November 27th, 2018 at 7:47 PM ^
If their quarterback hadn't gotten his leg destroyed they probably would have. But with him out for the season, I think committee didn't want to put themselves in a position where they'd almost be forced to take a broken UCF.
November 27th, 2018 at 7:30 PM ^
Neg away if I missed something, but if Bama beats UGA, Clemson beats Pitt, OKLA beats Texas, and NU beats OSU, then.... we're in????
Edit: Missed OP saying pretty much the same thing. omg if we got in this way...
Edit2: I meant Texas beating OU.
November 27th, 2018 at 7:32 PM ^
You forgot Notre Dame.
November 27th, 2018 at 7:36 PM ^
I think the assumption was Michigan would jump Georgia, Oklahoma, OSU, if they all lose.
November 27th, 2018 at 7:33 PM ^
Switch it to Texas beats Oklahoma, and then that's right.
November 27th, 2018 at 7:34 PM ^
No. You're forgetting about Notre Dame.
Best case scenario is NU blows out OSU making their two blowout losses to mediocre teams worse than UM's tight loss to ND and blowout loss to OSU.
UGA and OU needs to get blown out in a filthy way. And UCF lose just for some breathing room.
Won't matter what happens to Clemson. They lose one and they're still in somewhere at 12-1.
Basically we'd need to somehow be the best of the two loss teams.
November 27th, 2018 at 8:25 PM ^
Funny to think that our loss to ND might keep OSU out of the playoffs, but it is what it is lol
November 27th, 2018 at 7:52 PM ^
Ohio state will cover the 14 points
November 27th, 2018 at 7:35 PM ^
Bama: Do not want
November 27th, 2018 at 7:42 PM ^
November 27th, 2018 at 7:54 PM ^
That’s why you compete. You wouldn’t want the 4 spot? Just take a hard pass there or what? That is insane my man.
November 27th, 2018 at 7:36 PM ^
Four 3-loss teams above a 2-loss WSU (including a team that didn't score a single point against the main opponent on their schedule). Sounds legit.
November 27th, 2018 at 7:43 PM ^
WSU should schedule real out-of-conference opponents. I have zero sympathy for them; they've painted themselves into a corner.
November 27th, 2018 at 8:47 PM ^
Washington State played three bullshit opponents in the nonconference, but so did the ENTIRE SEC. Seriously, go look at their schedules. Every conference team plays 8 conference games, one P5 team (about 70% of which ended up unranked) and 3 cupcakes. Lots of FCS teams.
As a conference, they beat one ranked team (Auburn over Washington). That's it. Their next best win is either Missouri beating Purdue or Ole Miss beating Texas Tech. The easy schedules give their teams more winning records, and then some of their teams get extra wins over teams with winning records, which I should a metric the committee uses.
For some reason, everyone bitches about Washington State's schedule, yet there is nary a peep about an entire conference doing the same thing.
November 27th, 2018 at 7:37 PM ^
IF chaos happens and OU, OSU, Georgia, and UCF all get blown out...I really don’t know who DESERVES #4?
November 27th, 2018 at 7:41 PM ^
November 27th, 2018 at 8:56 PM ^
Yes you do.
November 27th, 2018 at 9:08 PM ^
Indeed he does know. We all know. But nobody wants to say it because, well, you know.
Isn't "know" a strange word? It's one of those words that if you look at it long enough it doesn't make sense. You know?
November 27th, 2018 at 7:38 PM ^
To be honest, with how the schedule looked at the beginning of the year and OL uncertainties after the ND game, finishing 2018 with:
- 11-2 record with wins at MSU, vs Wisc, vs PSU
- Peach Bowl win vs UF
- Final top-5 ranking
- 10+ wins in 3 of last 4 years
I'm not THAT mad at the state of things post-Hoke. But, still, kind of mad. Because Michigan. And irrational.
November 27th, 2018 at 7:40 PM ^
I’d rather not play Florida for the third time in four years. But that’s just me.
November 27th, 2018 at 7:40 PM ^
November 27th, 2018 at 7:53 PM ^
How about Florida vs UCF in Peach and we get Washington State in the Fiesta?
November 27th, 2018 at 7:58 PM ^
I’d like to beat UW in the Rose Bowl and watch OSU get humiliated by Alabama in the semis.
Let’s be realistic here. Northwestern isn’t beating OSU.
November 27th, 2018 at 8:08 PM ^
Just our luck OSU would revert back to the way they played the rest of the season in the B1G championship game and Northwestern finds a way to win.
November 27th, 2018 at 9:10 PM ^
And that would be OK. Because OSU losing is nary a bad thing.
November 27th, 2018 at 7:59 PM ^
As long as Michigan don't get to face Oklahoma. Oklahoma would be the worst possible matchup for Michigan defense.
November 27th, 2018 at 8:05 PM ^
Unless the light bulb goes on for Don Brown between now and then.
November 27th, 2018 at 9:38 PM ^
Their offense is a lot different than OSU offense. They run Air Raid offense and Kyler Murray is a QB who can pass and run. I think Kyler is a 4.5 QB at worst but I've heard 4.4 which is fast at QB.
Oklahoma wants Michigan to run press man coverage because Air Raid rather see that type of coverage and do some option routes based on it.
November 27th, 2018 at 8:28 PM ^
you never know....after all, that was one reason why the FL Tebows were a double digit fave against Michigan in that Cap One Bowl...they ran pretty much the style of offense that had rocked our world earlier that season...our defense made adjustments, our offense made adjustments, and we did fine...against the Oklahoma defense, Harbaugh mght considering opening up the Michigan offense
November 27th, 2018 at 8:52 PM ^
Agree. I’m not a fan of the bowls anyway, but playing Florida again is of no interest at all to me. Aside from the players and coaches, no one remembers who wins the shitty.com bowl. I’d rather see them play someone different or interesting.
November 27th, 2018 at 8:25 PM ^
Fiesta is the most likely bowl. LSU more likely than UF.
November 27th, 2018 at 10:31 PM ^
A final top 5 ranking hasn’t happened since 1999.
November 27th, 2018 at 7:40 PM ^
November 27th, 2018 at 7:57 PM ^
Yes. You play to win the game or .. the Championship.
November 27th, 2018 at 8:02 PM ^
At #4, even vs Alabama, the chance of winning a national championship is something non-zero.
In the Peach Bowl the chance of winning a national championship is zero.
Crazier things have happened. I'd take door #1, however unlikely. 10-3 with a shot at it is better than 11-2 with no shot.
November 27th, 2018 at 8:04 PM ^
There's no way for us to jump to the #4 spot anymore. OSU could lose to NW in a blowout and they would still rightfully belong ahead of Michigan in the final CFB playoff rankings.
November 27th, 2018 at 8:22 PM ^
Why? I get they beat us H2H but, at that point, we are both 2-loss teams. And our losses are much, much better than OSU's would be:
Michigan
(3) Notre Dame [12-0] , (T10) OSU [11-2]
Overall: 23-2
OSU
(UR) Purdue [6-6], (T20) Northwestern [9-4]
Overall: 15-10
November 27th, 2018 at 9:07 PM ^
The numbers might indicate that Michigan would still have a chance to jump OSU.
Though the committee would be really criticized if they didn't let the way we lost to OSU be the deciding factor to keep them ahead of us.
OSU would also still finish the season with a better overall record than Michigan.
November 27th, 2018 at 9:16 PM ^
Game was tight until the blocked punt td followed by a Patterson int td.
November 27th, 2018 at 8:09 PM ^
Considering that our bowl record since 1/1/70 is 17-25, a win in any bowl game is hardly a foregone conclusion. Not that there's any real likelihood of getting in, but I'd rather take my shot in a playoff game.
I'm surprised we didn't fall further than #7.
November 27th, 2018 at 7:42 PM ^
Guess it looks right by default. Strange year in that M is the only 2 loss P5 team save Wazzu. Can't be many sane ones out there who think UCF is a better team than M.
November 27th, 2018 at 7:43 PM ^
Go Georgia, Clemson, ND, NW, and Oklahoma. Send those fuckers to Pasadena and keep them out of the playoffs...let them get embarrassed in the Rose Bowl (hopefully) while UM mops up whoever in the Citrus or whatever other NY6 game.
November 27th, 2018 at 7:44 PM ^
If you want OSU in Pasadena, you're rooting for them to win this weekend.
If Northwestern beats OSU, Northwestern goes to the Rose Bowl. Unless you think Northwestern should go to the playoff. :)
November 27th, 2018 at 10:40 PM ^
Does OSU have a shot at the play-offs? Wouldn't we then go to the Rose Bowl? The Rose Bowl takes the top B1G team that is not in the play-offs, which is definitely NOT Northwestern.
November 27th, 2018 at 8:47 PM ^
I'm pulling for the Fiesta Bowl since I live 6 miles away from the stadium.
November 27th, 2018 at 7:44 PM ^
Even if all that happened Texas or UCF probably jumps us.
November 27th, 2018 at 7:47 PM ^
UCF will never make it in this year. Their QB going down erased any hope, even if they win this weekend.
Number 7 is interesting to say the least. But in all honesty I think we’ve earned the right to not be lower. Two losses to two great teams.
November 27th, 2018 at 7:48 PM ^
Holy smokes. Ads are everywhere. Hello ad blocker
November 27th, 2018 at 7:49 PM ^
I don't know... this seems about right. Resume S&P+ has us at #4, we're only a 2 loss team, and those losses came against OSU and Notre Dame.
They could have put UCF ahead of us, but it's not unreasonable to put us ahead of them, given resume.
November 27th, 2018 at 7:58 PM ^
#7 in theory seems generous, but looking at the teams and records behind us, it makes pretty logical sense