UM vs OSU Talent

Submitted by DenverBuckeye on

I'm intrigued by a few of the posters on the interview with Michael Citro who noted or didn't like that OSU fans seem to have the opinion that UM has inferior talent team-wide than the Buckeyes. From your view, how do you think UM and OSU stack up to each other by position group? My thoughts:

QB = OSU>UM (Even with any perceived weaknesses, Braxton is above any UM QB by a comfortable margin)

RB = OSU>UM (Elliott, Dunn, and Smith have all played well when they've had snaps. UM's OL may have held back the RBs last year, but at this point I can't say I'd take any of UM's backs over those 3)

OL = OSU>UM (After watching UM's OL this spring, I'll take OSU's even with the new starters)

WR = wash (A number of OSU fans will argue this, but our talent is young and unproven. Until they do it on the field I can't say they are better. I'll say Smith/Wilson = Funchess for now. After him UM is also unproven, but talented and athletic as well)

DL = OSU>>>UM (OSU has one of the top 2 or 3 DLs in the nation)

*LB = UM>OSU *Edited after good counter arguments* (With pre-injury Ryan, I would've said advantage UM. But he wasn't quite the same after coming back last year and until he shows that he's fully back, I can't give him a demonstrative edge. I also don't like the move to the middle. Perry will be entering his third year as a starter and he was solid last year for OSU. After that, I consider both teams to be lacking in star power for now)

*CB = UM>OSU *Edited after good counter arguments* (I was tempted to give OSU the edge because I think Grant is better than any corner UM has, but that is arguable. OSU has a lot of young talent and size, but it's unproven. From an outsider's perspective, it seems UM has played multiple guys with almost the same results year after year and none of their names stick out to me)

S = OSU > UM (I think OSU has more pure talent, but the lack of experience is notable. Powell was solid as a starter last year and brings elite size and good athleticism. Bell was good in his first start as a true freshman and the coaches seem to love him. Burrows is a ridiculous athlete and Tanner is a solid veteran as backups. UM seems to only have 1 identified starting safety for now. What is going on with Thomas? Peppers seems like a good bet, but who knows until he gets on campus)

Specialists = OSU>UM (Cameron Johnston was one of the better punters in the country last year. I expect him to be in All-American consideration as a sophomore. Hagerup is back after being held out a year, but never wowed me. Both teams are replacing starting kickers. Wile has some experience and is 5/8 on FGs. Due to that, he gets a slight edge over our freshman Nuernberger)

LB could easily swing UM's way once the season starts. WR could as well. I think CB easily swings OSU's way unless Peppers ends up playing a CB and lives up to his talent right away.

Feel free to rip it apart, but please give me justifications. I'm trying to get a clear, unbiased view of the two rosters and you all are obviously more knowledgeable about UM's than I am.

 

DenverBuckeye

May 14th, 2014 at 8:30 AM ^

I don't disagree at all. I think it's a strong indictment of OSU's defensive coaching last year. The secondary was never in sync with the rest of the D and they rarely adjusted. The Orange Bowl proved this perfectly. Just looking at talent alone, there was no way UM should have been a better D than OSU last year. We had two first rounders fergodsakes.

GoWings2008

May 14th, 2014 at 10:03 AM ^

So thats the differentiator as to who is "better" on your list?  If thats the difference maker, then how the hell can you say that Braxton is that much better than DG?  Pure talent alone, they are at worst a wash.  You said yourself DG is a better passer, they are arguably equally good of runners, the slight edge to Braxton, but decision making makes DG worse.  Decision making isn't a talent thing...its a head thing.   This issue just highlights my problem with many buckeye fans.  I usually am okay with you on this blog, you're pretty respectful and that's good.  BUT, the selective application of logic from your fanbase, generally speaking, is astounding.  You can't have it both ways, one line of logic applying to one argument yet using another for a different argument.  Make up your damn minds, pick a line of logic and stick with it.  Enough of this shit. 

Jimmyisgod

May 14th, 2014 at 12:28 PM ^

Not sure what you're looking at for stats, but we were 32nd in the country in total defense in 2013.  Ohio was 57th though.

That is below average for a Michigan team and far from where we need to be.  Where we really fell down though was scoring defense, 61st in the country and one of the worst scoring defenses in school history.  Ohio State was 33rd in scoring defense.

I think the two teams had comparable defenses, we were a little better in total defense, while they were better in scoring defense.

I think Mattison deserved a lot more criticism than he got, it was a bad Michigan defense and one of the worst we've ever had in terms of surrendering points.  People got it in their heads that Borges was the devil though even though half way through the season we were having a historical year offensively and were poised to rewrite the school record book.  We got beat up in East Lansing and our offense didn't do squat most of the rest of the season and Borges took the fall for it, but IMO Mattison coached one of the poorest non Rich Rod defenses that Michigan has had in my lifetime and skated away free of any tough criticism.

I know RR lowered the bar, but since when is 32nd overall and 61st in scoring defense acceptable here?

Smoked Gouda

May 14th, 2014 at 8:23 AM ^

In no way does CB swing OSU's way, especially now that Roby is gone.

Countess is primed to have an all big 10 season, Taylor has been a solid starter (good INT #'s), and we have LOTS of young talent ready to step up. If one of Jourdan Lewis, Stribling, or Peppers (any of which could reasonably contribute at a high level this season), Michigan should have the best CB corps in the Big Ten

alum96

May 14th, 2014 at 8:30 AM ^

UM is still a year away to really compare due to (bleh) "youth" to do a valid comparison.  The only experienced position groups we really have are LBs, CBs, and DEs... and welp QB.  Very difficult to compare talent right now when 70% of ours is going to be 2nd/3rd year players while some of theirs will be 4th/5th year players.  It is like comparing Bosch vs Tyler Hoover of MSU - one was 6 months out of HS, the other was a 6th year DT who was probably balding.  Is Hoover "better" than Bosch?  Yes at this 5 year age difference he sure is - but who knows if they were both 21 years old? I don't.

How do I compare Jourdan Lewis to cornerback X on their team - I have no idea what Jourdan Lewis will be this year now that he had his trial by fire and will be playing "for real" in his 2nd year....  I can say the same for every WR on our roster not named Funchess. Same for the DTs - I saw promise in a few but what known quantity do we have?  Both teams young at RB - who can tell?  And OL - ok nevermind.

In 2015 we will return 10/11 starters on offense if Funchess doesn't leave and we'll finally field a team of most upperclassmen on both sides of the field and it will be simpler to compare.  We are counting on a bevy of players this year who there are major question marks - frankly on offense outside of the 2 Devins there is no known quanitity in terms of what they can truly be this year.   A healthy Butt would have been probably only the 3rd guy I could confidently project this year - we're a team of who knows on offense.

My gut feel was last year there defense did not impress me aside from Shazier and Bosa.  Their back 7 sorta sucked...Roby did not impress.  Their WRs did not impress me - I am used to a much higher quality WR out of OSU over the years - no Ted Ginn Jrs.  Their OL last year was excellent and Hyde was a beast.   They lost a lot of OL and Hyde so they have a lot of questions too.  We had a crap team and yes I know rivalry and at home, but it was anyone's game last year despite a substantial youth and talent gap... so they will be replacing some of their veterans with youth too - so who really knows.  They are actually a quite young team this year.

 

Padog

May 14th, 2014 at 8:29 AM ^

The offensive line should be a wash we return 2 to 3 starters and you return 1 IIRC. Defensive line you are pretty much right on. Cornerbacks, I think we have you here, we return Countess(most INT's in the B1G), Raymon Taylor(solid starter), and bring in the best player in the nation. In addition to depth. We have you there.

Bombadil

May 14th, 2014 at 8:31 AM ^

DenverBuckeye, I appreciate this post. I disagree with some parts of your assessment (mainly defense and QB) but I'm sure many others will purport this.

I am interested in hearing your opinion on coaching. Whatever happened to Meyer's "health issues" he had at Florida? Or was this just code for Nick Saban?

DenverBuckeye

May 14th, 2014 at 8:42 AM ^

I believe the original heart attack scare he had because my grandfather had the exact same situation happen. He was having heart attack symptoms and when we took him to the hospital he was given the same answer that Urban was given. The following year, when he stepped down for good, I don't know. Whether it was truly for health, or maybe family reasons, or maybe the grind of the SEC, I would believe any or all of them. Something had obviously taken a toll on him because he looked like he'd aged ten years in two. I know some people throw out the "Urban was having an affair" rumor and I honestly would believe that, too. I have a buddy with some insight into the program and he says there is a definite difference between Urban at Florida and Urban now at Ohio State. That he's looser/happier. Whatever it was, Urban needed a change and we were on the winning end of it.

Blue Ballers

May 15th, 2014 at 10:18 AM ^

I don't doubt for a second that he had some health issues, but I think the reason he left is because Florida was mediocre at that point.  He left that team in shambles.  Everyone spreads this myth that Urban builds these great programs....when? where?

He went to BG and won with Blackney's players, and inherited 2 stud QB's (Josh Harris, Omar Jacobs).  Then he bolted and stumbled upon a Heisman winning QB and future NFL starter/Pro Bowler.  Won there and left.  Took Zook's team, won a title.  Maintained a upper echelon program, with a Heisman winning QB, for several years, then the wheels fell off and he couldn't take mediocrity.  Then he happens to fall into OSU, with an excellent QB.

 

I am really anxious to see what happens when Braxton is gone.  If he doesn't have a top tier QB, his teams haven't been anything to brag about.  They better hope they can find someone who can excel in that system in the coming years, or I fear he might have more "health issues".

Scarlatina

May 15th, 2014 at 2:43 AM ^

I don't understand why it is so popular to label Urban's health issues as a "myth" or an excuse to leave the SEC. Urban's doctors actually diagnosed his condition as "esophageal spasms," which one of the primary symptoms is "heart attack-like pains" according to the Mayo Clinic.

Also, Urban already had a documented case (diagnosed during his days as an asst. coach at Notre Dame) of an arachnoid cyst that gets inflamed when stressed.

Scarlatina

May 16th, 2014 at 1:38 AM ^

I don't remember there being any doubt when Urban first retired and he said his family urged him to retire because the near heart attack experience has scared them.

The doubt surfaced when Urban took the OSU job even though he explained that it was:

1. His dream job (as mentioned in his 2009 biography)

2. He promised his family that he would handle the job differently. That a large part of his health problems was caused by the stress of micromanaging every unit of his team instead of trusting his assistants.

- According to his family, he has kept those promises. He doesn't work as many late hours as his did in Florida, they have taken more vacations than they ever had since he became a head coach at Bowling Green, and he has made it a priority to attend as many of his daughters' volleyball games as possible. 

Minus The Houma

May 14th, 2014 at 8:31 AM ^

QB = Potentially a Wash.  I feel that if Devin realizes his potential he will exceed what Braxton can do due to better passing while still being dangerous to run.  Last year he had some flashes and just need to pull it together.

RB = OSU>UM.  I think you are on point there.  Michigan has some talent but it is unproven to this point and we haven't been able to see what they can do with any kind of line.

OL = Wash.  Michigan definitely has the talent here, they just need to gel.  I wash this for now due to PTSD from last season.

WR = wash.  Agree

DL = OSU>UM.  Although OSU's dline is stacked Michigan's isn't to shabby.  I think we could see some really nice things this year from Michigan on the dline so I won't put OSU to far ahead.  Although it is clear they are better.

LB = UM>OSU.  Michigan has experience across the backers with guys that have been solid.  With the starters all becoming upperclassmen I think you have to give the edge to Michigan.

CB = wash.  I'll give this a wash too.  OSU has elite talent though they haven't been able to perform.  Michigan has some great young talent and some guys who have done a decent job and may be helped a lot by a change in the defensive mindset.

S = wash.  I think all of these guys have an aspect of not performing and need to prove themselves.  Obvious talent is obvious on both sides though.

Specialists = wash.  Looks like it evens out to me.

 

Right now I think looking at straight talent OSU still has the edge but Michigan is closer than they have been in a bit.  Some of Michigans talent is a few years in now and hopefully will be making some leaps.  It's all about performing though so we will how it goes.

Space Coyote

May 14th, 2014 at 9:17 AM ^

QB - WASH - I think DG is a significantly better passer. Miller is a significantly better runner. But both can do well enough what the other is better at. Gardner was asked to make much more complicated reads last year due and under more pressure last year (whereas Miller had all day with the combination of one of the nation's best OL and RBs, not to mention his threat to run). So, from a purely talent standpoint, I believe it's a wash. But Miller can bail you out when in sticky situations, giving him a slight edge for better fit for both programs.

RB - OSU. But this isn't by a whole lot. EE is good but isn't as proven, neither are Ball or Dunn (Ball the one I like better of the two). The fact that OSU was forced to bring slots into the backfield consistently in the "Harvin" role, showed Meyer's lack of faith that any of the current backs can be significant outside threats, and he never showed those same players to be between the tackles threats. This is similar to UM's young backs, and may be because Hyde was a monster between the tackles. OSU probably has an edge here, but it isn't a huge gap.

WR - WASH. You're looking at WRs that are for very different systems, so it's a bit hard to compare. Still, Funchess would be the best outside receiver on OSU's team and probably the best H-back as well. Michigan has a bunch of unproven, straight line WRs with bigger bodies, while OSU has more variety. From a pure receiver standpoint, I like Michigan's players, but from the standpoint of they can hurt you in a greater variety of ways, I like OSU. So wash.

TE - UM (when Butt returns; slight advantage OSU in the meantime). You're not getting off without listing TE, a position that Meyer desperately wants to deploy. OSU's TEs have grown into serviceable players, but they aren't nearly the players Meyer wants at the position. Butt is better than any TE on OSU's roster, but Michigan's lack of depth hurts them. Still, with OSU's TEs being only marginal, Michigan's depth really isn't far behind outside of Butt, if behind at all. Move Funchess back inside in a more spread friendly offense, and it's not even close.

OL - OSU. If we're talking performance, which I am, I'll give OSU the advantage. But if we're talking talent and where I expect these players to be once they grow within the system, then it's very close. OSU has some very good young OL behind their current players, and their current players are performing better than Michigan's right now. But once some of the stuff starts clicking for the young OL at Michigan, that margin of difference will quickly close.

DTs - WASH. I'm splitting this up, because the concepts are quite different. UM's interior DL has plenty of bodies and plenty of talent as soon as Pipkins comes back, and OSU isn't as great on the interior as they are on the edge. I think some of the young players that struggled last year, but show flashes, take a jump as far as strength and technique and this group is even.

DEs - OSU. OSU wins this, it isn't extremely close. That doesn't mean UM is terrible at this position group, they are just average, whereas OSU is great here.

LBs - UM. This Michigan has better talent and more depth going into '14. OSU certainly has some young guys, and the Chef (McMillan) will be good in time. But Freshman over run plays, they get caught with poor technique in the hole, etc. Combine that with the loss of Shazier, who covered up a lot of things for the other LBs, and I think this is UM by a healthy, although not huge margin. Both showed big time struggles in underneath coverage last year, but even there I'd give a slight edge to Michigan, who didn't have the benefit of the great DEs or a lot of experience at DT as of last year.

CBs - WASH. Michigan has plenty of talent at CB, and is probably better in terms of technique. That isn't necessarily saying a whole lot, because OSU also has plenty of talent, but have really struggled at their technique. Call this scheme, coaching, whatever, but it is what it is. OSU's CBs have consistently blown technique and given up easy completions (as evidenced by their last three games last year, two with Roby), whereas Michigan has blown techniques but still challenged passes. So if you're just going by skill or potential, OSU is probably above Michigan, but if you want to discuss performance and include potential, it's a wash.

S - OSU. Michigan has young talent, but they are inexperienced. There is a chance a CB moves back to safety to sure things up a bit, but as is, Michigan is likely stuck with a lot of one-high defenses to make up for that inexperience. Luckily for Michigan, the safeties they have on the roster (outside of Wilson) are good as box safeties, so a one-high look works for them and is easily for young players. The downside is lack of variety. Clark can be more of a multiple type safety, so they have some bodies there as well. All that said, OSU probably has more experience and slightly more athleticism. But again, the technique issues and angles just killed OSU's safeties last year, absolutely killed them. So while the second safety spot for Michigan is a concern and still up in the air, I would not be comfortable by any means with OSU's safety play.

Specialists - WASH. OSU is probably better right now in the return game, both KR and punts. Hagerup can boom them as well as anyone, but is inconsistent. Wile the same. I'd probably take the more consistent kickers of OSU, but if the consistency aspect of either Michigan kicker ticks upward, then that group is quite a good one.

-----

I think OSU is still more talented, in that their Senior and to a lesser degree their Junior classes are deeper and simply better in a lot of areas. I think at the Sophomore and Freshman level, OSU likely only has a very slight lead in terms of athleticism, and coaching, the work players put in, and mentality will really determine which groups turn out better of those two.

But while OSU is a little more talented, give me any team on any day between these two. Not just because it's The Game, but because I don't think the talent levels are all that wide of a margin. Michigan's OL last year was a significant step back, but one of the few games that they performed towards average, they put up 41 points on OSU. Meanwhile, OSU has even more questions on defense. To have the DL they did last year and be so woefully poor in terms of technique and coverage in the back 7 in concerning, particularly with the athletes back there (a few of the better ones they lose).

So you have a lot of people talking "coaching". Yeah, if I had to take either coach based on resume and where they'd likely take a program, it'd be Meyer. But that doesn't mean Hoke can't take a program like Michigan to similar levels as OSU. And as far as on the defensive side, I'd take Michigan's staff with little hesitation.

In the end, the OP isn't terrible with his list by any means, though I disagree with some of it. Either way, I think he does overstate the talent margin. It's more a matter of Michigan's talent maturing and growing and taking the small - albeit not insignificant - steps to getting there.

UMMAN83

May 14th, 2014 at 8:42 AM ^

Comparisons only lead to future excuses.  Last year was an even game.  This year we better improve and win.

Wee-Bey Brice

May 14th, 2014 at 8:46 AM ^

This read like an OSU homer post, IMO. There are obvious areas where OSU has better talent/depth. However, QB/RB are both debatable, especially QB. But each of the areas where UM more than likely has the edge (WR, LB, CB) were all conveniently called a draw. With all due respect, sir, that analysis ain't worth a velvet painting of a whale and a dolphin gettin' it on.

DenverBuckeye

May 14th, 2014 at 9:29 AM ^

My entire post is completely opinion. To try to cut down on the homerism, I got feedback from three coworkers (Oregon, Nebraska, and Alabama fans) before posting and they thought I was spot on.

Honestly, I don't think there is a fanbase in America besides UM that would say Gardner and Miller are a wash.

Here are the RB comparisons:

OSU

Elliott - 

                              RUSHING                RECEIVING  
SEASON ATT YDS AVG LNG TD REC YDS AVG LNG TD
2013 30 262 8.7 57 2 3 23 7.7 11 1

Smith - 

                                  RUSHING                RECEIVING  
SEASON ATT YDS AVG LNG TD REC YDS AVG LNG TD
2013 22 117 5.3 27 1 4 16 4 12 0
2012 32 215 6.7 33 2 2 55 27.5 51 1
2011 29 116 4 19 1 2 15 7.5 10 0

Dunn -

                                  RUSHING                RECEIVING  
SEASON ATT YDS AVG LNG TD REC YDS AVG LNG TD
2012 25 133 5.3 13 2 0 0 0 0 0

UM

Hayes - 

                                  RUSHING                RECEIVING  
SEASON ATT YDS AVG LNG TD REC YDS AVG LNG TD
2013 2 6 3 7 0 6 40 6.7 13 0
2012 18 83 4.6 24 1 0 0 0 0 0

Johsnon -

                                  RUSHING                RECEIVING  
SEASON ATT YDS AVG LNG TD REC YDS AVG LNG TD
2013 2 9 4.5 7 0 0 0 0 0 0


Green - 

                                  RUSHING                RECEIVING  
SEASON ATT YDS AVG LNG TD REC YDS AVG LNG TD
2013 2 9 4.5 7 0 0 0 0 0 0

Smith -

                                  RUSHING                RECEIVING  
SEASON ATT YDS AVG LNG TD REC YDS AVG LNG TD
2013 2 9 4.5 7 0 0 0 0 0 0

Every Ohio State back has a better average than every UM back. Yes we had a better line, but our 3rd stringer has better stats than your starters. And UM is all about the Pro, Manball game

.

Space Coyote

May 14th, 2014 at 9:42 AM ^

I wouldn't trust, let's say a Florida fan, to subjectively judge the programs at Oregon compared to USC. Who do you think they'll give the edge to? If you take a blind look at things in that way, people are going to pick the program that is currently above the other, which is obviously OSU at the moment. The fact that Michigan's struggles on offense were so well known (while OSU's struggles on defense were hidden by their offense) only helps drive that agenda.

2nd, those numbers don't mean a whole lot. You said it yourself, OL. But to say "even our third stringer is better than your starter" proves even less. Go across the country and you'll see third stringers often averaging better numbers than starters? Why? They come in during blowouts. They come in as a change of pace when they're fresh. Forgive me for not being impressed that Dunn only had carries against Miami (OH), UCF, and Illinois. EE has more than 5 or more carries three times: Sand Diego State, Florida A&M, and Purdue. Tkae out Rod Smith's carries against Florida A&M and he averages a whopping 3.8 ypc last year.

So, those numbers don't mean a whole lot to me frankly. And while I understand the logic to go there (it's the only real numbers we can put to it), I don't think it carries a ton of weight.

DenverBuckeye

May 14th, 2014 at 10:00 AM ^

I agree with what you say about opposite fanbases mostly. I took the Nebraska fans thoughts more seriously because he is in-conference and has seen our teams the last few years. Other fanbases are less biased tham I am, though, so that's why I wanted any feedback I could get.

As far as the RBs go, half of my choice to give OSU the edge is from going on what I saw. I watched every UM game last year and none of the RBs impressed me much. I liked Deveon Smith the best and thought he needed more carries. But between him and Rod Smith, who has seen game time against Big Ten teams, and Deveon and EE, I'd take the OSU backs on potential. Unfortunately, both teams have inexperienced RBs so it's not as easy as comparing Hyde and Fitz would have been. So just on sight alone, that was my feel.

Slightly related, is Green going to be in better shape this year?