the whiff [Marc-Gregor Campredon]

Unverified Voracity Has A Box Score You Don't Want To See Comment Count

Brian September 10th, 2019 at 12:08 PM

Advanced box score. Bill Connelly has heard the college football internet's cries for box scores where sacks are counted against passing yardage and has posted various games from last week on twitter. Michigan-Army is one. The link has the big version. The bits that stood out other than three targets for Nico Collins are here:

image

That success rate is a full-on Lloydball turtle, and the explosiveness of Michigan's rushing game is horrendous, because Michigan spent the whole game playing 10 v 11. Michigan's rushing game was less explosive than a team that ran 29 fullback dives.

Also in this. PFF's weekly All Big Ten team has Mike Onwenu on the first team and Jalen Mayfield and Zach Charbonnet on the second team. So Michigan was less explosive on the ground than a team that ran 29 dives and half of their most important players on the ground (OL+RB) graded out at an All Big Ten level.

FWIW, Metellus, Hutchinson, and Kemp (second-team) made their defensive team.

[After THE JUMP: Don Brown things will make you feel better.]

Don Brown things. Don Brown's press conference probably has to be watched to be appreciated this week. Here he is going into detail on the goal-to-go stop:

Brown on Jordan Glasgow:

10 o’clock at night: ‘Coach, I’ll be available tomorrow morning at 7:20. I’d like to go over my plays.’ ‘Okay, I’ll see you tomorrow to go over your plays.’ ‘I specifically want to go over my nakeds.’ ‘Okay, we’ll go over the nakeds.’

“I mean, he’s a junkie. He might be one of the funnest guys in the world to coach, because he loves it. He eats it. He drinks it and he backs it up, because he smashes everybody that moves.”

Brown also said Ross's injury was a "stinger," so he should be back for Wisconsin.

Quit scheduling service academies, part one billion. All of this time could have been dedicated to OSU:

Michigan won't face an offense like that again, which is why preparing for Army was "very disruptive."

And the Wolverines allocated a lot of resources toward stopping the Black Knights. In at least 10 of 15 spring practices, one period was "donated to the triple option." From the third practice of fall camp through the week of the Middle Tennessee State game, Michigan practiced its triple option defense every day.

What are we doing dot gif.

Offense structure and Patterson health. Meanwhile, Gattis:

“No, nothing’s by design,” Gattis said of the Patterson holding onto the ball. “Everything we do has some level of a read, whether it’s an RPO read or quarterback read run. It’s a little bit complex when you look at it, as far as the reads, because you have to decide how they’re playing. Obviously, Army did some things on Saturday, jetting their guys up the field to be able to take the quarterback read away. But it gave us favorable matchups inside – six-man boxes and six-man blocking surfaces.

“One of the things they did a really good job of is continuing to pressure. I think they pressured 85-something percent of the time. It’s just cleaning up the little things. Every quarterback read run isn’t always going to be a pull. There was some that he should have pulled, and there was one he shouldn’t have pulled in two-minute (drill). That was one that he should have gave the ball."

The one he shouldn't have pulled was a corner blitz on which the RB was going to get crunched by the end, so that's an RPS issue by my reckoning, not a Patterson one. The ones he should have pulled are apparently going in the Patterson bin; he's going to have another mega-negative run grade.

Gattis also confirmed the oblique injury:

“He’s been banged up the past two weeks with oblique,” Gattis said. “Something that he’s struggled with since the first week of Middle Tennessee. That had no effect – I hope it had no effect on his decision-making from that standpoint."

I hope it did, though? Gattis then asserted that the rando in the stands is not equipped to say whether a pull was correct all the time and that Michigan had "favorable matchups inside – six-man boxes and six-man blocking surfaces." There is some of that, but pretty frequently in my charting the lack of a pull puts Michigan in a situation where there is a free hitter in the box. I think some of this is just covering for some extremely bad decisions.

Do you need video of a distressed anthropomorphic bagel? The alumni association is a font of bagels and coffee  for students every Wednesday, but construction has troubled our little town.

This is posited as helping the bagel but really they're just going to slice it in half and feast on its corpse. Anyway, happy bageling!

Prompt service. Remember last year's scourge of yellow down and distance chyron? It took a few weeks before the appropriate person was thwapped upside the head and saner colors prevailed. This time around—how does this person keep getting hired?—the flag-impersonation chaos agent was in the NFL and didn't last for even one game:

ESPN pulled it at halftime and replaced it with a nice black logo that did not seem like a flag on every play. When this happens in the CFL next year you'll know this person has been fired and emigrated.

The fake punt. Harbaugh on Attack Each Day:

"Special teams, there’s the play of the game, Mike Barrett to Dax Hill, that was great to see," Harbaugh said. "The penalty was on us. We were called for a penalty. They were showing a corner pressure and Chris Partridge came up to me and asked if they could fake it, which was a pass from Barrett to Dax Hill. I said, yeah, let’s do it. That was fourth and 10. Mike made the throw to an open Dax and Dax had the wherewithal that he didn’t have the first down yet. He caught it after seven and had another three to get. Made an inside move and picked up about 10 more. It was great."

So that was not an option Barrett has whenever he sees it. 

The bill proceeds. Nancy Skinner's bill to restore name and image rights to athletes at California schools passed the full state assembly 72-0—one wonders if the NCAA got Rutger'd here—and now has just a reconciliation between the assembly and senate versions before it hits the governor's desk. The NCAA has threatened to ban California schools from post-season activity:

Scott and other leaders in college sports — including the N.C.A.A. president, Mark Emmert, in a letter to California legislators this summer — paint a doomsday scenario for the state’s athletic teams if the bill becomes law. They say that colleges in California could be prohibited from competing for N.C.A.A. championships because they would have an unfair recruiting advantage — being able to lure athletes with the possibility of cashing in on anything from jersey sales to sponsorship deals.

“It’s like you and I sit down to play Monopoly and I pull out a different rule book and every time I pass Go, I’m going to give myself $400 instead of $200,” said Andy Fee, the athletic director at Long Beach State. “I don’t imagine too many people are going to be willing to allow California schools to compete for N.C.A.A. championships.”

But relevant law-talking guys think this would be impossible under antitrust law, which bars trade organizations like the NCAA from having bylaws that violate state or federal law. Also:

…the NCAA's attempt to ban California colleges from postseason tournaments in retaliation for the State of California passing a bill to increase the financial rights and economic well-being of college athletes is likely to be deemed to violate the implied common law rights of good faith and fair dealing that exist in every contract. This is because the NCAA, as a monopolist trade association, is punishing several of its private members for doing exactly what their state law requires them to do.

There are nascent versions of Skinner's bill in various state houses that may get through before 2023, when the Skinner bill is set to take effect. (The delay is to allow the NCAA to adjust to the new reality.)

Etc.: More on Mike Danna. Glasgow got a real nice PFF grade last week.

Comments

Blue Middle

September 10th, 2019 at 12:27 PM ^

The often ignored good news from the first two weeks:

  • Glasgow is a player.  Our LB position, in aggregate, may be as good as last year.
  • The DE position is covered by three studs.
  • Kemp looked like the player we hoped for against Army.
  • Metellus has improved, and Hawkins can do a lot of things from his position.
  • The redshirt freshmen OTs are at least serviceable.
  • Charbonnet looks like the next great Michigan RB.
  • Turner is an excellent compliment (even if he needs to clean-up his pass pro).
  • Bell is ready to contribute.

There's a lot not to like, but there's plenty of good news as well.  Go Blue!

Leaders And Best

September 10th, 2019 at 1:33 PM ^

I am still worried about the DT position when we go up against more manball teams like Wisconsin, but I agree that the defense has been more promising than I was expecting coming into the season. I expected more of a drop-off considering the guys we had to replace.

I don't understand what is going on with the offense. We returned pretty much the same crew from last year.

MaizeBlueA2

September 11th, 2019 at 12:16 AM ^

QBs have been discussed enough.

RBs seem to be shaking out like last year. Charbonnet = Higdon, Turner = Evans, when he gets back Wilson = Wilson, and VanSumeren = Mason # of carriers. Haskins is the odd man out.

WR is disappointing because of targets but it's clear that its Collins/Black/DPJ and in that order they are backed up by Johnson/Schonle/Bell.

Need better blocking from TE position. But overall as expected. 

Hayes is a year away but an easy starter at LT next year. Everyone else as expected. 

Love the DL, think Danna should get more PT but don't know who you pull it from. We need Dwumfour and Jeter back in the worse way.

Paye-Kemp-Dwumfour or Jeter-Hutchinson then Danna-NEED MAZI TO STEP UP-Dwumfour or Jeter-Paye (2nd team SDE). Then you have to fit Uche in there as well.

Love the LBs and Anthony looked a lot better at MLB than McGrone. I'd go Glasgow-Ross-Hudson / Gil-Anthony-Glasgow as the 2nd team.

I've said it before we need to scrap Hawkins at nickel and move Lavert Hill there and bring in Grey to play the outside. Leave Hawkins in CF as the FS and let Mettelus play SS. It's so clear.

1's (FS: Hawkins / SS: Metellus)

2's (FS: Dax Hill / SS: Woods)

At CB we have 3. Give Turner some run behind Thomas when the game is put away. I don't trust anyone else  right now.

Moody over Nordin until the game is out of hand.

dragonchild

September 10th, 2019 at 12:29 PM ^

Michigan spent the whole game playing 10 v 11

MANBALL is 10 vs. 11; the point is to do it so quickly that the backside edge guy doesn't matter.  What you don't do is run 10 vs. 11 out of the gorram shotgun.

But it gave us favorable matchups inside – six-man boxes and six-man blocking surfaces.

OK, so it wasn't a screw-up.  So the players are just incompetent?  Is that it, coach?

Reggie Dunlop

September 10th, 2019 at 12:50 PM ^

Yeah, if we had favorable numbers the entire game, hence the perma-give strategy, why did our All-world interior only mash their way to under 3 yards per carry against an under-manned, under-sized, under-talented defense?

The whole thing is insane. I've never been more confused.

matty blue

September 11th, 2019 at 9:41 AM ^

i'm totally on board with picking an offensive philosophy (whatever that is) and working on getting really good at it (stipulated - we are not good at this offense right now). 

to me, the "hey we should ALSO put patterson under center and try to run ben mason three times a game" thing smacks of the al borges approach, on some level...the cheesecake factory offense.  try everything and don't get good at anything.

EastCoast_Wolv…

September 10th, 2019 at 2:35 PM ^

I'm legitimately confused about this, so if someone knows offensive strategy better than me I'm all ears:

How is 6 v 6 a favorable matchup? To me, a favorable matchup would be putting defenders into conflict or into situations where you outnumber them. I'm not sure in what scenario I would look at 6 blockers versus 6 defenders and say "Oh nice yeah let's attack that" (at least purely based on the math that Gattis is emphasizing).

mGrowOld

September 10th, 2019 at 12:30 PM ^

"Obviously, Army did some things on Saturday, jetting their guys up the field to be able to take the quarterback read away. But it gave us favorable matchups inside – six-man boxes and six-man blocking surfaces"

tv show lol GIF by Man Of The People with Pat Tomasulo

FWIW if the over/under for Patterson's run game UFR is -15 I'll take the over.  I'm going to guess -20.

Mongo

September 10th, 2019 at 10:26 PM ^

Chuck - when you play Army the refs flagging run of the mill PI is remote. Normal B1G game - heck yes chuck it up to the man Collins.  But against Army you can't count on a fair call. That is just the reality of playing a service academy team.  Refs don't flag Army unless it is really egregious. 

Bando Calrissian

September 10th, 2019 at 12:48 PM ^

Remember undergrads, the most pro move for Welcome Wednesday is to bring a ziploc of lunch meat and a few condiment packets, grab a bagel for the road on your way out the door, and have yourself a nice lunch, too.

JFW

September 10th, 2019 at 12:48 PM ^

"“One of the things they did a really good job of is continuing to pressure. I think they pressured 85-something percent of the time. It’s just cleaning up the little things. Every quarterback read run isn’t always going to be a pull. There was some that he should have pulled, and there was one he shouldn’t have pulled in two-minute (drill). That was one that he should have gave the ball."

I hate this, and I hope your take is right. Because if his is correct then it seems every team from now on just has to pressure us the right way and we're f*cked. 

Durham Blue

September 10th, 2019 at 11:34 PM ^

Exactly.  The coaches should know that Army has created a blueprint to stop the Michigan offense with a heavy blitzing attack.  If Gattis is really the next big up and coming OC, he will adapt and find ways to beat that pressure.

First step is get Shea to hold onto the damn ball.

Vinny The Microwave

September 10th, 2019 at 12:49 PM ^

Michigan's rushing game was less explosive than a team that ran 29 fullback dives.

 

5 years into Harbaugh's tenure and this sentence was written after the 2nd game of the 3rd OC in 3 years.

I honestly don't understand how anyone can have any faith in Jim anymore.  Dude is finished.  Everyone has figured him out.  Freaking Army figured out his offense - and this was only the 2nd game with his new OC.  All we heard about what speed in space and a fresh offense.  And freaking Army knew what was coming by the 2nd quarter of the 2nd game

Freaking pathetic.

How much more do you need to see to believe the guy is the most overrated HC in the country? 

He is regressing to the 60s instead of progressing with the rest of the damn country.

unWavering

September 10th, 2019 at 1:19 PM ^

The fuck else do you want Harbaugh to do?  Everyone wanted a new OC that would run a modernized system.  Harbaugh went out and got one.  And gave him the keys.  Results could be better so far but I'm not going to put that squarely on Harbaugh's head, or use it as evidence that he's 'regressed to the 60s.'  

Growing pains are to be expected, and guess what!  We have them!  Maybe let's see how things play out as the season progresses before we throw the offense (and coaches) into the dumpster.

Vinny The Microwave

September 10th, 2019 at 1:37 PM ^

The fuck else do you want Harbaugh to do?

 

Stop interfering in the play calling.  Drevno, Pep, and now Gattis - they all just happened to run the same bullshit offense? Or is it Harbaugh taking away the keys? I think the answer is clear there.

 

Harbaugh went out and got one.  And gave him the keys.

And took away the keys in the 2nd quarter of the 2nd game.

 

 Results could be better so far but I'm not going to put that squarely on Harbaugh's head, 

Who else does it fall on? Jim is the head man.  Top 5 highest-paid coaches in the country.  Why does he get a pass?
 


use it as evidence that he's 'regressed to the 60s.' 

 

Did you read the sentence I pulled from the post? They were less explosive than the team who ran 30 FB dives.  I mean come on - take the rose-colored glasses off for just a minute.

 

Growing pains are to be expected, 

Maryland - No growing pains
LSU - no growing pains

Alabama (new OC almost every year) - no growing pains

Sorry - Jim doesn't get a pass.
 

Maybe let's see how things play out as the season progresses before we throw the offense (and coaches) into the dumpster.

Jim's going on his 5 year - if he could figure it out, he would have already.  He can't.  I don't need to see how this season progresses - we already know.  It's the same shit from 2017, same shit from 2018.  He is going to get his ass blown out against any team with a pulse this year.  Jim can't hang anymore. 

He isn't Urban.  He isn't Saban.  He isn't Dabo.  Jim is a tad better version of James Franklin.  And at least Franklin has won a title.

bronxblue

September 10th, 2019 at 1:48 PM ^

You have no actual proof that Harbaugh "interfered" with the playcalling.  Coaches can read the situation and come to the conclusion, along with the head coach, that the best way to win a game is to follow a more conservative play style in particular situations.  I know it's fun to rant and rave about some grand conspiracy, but you're also the person who consistently believes every OC is an idiot so apparently Harbaugh is damned if he does, damned if he doesn't.

Vinny The Microwave

September 10th, 2019 at 5:04 PM ^

You have no actual proof that Harbaugh "interfered" with the playcalling.  

 

Except what my eyes are seeing.  

 

Coaches can read the situation and come to the conclusion, along with the head coach, that the best way to win a game is to follow a more conservative play style in particular situations. 

 

Weird how Michigan seems to read every single situation the exact same and decides that turtling is the best course of action to win games.  They have so many B1G East titles to show for it too!  And it's super cool how 3 straight OCs have all decided that running into 9-10 man boxes 30 times a game is a really great plan of action.  Weird how that works.

 

ou're also the person who consistently believes every OC is an idiot so apparently Harbaugh is damned if he does, damned if he doesn't.
 

Well, it's either 3 straight OCs from varied backgrounds all just happen to call the same plays in the same situations year after year after year, or the 1 constant, JH, is the issue. 

I guess I don't recall being "the person who consistently believes every OC is an idiot" - but in all honesty, someone is.  It's either that JH finds OCs that are this fucking stupid or JH merely hires OCs to be figure-heads and JH actually takes over and calls the plays when he feels like it is necessary.  And whoever is the one actually calling in the plays is really fucking stupid.