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The analyses I've seen used…

The analyses I've seen used:

2,000+ pass attempts (equates to 3-5 years as a starter)
10,000+ yards passing (easily accomplished in 3-4 years as a starter)
100+ touchdown passes (mediocre starters should reach in 4-5 seasons as a starter)

 

No - it means that "velocity…

No - it means that "velocity" as measured at the combine has almost nothing to do with actual functional throwing strength.

Unless you think Bo Nix has a significantly stronger arm then Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes.

"has anyone left and been…

"has anyone left and been better than who replaced them here at Michigan"

We started Vincent Gray and Gemon Green in the two years St. Juste was at Minnesota.

Hudson and St. Juste would…

Hudson and St. Juste would have.

"And.. how many QBs in this…

"And.. how many QBs in this draft can throw with greater velocity than JJ? "

Penix, Maye, and Williams have stronger arms than JJ.

JJ can make all the NFL throws with no issue though. The only QB drafted that I feel can't is Nix. There are several NFL throws he just can't make.

If you're betting based on…

If you're betting based on historical success rates - at least 3, and more likely 4-5 of the 6 will be busts.

It's a bit like recruiting…

It's a bit like recruiting stars... while it's not necessarily correct for a given player, it's generally correct in the aggregate.

Every QB not picked #1 has a greater than 50% chance of failing.

The number is slightly over 50% for the 1st round as a whole.

The number is 90%+ failures in the 6th round.

12 catches for 195 yards, 1…

12 catches for 195 yards, 1 TD playing wide receiver for South Carolina.

...and he's been doing reasonably well in track, including running a 10.12 100M.

 

He is not "coming off an ACL…

He is not "coming off an ACL" injury that happened in 2020.

 

Probably because Chris…

Probably because Chris Hutchinson never played in the pros.

Nope.Because even when they…

Nope.

Because even when they aren't playing the Lions - the Vikings winning is bad for the Lions, and the Vikings losing is good for the Lions.

If he had gone somewhere outside the division - I'd say "Good luck, except when you play the Lions"... since he is in the division it's "Hope you lose every game ever". 

No. About half that.The #1…

No. About half that.

The #1 pick gets about $42 million.

For 2023:
No. 1: $41.2 million
No. 2: $39.4 million
No. 3: $38.2 million
No. 4: $36.9 million
No. 5: $34.5 million
No. 6: $30.4 million
No. 7: $27.02 million
No. 8: $23.7 million
No. 9: $23.5 million
No. 10: $22.6 million
No. 11: $21.2 million

Michigan can't get any…

Michigan can't get any players money.

Private NIL collectives can give current players money.

"However, can anyone name…

"However, can anyone name someone that left transferred out of our football program that actually became a star/big contributor somewhere else?"

James Hudson
Ben St. Juste
Aaron Lewis
Zach Charbonnet
Joe Milton
Chuck Filiaga
 

 

Guys with 60 credits or less…

Guys with 60 credits or less won't have issues. 

Guys with more than 60 credits will only transfer 60 and that makes them run into "academic progress" issues.

1-2 years in college or grad transfers get in. 3rd+ year players can't transfer enough credits 

Barrett was a 65% passer at…

Barrett was a 65% passer at 9 YPA as a freshman.

34TD to 10 INT... With 2,800 yards passing and 938 yards rushing.

" I really hope they stick…

" I really hope they stick to tradition on Thanksgiving with the throwback uniforms. Those should never go away."

 

Those should be the full time uniforms with no alternates.

Yeah... I highly doubt that…

Yeah... I highly doubt that.

I'd bet they just pretty much ignored FLSA, Title IX, and every other legal consideration and just said "Yay sportsball".

 

https://i.pinimg.com/736x/88…

https://i.pinimg.com/736x/88/5d/fc/885dfcd3384066576137544c780a0b92.jpg

Those are the best.

...and do away with alternates. Just home and away.

 

Like the regular uniforms…

Like the regular uniforms hate the black.

Black ain't a Lions color. This everyone needs a black uniform reminds me of Teal in the 1990s.

 

 

Virginia law doesn't get to…

Virginia law doesn't get to override the FLSA in determining what defines "employees" and "independent contractors".

It WAS hot as hell that day…

It WAS hot as hell that day... and I got sunburned... and it wasn't included in the season ticket package, so we had to buy tickets.

"Any QB in the 1st round is…

"Any QB in the 1st round is a 50/50 proposition at best. "

 

Any QB at #1 is a 50/50 proposition. Any QB below the #1 pick is a worse than 50% success rate 

JJ has more practice in an…

JJ has more practice in an NFL rushing offense, and way less in an NFL passing offense.

Michigan literally didn't even run half the routes in an NFL tree.

Based on historic stats -…

Based on historic stats - every QB other than Williams will bust, and Williams is 50/50.

Sure... But then they can't…

Sure... But then they can't require them to play football for their money.

They are either employees,…

They are either employees, or independent contractors... and:

'“independent contractor” refers to workers who, as a matter of economic reality, are not economically dependent on an employer for work and are in business for themselves.'

Criteria to be an independent contractor include - the opportunity for profit or loss, investment, permanency, control, whether the work is an integral part of the employer's business, and skill and initiative.

 

If you can't lose money doing it, and you don't have control of the details of the work - you aren't an independent contractor.

No, it's just put up or shut…

No, it's just put up or shut up time for AD's in Virginia.

Still illegal for universities in Michigan to pay high school players to attend.

 

Who despite being one of the…

Who despite being one of the better receivers in the NFL... was a 3rd round pick and had less than 1,400 yards total in 3 seasons because of Michigans offense.

The they are employees - and…

The they are employees - and you can't make them be students.

"Michigan isn't serious…

"Michigan isn't serious about winning at bb."

 

Michigan academic departments don't care about sports, and there is nothing the AD can do about that 

Who in the last 10 years…

Who in the last 10 years have won championships with a QB who was a good runner and bad passer?

Barrett was the closest -but he was a 65% passer as a freshman in 2014, and they don't win that championship without Cardale Jones.

 

 

...and everyone want to…

...and everyone want to compare him to Milroe - 

Milroe was a 67% passer in HS.

Orji was a 52% passer in HS.

 

Playing a few plays in less…

Playing a few plays in less than half of the games is not "a rotation role".

"The NCAA’s selective…

"The NCAA’s selective enforcement approach is also something that members need to deal with."

 

No, it isn't. They CAN just continue doing what they've done.

"So, the NCAA seeks more…

"So, the NCAA seeks more authority than the US Legal system - without any controls or limitations."

Not seeks. Has. 

Because the MEMBER schools decided by a vote that they would subject themselves to that.

"Other than Harbaugh's …

"Other than Harbaugh's "obstruction of justice" or whatever, wasn't it all Level 2 violations at Michigan?"

 

“But other than that, Mrs. Lincoln, how was the play?”

Mars is just attention…
  1. Mars is just attention seeking. Harbaugh replied to the NOA - like a year ago. There is no new response. This is just Mars bringing up the past for attention.
  2. Harbaugh could release it to the public anytime he wanted. The NCAA can't punish him, and can't punish Michigan for what he does.

     

The coverup is always worse…

The coverup is always worse than the crime.

THAT is what Michigan is getting punished for.

 

He didn't respond to this…

He didn't respond to this. This is just Tom Mars attention seeking.

Note Mars says he responded to the NOA (notice of allegations) - which was like a year ago.

You have two significant…

You have two significant impairment related car accidents... you have a problem. You might not be an alcoholic, but you have a substance use issue.

...but this isn't #1.

...but this isn't #1.

Copying NFL teams doing it,…

Copying NFL teams doing it, just like Michigan did?

Jake Rudock put out…

Jake Rudock put out basically the same rate stats as he did at Iowa, but slightly higher counting stats due to more attempts.

He did not radically improve at Michigan.

 

A free ride is more than the…

A free ride is more than the revenue generated by 90% of college athletes.

The NCAA, NFL, NBA, NHL, and…

The NCAA, NFL, NBA, NHL, and TV networks are profiting billions of dollars a year while not directly reimbursing the athletes/actors/employees a penny for sports, any syndicated show or movie.

Is the money really gone?…

Is the money really gone? How are G-League revenues vs college basketball? UFL vs. College football?

It ain't just the players - it's the logo on the helmet.

The media agreements are…

The media agreements are university resources.

Why?Jace doesn't get any…

Why?

Jace doesn't get any special status because of who his dad is.

He's gotten the 4 years of…

He's gotten the 4 years of scholarship he is guaranteed.

 

They can just not renew his scholarship for next year.