Yes that's Devin Bush in the picture, and yes that means Adrian Martinez has been around awhile [Eric Upchurch]

Fee Fi Foe Film: Nebraska Offense 2021 Comment Count

Alex.Drain October 7th, 2021 at 9:00 AM

Michigan is 5-0 on the season and if they want to get to 6-0, they'll need to get through Lincoln unscathed on Saturday night. How worried should they be? Luckily we have FFFF here to tell us, starting today with the Nebraska offense. The Huskers put up 56 on Northwestern last weekend and have the fanbase riding high. Adrian Martinez is still around and this is definitely a Scott Frost offense now. Let's take a gander at what it looks like: 

 

The Film: Unfortunately, for the offense, we had to use Nebraska's most recent game against Northwestern. The reason is that the Huskers recently reshuffled their offensive line and so even though the MSU tape may be against a much better opponent, it's actually less useful than the Northwestern tape. And I say that despite knowing, as you will see in these clips, that Northwestern is really, really bad. Like, Hard To Believe That They're This Bad After Going 7-2 Last Season bad. So there's only so much that can be learned from this tape due to that limiting factor, but also the OL change was significant enough that we have to go with this tape. There's also less tape to examine as a result, since Nebraska took their starters out late in the third quarter. All this said, we will do what we can with this. 

Personnel: The picture. 

Nebraska still has Adrian Martinez at QB and you're going to hear a ton about him in this piece. He's in his fourth year as the starting QB, which means he'll have faced Michigan twice in his career, with his first appearance being featured in the main photo for this article. The RB room in the game I watched was really split between two players, Jacquez Yant and Rahmir Johnson. Yant hadn't been used heavily this season and then suddenly erupted in this game and you'd have to think his nature as the Hot Hand means he'll feature in a starring role this Saturday. Johnson has been a mainstay this whole season and leads the team in (non-Martinez) carries. Markese Stepp and Sevion Morrison also got carries in this game. 

At WR Samori Toure is the clear #1 option, followed by speedster Zavier Betts and big outside receiver Omar Manning. Old Friend Oliver Martin has been averaging a catch or two per week, and Levi Falck got two catches in the game I saw. Nebraska likes to use two TEs quite a bit, with 6'8" Austin Allen being a humongous and favored target, in addition to a key blocker, while Travis Vokolek is also a used blocker, though not quite the receiving option. 

The reshuffled offensive line looks like the following: Teddy Prochazka at LT, notable because the 6'8" lineman is an in-stater and top 250 recruit but is also a true freshman starting at left tackle. He was the big change that was made after the MSU game. Turner Corcoran has kicked out to RT after previously starting on the left side, which has demoted the much-maligned Bryce Benhart to the second string after Benhart was relentlessly abused by the Spartans. Nouredin Nouili has now made two starts at LG, while veterans Cam Jurgens and Matt Sichterman are starting at their usual spots of center and right guard, respectively. 

[AFTER THE JUMP: WE HUSK SOME CORN]

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Spread, pro-style, or hybrid: I think this first table should make it abundantly clear what the answer here is. Below is the distribution of plays and formations up through the final few minutes of the third quarter (when UNL lifted their starters):  

Formation Run PA Pass Total
Shotgun 34 7 10 100%
Under Center -- -- -- --

Yep, not a single play under center for the Huskers. This is a spread offense built heavily around the QB running game. Martinez's legs are featured in the offense and they are central to a lot of what Nebraska tries to do, whether it's from the read option (which is one of the offense's base plays) or from the actual option pitch play like it's 2007. Mixing in the pass and the play action pass is how they build on top of Martinez's run game. I should note that the distribution between run and pass in this game was pretty extreme because Northwestern could do absolutely nothing to stop the run, so here's a look at the run/pass distribution in the preceding five Nebraska games this year: 

- Illinois = 39 run, 32 pass

- Fordham = 65 run, 30 pass

- Buffalo = 41 run, 20 pass

- Oklahoma = 38 run, 25 pass 

- Michigan State = 50 run, 36 pass 

This is a team that wants to run the ball, and they will throw more if they fall behind early/are engaged in a competitive game (sounds like Michigan, to some extent). Here's a look at the distribution of play types based on down in this game: 

Down Run Pass
1st 18 8
2nd 12 7
3rd 4 1
4th - 1

Not really any clear trends here to be discerned, but the overriding point is pretty clear: this is firmly a run-first spread team. The one divergence from an air raid type of spread offense is the use of the two TEs, Austin Allen and Travis Vokolek. Playing in 12 personnel (2 TE, 2 WR, 1 RB) is fairly common for Nebraska, although they will also line up a TE in the slot to give the appearance of going four wide a decent bit. 

Basketball on Grass or MANBALL? Given everything I've just said, this should be a pretty easy question, and the answer is not Manball. Nebraska never goes under center and they don't really have many beef packages in their playbook. The base set looks something like this: 

Martinez in the gun, one RB, one TE (in this picture, it's Austin Allen), and three WRs. When they go with two TEs, it can often look like this: 

There we have Austin Allen lining up as a receiver, and then Vokolek in a more traditional TE spot. And then sometimes they trot out with four wide (one of whom you can't see in this picture): 

But, as I mentioned earlier, one of the receivers in this formation is normally a TE lining up in the slot. In this case it's Vokolek lined up in the slot off the right end of the line. So, Basketball on Grass. 

Hurry it up or grind it out: Somewhere in between the two, but closer to hurry it up. No one will mistake Nebraska for a whizbang Chip Kelly offense, but they are also not a molasses-slow team. They are interested in running the ball and are satisfied with draining the clock that comes with that, but they tend to run plays with between 10 and 20 seconds on the play clock, typically with a happy medium of 15 seconds. It is not uncommon for Nebraska to run a play with 25 or 30 on the playclock either, though, with tempo being very much within this team's repertoire. 

Quarterback Dilithium Rating (Scale: 1 [Navarre] to 10 [Denard]): Let's go with a 9. As mentioned previously, Martinez's legs aren't just something that Michigan needs to watch out for, it's what the whole offense is built around. And he's an extremely dangerous runner. Probably not on Denard's level, but Martinez is the best running QB the Wolverines will see this season, by a considerable margin. Speaking of Martinez....

Dangerman & HenneChart: These two are going to be linked because this week's Dangerman is none other than Adrian Martinez himself. Nebraska has a revolving door at RB, a questionable OL, and a number of different receivers who are targeted, so there really was only one option, and it's the player that the whole offense flows through. A QB is always an important position no matter the offense, but Martinez is even more important than the average QB is to an offense, because he is the key to unlocking both the passing game (duh) and the running game. 

Let's start in the running game. Nebraska builds in a read for Martinez on most plays, and Northwestern's continued inability to figure this out is a big reason why they got bulldozed and Big Red's starters got to leave the field by the third quarter. If your edge defenders cannot make this difficult for Martinez, as NW's #91 here doesn't, Nebraska is content to do this to you over and over again: 

And then if your edges overcorrect and start locking onto Martinez (as NW's #91 does here), they'll hit you with the give: 

The old school option pitch, as was previously stated, also appears in the offense as a way to confuse the edge defenders: 

In that play you can see the pre-snap orbit motion from the eventual ballcarrier, which is another wrinkle in the offense that Nebraska likes to pepper in there. In all three of those plays, it is the threat of Adrian Martinez's legs that make the plays work, either allowing him to punish the defense if the edge defenders go for the back, or being enough of a threat to make the edge guys follow him, opening up lanes for the backs. Michigan's DEs/OLBs will need to be as sharp as possible when it comes to understanding QB reads if they want to stop Martinez. 

Sometimes on short yardage situations Nebraska doesn't give a Martinez a read, they just have him take the snap and trust him to find a hole, JT Barrett style: 

Northwestern definitely didn't make it difficult for Martinez to find those holes in this game. They also go to the QB run in non-short yardage situations sometimes too, if the defense has cleared out the box to account for having four receivers lined up outside: 

As you may expect, axioms about not losing QB contain very much apply here. There were no true scrambling situations in this game to clip, mostly because Northwestern's defensive showing can best be described as "pathetic", but the threat of the scramble when Martinez drops back to pass is always there. All of Nebraska's run concepts go through their QB and his ability to hurt the opponent with his legs. 

As for the passing side of things, Martinez isn't quite as good of a passer, but he's not bad. His stat line for the season is 6 TD to 2 INT with 9.8 Y/A, which is a marked change from the dink and dunk nature of past QB's on Michigan's schedule (Dylan Morris, Noah Vedral), as well as the turnover machine that is Graham Mertz. Martinez showed a lot of the good and bad that he has to offer through the air in this game. Here's the chart: 

Neb. vs. NW Good   Neutral   Bad   Ovr
Quarterback DO CA SCR   PR MA   BA TA IN BR   DSR PFF
Adrian Martinez 2 7       1   1 1 4     60% -

Martinez is a college QB in that he is capable of making some high quality throws but there are also a number of accuracy duds thrown in. Let's start with the good: 

That's not the easiest throw to make and he fits it in perfectly. Martinez can also make those sorts of throws on rollouts: 

Arm strength isn't an issue, and the downfield passing attack is very much functional. That was a 38 yard strike to Samori Toure, who is now averaging 21.0 yards per reception this season on a team-leading 23 catches. Nebraska can punish you down the field. However, Martinez isn't always that dead-on accurate, especially if he doesn't set his feet: 

In other cases, Martinez just straight up misses when a receiver is open and he's not on the move: 

That's a chunk play if Martinez throws just a slightly better ball. I acknowledge that he doesn't quite get to step into it because the LG Nouili is being driven back a bit, but it's a throw that needs to be made. 

I thought Martinez's reads in the passing game were as sharp as those in the running game, but also Nebraska was playing Northwestern, which means the receivers were almost always open no matter where he went with the ball. Therefore, the source of the problems that popped up in the passing game tended to just be inaccuracy from Martinez. It's reasonable to expect that continue this weekend, because Martinez is no Justin Fields when it comes to downfield accuracy. What may be different is the amount of time Martinez gets to throw, which we will discuss below. 

In totality, Martinez is the dangerman because as he goes, so goes the offense. His legs allow the running game to work and his passing ability downfield is crucial to hurt teams who want to key in on the run. If Martinez isn't functioning, or he doesn't have much time to work with, the Huskers' offense is in a lot of trouble. 

 

Overview

We took our time talking about Martinez, but how about the rest of the team? You got to see a number of the playmakers that Martinez likes to go to in the above clips. I noted Samori Toure as a deep threat option out of the slot previously, and I'll also shout out Zavier Betts, who you saw receiving the option pitch from Martinez and taking it 85 yards to the house. Betts has terrific speed, and Toure was an excellent player at Montana who transferred to Lincoln in the offseason. Those two are probably the two receivers to watch out for the most, although I'll throw the humongous TE Austin Allen out there as another name to know as a passcatcher, though he didn't have one in this game. He did show up as a blocker in some of the previously shown clips. You can scroll back up and see #11 setting a block in space on the option pitch TD. 

As for the RBs, the emergence of Jacquez Yant in the Northwestern game complicates the depth chart. Yant is a walk-on back who is the bigger variety, 6-2, 245. He broke a long run against the Wildcats but it seemed to me that it was more about NW's ineptitude and lack of athleticism than anything Yant did: 

Does not scream "blazing speed" to me. Rahmir Johnson is the one RB who has gotten consistent work this entire year and he appeared in this game a decent bit. He's a pretty significant change from Yant as a much more slim and speed-based RB. He carries the ball in the second clip in this piece, the one where Martinez fools the edge on the read option give. That one showcased his speed well, but here's a play where it might have been nice for Johnson to have a little more muscle: 

If they roll with Yant and Johnson again this weekend, it's a decent speed and power mix, even if I think that Yant's success against NW was mostly a mirage. 

The last area of the game that needs to be discussed is the offensive line. It was difficult in this game to really say anything negative about Nebraska's revamped OL because Northwestern is atrocious. There was very little pressure on Martinez and the Husker run game gashed the Wildcats over and over again. However, a trend that's pretty consistent across this season and what necessitated the OL shift is the consistently bad pass protection at tackle. On Saturday Nebraska is likely to be starting a true freshman at LT and a RS freshman at RT. Corcoran, the RT, has accumulated a horrendous PFF grade for pass protection this season and there were some glimmers of that problem in this game, even if NW's ineptitude prevented it from popping up in full force: 

#69 RT to bottom of the line

If that's Aidan Hutchinson pass rushing instead of a Northwestern player, Martinez is probably laying flat on his back. Here's a blitz that Nebraska has a little trouble picking up: 

There are definitely vulnerabilities here for Michigan to exploit just by virtue of having real talent along the defensive line. I had only good things to say about Nebraska's run blocking, but again, contextualizing the opponent is important: Northwestern sucks. Against better competition, the OL has struggled to regularly open big holes between the tackles. Their RBs were under 4 YPC against both Oklahoma and Michigan State, which is another reason for the OL juggling. The OL shift worked against the doormat that is Northwestern, we'll see if it holds up against a Michigan DL that just whipped Wisconsin. 

 

What does this mean for Michigan? 

This is going to be quite the test for Michigan's ends. They didn't handle the read option game of Noah Vedral all that well against Rutgers, but that was a few weeks ago and it features much more prominently here. You have to believe that Mike Macdonald has spent the entire week in practice drilling the read option into the heads of his defensive linemen. Still, it will be interesting to see how some of the younger linemen (Mike Morris and David Ojabo notably) handle this more mental component of the game. 

Building off of that, the game needs to be won on the defensive line for Michigan. We talked about the pass protection struggles in general and with two first or second year offensive tackles starting for UNL, the Wolverines need to follow up last week's dominant pass rushing performance with another monstrous effort. If they can get into the backfield with regularity, it will disrupt Martinez's rhythm, and also go a long way towards blowing up the run game. Remember, Nebraska wants to run the ball more than they want to throw it, so getting a lead on offense and then forcing them into passing situations, where Ojabo and Hutchinson should feast, is pivotal. Winning the battle of the line of scrimmage and forcing the Huskers into longer downs is another way to make Nebraska have to pass. 

Putting Nebraska into those uncomfortable situations should be the prime objective on Saturday and everything else will break down after that. This is a team with rather unremarkable receivers and running backs, but a QB who is really dangerous. Winning up front and bothering that QB will go a long way towards bottling up Nebraska's offense. 

Comments

reshp1

October 7th, 2021 at 9:21 AM ^

Northwestern look like a HS team out there. Ooof. The QB dive play the TE blocks the MLB looks like when a D1 prospect takes on a poor kid destined to be an accountant. I'm hoping with our defense, Nebraska regress back to their early season woes.

victors2000

October 7th, 2021 at 10:21 AM ^

Unfortunately, Nebraska is one of those teams that has gotten better each week. Martinez really is a dangerman; if he can run the offense anywhere near as competent as a 4 year starter should, this game is going to be more entertaining than any of us would like. Good thing we do that 'complementary' thing well, I get the feeling this one is going to be one of those 'All hands on deck' type of games.

rc15

October 7th, 2021 at 10:38 AM ^

Bad: Nebraska seems to have gotten back some confidence from playing a really bad team with a "respectable" name on their chest.

Good: Playing bad teams makes you become reliant on things that won't work against better ones. Both O and D. 1st qtr could be a rough wake-up for them.

RAH

October 7th, 2021 at 1:34 PM ^

Too many people seem to be focusing on the Northwestern game and concluding that Nebraska is not a danger because NW is so bad. But that isn't the only available evidence. They also played a very close game with a really good team in Oklahoma (at Oklahoma), held them to their lowest point total in 5 years, and lost by 7 points. Also, although they lost in OT they should have won against an apparently decent (5-0) MSU (at MSU). 

So it is also possible that Nebraska is now pretty good. 

LeCheezus

October 8th, 2021 at 9:16 AM ^

Nebraska is a solid B10 team that is somewhere in the 7-11 range if you were to rank the teams.  They played MSU well, but also appears MSU may have had a M/Rutgers second half where everyone tends to overreact and ignore the rest of a season in favor of a single half of football.  MSU completely dominated overtime, so perhaps they finally just woke up.  

I'm not buying that OU is a top ~5 team.  Talent wise, sure.  Actually playing the games?  They are sloppy and let teams hang around because (I know this is blasphemy around here) they throw the ball too much and are prone to short drives when things don't go to plan, particularly when their "Heisman candidate" QB goes "fuck it, I'm throwing this into triple coverage anyways."

- Let Tulane (zero FBS wins on the season) hang around after a hurricane displaced the game to be an OU home game

- Struggled at home against Nebraska (Only P5 win - Northwestern, only other FBS win Buffalo)

- Held on to beat West Virginia by 3 at home (Only P5 win - VT, lost to MD and Texas Tech)

- I guess they finally did beat Kansas State, so that's something.

Michigan hasn't really broken an RB into the secondary in two weeks.  That ends this week and they pull away in the second half for a 38-17 win.

Double-D

October 7th, 2021 at 6:50 PM ^

NW lost like 20 starters and they are not a program that has the type of depth to handle those losses.  They are bad.

A QB like Martinez always makes me uneasy.  He is a wildcard….but we should blow this offense up.

Their D, Martinez, and a night game on the road.  Let’s get a win a get out.  

Perkis-Size Me

October 7th, 2021 at 9:48 AM ^

Northwestern may be one of the worst teams in the country. Now that's not Nebraska's fault, and they went out there and took care of business like they were supposed to. But the question of how much that performance was on Nebraska being that good vs. Northwestern really being that bad can legitimately be asked. 

How many times did we see (especially during the RichRod years) Michigan just light it up against the Bowling Greens and Western Michigans of the world, and then when they faced a great defense or even an average one, they regressed hard to the mean? 

The Homie J

October 7th, 2021 at 11:13 AM ^

I went and watched both the Neb/MSU and Neb/NW games and holy shit did the Northwestern game stand out in the bad way.  They looked small as all hell compared to Nebraska and slower than dog shit to boot.  Not taking away anything from Nebraska for pounding them, but I had no idea Northwestern was in that rough of shape.  The MSU game is much more useful and while Nebraska at times could move on their defense, it looked more like a traditional B1G game.  The difference being Sparty somehow held on to win (thanks to special teams) despite ZERO first downs and ZERO offensive points in the 2nd half (their only score was a punt return touchdown late in the 4th).

Nebraska will be tough, but if moved the ball on Wisconsin, we can move the ball on Nebraska.  And our bend-but-don't break defense will give up points here and there (more than any other game this season) but we should be fine if we hold them to 20 or less and get another good game from our offense.

Perkis-Size Me

October 7th, 2021 at 9:45 AM ^

This Nebraska offense reminds me a lot of Michigan's offense circa 2010: it all revolves around and goes through one guy, who to his credit is very dangerous with the ball in his hands, but if you can successfully key in on him and stop him, the rest of the offense is shut down. 

M_Born M_Believer

October 7th, 2021 at 10:25 AM ^

While I agree overall with your statement.  I believe it is a combination of MSU being slightly over-hyped and Nebraska being something better than a doormat.

MSU is undefeated, I get it, but their only 2 "quality" win are A) to an overrated Miami team that self destructs and B) Nebraska that literally punted them the victory.

This wont be a cake walk by any means, Martinez is going to get loose sometimes.  But the difference between NW defense and what Martinez will see Saturday night could not be any more polar opposites.

Even Sparty's defense was able to slow down Nebraska offense somewhat

Rushing D - 41st

Passing D - 123rd!!

Overall - 102nd

FYI - Michigan's defense rankings

Rush - 35th

Pass - 16th

Overall - 16th 

PS -NW defense rankings

Rush D - 123rd (8 spots LOWER than NIU)

Pass D - 56th

Overall - 113th

 

rc15

October 7th, 2021 at 10:33 AM ^

Spread is 3.5, O/U at 51.

That puts the predicted score at essentially 27-24. Nebraska's defense is not as good as Wisconsin's, who we put up 38 on. Putting up 30 on Nebraska should be the be the benchmark for whether Michigan plays good/bad. It shouldn't be highly doubtful to happen.

Perkis-Size Me

October 7th, 2021 at 10:46 AM ^

Michigan put up 38 on a much better defense than Nebraska's this past weekend. They can score 30+ this weekend. Not saying Michigan definitively will, but there are opportunities to be had here, as long as they don't commit turnovers and just adjust to what Nebraska's defense throws at them. 

Nebraska's defense is not a sieve, but the offense (in my opinion) faced a stiffer test last weekend and acquitted itself very well. Where this game will be won or lost is with Michigan's DL. Can they generate enough pressure to make Martinez uncomfortable and put him in obvious passing situations? 

If it can, then Michigan has to like its chances. If Martinez is consistently put in a position where he can do what he does best, then Michigan is in for a very close game. 

njvictor

October 7th, 2021 at 9:57 AM ^

I could barely focus on Nebraska's offense in the above clips because I was watching how atrociously bad Northwestern's defense looks. They looked like lackadaisical zombies who took bad angles and couldn't tackle. There's literally a defender in that first clip who sees Martinez running at him with the ball and he decides to run the opposite direction and engage the WR?

Peter Parker

October 7th, 2021 at 10:21 AM ^

Looks to me like the DB has the pitch man in the hierarchy of option responsibilities. A linebacker/DE is suppose to have QB and they are nowhere to be found. So the DB was put in an impossible situation and his brain probably just reverted to 'do your job' in a split second decision so he went with the pitch man.

dragonchild

October 7th, 2021 at 9:59 AM ^

Oh, my goodness.

Aside from that, Lincoln, how's your game?

If the receivers are meh and Michigan struggles against the read option, this might be a good game to pull Hill off slot nickel duty and just have him shadow Martinez.  That would free up the linebackers to focus on zone coverage and the running back.  Still gotta watch out for play action, but watching out for Martinez scrambles on top of everything else is probably how Nebraska tries to break a defense.

dragonchild

October 7th, 2021 at 10:14 AM ^

Not necessarily.  The most dangerous receiver is often the slot these days, and Hill will often man up on that guy.  Per Ian Boyd:

Hill lines up on slot receivers to the field and usually matches them in something close to man coverage whether it's a two-high or single high defense. . .

Hill doesn't typically get safety help outside of the hash marks in coverage. The safeties' attention is better spent elsewhere, Hill is almost an island corner in this system.

. . . he's the one in man coverage.  So I'm suggesting they just stop doing that, move Hill over to an ILB spot as a spy, and put in another DB over the slot in a true zone.  We're now short a linebacker, but. . .

. . . I think the box will be fine?

M_Born M_Believer

October 7th, 2021 at 10:33 AM ^

I fully expect this to go in Michigan's favor, but I would have to believe that NU will be double teaming him/ chipping him constantly.  This is good because this already takes them out of their normal sets having to dedicate a 2nd blocker on Hutch. 

And the potential mismatch on the other side is almost as wide, a true Freshman on Ojabo.  My only concern here is that our DE have to stay discipline on their rush lanes.  I could see NU almost inviting them to rush upfield allowing Martinez to try and go under that....

The amount on domination our DE will have over their young tackles will go a long way in determining how this game will play out.......

ak47

October 7th, 2021 at 10:02 AM ^

Man I don't feel great about this game after watching the team try to defend the Rutgers read option. Its not like they got extra practice time on it while prepping for Wisconsin and we know our offense can't run it effectively to make practicing against it hard, I think Nebraska is going to get some big chunks. This will be another game we need our offense to score a few times on a good defense

GoBlueSMB

October 7th, 2021 at 10:36 AM ^

I don't know why, but I am NOT as worried about stopping the read option in this game.  Martinez is the leading rusher on Nebraska by a wide margin (30 more carries than anyone else).  Key in on Martinez, make sure the DE's keep contain and we should be good to go.  I expect that Dax probably rolls to the strong side since that is where Nebraska tends to run their read option most times.

canzior

October 7th, 2021 at 10:41 AM ^

I agree with this...I think there will be some annoying runs in this game.  Villari is scout team QB this week and apparently is giving good looks. 

But I know Bama & OSU in the past have brought in former players as scout team players for the team.  In theory couldn't Michigan have stipends or consulting fees paid to former players to come in and help.  Like Denard, for example coming in for this week.  Would be a great way to engage former players, and give the current team a better look.