A history on how Michigan Basketball used to recruit
Per Hoopscoop. Rankings began in 1983. For the purpose of this post I'm not including any signees outside the top 100. This should give a good overall view of basketball recruiting before the Amaker/Ellerbe years. I included Ellerbe's 1999 class to show that Michigan still had some cache' despite looming sanctions and atrocious facilities. Would be interested if anyone could find anything before 1983. I'm sure guys like Tarpley, McCormick, Hubbard, etc were all highly acclaimed coming out of high school.
1983: Antoine Joubert (#25 overall), Quincy Turner (#64 overall), Garde Thompson (#81 overall)
1984: Gary Grant (#11 overall)
1985: Glen Rice (#6 overall), Loy Vaught (#20 overall)
1986: Terry Mills (#2 overall), Rumeal Robinson (#5 overall)
1987: Sean Huggins (#12 overall), Kirk Taylor (#37 overall), Chris Seter (#52 overall)
1988: No Top 100 players
1989: Sam Mitchell (#42 overall), Tony Tolbert (#44 overall), Michael Talley (#64 overall)
1990: No Top 100 players
1991:Chris Webber (#1 overall), Juwan Howard (#3 overall), Jalen Rose (#6 overall), Jimmy King (#9 overall), Ray Jackson (#84 overall)
1992: No Top 100 players
1993: Bobby Crawford (#19 overall), Oliver St Jean, Makhtar Ndaiye
1994: Jerod Ward (#1 overall), Maceo Baston (#16 overall), Maurice Taylor (#18 overall), Willie Mitchell (#19 overall)
1995: Robert Traylor (#4 overall), Louis Bullock (#11 overall), Albert White (#16 overall)
Sidenote re: 1995. Kevin Garnett was the #1 ranked player and there were substantial rumors he would have come to Michigan if his coach and not "misplaced" his qualifying SAT score.
1996: No Top 100 players
1997: Brandon Smith (#63 overall)
1998: No Top 100 players
1999: Lavell Blanchard (#6 overall), Kevin Gaines (#11 overall), Jamal Crawford (#46 overall), Leland Anderson (#83 overall)
McDonald's All Americans (Began in '79): Blanchard, Bullock, Grant, Higgins, Horton, Howard, Joubert, King, McCormick, Mills, Rellford, Robinson, Rose, Traylor, Turner, Ward, Webber.
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So basically, the OP did a really good and thorough job of explaining that when we were cheating like everyone else we got better-rated recruits and comparable on-court results to now when we're not cheating.
but with recruiting classes that good in 94 and 95, how were we not a great team in the 95-97 timeframe?
Most of those guys flamed out for one reason or another. See AC1997's post earlier in this thread
Those 2 were outright disasters even though they will yeild some decent players, only because they failed to capitalize on the great on-court success. The '14 and '15 classes are huge marks against Beilein, but the 3 classes before that were outstanding.
Michigan should recruit a couple Top 100 players every year (on average). Asking the recruiting class to rank in the top 20 consistently isn't unreasonable, with occassional dips into the top 10. Beilein doesn't need top 5 talent, but he does need NBA-caliber players to win titles.
The 2016 class is totally acceptable even though it was disappointing how it played out vs how it COULD have played out.
I never heard that story before. It's kind of hard to believe. But even if he had come here it would have been one and done I'm pretty sure.
To this day, Kevin Garnett stands as one of the most successful athletes to have jumped straight from high school to professional sports. Yet Garnett's jump wasn't always a sure thing. In a fascinating oral history from Bleacher Report's Howard Beck, Sonny Vaccaro reveals that KG nearly went to the University of Michigan.
"He may or may not admit to this, but he was going to go to Michigan. The Fab Five guys, that whole era, Juwan Howard being from Chicago—I would've bet a million dollars that's what he was going to do."
It's fun to imagine what Garnett, who was already so diversely skilled coming out of high school, could have done in what would most likely have been a single year at Michigan. Safe to say that everyone who has ever been associated with the Minnesota Timberwolves or Boston Celtics is very happy that Garnett's stock rose to the point where he chose the NBA over college.
http://www.foxsports.com/nba/story/did-kevin-garnett-almost-go-to-the-university-of-michigan-051815
"Everybody had me going to Michigan for a long time. I led people on that I was going to UM. If I would have gone to college it was going to be Maryland. I was going to shock'em all." -KG
Curious how many people ITT have season tickets and pay a PSL for basketball?
I live in North Carolina, why would i hold season tickets?
Easy to write checks with your mouth your bank account can't cash.
It becomes a lot more real when you're supporting this program with your money. That's all I'm saying. And the people who refuse to be critical of Beilein are the same people who haven't dropped a dime into this program in their life.
You have literally no facts to back this nonsense up. I and others like me have spent plenty on the basketball program over the years. The fact that your arguments always devolve into this plutocratic bullshit shows how delusional you are. If you truly do pay for season tickets (not like their is any evidence of that, either), please just stop. It doesn't seem to bring you any pleasure
Nah, I think I'll continue doing exactly what I want. #Merica and all.
I could go at this with you all day. You are an absolute character
He's the internet embodiment of Randy Marsh picking fights at little league baseball games. Look at post above. He is that exact character on MGoBlog
Thank you! I hope he finds another team to support and probably already has. I'm serious but I don't say this as an AD.
apologies
Have you heard of the "No True Scotsman" logical fallacy? Or perhaps ad hominem? Your comment is sort of a combination of the two. Rather than counter someone's argument with logic, your countering by attacking the validity of the person making an argument.
But I'll address your statement anyways. I was going to games when we were coached by Amaker, and I lived in the area. Despite being broke, I'd go watch us play at any given point in the season. So perhaps I'm more grateful and appreciative of the team's success because I was there when things were TRULY bad. Back then I would have been thrilled to get to the tourney. Now I consider just getting there to be a disappointing season. That's what Beilein has done.
A great quote from Dylan Burkhardt from 2009:
"The first head-to-head recruiting battle between John Beilein and Tom Izzo was over Draymond Green. Green turned down the opportunity for ample playing time in Michigan's sparse front court, and is now playing only 9.3 minutes per game for the Spartans. Many recruiting analysts thought Draymond was headed to Ann Arbor before a late Michigan State offer swayed Day-Day to the green and white. It's hard to interpret that as anything more than a statement from Tom Izzo – stay out of my backyard."
And now we're hamstrung because of it (and why they took down the first Final Four banner even though we won the tournament regional with all eligible players). Hopefully the next coach is far enough removed from the Fab Five years that he's allowed to recruit like our competitors, and no, that doesn't mean we have to cheat (as if the Fab Five came to Michigan because of money).
the 80s on this list had 8-9 guys that had solid careers; 5-6 elite (ie. all BIG ten or better type)
the 90s had 9-10 guys with solid careers; 7-8 elite.
so about one successful player per year overall.
under JB 9-10 guys thus far with solid careers; 5-6 elite.
it all looks very similar to me; an average of one good player per year with similar elite players. except JB has two BIG titles during his tenure vs two in the mid 80s for those years on this list; a final game appearance, another elite 8 appearance and NO hint of impropriety.
It's kind of funny that people didn't like having a football coach who recruited well and coached teams that underperformed their recruiting rankings (Hoke) and don't like having a coach who recruits poorly but coaches teams that outperform their recruiting rankings (Beilein).
Having said that, I'm getting increasingly frustrated with some of our recruiting practices. I'm fine not aggressively cheating to get guys even if that means that we won't recruit at the same level as Calipari, Izzo, etc. But so many of our recruiting wounds seem self-inflicted and unrelated to abiding by rules. It shouldn't be the case that guys like Xavier Simpson and Jaylen Brown need to reach out to Michigan to draw interest, just like our last minute outreach to Josh Jackson looks ridiculous. Beilein needs an assistant from the Harbaugh recruiting mold -- play within the rules but be damn creative and aggressive as you do.
The number of people who defend being second fiddle to MSU is downright sickening. We should be the best school in the state. Sorry for those who don't feel that way.
I don't think anyone enjoys being #2 but I think we all understand WHY it is, right? It's not a coincidence that the rise of MSU came with M on probation. Program stability goes a long way
We didn't self impose sanctions until 2002-2003 season. MSU started jailsexing us in the 1998-99 season. We only suffered a one-season postseason ban and lost one scholarship a year for four years.
I'm not saying we should've kept Fisher, but Ellerbee was the worst possible hire. He had no experience recruiting within the state and alienated the entire Detroit Public School League. Plus he was not a good X's and O's coach. Tom Goss killed our basketball program and almost killed the Big House with the "halo".
No one's defending being second in the state. But until this season, Beilein was .500 against Sparty which should go without saying is a vast improvement over the previous decade. Some of us are just saying the instruments and data being used by anti-Beilein folks to measure his success are wrong.
Exactly. Imagine Jim Harbaugh refusing to recruit the #1 player in the country from Detroit.
It's baffling the amount of people who gives this guy a pass.
Two B1G titles, a National Championship game, and an Elite 8, all within the past 5 years will cause many people here to "give this guy a pass" lol. It will also cause us to think you're crazy.
I got out of this thread is that OP is kind of a douche.
Bingo.
Sorry this is going to be a bit long, but I just want to present the facts.
So MaizeHaze, is your complaint that Beilein isn't recruiting at the same level as Michigan did in the 80's and 90's, or that the basketball team isn't as good as they were in the 80's and 90's?
Recruiting is not at the same level, we could re-hash prior arguments of why that is but it is pointless. Beilein is not recruiting at the level Michigan was in the 80's and 90's, that is accurate based on pure recruiting rankings and you aren't happy with that, anyone who tries to give you reasons other then Beilein you just call them excuses and say they are apologists, that isn't getting us anywhere.
But what about the actual performance on the basketball court? In the twelve years prior to Frieder they made the tournament three times and won two Big Ten Titles. Frieder came in and they missed the tournament for four more years (for a total of seven straight non tournament years), then lost in the second round for three straight years, winning the Big Ten twice, made a Sweet Sixteen then 88-89 happened.
Fischer comes in with the Championship, then proceeds to loss in the second round and then miss the tournament. The Fab Five comes in to town and loses in the championship game twice. Next four years go Elite 8, first round loss, first round loss and miss the tournament.
Then the dead years happen, which you ignore, so I will too. In comes Beilein, misses the tournament, 2nd round, misses the tournament, 2nd round, Big Ten title and first round loss. Followed by the Louisville loss, an Elite 8, tourney miss and now a first round loss.
So on the Court, Beilein is better then Orr, probably as good as Frieder, both won two Big Ten titles, Frieder made the tournery five times, including the Championship year, and Beilein has made six.
Now Beilein vs Fischer is interesting. How do you count the Championship, was it Frieder? Fischer? Half of each? Some other %? But after that Fischer made the tournery six out of eight years, two championship game losses and no Big Ten titles. Beilein has made it six out of nine years, with one championship game loss and two Big Ten Titles.
So how do you judge that, Fischer has half a Championship(?), two other championship game losses and no Big Ten Titles. Beilein has one championship game loss, not even half a Championship and two Big Ten titles. Fischer did better in the tournery, vs. Beilein has better regular seasons? Which is more important? Now MaizeHaze, I am sure you will say Fischer is clearly better then Beilein, and Frieder was too, and I am some kind of Beilein apologist. But I am just presenting the facts man.
If you want a better recruiter, then yes, we need to get rid of Beilein, but as far as the actual performance of the basketball team Beilein has at the very least matched the historical regular season performance, if not quite the fivish year tournament performance peak.
TLDR - Just the facts.
Really? An MSU recruit thinks MSU is better than UM? Wow, you've really hit upon a scoop there! Great job guy!
What's next--an incoming Buckeye thinks they're going to beat Michigan in football this season?
That's a valid criticism. What's not is presenting a list of recruiting rankings without taking into account the relative success of the coaches' programs.
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You're comparing to the wrong guys.
The guys to compare to aren't Fischer and Freider.
The guys Beilein needs to be compared to are Izzo, Bo Ryan, and Thad Matta.
...and you can't seperate "on court" and "recruiting" - they're both part of coaching, and to be a good coach you have to be good at both.
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Yeah I mean just look at this year: Josh Jackson, Miles Bridges, and Cassius Winston are all bums.
Many folks here are talking about Michigan needing to recruit elite players. An assumption underlying that is that Michigan would have to cheat to get those guys.
If that assumption is true, is that something we as a program/university/fan base would be okay with?
What I love most about college sports, as opposed to professional, is that the ties are based on something other than money. I love Michigan because I graduated from there. I love the players; they put in the time, sweat for the same institution and, ultimately, for my enjoyment.
What I would hate to see happen is that Michigan turns into a one and done factory. Sure, the wins would be great, but at that point, I'm just following a professional team. And that's not something I want, even if it means the team I love recruits and performs at a level below other elite institutions.
How do others feel about this? I know where MaizeHaze stands.
As an aside, continuing to ask how people would feel about Harbaugh not chasing a top local kid is ludicrous. Football recruiting is vastly different than basketball. Players have to be at college for three years. There often are not handlers that have to be paid. And remember Cam Newton? If this site's reaction is an indication of where folks stand, Michigan fans would not be okay with paying football players or their families. So, let's just stick to apples-to-apples comparisons. And cease the belittling of others.
Completely agree. I root for UM period. I don't just root for them when they win. I grew up going to games with my dad during the Frieder era. They won some Big 10 championships and an NIT, but couldn't ever get far in the NCAA tourney. I still loved them because they were Michigan. I later went to UM and was in the same class as the Fab 5. Went to both Final Fours. Webber broke my heart twice, once in '93 and again after he left. I still rooted for him when he was with the Sacramento Kings. (Man, now that was a beautiful team to watch play with two passing big men.)
I agree about college vs. pro. While I definitely would be okay with a one-and-done every once in a while, it's not mandatory to me loving the team, and I would never want UM to become a pro factory like Kentucky.
You don't want Michigan basketball to become a pro factory like Kentucky but that is exactly what the Michigan hockey team is.
It's amazing the double standards people have around here.
In my case it's not a double standard. I was just never really a hockey fan. But also, and someone correct me if I'm wrong here, don't college-to-pro hockey have different rules in place than basketball? Can't you be drafted by an NHL team out of high school and then play for a bit in college? That's apples and oranges then.