenRKass on

Michigan Monday is up at the Ozone.

LINK:  Michigan Monday:  the Land of 1,000 Breaks

Overview:

Every road conference win is a good win and Saturday night's 29-26 win at Minnesota (4-4, 1-3) for Michigan (6-2, 3-1) was no different, even if the Wolverines did look a bit odd along the way.
In the end, however, the Michigan defense won the game on a goal-line stand that should have been unnecessary, but thanks to the Gophers' buffoonery it absolutely was not. In a game that saw Minnesota's offense receive a number of baffling breaks, when they had to have a single yard, they just couldn't get it. Twice.
The weird parts came soon after that 14-3 lead, however, and then kept coming. Gopher quarterback Mitch Leidner was completing passes to falling receivers, receivers who were open simply because of the inaccuracy of the pass, and even one off of a Michigan defender's hands. We can call them flukes if you want, but they happened because the Wolverine defense didn't make the plays that were available to them, and that's the one thing a coach is going to ask of every single one of his players. Still, the most surprising part for me was how well Minnesota ran the ball — and they only ran for 166 yards and averaged 4.1 yards per carry — but don't tell me you weren't surprised by it either. The Michigan defense has set a standard for itself that now sees 166 yards on the ground as something wrong, and that's a very, very good thing. In the end, however, we can impugn Michigan's defense all we want for the 461 yards they gave up, but Minnesota had two shots from inside the 1-yard line to win the game and neither came close to getting into the end zone. For that reason alone, it was a very successful day for the Wolverine defense.

Offense:

I applaud Michigan trying whatever they can to get a running game going, from the reverses with receiver Jehu Chesson, to all of the different things they do with Jabrill Peppers. Jim Harbaugh recognizes that every little bit counts and the more explosion he can get to his offense, the easier everything else becomes.
Michigan is No. 110 in the nation in number of plays that gain 10 or more yards from scrimmage. They have just 92 such plays in eight games. They are tied with Louisiana-Monroe, Louisiana-Lafayette and, most egregiously, Syracuse.
Of Michigan's 30-yard runs, two are by receiver Jehu Chesson, two are by De'Veon Smith, one belongs to tailback Ty Isaac and another to fullback Joe Kerridge. That's six total. Penn State running back Saquon Barkley and Ohio State running back Ezekiel Elliott each have five a piece. Heck, even OSU quarterback J.T. Barrett has two and he's carried the ball 63 fewer times.
The numbers are no better in terms of big plays in the passing game, which will surprise absolutely nobody reading this. Their 20 receptions of at least 20 yards is No. 97 in the nation. The five receptions of at least 30 yards is No. 121 in the nation, and bested by 39 individual wide receivers. Michigan is also one of 14 teams that have not had a 50-yard completion this season.

On Defense:

Minnesota attacked Michigan's safeties and linebackers in the passing game, which is something that I've been saying teams should do for a while now. Early in the game, every third down pass was aimed at a safety, and they were successful in picking up first downs.
The Gophers also caught linebacker Desmond Morgan in coverage against running back Shannon Brooks, which turned into a 40-yard gain on a wheel route. Though to term it "coverage" would be giving Morgan an enormous amount of credit. It was overall a pretty rough game for Morgan defending the pass and they attacked him on the sideline and over the middle.
Ross's first huge play came early in the fourth quarter when he sacked Leidner on third-and-7 from the Minnesota 23 for a 12-yard loss. The Gophers punted the ball from the 11-yard line, but it went out of bounds at their own 40-yard line. This left backup quarterback Wilton Speight with just a 40-yard drive in order to put the ball in the end zone, which was clearly a manageable number. Could he have done it from 80 yards? Because of the sack by Ross, we didn't have to find out.

When Michigan was Jabrill Peppers:

It's pretty clear that we need a new area to talk about defensive back/running back/wildcat/slot receiver/icon Jabrill Peppers because with everything he is doing on offense, defense and special teams, it's just easier to centrally locate it all. I wasn't charting it, but just off hand I can remember him lining up at running back, quarterback, slot receiver, cornerback, nickel back, and probably safety. He was even the boundary cornerback, which asks him to run defend more than field corner. I believe he played 92 snaps total. They really have no worries about putting him anywhere on this offense or defense, and they shouldn't.
A year ago I voted for the top 15 players in the B1G for a magazine before the season started and I put Peppers at No. 15 before he ever played a game. I don't know if he is an All-Big Ten player this season because he doesn't really have a home, but I doubt if you let the B1G coaches have a draft that he would last 15 spots.

What Does It All Mean?

It means that Michigan's offense is what it is at this point, but Jim Harbaugh is doing his absolute damnedest to make it more of what it isn't. He is trying to give it more explosion, but along the way he is also forced to entertain the neighborhood kids with sparklers because that's what he has the most of. This is an offense without a dynamic runner or thrower, and Peppers and Chesson aren't going to change it enough to make this a running game worth fearing. It does need to be respected because De'Veon Smith is a brute, Drake Johnson is an athlete, and the fullbacks are sneaky, but none of them should be feared by a defense.
So what happens if the Michigan defensive line isn't getting a push and they are facing an offense that has receivers outside and inside and they can also run the ball from every angle as well? That's a lot to ask of any defense, and in a few weeks the Buckeyes will be asking it of Michigan.

As always, there is a ton, ton more. Go to the link. Worth your time for another read.

My two cents: I'll be happy with 8 - 4 given the last two games. And if we manage to beat OSU, well, Harbaugh has some scary incredible juju that is beyond anything I've ever seen.

Mgodiscgolfer

November 3rd, 2015 at 12:33 AM ^

the run game criticism but then he said the run game should be respected just not feared and I felt that was more of a push between the two. then he lost me with "MSU went right after Jourdan Lewis with Aaron Burbridge, pitting Michigan's best against Michigan States best. they were succesful".  To completely ignore Conner Cooks ball placement is a slap in Jourdans face, he was on Burbridge like icing on cake. Yes they made some completions, did you think he (Lewis) would stone Cook and Burbridge together? No way, nobody has and nobody will. MSU was hoping to win with that UM defense up there jacksie all damn afternoon.

This game in fact told me that UM is on the right track and will be winning like the good ole days...To lose in that fashion is so damn UM in the old days it reminded me of the phantom TD  or the Rocket returns from the visiting Irish. Brian Griese tripping over the 35 yard line on his way to the end zone. It would have put a nail in the coffin of Alabama in a bowl game but Noooo he trips over his own two feet. UM loses. How about the time that UM would have beat Nebraska in a Bowl game just the same way Miami did it the other day but legally. I forgot the Tight ends name off hand but he has a convoy headed to the endzone to steal victory from the jaws of defeat and what does he do? He runs out of bounds. Game over. I could not believe what I saw. This is off the top of my head I am sure there are more shoulda coulda losses than I can possibly remember. So tell the world UM is back and Go Blue!

 

StephenRKass

November 3rd, 2015 at 9:33 AM ^

First, as regards Lewis, I go to what Brian said. Namely, if a QB does exactly what he is supposed to, and a receiver the same, they are going to complete passes, no fault of the CB. This isn't a knock on Lewis, but a single lock down corner isn't enough. And I think that going forward, you are going to see QB's attack the middle and the LB's and the safeties a lot more. Avoid Lewis for the most part, but if you have more than one good receiver, you're ok.

I think Michigan is coming back, but they aren't back yet. Harbaugh needs better skill players. He needs a better QB, better RB's, and a good number 1 receiver. We just don't have the skill players needed yet.

EGD

November 3rd, 2015 at 10:30 AM ^

I think the only thing we are really missing is a good QB. If we had that, the receivers would look better and running the ball would be a hell of a lot easier. But I still consider Michigan "back." We have a team that is now good enough to compete with any opponent on the schedule, and when we lose games (or almost lose them) it's because our guys didn't make the plays they needed to on that particular day--not because we just suck and don't belong on the same field with whomever we are playing.

alum96

November 3rd, 2015 at 12:02 PM ^

We lost 3-4 games many years post 1990.  So to that end Michigan is back.   Michigan has not had a FSU, USC, Oklahoma, OSU, Bama type run of 1 to 2 loss seasons for 7-8 consecutive yrs since Bo's days.  So yes we are back to Carr era already which is a testament to Harbaugh. 

Now to get back to "Bo era" we need to take the next step.

Taysom Hill cmon down!

EGD

November 3rd, 2015 at 5:27 PM ^

Right.  I guess everybody has their own idea of what it means for Michigan to be "back."  For me, the sort of "typical" Michigan season is ~ 10-3 with a share of the Big Ten title, a New Year's Day bowl game, a finish in the AP top 10, and probably within about four or five plays of being 12-1.  A season like 1999 or 2004, for instance.  Some years are a little better, some a little worse, but if you sometimes go 8-4 you also sometimes go into The Game undefeated.

I suppose the standard might be higher for people who were around for Bo's heyday in the '70s.  But I was < 5, so I don't really know what that was like.  

 

 

CoverZero

November 3rd, 2015 at 1:12 AM ^

Tony is spot on with his praising of Pepper's football IQ.  He is about the smartest damned player that Ive ever seen.  Just watching him on punt returns alone is watching a guy who completely understands and executes the role of a top punt returner.  Fair catches, even letting it roll are done precisely correctly.  I hope Im not going to jinx him by saying that his command of the game is impressive.

CoverZero

November 3rd, 2015 at 1:16 AM ^

Michigan's running game O line continues to be a disappoinment, 3 seasons in to what was supposed to be a great 12 OL class.  The other classes of the Hoke era were generally consided to be good OL recruits as well. 

At this point, these guys are who we thought they were not, and won't improve much until new guys come up to replace them.  Maybe Cole has some upside?  He has not impressed this season either though.  They are all kinda blah in terms of run game and OK in pass protect.  

It doesnt help that Smith has 0 explosion and Drake has been hurt.  If heathy, he has to be the top RB going forward.

shoes

November 3rd, 2015 at 9:52 AM ^

HAS been disappointing. A healthy Drake Johnson getting most of the snaps being spelleld by Smith does seem like the optimal. Hopefully the O-line is better at run blocking next year than this year and then is better still the year after till we get the point where we are just plugging in and playing 3rd and 4th year guys down the road. That will be a slow process though.

MGoStrength

November 3rd, 2015 at 5:54 AM ^

Playing at State College makes me nervous because I've seen UM lose too many times there.  It is not an easy place to play and it's the week before OSU, which makes it somewhat of a trap game.  Hopefully due to it's November schedule it will be an early start making it a little less intimidating than a night game.  All that said, I'd still be a little disapointed if we dropped that one.  9-3 sounds good to me, 8-4 sounds OK, but not great.

Former_DC_Buck

November 3rd, 2015 at 7:23 AM ^

I think the kickoff time of your game with PSU will be determined by whatever time the decided to set our game with MSU. I just don't see them being on at the same time or with much if any overlap.  I suspect OSU ( and perhaps the B1G and ABC/ESPN) are trying to convince MSU to go with 8 pm, which makes your game likely 3:30.  If we go 3:30 you guys are probably Noon, unless Harbaugh and Hackett agree to a night game at Happy Valley.

I think from a crowd perspective, you would be best served by a noon kickoff. Your game is Penn State's Whiteout game for the season.  Like many fanbases the later it gets, the louder they get.  That whiteout looks great and feeds on itself at night.  I'm not sure it would do as much at noon.  3:30 since the time change is going to get dark by halftime, especially as they are further east in the time zone, so it gets dark a bit earlier.  

Penn State has also been suffering a bit of an attendance malaise this year.  Their home schedule is, for the most part, uninspiring.  You guys, are by far, the marquee game for them at home this year.  Unfortunately for them, this is the weekend before Thanksgiving and there is concern in the PSU fanbase that the students may not turn out because they are going to head home early for the Thanksgiving holiday.  If both of you keep winning, maybe more will choose to stay.  But if they trip up at Northwestern this weekend, while it still will be a hostile road environement, it will not be what it could be. 

MGoStrength

November 3rd, 2015 at 8:09 AM ^

Agreed, I am hoping for a noon game.  I have tickets and despite the lack of tailgating, I'd prefer to stay a little warmer with a noon start.  PSU always whites out the UM game, or at least has the last two times I was at this game in 2009 and 2013.  That 2009 game on Halloween night was awful :/.  C'mon noon!

Sideline

November 3rd, 2015 at 10:29 AM ^

There will still be classes Monday and Tuesday... The next weekend would be the weekend for concern... Which I am actually going back to Ann Arbor, so I suspect Alums will fill the little void of students leaving... Especially at a place like Happy Valley

M-Dog

November 3rd, 2015 at 1:07 PM ^

I grew up in PA and went to Penn State games since the '80s.  More than any other place I can think of, there is a enormous dichotomy between noon games at Penn State and night games at Penn State.

A white-out night game at Penn State is the stuff of legends.  We saw what happened the last couple of times we played in one.  Strange shit happens.

But a noon game, white out or not, is just a game.  Yes, there will be a lot of people and they will be into it, but there will be no magic ju ju for them.

They really feed on those white-out night games.  If I was them, I would have them for every single important game.

Ghost of Fritz…

November 3rd, 2015 at 6:25 AM ^

At that time we were all expecting the offense to develop and especially for Rudock to get more in synch with the downfield passing game. 

If that had happened, we would all be much more confident in beating Penn State and in the OSU game being decided in the last 5 minutes.

But it has not happened yet.  If that part of the offense would emerge, the running game would suddenly look a lot better. 

In addition, Michigan needs Deveon Smith to get fully healthy. 

 

 

StephenRKass

November 3rd, 2015 at 9:42 AM ^

Spot on. A month ago, I was a Rudock cheerleader. I thought it was just a matter of time until he got the timing down with Darboh and Chesson. I thought it was inevitable that between Canteen, Cole, Perry, Harris, and Ways, someone would really grab the number one receiver position. Cole has been injured all season. Harris is dinged. I still haven't seen anything really from Canteen or Ways. And Perry is just another freshman.

As regards Deveon Smith, he isn't going to get fully healthy this season. Well, the only way he gets healthy is to sit for at least the next two games. I feel like giving carries to Johnson, and maybe Green, Higdon, even Isaac, to give Smith the time to recuperate more fully. Of course he wants to play, but he keeps on hurting his ankle. And so, he'll never be able to push off and give it everything until he is better.

Given our passing game, every team is going to stack the line. We are going to be hurting against PSU and OSU unless something changes very soon.

StephenRKass

November 3rd, 2015 at 10:08 AM ^

I actually agree with you. And I want Rudock to be healthy enough to play, especially against PSU and OSU. The thing is, I thought that he would eventually regularly complete long passes downfield. I no longer am confident in this. Rudock is who he is, which is ok. Hopefully, between Speight, Gentry, O'Korn, and Peters, someone will really stand out for the 2016 season.

Sideline

November 3rd, 2015 at 10:25 AM ^

I expect O'Korn to just shred defenses next year... Watch his film at Houston... As a [True?] Freshman, just hit throws here and there with such ease. You can mention it's because of lower level competition, but he's still hitting receivers on time. One thing I think Rudock lacks.

Year of Revenge II

November 3rd, 2015 at 9:50 AM ^

It is a team sport, and it is not almost 100% linked to any one factor. Our QB is a major improvement in decision-making, but downfield is not his strong suit. Our best break-away back plays defense. Receivers are playing great, but are not field stretchers. Line is improving, but was miserable even 1 year ago. Coaches have only had 1 spring and 8 games to change the culture here before, which was one of "this is Michigan" defiant incompetence, a losing culture, and you can thank Denard that it was not total irrelevance. AD, HARBAUGH, and team are moving in great direction. They know what to do. Give it a chance to work. They are going to be winning championships whether we like it or not. They do not need our help, but they love our support. And I still think the longer downfield passing will come, and by the end of this year too.

Sten Carlson

November 3rd, 2015 at 11:30 AM ^

Yes, it's a team sport, and as such, perhaps my 100% statement was a bit hyperbolic. I too share your optimism that a few deep passes will be hit, but I disagree that the WR aren't field stretchers. Chesson is as fast as anyone in the nation and can often be seen running deep route, he's just not being hit. Defensive scheming a often a "pick your poison" proposition. Opposing DC's have made it clear that they're giving Michigan the back end if they can take it, but they will not let them ground and pound the ball all day. This is nothing new for Michigan. Unfortunately, we have the pass blocking to give the QB ample time, but the QB can't/won't let it rip. How many times do we see Jake drop back, have plenty of time, start to make his throwing motion, only to hesitate and pull it down or check it down? This was Iowa's beef with him too. I love Jake for, as you aptly mention, his decision making. He's poised, prepared, and seems completely adept and getting the offense into the right play. But, his limitations don't seem to be improving.

Der Alte

November 3rd, 2015 at 9:18 AM ^

As the football season grinds on, we’ve come to see more clearly our football team’s strengths and weaknesses. Observers such as Tony Gerdeman have gladly assisted us in attaining such clarification.
On defense, Tony says Minn targeted our safeties, who are OK but not great. We know we have an AA candidate at one corner; at the other corner we have a candidate for a “just-about-good-enough” award. The LBs are big, but not quite agile enough to cover passes to fast RBs. The D-line, on the other hand, is pretty damn good, and Peppers playing whatever D position (or O position) he happens to play is consistently outstanding. Leave a discussion of the offense to another day.
What Tony implies, but does not quite say, is that in the Minn game, despite getting run over, victimized by desperation heaves that never should have been caught (by their intended receivers, anyway) and by certain but dropped INTs, the M defense found a way to preserve a conference road game win. Coach Jim said that one play never decides a game; at Minn a number of key plays led up to the last-second goal line stand. But as that play commenced and the one camera angle parallel to the LOS caught Ryan Glasgow expertly diving into the Minn center’s legs thus neutralizing any push he otherwise might have had, the camera also caught a level of mental toughness and a will to win heretofore sorely lacking in M football.
The M D didn’t have its “A” game Saturday night ---- it might not have even had its “B” game. But in the end it had whatever was necessary to hang on and win. It’s that attitude that Coach Jim has brought to this team. They might not win every game from here on, but they will be in every game from here on. Go Blue.

StephenRKass

November 3rd, 2015 at 9:47 AM ^

This is an awesome post. Thanks for your comments. You have articulated exactly what I feel. Namely, Michigan is not going to quit, and is going to play tough all the way to the final whistle. They are going to find a way to win if at all possible. Really, Michigan should be 7 - 1 at this point.

Even so, we have been exposed, and Harbaugh can only do so much with the talent he has. Where there is a clear talent disparity (OSU, definitely) and you have an upper echelon coach (Meyer), it is going to be hard for Michigan to win. That may be frustrating, but it is the reality. And with Harbuagh, I think Michigan has a chance in every game they play. Gerdeman said earlier in the season, and I agree, that Harbaugh has the team playing above and beyond their actual physical ability. That is an incredible thing.

BlueinLansing

November 3rd, 2015 at 10:19 AM ^

8-4, recognizing the short comings of your personnel is better than 8-4 with 2 or 3 tire fire escapes against really crappy teams.

 

I will say, these next 4 games are not going to be easy.

jblaze

November 3rd, 2015 at 1:19 PM ^

Rutgers will be easy, because it's at home. However, I agree that @ Indiana and PSU is scary. I think we probably lose to OSU and PSU at this point, which still is a huge improvement over last year and impressive given our poor QB play.

kevin holt

November 3rd, 2015 at 10:41 AM ^

Who says our DL isn't going to get any push? NSFMF

And if Peppers isn't All-B1G just because it's hard to define his position, there's a problem. The All-B1G defensive teams are organized as Line, Defensive Back, and Linebacker (and Punter). You don't have to get into the debate of whether he's a safety or cornerback or neither because they would slot him as a DB.

If Peppers doesn't make All-B1G with 8 slots (four DB positions, two teams), the awards are rigged.

GoBlueDenver

November 3rd, 2015 at 11:20 AM ^

I didn't want to start a new thread to ask, but what station carries this Jim Harbaugh radio show that Ira mentioned on WTKA this morning? Harbaugh mentions the best natural steroid being sleep, then milk, etc.

Mr. Flood

November 3rd, 2015 at 3:14 PM ^

The 4 losses I thought would be:

@Utah, MSU, @Minn & OSU

I was wrong about @Minn, but they don't look as good as I thought they would be before the season started. Penn State is looking better than I thought they would though, so it still looks like 8-4 to me.

 

Steweiler

November 3rd, 2015 at 6:23 PM ^

Gerd is not lying.  He is pretty on-point, as he has been for a while now.  I can see more this year that there is a lot less mockery and much more respect for us.